Announcement

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:21 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Purdue 69, Virginia 40— Cavaliers missing Braxton Key is a big deal.

— New Mexico 80, Boise State 78— Lobos win their conference opener.

— San Diego State 79, Colorado State 57— Aztecs, Utah State are best teams in Mountain West.

— Georgetown 81, Oklahoma State 74— Big road win for Patrick Ewing after a tough few days off the floor.

— Yale 61, Albany 52— James Jones wins a game at his alma mater.

— Villanova 80, Penn 69— Final is misleading; this was a pretty close game.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) If you’re a Mets’ fan, this could be like Christmas, New Year’s, your birthday and Hannukah, all wrapped into one. This, from ESPN:

“Steve Cohen, a billionaire who owns a small percentage of the Mets, is negotiating an agreement to increase his investment, a move that could signal that Fred/Jeff Wilpon’s longtime control of the franchise will be over within five years.

Bloomberg reported that Cohen is in talks to acquire up to 80% of the team, which would be valued at $2.6B.”

All of this is great news for Mets fans, if it turns out to be true. The Wilpons are horrendous owners; the sooner they’re gone, the better.

12) New Jersey Giants’ QB Daniel Jones has a sprained ankle, is in a walking boot; sounds like Eli Manning will get the nod for Big Blue in their game at Philly Monday nite.

11) DePaul 63, Texas Tech 60 OT— Blue Demons stay unbeaten, but they trailed for most of this game, and Tech played without Ramsey, one of their best guys.

This is DePaul’s first 9-game win streak since the 1993-94 season.

10) Utah 102, BYU 95 OT— Utes outscored BYU 24-13 on foul line, offsetting BYU’s 12-24 shooting on the arc. BYU led this game by 16 with 13:25 left.

9) San Francisco 49ers played in Baltimore LW, are playing in New Orleans this Sunday; they’re practicing this week at IMG Academy in Bradenton, FL.

8) South Carolina QB Jake Bentley will transfer after missing almost all of this season with an injury; freshman Ryan Hilinski has played well, so Bentley, a 3-year starter, will finish his college career somewhere else.

7) USC will bring football coach Clay Helton back next year; the promising performance of freshman QB Slovis undoubtedly had a lot to do with that. New coach, new AD, and to be fair, Urban Meyer probably told USC he wasn’t interested in the job.

6) Colorado State fired football coach Mike Bobo, who went 28-35 as coach in Fort Collins.

5) Philadelphia Phillies gave 29-year old P Zack Wheeler a 5-year, $118M deal; Wheeler was 11-8, 3.96 in 31 starts LY, is 44-38, 3.77 in 126 career starts- he’s been hurt a lot.

Wheeler apparently turned down a bigger offer from the White Sox; when guys turn down more money to play somewhere else, thats a pretty big kick in the teeth.

4) Atlanta Braves signed soon-to-be 36-year old lefty P Cole Hamels to a 1-year, $18M deal; Hamels was 7-7, 3.81 in 27 starts for the Cubs last year.

3) Orioles traded 27-year old P Dylan Bundy to the Angels for four minor leaguers. Bundy was 7-14, 4.79 in 30 starts for a dreadful Baltimore team LY.

Angels also made a deal this week to stay in Anaheim thru 2050; the team will buy Angel Stadium and the 133 acres of surrounding land for $325M

2) Miami Marlins acquired IF Jonathan Villar from the Orioles for minor league P Easton Lucas; they also claimed 1B Jesus Aguilar off waivers from Tampa Bay.

1) NC State 69, Wisconsin 54— Badgers lost their last three games, are struggling at 4-4.

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:22 AM

601LOUISIANA TECH -602 MISSISSIPPI ST
MISSISSIPPI ST is 50-26 ATS (21.4 Units) in home games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997.

603OKLAHOMA -604 N TEXAS
N TEXAS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.

605FURMAN -606 AUBURN
AUBURN is 33-19 ATS (12.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

607N ILLINOIS -608 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997.

609S DAKOTA ST -610 MONTANA ST
S DAKOTA ST is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the last 3 seasons.

1131ST FRANCIS-NY -1132 HARTFORD
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

1133ELON -1134 HIGH POINT
ELON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

1135HOWARD -1136 HAMPTON
HOWARD is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

1137C ARKANSAS -1138 WICHITA ST
C ARKANSAS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

1139SE MISSOURI ST -1140 ABILENE CHRISTIAN
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:24 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 5

St. Francis-NY @ Hartford

Game 1131-1132
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Francis-NY
42.000
Hartford
43.714
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hartford
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hartford
by 3 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
St. Francis-NY
(+3 1/2); Over

Elon @ High Point

Game 1133-1134
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Elon
47.137
High Point
40.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Elon
by 6 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Elon
by 1 1/2
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Elon
(-1 1/2); Under

Howard @ Hampton

Game 1135-1136
December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Howard
32.752
Hampton
47.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 14 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 11 1/2
152
Dunkel Pick:
Hampton
(-11 1/2); Under

Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State

Game 601-602
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
57.504
Mississippi State
69.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 12 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 8
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(-8); Under

Central Arkansas @ Wichita State

Game 1137-1138
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
39.739
Wichita State
66.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wichita State
by 25 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wichita State
by 23
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wichita State
(-23); Under

Oklahoma @ North Texas

Game 603-604
December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
66.780
North Texas
56.252
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 10 1/2
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 5 1/2
128 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-5 1/2); Under

SE Missouri St @ Abilene Christian

Game 1139-1140
December 5, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Missouri St
44.295
Abilene Christian
50.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Abilene Christian
by 6
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Abilene Christian
by 4
135
Dunkel Pick:
Abilene Christian
(-4); Under

Furman @ Auburn

Game 605-606
December 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Furman
65.602
Auburn
75.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 9 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 12 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Furman
(+12 1/2); Over

South Dakota St @ Montana State

Game 609-610
December 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
48.473
Montana State
50.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana State
Pick
138
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
Over

Northern Illinois @ St Mary's

Game 607-608
December 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
57.181
St Mary's
66.747
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 9 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 15
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+15); Over

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:24 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 5

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LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 2) at MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 113-81 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (6 - 1) at N TEXAS (3 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
N TEXAS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FURMAN (7 - 2) at AUBURN (7 - 0) - 12/5/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
AUBURN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (6 - 2) at ST MARYS-CA (7 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in December games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 98-65 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S DAKOTA ST (6 - 4) at MONTANA ST (5 - 3) - 12/5/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 108-74 ATS (+26.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
MONTANA ST is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST FRANCIS-NY (2 - 5) at HARTFORD (4 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ELON (3 - 6) at HIGH POINT (1 - 7) - 12/5/2019, 3:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ELON is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOWARD (0 - 9) at HAMPTON (3 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOWARD is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
HOWARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOWARD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HAMPTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 1-0 against the spread versus HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 2-0 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C ARKANSAS (1 - 6) at WICHITA ST (6 - 1) - 12/5/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 233-188 ATS (+26.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SE MISSOURI ST (3 - 4) at ABILENE CHRISTIAN (2 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SE MISSOURI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ABILENE CHRISTIAN over the last 3 seasons
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 1-0 straight up against SE MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:25 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 5

Mississippi State won six of its first seven games vs schedule #255, despite turning ball over 24.3% of time (#333); Bulldogs are experience team #290 that is playing tempo #304- they’re shooting 56.6% inside the arc (#15). State lost its only top 100 game by 7 to Villanova- their best win is over #155 FIU. Louisiana Tech is 4-2 vs schedule #269, losing both their top 100 games, by 10 at Creighton, 13 at Indiana. Bulldogs are experience team #46 that is forcing turnovers 23.1% of the time (#44) while playing pace #57.

Oklahoma beat North Texas the last two years by 10-16 points; they’re 6-1 TY vs schedule #116, with only loss by 19 to Stanford on a neutral floor. Sooners are experience team #248 that plays a quick pace (#51)- they’re 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 18-5-27 points. North Texas is 2-5 vs schedule #33, losing all four of its top 100 games, by 3-23-13-9 points. Mean Green turns ball over 24.3% of time (#32) while playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country. UNT is experience team #61 that won its last game by 11 at #137 Tex-Arlington Monday.

Auburn is 7-0 vs schedule #101, beating Davidson, Richmond, New Mexico, all on neutral floors. Tigers haven’t played in nine days; they’re experience team #70 that starts four seniors- they’ve got shooting 58.7% inside arc (#7), are grabbing 35.5% of their own missed shots (#30). Furman is 5-2 vs schedule #153; they’re forcing turnovers 25.7% of time (#14)- they’re shooting only 33.3% on arc, getting 39% of their points on 3’s (#36). Paladins’ losses were at Alabama by 8, 10 at South Florida- best team they’ve beaten is #111 Loyola-Chicago.

Saint Mary’s is 7-1 vs schedule #289, losing at home to #165 Winthrop- they’ve got wins over Utah State/Wisconsin, both top 60 wins. Gaels are experience team #98 that has made 43.4% of its 3’s (#4), getting 35.9% of their points (#74) on arc while playing pace #338. Northern Illinois won its last five games, after losing to Northern Iowa/Iowa State to begin the year, their only top 100 games so far. Huskies have played schedule #319- they’re experience team #108 that subs a lot (#63 bench minutes). Only top 200 team NIU has beaten is #170 Oakland.

Montana State is 3-3 vs schedule #129, wth an erratic resume; they won at NC-Greensboro, lost by 26 at home to Green Bay. Bobcats have turned ball over 23.7% of time (#326) while playing pace #256- they’re #48 experience team that doesn’t sub a lot (bench minutes #310). South Dakota State is 5-4 vs schedule #158, losing their last two road games, three of them to top 70 teams. Jackrabbits are turning ball over 21.4% of time (#256); they’re experience team #316 whose only road win was by hoop in double OT at Cal-Bakersfield.

**Udog** · 12-05-2019, 09:28 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Elon @ High Point
Elon
Elon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Elon's last 6 games on the road
High Point
No trends to report

Central Arkansas @ Wichita State
Central Arkansas
No trends to report
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wichita State's last 8 games at home

Oklahoma @ North Texas
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
North Texas
North Texas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
North Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Southeast Missouri State @ Abilene Christian
Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southeast Missouri State's last 7 games on the road
Southeast Missouri State is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
Abilene Christian
No trends to report

Furman @ Auburn
Furman
Furman is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Furman is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

South Dakota State @ Montana State
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Montana State
Montana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Montana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Northern Illinois @ Saint Mary's-California
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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