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Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 5

    Good Luck on day # 339 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Purdue 69, Virginia 40— Cavaliers missing Braxton Key is a big deal.

    — New Mexico 80, Boise State 78— Lobos win their conference opener.

    — San Diego State 79, Colorado State 57— Aztecs, Utah State are best teams in Mountain West.

    — Georgetown 81, Oklahoma State 74— Big road win for Patrick Ewing after a tough few days off the floor.

    — Yale 61, Albany 52— James Jones wins a game at his alma mater.

    — Villanova 80, Penn 69— Final is misleading; this was a pretty close game.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) If you’re a Mets’ fan, this could be like Christmas, New Year’s, your birthday and Hannukah, all wrapped into one. This, from ESPN:

    “Steve Cohen, a billionaire who owns a small percentage of the Mets, is negotiating an agreement to increase his investment, a move that could signal that Fred/Jeff Wilpon’s longtime control of the franchise will be over within five years.

    Bloomberg reported that Cohen is in talks to acquire up to 80% of the team, which would be valued at $2.6B.”

    All of this is great news for Mets fans, if it turns out to be true. The Wilpons are horrendous owners; the sooner they’re gone, the better.

    12) New Jersey Giants’ QB Daniel Jones has a sprained ankle, is in a walking boot; sounds like Eli Manning will get the nod for Big Blue in their game at Philly Monday nite.

    11) DePaul 63, Texas Tech 60 OT— Blue Demons stay unbeaten, but they trailed for most of this game, and Tech played without Ramsey, one of their best guys.

    This is DePaul’s first 9-game win streak since the 1993-94 season.

    10) Utah 102, BYU 95 OT— Utes outscored BYU 24-13 on foul line, offsetting BYU’s 12-24 shooting on the arc. BYU led this game by 16 with 13:25 left.

    9) San Francisco 49ers played in Baltimore LW, are playing in New Orleans this Sunday; they’re practicing this week at IMG Academy in Bradenton, FL.

    8) South Carolina QB Jake Bentley will transfer after missing almost all of this season with an injury; freshman Ryan Hilinski has played well, so Bentley, a 3-year starter, will finish his college career somewhere else.

    7) USC will bring football coach Clay Helton back next year; the promising performance of freshman QB Slovis undoubtedly had a lot to do with that. New coach, new AD, and to be fair, Urban Meyer probably told USC he wasn’t interested in the job.

    6) Colorado State fired football coach Mike Bobo, who went 28-35 as coach in Fort Collins.

    5) Philadelphia Phillies gave 29-year old P Zack Wheeler a 5-year, $118M deal; Wheeler was 11-8, 3.96 in 31 starts LY, is 44-38, 3.77 in 126 career starts- he’s been hurt a lot.

    Wheeler apparently turned down a bigger offer from the White Sox; when guys turn down more money to play somewhere else, thats a pretty big kick in the teeth.

    4) Atlanta Braves signed soon-to-be 36-year old lefty P Cole Hamels to a 1-year, $18M deal; Hamels was 7-7, 3.81 in 27 starts for the Cubs last year.

    3) Orioles traded 27-year old P Dylan Bundy to the Angels for four minor leaguers. Bundy was 7-14, 4.79 in 30 starts for a dreadful Baltimore team LY.

    Angels also made a deal this week to stay in Anaheim thru 2050; the team will buy Angel Stadium and the 133 acres of surrounding land for $325M

    2) Miami Marlins acquired IF Jonathan Villar from the Orioles for minor league P Easton Lucas; they also claimed 1B Jesus Aguilar off waivers from Tampa Bay.

    1) NC State 69, Wisconsin 54— Badgers lost their last three games, are struggling at 4-4.

    Comment


    • #3
      501PHILADELPHIA -502 WASHINGTON
      PHILADELPHIA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

      503HOUSTON -504 TORONTO
      HOUSTON is 120-74 ATS (38.6 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

      505DENVER -506 NEW YORK
      NEW YORK is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

      507PHOENIX -508 NEW ORLEANS
      PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.




      NBA
      Dunkel

      Thursday, December 5



      Philadelphia @ Washington

      Game 501-502
      December 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      122.610
      Washington
      112.527
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 10
      247
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 6 1/2
      234
      Dunkel Pick:
      Philadelphia
      (-6 1/2); Over

      Denver @ New York


      Game 505-506
      December 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      120.454
      New York
      114.891
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Denver
      by 5 1/2
      199
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Denver
      by 7 1/2
      201 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (+7 1/2); Under

      Houston @ Toronto


      Game 503-504
      December 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Houston
      122.211
      Toronto
      126.070
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 4
      244
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 2
      230
      Dunkel Pick:
      Toronto
      (-2); Over

      Phoenix @ New Orleans


      Game 507-508
      December 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      114.737
      New Orleans
      113.391
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Phoenix
      by 1 1/2
      223
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New Orleans
      by 3
      233
      Dunkel Pick:
      Phoenix
      (+3); Under





      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Thursday, December 5


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (15 - 6) at WASHINGTON (6 - 13) - 12/5/2019, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 165-126 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HOUSTON (13 - 7) at TORONTO (15 - 5) - 12/5/2019, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 109-72 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
      HOUSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DENVER (13 - 5) at NEW YORK (4 - 17) - 12/5/2019, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHOENIX (9 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 15) - 12/5/2019, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW ORLEANS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, December 5


      76ers-Wizards
      Philadelphia won seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-4 ATS as a road favorite. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Washington lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-5 SU at home, 2-0 ATS as a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over.

      76ers covered twice in their last eight visits here; over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

      Rockets-Raptors
      Houston lost its last three road games; they’re 2-1 ATS as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over. Toronto won seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-2 ATS as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

      Rockets beat Toronto twice LY, by 2-12 points.

      Nuggets-Knicks
      Denver lost its last two games after a 6-game win streak; they’re 2-3-1 ATS as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in their road games. Knicks lost their last seven games; they’re 3-3-1 ATS as a home underdog. Under is 9-2 in their home games.

      Nuggets covered seven of last nine series games; five of last six series games went over.

      Suns-Pelicans
      Phoenix lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 3-2 ATS as a road underdog. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. New Orleans lost its last six games; they’re 1-3 ATS as a home favorite. Pelicans’ last four games went under. a

      New Orleans covered seven of last nine series games; last four series games went over.




      NBA

      Thursday, December 5


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Washington Wizards
      Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
      Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
      Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games at home
      Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
      Washington is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
      Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
      Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      Philadelphia 76ers
      Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
      Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
      Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
      Philadelphia is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Washington
      Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
      Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington

      Toronto Raptors
      Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
      Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Houston
      Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
      Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
      Houston Rockets
      Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
      Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
      Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Toronto
      Houston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Houston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto

      New York Knicks
      New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New York's last 24 games
      New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New York's last 13 games at home
      New York is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
      New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Denver
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
      Denver Nuggets
      Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
      Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
      Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
      Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing New York
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York

      New Orleans Pelicans
      New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
      New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      New Orleans is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
      New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
      New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
      New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      New Orleans is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      Phoenix Suns
      Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
      Phoenix is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
      Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
      Phoenix is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
      Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
      Phoenix is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2019, 01:31 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Hoop Trends - Thursday
        Vince Akins

        ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

        -- The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS (8.89 ppg) on the road off a loss in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

        ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

        -- The Knicks are 0-10 ATS (-9.75 ppg) with more than one day of rest.

        OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

        -- The Nuggets are 10-0 OU (12.45 ppg) on the road off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

        OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

        -- The Rockets are 0-10-1 OU (-8.09 ppg) off a loss as a road favorite.

        Comment

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