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Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28

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  • Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/28



    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 28

    Good Luck on day # 332 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Database


    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by Udog; 11-28-2019, 09:19 AM.

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Interesting college football games this week:

    — Texas Tech @ Texas (-10)

    — Cincinnati @ Memphis (-11.5)

    — North Carolina (-9.5) @ NC State

    — Navy (-8.5) @ Houston

    — Ohio State (-9) @ Michigan

    — Wisconsin (-3) @ Minnesota


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Happy Thanksgiving, everyone……

    13) Was going to do a list of things I’m thankful for, but decided that this year, the biggest thing I’m thankful for is that the guy who operated on my detached retina studied a lot in school and became an excellent surgeon. Thank you very much, Dr Mallick!!!!

    12) Kansas 90, Dayton 84 OT— Jayhawks win Maui Classic for third time in an exciting final; Dayton tied the game on a 3-pointer with 0:01.1 left in regulation.

    11) Michigan State 75, UCLA 63— Bruins go to Maui after losing at home to Hofstra and get one win, over D-II Chaminade, so they’ve lost their last three D-I games. UCLA is playing tempo #308; their fans aren’t going to like coach Mick Cronin any more than they liked Ben Howland or Steve Alford or Steve Lavin.

    Howland got fired by UCLA after a 3-year stretch where they went 37-17 in Pac-12 games, but only 1-2 in NCAA tournament games. Tough crowd.

    10) Over the last five seasons, 17 different college basketball teams have made the Final Four, from nine different conferences.

    Over the last seven NCAA tournaments, at last one team made the Final Four that was a #5 or lower seed in their region.

    9) Padres/Brewers made a 4-player trade Wednesday:
    Milwaukee gets: IF Luis Urias, P Eric Lauer
    San Diego gets: OF Trent Grisham, P Zach Davies.

    8) Pirates filled the last open manager’s spot by hiring 49-year old Derek Shelton as their new skipper. Shelton was Minnesota’s bench coach the last two years.

    7) Texas Rangers signed P Kyle Gibson to a 3-year deal worth $30M. 32-year old Gibson was 13-7, 4.84 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP LY, with 160 strikeouts in 160 IP. Rangers move into their new domed stadium this coming season.

    6) Ole Miss 74, Penn State 72— Rebels trailed 52-31 wth 16:23 left, by 14 wth 6:30 left- they rally to win their fifth game in six tries. Penn State won their last game by a hoop after trailing by 16 with 9:12 left- they returned the favor here.

    5) The Cleveland Indians’ baseball cap that Charlie Sheen wore in the 1988 movie Major League is on the auction block; the largest bid, with eight days left to go in the auction, is $4,594.

    You could get a hat just like it for $40 on the Lids website, but someone bid $4,594 for a 31-year old baseball cap that might not even be your size. Go figure.

    4) Lakers 114, Pelicans 110— Anthony Davis scored 41 points in his return to New Orleans.

    3) Detroit Lions are starting rookie 3rd-string QB David Blough against the Bears today. He wasn’t drafted, but Blough played in 44 games at Purdue, throwing 1,429 passes.

    2) 76ers 97, Kings 91— Embiid scored 33 points, had 16 rebounds, after not scoring in his last game, in Toronto.

    1) Sad to report that the Arena Football League went out of business Wednesday; they had a team here in Albany in the late 90’s, and again the last couple years. Arenaball was great fun; thought it helped develop quarterbacks, because they had to make quick decisions, and really couldn’t run much.

    Comment


    • #3
      757TX-ARLINGTON -758 ELON
      TX-ARLINGTON is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals since 1997.

      759NC STATE -760 MEMPHIS
      MEMPHIS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1997.

      761MARYLAND -762 TEMPLE
      TEMPLE is 34-13 ATS (19.7 Units) in road games versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game since 1997.

      763TEXAS A&M -764 HARVARD
      HARVARD is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the last 3 seasons.

      765USC -766 FAIRFIELD
      USC is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

      767DAVIDSON -768 MARQUETTE
      DAVIDSON is 32-18 ATS (12.2 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

      777PROVIDENCE -778 LONG BEACH ST
      PROVIDENCE is 24-9 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

      779WAKE FOREST -780 COLL OF CHARLESTON
      COLL OF CHARLESTON is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

      781UCF -782 PENNSYLVANIA
      PENNSYLVANIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

      785TENNESSEE ST -786 CAL POLY-SLO
      CAL POLY-SLO is 4-24 ATS (-22.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

      787N FLORIDA -788 LONG ISLAND
      N FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls in the last 3 seasons.

      789TEXAS TECH -790 IOWA
      TEXAS TECH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

      791CREIGHTON -792 SAN DIEGO ST
      SAN DIEGO ST is 28-14 ATS (12.6 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 11:42 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Thursday, November 28



        Maryland @ Temple

        Game 761-762
        November 28, 2019 @ 11:00 am

        Dunkel Rating:
        Maryland
        70.975
        Temple
        57.332
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Maryland
        by 13 1/2
        140
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Maryland
        by 9
        137
        Dunkel Pick:
        Maryland
        (-9); Over

        TX-Arlington @ Elon

        Game 757-758
        November 28, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        TX-Arlington
        56.130
        Elon
        49.529
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        TX-Arlington
        by 6 1/2
        135
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        TX-Arlington
        by 9 1/2
        131
        Dunkel Pick:
        Elon
        (+9 1/2); Over

        Texas A&M @ Harvard

        Game 763-764
        November 28, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Texas A&M
        54.524
        Harvard
        57.391
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Harvard
        by 3
        132
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Harvard
        by 1 1/2
        128 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Harvard
        (-1 1/2); Over

        North Carolina @ Michigan

        Game 769-770
        November 28, 2019 @ 1:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        North Carolina
        72.280
        Michigan
        73.852
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Michigan
        by 1 1/2
        143
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Carolina
        by 4
        145 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Michigan
        (+4); Over

        Providence @ Long Beach St

        Game 777-778
        November 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Providence
        62.917
        Long Beach St
        50.089
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Providence
        by 13
        142
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Providence
        by 17
        14 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Long Beach St
        (+17); Under

        Tennessee St @ Cal Poly

        Game 785-786
        November 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Tennessee St
        49.866
        Cal Poly
        40.286
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Tennessee St
        by 9 1/2
        141
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tennessee St
        by 6 1/2
        137
        Dunkel Pick:
        Tennessee St
        (-6 1/2); Over

        NC State @ Memphis

        Game 759-760
        November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        NC State
        63.847
        Memphis
        69.164
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Memphis
        by 5 1/2
        150
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        NC State
        by 2
        153
        Dunkel Pick:
        Memphis
        (+2); Under

        USC @ Fairfield

        Game 765-766
        November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        USC
        63.844
        Fairfield
        45.049
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        USC
        by 19
        126
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        USC
        by 14 1/2
        129
        Dunkel Pick:
        USC
        (-14 1/2); Under

        Oregon @ Gonzaga

        Game 771-772
        November 28, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Oregon
        00.000
        Gonzaga
        00.000
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Oregon

        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Oregon

        Dunkel Pick:
        Oregon
        N/A

        Wake Forest @ Coll of Charleston

        Game 779-780
        November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Wake Forest
        57.634
        Coll of Charlesto
        58.573
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Coll of Charlesto
        by 1
        138
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Wake Forest
        by 2 1/2
        142
        Dunkel Pick:
        Coll of Charlesto
        (+2 1/2); Under

        LIU-Brooklyn @ North Florida

        Game 787-788
        November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LIU-Brooklyn
        46.578
        North Florida
        53.166
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        North Florida
        by 6 1/2
        156
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Florida
        by 4
        152
        Dunkel Pick:
        North Florida
        (-4); Over

        Davidson @ Marquette

        Game 767-768
        November 28, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Davidson
        58.438
        Marquette
        63.954
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Marquette
        by 5 1/2
        136
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Marquette
        by 3 1/2
        141
        Dunkel Pick:
        Marquette
        (-3 1/2); Under

        Alabama @ Iowa State

        Game 773-774
        November 28, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Alabama
        00.000
        Iowa State
        00.000
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Alabama

        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Alabama

        Dunkel Pick:
        Alabama
        N/A

        Texas Tech @ Iowa

        Game 789-790
        November 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Texas Tech
        75.203
        Iowa
        62.072
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Texas Tech
        by 13
        142
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Texas Tech
        by 6 1/2
        145 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Texas Tech
        (-6 1/2); Under

        UCF @ Pennsylvania

        Game 781-782
        November 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        UCF
        62.156
        Pennsylvania
        56.108
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        UCF
        by 6
        141
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Pennsylvania
        by 3
        138
        Dunkel Pick:
        UCF
        (+3); Over

        Seton Hall @ Southern Miss

        Game 775-776
        November 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Seton Hall
        00.000
        Southern Miss
        00.000
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Seton Hall

        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Seton Hall

        Dunkel Pick:
        Seton Hall
        N/A

        Creighton @ San Diego St

        Game 791-792
        November 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Creighton
        64.118
        San Diego St
        67.085
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        San Diego St
        by 3
        128
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        San Diego St
        by 1
        133
        Dunkel Pick:
        San Diego St
        (-1); Under

        Pepperdine @ Arizona

        Game 783-784
        November 28, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Pepperdine
        55.443
        Arizona
        67.295
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Arizona
        by 12
        156
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Arizona
        by 15
        154
        Dunkel Pick:
        Pepperdine
        (+15); Over
        Last edited by Udog; 11-28-2019, 12:08 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Thursday, November 28


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TX-ARLINGTON (3 - 3) at ELON (2 - 5) - 11/28/2019, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          NC STATE (5 - 1) vs. MEMPHIS (5 - 1) - 11/28/2019, 4:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MARYLAND (5 - 0) vs. TEMPLE (4 - 0) - 11/28/2019, 11:00 AM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEMPLE is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TEXAS A&M (3 - 1) vs. HARVARD (4 - 2) - 11/28/2019, 1:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEXAS A&M is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
          TEXAS A&M is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          HARVARD is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          USC (5 - 1) vs. FAIRFIELD (1 - 4) - 11/28/2019, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          USC is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          DAVIDSON (2 - 3) vs. MARQUETTE (3 - 1) - 11/28/2019, 6:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MARQUETTE is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1997.
          DAVIDSON is 167-132 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PROVIDENCE (4 - 2) vs. LONG BEACH ST (2 - 4) - 11/28/2019, 2:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          WAKE FOREST (3 - 2) vs. COLL OF CHARLESTON (3 - 2) - 11/28/2019, 4:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WAKE FOREST is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          WAKE FOREST is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          WAKE FOREST is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
          WAKE FOREST is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
          WAKE FOREST is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
          WAKE FOREST is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          COLL OF CHARLESTON is 70-36 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
          COLL OF CHARLESTON is 69-36 ATS (+29.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UCF (3 - 1) vs. PENNSYLVANIA (3 - 2) - 11/28/2019, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UCF is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games in November games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PEPPERDINE (3 - 3) vs. ARIZONA (6 - 0) - 11/28/2019, 11:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PEPPERDINE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TENNESSEE ST (3 - 3) vs. CAL POLY-SLO (1 - 5) - 11/28/2019, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
          CAL POLY-SLO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N FLORIDA (4 - 3) vs. LONG ISLAND (1 - 5) - 11/28/2019, 4:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TEXAS TECH (5 - 0) vs. IOWA (4 - 1) - 11/28/2019, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
          IOWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
          IOWA is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in November games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CREIGHTON (4 - 1) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (6 - 0) - 11/28/2019, 10:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN DIEGO ST is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN DIEGO ST is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          CREIGHTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in November games since 1997.
          CREIGHTON is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 11:43 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, November 28


            @ Brooklyn
            Memphis won five of its first six games vs schedule #298, forcing turnovers 26% of time (#13); they’ve grabbed 36.3% of their own rebounds (#25). Tigers are experience team #353 (last) whose bench plays #15 minutes; they start four freshmen and a senior. Memphis split pair of top 100 games, losing by 8 at Oregon. NC State won its last five games after an OT loss to Ga Tech; they’ve played schedule #334. Wolfpack is experience team #62 that starts two seniors, one junior. State forces turnovers 23.4% of time (#45).

            @ Kissimmee, FL
            Maryland won its first five games vs schedule #329, with best win by 18 over #93 Rhode Island. Terps are experience team #310 (#9 in continuity) that is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#58) but is shooting only 28.7% on arc- they start three sophs and a junior, have #36 eFG% defense in country. Temple won its first four games vs schedule #214, winning by 9 at USC in its only game outside of Philly; Owls are experience team #45 that starts two seniors, three juniors- they’re forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#53) for new coach McKie.

            Texas A&M won three of first four games vs schedule #346- they haven’t beaten a top 200 team yet. Aggies are experience team #177 that is forcing turnovers 23.1% of the (#52)- they haven’t played in eight days. A&M is shooting only 22.7% on arc, turning ball over 21.6% of time (#260)- they start three seniors, one junior. Harvard is experience team #46 that won three of first five games vs schedule #280; they’re 0-2 vs teams in top 150, losing by 5 to Northeastern, by 12 to Buffalo. Harvard is 3-0 allowing 74 or fewer points, 0-2 when they allow more than 74.

            Long trip east for USC team that won five of first six games vs schedule #268, winning only road game at Nevada by 10; Trojans are experience team #221 that starts three frosh, two seniors- they won their two games vs teams outside the top 200, by 29-11 points. USC is grabbing 34.2% of its own misses (#48). Fairfield lost four of first five games vs schedule #190, while playing tempo #349- their only win was in OT over #330 Holy Cross. Stags are experience team #120 that starts two juniors, two seniors; they lost their only top 100 game by 19 to Maryland.

            Marquette won three of first four games vs schedule #124, with lone loss by 16 at Wisconsin; Eagles are #56 experience team that starts two seniors, one junior- they’re making 41% of their 3’s (#18). Marquette has #15 eFG% defense this year, opponents are shooting only 38% inside arc against them. Davidson lost three of first five games, vs schedule #107; Wildcats have #295 defensive eFG%- teams are shooting 55.9% inside arc against them. Davidson lost both its top 100 games, by 10 to Auburn on a neutral floor, by 12 to Wake Forest.

            Battle for Atlantis
            Iowa State won three of first five games vs schedule #203, losing to Michigan by 7 Wednesday; they’re 0-2 in top 100 games, also losing by 6 at Oregon State. Cyclones are experience team #226 that starts two sophs, two seniors- they’ve forced turnovers 24.9% of time so far (#23). Alabama lost three of first five games vs schedule #67, while playing 3rd-fastest pace in country. Crimson Tide is experience team #299 whose bench plays #230 minutes- their two best guys played 36, 38 minutes last nite. Alabama is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#296).

            Michigan won its first five games for new coach Juwan Howard vs schedule #270; Wolverines beat Creighton by 10, Iowa State by 7 for their best wins so far. Michigan is experience team #108 that starts two seniors, two juniors and is shooting 40.5% on arc, 61.7% inside arc- their eFG% is #2 in country. North Carolina won its first five games vs schedule #222; Tar Heels are experience team #223 that starts two frosh, one soph- they played three starters 32:00+ in their 76-67 win yesterday. Michigan made 10-21 on arc in its 83-76 win over Iowa St. Wednesday.

            Seton Hall is 4-2 vs schedule #175, with losses by 3 at home to Michigan State, by 2 to Oregon last nite, when Pirates blew 19-point 2nd half lead. Seton Hall is experience team #89 that starts three seniors, two juniors; they’re forcing turnovers 21.5% of time, have the #42 eFG% defense in country, but they had two guys banged up right at end of last night’s game (check status). Southern Miss is 0-4 vs D-I teams, scoring 61.5 ppg; they have two non-D-I wins; Golden Eagles are experience team #246 that is turning ball over 22.2% of time, shooting only 28.6% on arc.

            Oregon is 6-0 vs schedule #58, despite having only three players back from LY; Ducks rallied back from down 19 last nite to nip Seton Hall, playing only one guy 30:00+. Oregon has made 41.4% of its 3’s (#16), 55.9% of their 2’s (#34)- they already have top 50 wins over Memphis/Houston/Seton Hall. Gonzaga won its first seven games vs schedule #342, with only top 100 win by 30 at #95 Texas A&M. Zags are experience team #244 that is making 41.5% of its 3’s (#13). Gonzaga is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#74); they’re stepping up in class here.

            Wooden Legacy, Anaheim
            Wake Forest won three of its first five games vs schedule #158; Deacons are experience team #148 that starts three seniors and a freshman- they’ve made 39.2% of their 3’s (#34). Wake turns ball over 20.1% of time (#201), which could be a problem vs Charleston’s defense. Charleston won three of first five games, losing last game by point at UCF; Cougars are #69 experience team that starts two seniors, two juniors. Charleston gets 22.6% of its points on foul line (#49)- they shoot only 27.3% on arc, but don’t take that many 3’s.

            Arizona won its first six games vs schedule #328, with best wins over New Mexico State, Illinois; Wildcats are experience team #274 that starts three frosh, two seniors- they’re forcing turnovers 27.6% of time (#7), have #18 eFG% defense and are also making 41.2% of their 3’s. Pepperdine split its first six games, losing by 16 to Cal, by 7 at USC, two Pac-12 teams. Waves are experience team #160 that starts three juniors, one senior- they’ve made 40% of their 3’s (#28) while playing pace #44, but their opponents are making 40.2% of their 3’s. Not a good defensive team.

            @ Las Vegas
            Texas Tech won its first five game vs schedule #352, 2nd-easiest schedule so far; Red Raiders haven’t played a team ranked higher than #246 so far, so they’re moving way up in class here. Tech has made 42.4% of its 3’s (#10); they’re experience team #329 that starts two frosh, one soph, which explains the soft early schedule. Iowa won four of its first five games, all at home; they got whacked 93-78 at home by DePaul. Hawkeyes experience team #257 who’s bench plays #38 minutes; they’re getting 23.1% of their points on foul line (#36).

            San Diego State won its first six games vs schedule #288; Aztecs’ only top 150 win was by 5 at BYU, which was only team to score more than 64 points against them. State is forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#42); they’ve got #12 eFG% defense, are #88 experience team that has made 37.3% of its 3’s (#59). Creighton won four of its first five games vs schedule #296; they’re experience team #250 that starts three juniors, two sophs. Bluejays are shooting 41.5% on arc (#15), getting 38.8% of their points on arc (#45)- their loss was by 10 at Michigan.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 11:44 AM.

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            • #7
              NCAAB

              Thursday, November 28


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              Trend Report
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              Maryland @ Temple
              Maryland
              Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Maryland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
              Temple
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games
              Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              Texas-Arlington @ Elon
              Texas-Arlington
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Texas-Arlington's last 24 games on the road
              Texas-Arlington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              Elon
              Elon is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home
              Elon is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

              Texas A&M @ Harvard
              Texas A&M
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games
              Texas A&M is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              Harvard
              Harvard is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
              Harvard is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

              Providence @ Long Beach State
              Providence
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Providence's last 12 games
              Providence is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              Long Beach State
              Long Beach State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

              Tennessee State @ Cal Poly
              Tennessee State
              Tennessee State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              Tennessee State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
              Cal Poly
              Cal Poly is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

              North Carolina State @ Memphis
              North Carolina State
              North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              North Carolina State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
              Memphis
              Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 14 games

              USC @ Fairfield
              USC
              USC is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 6 games
              Fairfield
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fairfield's last 8 games
              Fairfield is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              Wake Forest @ College of Charleston
              Wake Forest
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games
              Wake Forest is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
              College of Charleston
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 8 games
              College of Charleston is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

              Davidson @ Marquette
              Davidson
              Davidson is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
              Davidson is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
              Marquette
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games
              Marquette is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games

              Iowa @ Texas Tech
              Iowa
              Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              Iowa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
              Texas Tech
              Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Texas Tech is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

              Central Florida @ Pennsylvania
              Central Florida
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games
              Central Florida is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
              Pennsylvania
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pennsylvania's last 11 games
              Pennsylvania is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

              Creighton @ San Diego State
              Creighton
              Creighton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 9 games
              San Diego State
              San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego State's last 18 games

              Pepperdine @ Arizona
              Pepperdine
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pepperdine's last 8 games
              Arizona
              Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 game


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              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 11:44 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Thursday's Tip Sheet
                David Schwab

                The Thanksgiving Day Holiday offers up a pair of neutral-site games in Las Vegas and Anaheim as the two featured college basketball betting matchups on the board.

                From Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, the Big 12’s No. 12 Texas Tech Red Raiders face the Big Ten’s Iowa Hawkeyes. Moving to the Anaheim Convention Center for the second featured game, the West Coast Conference Pepperdine Waves close out Thursday’s college basketball schedule in a late start against the Pac-12’s No. 14 Arizona Wildcats

                No. 12 Texas Tech vs. Iowa (FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m. ET)
                Opening Odds: Texas Tech -6.5, Total 146


                Betting Matchup

                With Sunday’s 96-66 romp against LIU-Brooklyn as 24-point favorites, the Red Raiders improved to a perfect 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in three of the five games. The No. 12 team in the nation is ranked ninth in scoring with an average of 87.0 points per game. This is also the top team in the country when it comes to team assists (22.0). Freshman guard Jahmi’us Ramsey is the leading scorer (19.4 PPG) and senior guard Chris Clarke is averaging 5.8 assists a game.

                Iowa has won four of its first five games SU. Its lone loss was against DePaul in a 93-78 upset as a nine-point favorite. The Hawkeyes also failed to cover in an 83-68 victory against North Florida as 16-point favorites. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of those first five outings. Junior center Luka Garza scored a career-high 30 points in a recent win against Oral Roberts. He leads the Hawkeyes in both points (22.2) and rebounds (10.2). Iowa is averaging 84.0 points and 40.2 rebounds a game. One injury note; sophomore forward Jack Nunge was lost for the season with a torn ACL.

                Betting Trends

                -- The Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games against the Big Ten. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games against a team from this conference.

                -- The Hawkeyes have gone 11-1 ATS in their last 12 neutral-site games with the total going OVER in five of their last six games against the Big 12.

                -- These two teams played a home-and-home series in 2003 and 2004 with the home team winning each time SU. The total stayed UNDER in each contest.

                Pepperdine vs. No. 14 Arizona (ESPN2, 11:00 p.m. ET)
                Opening Odds: Arizona -14.5, Total 154.5


                Betting Matchup

                The Waves have split their first six games both SU and ATS. This includes losses to other Pac-12 teams’ California and USC. They did cover as 11 ½-point underdogs in the 91-84 road loss to the Trojans. The total has gone OVER in five of those six games. Junior guard Colbey Ross leads the team in both points (20.7) and assists (7.0). He scored 38 points in the loss to USC. Pepperdine is scoring an average of 78.5 PPG and it is giving up an average of 79.8 points on defense.

                Arizona has won its first six games SU with a profitable 5-1 record ATS. It failed to cover as heavy 25-point favorites in a 71-74 victory against South Dakota State last Thursday. On Sunday, the Wildcats pulled away from Long Beach State in a 104-67 win as 25 ½-point favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their first six games. Arizona is scoring 87.7 PPG which is the sixth-highest average in the nation. Defensively, it is holding opponents to just 57.3 points. Freshman forward Zeke Nnaji leads the team in scoring with 19.5 points a game.

                Betting Trends

                -- The Waves have a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games played at a neutral site. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven nonconference games.

                -- The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the West Coast Conference and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five WCC games.

                -- The only time these two teams met was in 2001 with Arizona rolling to a 94-71 victory at home as a 13 ½-point favorite.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 11:45 AM.

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