Announcement

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:33 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends for Week 10:

— Titans are 8-16-2 ATS in last 26 games as a home underdog.

— Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Seattle covered its last five games as a divisional road dog.

— Vikings covered 12 of last 17 games as a road underdog.

— New Orleans won/covered its last six games.

— Green Bay covered 12 of its last 17 games.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Was laughing watching the Saint Mary’s-Wisconsin game Wednesday, which was played in Sioux Falls, SD; the court had FOUR different 3-point arcs on it. Had to be confusing for the players, because the arc they were using wasn’t the farthest one back.

12) Early returns on the 3-point arc being moved out this year: Of the 176 D-I teams who played Tuesday night, 80 of them (45.5%) shot 30% or worse outside the arc- 41 of them (23.3%) shot 37.5%+.

For all of last year, 42 of 353 D-I teams (11.9%) shot 37.5% from the arc for the season; 14 of 353 teams (4%) shot 30% or worse for the year. Small sample size Tuesday; we’ll keep following this.

11) North Carolina 76, Notre Dame 65— Have to admit, watching Greg Anthony’s son play for the Tar Heels makes me feel old. Doesn’t seem like that long ago (but it was) that the elder Anthony was at point guard for UNLV’s 1990 national champs.

Cole Anthony wore ************ goggles early in this game, but then played without them later on; he scored 34 points, grabbed 11 rebounds, had five assists in his college debut. All six of his made 3’s (6-11 for night) came after he took the goggles off.

10) Cade Cunningham, the #2 college basketball prospect in the 2020 class and the top available player in the country (according to ESPN’s rankings) announced his commitment to Oklahoma State Tuesday; this isn’t surprising, seeing how OSU hired Cunningham’s brother as an assistant coach back in June.

9) For only the third time in the Super Bowl era, all 11 home teams covered the point spread last Sunday. Dallas covered Monday night, the only road team to cover in thirteen Week 9 games that weren’t on a neutral field.

8) Florida State is a football underdog to Boston College for the 2nd year in a row, after having been favored over BC in 12 of previous 13 meetings, which helps to explain why the Seminoles kicked in $17M to send Willie Taggart packing.

Taggart’s career spiraled downhill pretty quickly; he’s coached four different schools in only ten years as a head coach, going better than 8-5 only once (10-2 at USF in 2016).

7) NFL stuff:
— Carolina put QB Cam Newton on the IR, ending his season.
— Jaguars will start QB Nick Foles in Week 11, after their bye.
— Eagles put WR DeSean Jackson on IR.

6) Sunday was third time in Super Bowl era that three QB’s with the same last name started in the same week:
2019, Week 9: Allen (Brandon, Josh, Kyle)
1984, Week 16: Wilson (Dave, Marc, Wade)
2000, Week 14: Johnson (Brad, Doug, Rob)

5) JD Martinez didn’t opt out of his Red Sox contract, meaning that he can earn $62.5M over the next three years: $23.75M for 2020 and $19,375,000 for both ’21, ’22.

4) Indiana Hoosiers’ freshman QB Michael Penix Jr (collarbone) is out for the year. Junior QB Peyton Ramsey takes over as the #1 QB; he’s played a lot this year. Hoosiers are 7-2, are having their best season this century.

3) Want to win a bar bet? Milwaukee’s Wallace Matthews has earned the most career salary of any NBA player ever who wasn’t drafted: $103,781,929

2) From John Templon’s database of mid-major coaching salaries in college basketball:

Kent State’s Rob Senderoff gets $5,000 for beating one of the following programs each season: Cincinnati, Dayton, Memphis, UConn, or VCU. The Golden Flashes are not currently scheduled to play any of those teams this season, but could play them in postseason tournaments.

1) San Diego State didn’t impress anyone when they beat I-AA Weber State 6-0 in their season opener, gaining only 238 yards, but it is November now and the Aztecs are 7-1, ranked #24 in country. Go figure.

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:38 AM

731UAB -732 TROY
TROY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games against Conference USA since 1997.

733SEATTLE -734 WASHINGTON ST
WASHINGTON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

735IDAHO ST -736 AIR FORCE
IDAHO ST is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

1099MOUNT ST MARYS -1100 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 119-156 ATS (-52.6 Units) in home games since 1997.

1101NORTHWESTERN ST -1102 TEXAS A&M
TEXAS A&M is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

1105SE LOUISIANA -1106 TULANE
TULANE is 98-137 ATS (-52.7 Units) in home games since 1997.

1109JACKSON ST -1110 UC-SANTA BARBARA
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

1119PRESBYTERIAN -1120 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:41 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, November 7

Bryant @ Rutgers

Game 1117-1118
November 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bryant
45.007
Rutgers
62.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rutgers
by 17 1/2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rutgers
by 21
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bryant
(+21); Over

Presbyterian @ Clemson

Game 1119-1120
November 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Presbyterian
51.930
Clemson
66.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 15
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 18 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Presbyterian
(+18 1/2); Over

Robert Morris @ Marshall

Game 1115-1116
November 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Robert Morris
50.292
Marshall
56.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 6
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 9 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Robert Morris
(+9 1/2); Over

Winthrop @ Hartford

Game 1121-1122
November 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winthrop
51.154
Hartford
47.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winthrop
by 3
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winthrop
by 1
152
Dunkel Pick:
Winthrop
(-1); Under

UAB @ Troy

Game 731-732
November 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
55.782
Troy
46.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 9
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 6
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-6); Under

Kennesaw St @ Drake

Game 1123-1124
November 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kennesaw St
37.106
Drake
55.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Drake
by 18 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Drake
by 15
145
Dunkel Pick:
Drake
(-15); Under

Seattle @ Washington St

Game 733-734
November 7, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
47.269
Washington St
53.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 6
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 2 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-2 1/2); Under

Idaho State @ Air Force

Game 735-736
November 7, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho State
39.426
Air Force
49.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 10 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 15
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(+15); Under

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:44 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 7

Not a lot to go on this early in the season. Proceed with caution.

Troy won 74-73 at UAB LY, rallying back from down 63-54 with 6:44 left, snapping a 3-game skid against the Blazers. Troy has a new coach (Cross was 225-161 at Tex-Arlington but made make NCAAs only once and got fired); they lost three starters from LY’s 12-18 team that went 5-13 in Sun Belt. UAB lost four starters from LY’s 20-15 team that lost in first round of CBI. Blazers lost nine games LY by 6 or fewer points. UAB has only one senior this season.

Washington State has new coach in former San Francisco coach Smith (63-40 at USF, 101-82 at Columbia); Coogs have three starters back from 11-21 team that went 4-14 in Pac-12, and Smith brought in six new players. Seattle shot 64% inside arc in its 78-69 win over Wazzu LY, after Coogs beat them 75-59 here two years ago. Seattle has four starters back from LY’s 18-15 team that had lot of injuries and went 6-10 in WAC. Redhawks expect to compete for the WAC title.

Air Force has all five starters back from LY’s 14-18 team that went 8-10 in Mountain West, with a 6th place finish, their best in six years; Falcons shot 53.1% inside arc (#61) but didn’t shoot from outside very well- they went 4-7 out of conference LY. Idaho State has three starters back from an 11-19 team that went 7-13 in Big Sky; Bengals hired a new coach who then brought in nine new players, so it’ll take a while to find out what they have. ISU lost its opener 54-40 at Wyoming Tuesday, going 4-24 on arc; they trailed only 21-19 at halftime.

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:52 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, November 7

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Trend Report
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Midland Lutheran @ Nebraska-Omaha
Midland Lutheran
No trends to report
Nebraska-Omaha
Nebraska-Omaha is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska-Omaha's last 5 games at home

Spalding @ Morehead State
Spalding
No trends to report
Morehead State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Morehead State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Morehead State's last 9 games

Ferrum @ Appalachian State
Ferrum
No trends to report
Appalachian State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Appalachian State's last 5 games at home
Appalachian State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

Bryant @ Rutgers
Bryant
No trends to report
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home
Rutgers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Manchester @ IPFW
Manchester
No trends to report
IPFW
IPFW is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
IPFW is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

Robert Morris @ Marshall
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marshall's last 5 games at home

Presbyterian @ Clemson
Presbyterian
No trends to report
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Presbyterian
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Presbyterian

Winthrop @ Hartford
Winthrop
No trends to report
Hartford
No trends to report

Florida National @ North Florida
Florida National
No trends to report
North Florida
No trends to report

Jersey City State @ Saint Peter's
Jersey City State
No trends to report
Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Peter's's last 5 games

Kentucky Wesleyan @ Samford
Kentucky Wesleyan
No trends to report
Samford
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games at home

Hendrix College @ Central Arkansas
Hendrix College
No trends to report
Central Arkansas
No trends to report

Mayville State @ North Dakota State
Mayville State
No trends to report
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mayville State
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mayville State

Peru State @ South Dakota State
Peru State
No trends to report
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
South Dakota State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

UAB @ Troy
UAB
UAB is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Troy
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Troy
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games when playing UAB

Kennesaw State @ Drake
Kennesaw State
No trends to report
Drake
Drake is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Drake is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Southwestern @ TCU
Southwestern
No trends to report
TCU
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
TCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Crown College @ North Dakota
Crown College
No trends to report
North Dakota
North Dakota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 5 games

Idaho State @ Air Force
Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Idaho State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Idaho State's last 6 games
Air Force
Air Force is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Air Force is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Seattle @ Washington State
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington State's last 23 games at home

William Jessup @ UC Davis
William Jessup
No trends to report
UC Davis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UC Davis's last 5 games
UC Davis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Siena Heights @ Eastern Michigan
Siena Heights
No trends to report
Eastern Michigan
No trends to report

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 01:50 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 7

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UAB (0 - 0) at TROY (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
TROY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games against Conference USA opponents since 1997.
TROY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO ST (0 - 1) at AIR FORCE (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 213-260 ATS (-73.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 213-260 ATS (-73.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
AIR FORCE is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ROBERT MORRIS (0 - 0) at MARSHALL (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRYANT (0 - 1) at RUTGERS (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against BRYANT over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PRESBYTERIAN (0 - 0) at CLEMSON (0 - 1) - 11/7/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINTHROP (0 - 0) at HARTFORD (1 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENNESAW ST (0 - 1) at DRAKE (0 - 0) - 11/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENNESAW ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DRAKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/7

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