Announcement

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends for Week 10:

— Titans are 8-16-2 ATS in last 26 games as a home underdog.

— Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Seattle covered its last five games as a divisional road dog.

— Vikings covered 12 of last 17 games as a road underdog.

— New Orleans won/covered its last six games.

— Green Bay covered 12 of its last 17 games.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Was laughing watching the Saint Mary’s-Wisconsin game Wednesday, which was played in Sioux Falls, SD; the court had FOUR different 3-point arcs on it. Had to be confusing for the players, because the arc they were using wasn’t the farthest one back.

12) Early returns on the 3-point arc being moved out this year: Of the 176 D-I teams who played Tuesday night, 80 of them (45.5%) shot 30% or worse outside the arc- 41 of them (23.3%) shot 37.5%+.

For all of last year, 42 of 353 D-I teams (11.9%) shot 37.5% from the arc for the season; 14 of 353 teams (4%) shot 30% or worse for the year. Small sample size Tuesday; we’ll keep following this.

11) North Carolina 76, Notre Dame 65— Have to admit, watching Greg Anthony’s son play for the Tar Heels makes me feel old. Doesn’t seem like that long ago (but it was) that the elder Anthony was at point guard for UNLV’s 1990 national champs.

Cole Anthony wore ************ goggles early in this game, but then played without them later on; he scored 34 points, grabbed 11 rebounds, had five assists in his college debut. All six of his made 3’s (6-11 for night) came after he took the goggles off.

10) Cade Cunningham, the #2 college basketball prospect in the 2020 class and the top available player in the country (according to ESPN’s rankings) announced his commitment to Oklahoma State Tuesday; this isn’t surprising, seeing how OSU hired Cunningham’s brother as an assistant coach back in June.

9) For only the third time in the Super Bowl era, all 11 home teams covered the point spread last Sunday. Dallas covered Monday night, the only road team to cover in thirteen Week 9 games that weren’t on a neutral field.

8) Florida State is a football underdog to Boston College for the 2nd year in a row, after having been favored over BC in 12 of previous 13 meetings, which helps to explain why the Seminoles kicked in $17M to send Willie Taggart packing.

Taggart’s career spiraled downhill pretty quickly; he’s coached four different schools in only ten years as a head coach, going better than 8-5 only once (10-2 at USF in 2016).

7) NFL stuff:
— Carolina put QB Cam Newton on the IR, ending his season.
— Jaguars will start QB Nick Foles in Week 11, after their bye.
— Eagles put WR DeSean Jackson on IR.

6) Sunday was third time in Super Bowl era that three QB’s with the same last name started in the same week:
2019, Week 9: Allen (Brandon, Josh, Kyle)
1984, Week 16: Wilson (Dave, Marc, Wade)
2000, Week 14: Johnson (Brad, Doug, Rob)

5) JD Martinez didn’t opt out of his Red Sox contract, meaning that he can earn $62.5M over the next three years: $23.75M for 2020 and $19,375,000 for both ’21, ’22.

4) Indiana Hoosiers’ freshman QB Michael Penix Jr (collarbone) is out for the year. Junior QB Peyton Ramsey takes over as the #1 QB; he’s played a lot this year. Hoosiers are 7-2, are having their best season this century.

3) Want to win a bar bet? Milwaukee’s Wallace Matthews has earned the most career salary of any NBA player ever who wasn’t drafted: $103,781,929

2) From John Templon’s database of mid-major coaching salaries in college basketball:

Kent State’s Rob Senderoff gets $5,000 for beating one of the following programs each season: Cincinnati, Dayton, Memphis, UConn, or VCU. The Golden Flashes are not currently scheduled to play any of those teams this season, but could play them in postseason tournaments.

1) San Diego State didn’t impress anyone when they beat I-AA Weber State 6-0 in their season opener, gaining only 238 yards, but it is November now and the Aztecs are 7-1, ranked #24 in country. Go figure.

**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 09:01 AM

571BOSTON -572 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.

573OKLAHOMA CITY -574 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 19-8 ATS (10.2 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

575MIAMI -576 PHOENIX
MIAMI is 51-31 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 7

Boston @ Charlotte

Game 571-572
November 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.219
Charlotte
112.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio

Game 573-574
November 7, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
116.628
San Antonio
123.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 6 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-4 1/2); Over

Miami @ Phoenix

Game 575-576
November 7, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
121.573
Phoenix
120.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+1 1/2); Under

Portland @ LA Clippers

Game 577-578
November 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
119.295
LA Clippers
122.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+5 1/2); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 7

Celtics-Hornets
Celtics won their last five games (4-1 ATS);they won two of three road games (2-0 as RF). Four of their six games stayed under. Charlotte won its last three games, by 7-6-2 points; they’re 2-1 at home (2-1 as HU). Over is 4-3 in their games.

Home side won last five Boston-Charlotte games; Celtics are 2-2 ATS in last four visits here. Last five series games went over the total.

Thunder-Spurs
Oklahoma City won its last two games after a 1-4 start; six of their seven games went under the total. Thunder lost both their road games, by 5-4 points (2-0 as RU). San Antonio lost three of last four games after a 3-0 start; they’re 0-4 ATS as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went under the total.

Home side won last seven Thunder-Spur games; OKC is 0-5 ATS in last five trips to the Alamo. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Heat-Suns
Miami won/covered three of last four games; they split four road games, are 2-1-1 ATS as an underdog. Heat’s last four games went under the total. Phoenix is 5-2 SU, 7-0 ATS, with their two losses by one point each; under is 4-2-1 in their games. Suns won three of their four home games.

Heat won eight of last ten games wit the Suns; they covered four of last five trips to the desert. Last four series games went over.

Trailblazers-Clippers
Kawhi Leonard is expected to play in this game. Portland lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS on road (2-0 as RU). Five of their last six games went over total.

Clippers lost six of last seven games with Portland; Trailblazers covered last five series games played here. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

NBA

Thursday, November 7

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Trend Report
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Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Charlotte is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games
Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
Charlotte is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Charlotte is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Boston
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 13 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Charlotte

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home
San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Miami
Phoenix is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Miami
Phoenix is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
Phoenix is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Miami is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix

Los Angeles Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Clippers's last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 12 games when playing at home against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Portland is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers

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**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 09:28 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 7

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BOSTON (5 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 3) - 11/7/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 278-230 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 4) at SAN ANTONIO (4 - 3) - 11/7/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1095-965 ATS (+33.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 863-740 ATS (+49.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 563-467 ATS (+49.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 358-295 ATS (+33.5 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 369-290 ATS (+50.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 224-159 ATS (+49.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 442-363 ATS (+42.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 2) at PHOENIX (5 - 2) - 11/7/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 132-172 ATS (-57.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MIAMI is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 45-64 ATS (-25.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (3 - 4) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 3) - 11/7/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-07-2019, 11:27 AM

Hoop Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Trail Blazers are 9-0 ATS (5.33 ppg) coming off a loss as a road favorite where they allowed 15+ points more than Vegas projected. .

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 0-13 ATS (-10.38 ppg) with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 10-0-1 OU (11.50 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest after they shot under 40% from the field last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-10 OU (-17.85 ppg) as a dog off a road loss that had 8+ lead changes.

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/7

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