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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 29

    Good Luck on day # 302 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six of the highest-paid college basketball coaches:

    — Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M/year

    — John Calipari, Kentucky $8.04M

    — Mick Cronin, UCLA $5.5M

    — Rick Barnes, Tennessee $4.7M

    — Bill Self, Kansas $4.48M

    — Chris Beard, Texas Tech $4.2M


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Glad to be back……

    13) Here is a pro tip if you’re having surgery; go to the right bleepin’ hospital.

    Thats right, I show up 20 minutes early for my operation last Tuesday, but turns out I’m at Albany Medical Center when I’m supposed to be at Albany Memorial Hospital, which according to Mapquest, is 2.6 miles away. Not good, but we got there and the staff at Memorial couldn’t have been nicer.

    12) Backtracking a little bit, couple of Saturdays ago I’m sitting in the sportsbook at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, watching college football and talking with a buddy, when the vision in my right eye became foggy. Had no idea what the problem was, but it didn’t get better, and after flying home that Tuesday, it got way worse. Turns out the retina in my right eye had detached.

    On October 22 (the 47th anniversary of the Oakland A’s first World Series title), I had my right eye operated on, and now I wait and hope it bounces back to where it was. In the meantime, I’d like to thank anyone who sent a text, e-mail or called to offer help/best wishes. Much appreciated.

    — Thanks to Dr Mallick, who was my eye surgeon; appreciate you answering all my questions, and obviously, thanks a lot for putting my eye back together. Thanks isn’t really enough to say, but I really appreciate your work.

    11) Part of rehabbing your re-attached retina is having your head pointed down a lot, so I’m listening to TV more than watching it; two observations:

    a) Joe Buck is very good at baseball play-by-play.
    b) 86-year old Hubie Brown is still great fun to listen to on NBA games.

    10) When Washington Nationals’ OF Juan Soto was 10 years old, he played on an all-star team in the Dominican Republic that was coached by Robinson Cano’s father.

    9) Since the start of last season, 56.4% of NBA players have changed teams, an amazing stat. NBA is the only league where the preseason is more interesting than the regular season.

    8) A friend of mine here in Albany is opening a bar/golf simulator soon in Guilderland, out on Route 20 by Western Turnpike golf course. It is going to be called The Bunker, and once I get out and about more, I’ll give you an in-person report, but it sounds like an excellent place to hang out and have fun with friends.

    7) Major league managerial hirings:
    — Cubs hired David Ross, who was an active player only three years ago.
    — Phillies hired Joe Girardi, an excellent hire.
    — Angels announced hiring of Joe Maddon; he worked for the Halos for 30 years before he became a big league skipper in Tampa Bay.
    — Maddon hired former Mets’ skipper Mickey Callaway as his pitching coach.
    — Padres hired 38-year old Jayce Tingler, who worked for years in the Texas Rangers’ system.

    6) Last Wednesday, the first full night of NBA games, 22 Kentucky alums played and first thing Thursday morning, John Calipari posted all their stats on Twitter. Effective recruiting tool.

    5) NFL knowledge:
    — Denver QB Joe Flacco (neck) is out for this week’s game with Cleveland. Brandon Allen is the new starter; he has never taken an NFL snap. Allen started for 2.5 years at Arkansas, where the Hogs went 15-11 his junior/senior seasons.
    — Chargers fired OC Ken Whisenhunt Monday night.
    — Texans’ star DE JJ Watt is done for the season (torn pectoral muscle).

    4) From ESPN stats: New Jersey Jets are first NFL team since the ’91 Colts who, through seven games, have fewer than 450 yards rushing, while giving up 200+ yards in sacks.

    3) Of the 64 teams who trailed a World Series 3-2, 20 of them came back to win the Series.

    2) Good news/bad news after my eye surgery:
    Bad news: Had to cancel my annual Christmas trip to Las Vegas; can’t fly for a couple months after the surgery. I’ll survive, but I’ve enjoyed spending my birthday/Christmas in the desert.

    Good news: Looking like a March trip instead; second weekend of NCAA tournament, and first week of baseball season.

    1) Steelers 27, Dolphins 14— Monday, a gambler at South Point Casino in Las Vegas risked $100,000 to win $11,764.70 on the Steelers’ money line. He had to sweat some in the first half, but he won his 11 grand.

    Saturday, someone risked $5,040 to win $210 on Oklahoma’s money line to beat Kansas State; the Sooners lost, once again proving Oscar Madison’s old line from The Odd Couple:

    “There’s no such thing as a sure thing; thats why they call it gambling.”

    Comment


    • #3
      533ATLANTA -534 MIAMI
      ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 2+ home games over the last 2 seasons.

      535DALLAS -536 DENVER
      DALLAS are 56-34 ATS (18.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

      537MEMPHIS -538 LA LAKERS
      LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.




      NBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, October 29



      Atlanta @ Miami

      Game 533-534
      October 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      118.477
      Miami
      120.044
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Miami
      by 1 1/2
      220
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Miami
      by 8
      224 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (+8); Under

      Dallas @ Denver


      Game 535-536
      October 29, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Dallas
      117.585
      Denver
      120.415
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Denver
      by 3
      211
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Denver
      by 6 1/2
      216 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Dallas
      (+6 1/2); Under

      Memphis @ LA Lakers


      Game 537-538
      October 29, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      109.786
      LA Lakers
      124.193
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 14 1/2
      232
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Lakers
      by 11 1/2
      219
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Lakers
      (-11 1/2); Over





      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, October 29


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (2 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 1) - 10/29/2019, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DALLAS (2 - 1) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/29/2019, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DENVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 526-442 ATS (+39.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
      DALLAS is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
      DALLAS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
      DENVER is 43-73 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
      DENVER is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      DENVER is 5-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at LA LAKERS (2 - 1) - 10/29/2019, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA LAKERS are 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA

      Tuesday, October 29


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Miami Heat
      Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
      Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
      Miami is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
      Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      Atlanta Hawks
      Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
      Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
      Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
      Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Miami
      Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
      The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami

      Denver Nuggets
      Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
      Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Denver is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 21 games at home
      Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
      Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
      Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
      Dallas Mavericks
      Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Dallas is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
      Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
      Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
      Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Denver
      Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

      Los Angeles Lakers
      LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 15 games
      LA Lakers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      LA Lakers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Lakers's last 22 games at home
      LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
      LA Lakers is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Memphis
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
      LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
      LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
      Memphis Grizzlies
      Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
      Memphis is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
      Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
      Memphis is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
      Memphis is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing LA Lakers
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
      Memphis is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
      Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-29-2019, 12:51 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Weekly Essentials
        Tony Mejia

        The Timberwolves beat everyone to three wins this season, which is a piece of trivia you can surprise your friends with a few weeks from now to enjoy a hearty laugh.

        Andrew Wiggins hit clutch shots – three 3-pointers in succession – to help derail a Heat squad that looks awfully competitive despite missing Jimmy Butler due to the birth of his daughter. That could be a real knee-slapper if Wiggins regresses to what we’ve seen from 2014’s No. 1 pick thus far in his career.

        The Canadian has teased with promise since bursting on the scene and left us wanting more time after time, topping out in 2017 with an impressive 23.6 points-per-game average bolstered by a 35 percent shooting clip from beyond the arc that remains his career-best. Those who forecasted that he’d lead the league in scoring have grown frustrated by him solely it in questionable shots as his efficiency has tanked over the past few years.

        So, sure, Minnesota is 3-0. Wiggins played hero and scored 25 points, finishing 4-for-10 from 3-point range after knocking down the last four he took. He’d started the season 0-for-13. That’s amazing, but can also be described as simply being basketball, especially when you’re as gifted as the 24-year-old wing can be. The Timberwolves didn’t hand him a max contract for charity’s sake. We might be talking about the end of that win over the Heat as the beginning of Wiggins figuring something out, but that would be a naïve take given what we’ve seen thus far.

        Karl-Anthony Towns playing like there’s no tomorrow after opening last season a little listless due to all the Butler drama is far more predictable than Wiggins’ streaky swings and is the No. 1 reason they’ve fared so well out of the gate. Although beating the Nets and Hornets on the road isn’t walking on water, just navigating opposing arenas early on does deserve credit, especially after surviving Kyrie Irving’s 50-point Brooklyn debut in a game he desperately wanted to win. Towns enters the week averaging 32 points, 13 rebounds and five assists, so if he gets sufficient help from Wiggins, the Timberwolves can return to the playoffs for just the second time since Kevin Garnett left in ’05.

        Hearing Towns say that Wiggins knows when “he has to kick it up” sounds like one of those things you say in the moment, because if he’d truly have time to think about it enough to offer an honest take, that hasn’t been the case. The Timberwolves have a healthy Robert Covington back and glue guys like Jeff Teague, Josh Okogie and Treveon Graham to put in work, but Towns needs Wiggins to take a superstar turn right alongside him or Minnesota is going nowhere in the loaded Western Conference.

        The Wolves continue on the road this week in games at the 76ers on Wednesday and Wizards on Saturday, so it will be interesting to see what their record is when the Bucks come through Target Center for the team’s next home game on Nov. 4. Which Wiggins will show up in Philly and D.C.? That matchup with the Wizards is one in which they’ll likely enter as a road favorite, a role they handled nicely in a 121-99 rout in Charlotte.

        Who’s Kendrick Nunn?

        That question sounds absurd to me, but if you’re new to this column you probably don’t know that I consume college basketball the way koalas roll with eucalyptus, so I recognize why many are asking this and have probably never heard of the 24-year-old rookie leading the Heat in scoring (22.3 ppg).

        Nunn dominated at Oakland the way a few players have over the past few decades, thriving in an up-tempo system that thrives on conditioning and scoring in spurts. He’s a high-school legend in Chicago, having played ball alongside Jabari Parker at Simeon, the same school where Derrick Rose and Benji Wilson once walked the halls. Things didn’t work out at Illinois after he caught a misdemeanor battery charge, so he ended up playing for the aforementioned Golden Grizzlies, lighting up the Horizon League.

        Nunn led the nation in 3-pointers per made and was second only to Trae Young in scoring as a senior, but he went undrafted. He got himself a G-League gig with the Warriors and seemed like a natural fit but ended up getting scooped up by the Heat this past Spring and they’ve sprung him on the league with a bit of a “look what we found” feel, starting him ahead of Goran Dragic.

        Butler hasn’t played yet but should return this week and the Heat have gotten off to slow starts that required them to rally from 21 points down to post a 131-126 upset in Milwaukee and put them in an early bind in Minnesota, so Erik Spoelstra may ultimately have a decision to make as far as keeping Dunn in the starting lineup, but his early success is no fluke. He can play, is a natural scorer and fearless shooter and upgrades the talent level on the wing alongside rookie Tyler Herro, who has blended in nicely in his own right. Miami looks to be much improved after entering the season as a co-favorite in the Southeast alongside last season’s surprise winner, Orlando.

        What’s going on with…?

        Markelle Fultz:
        The 2017 No. 1 pick who forgot how to shoot is off to a productive start in Orlando despite opening 2-for-9 from beyond the arc over his first two games. He scored 12 points in each and showed a willingness to get to the basket that the Magic badly need, so it’s only a matter of time before he replaces D.J. Augustin in the starting lineup.

        Orlando needs to develop him into being its closer because attempting to win games on Nikola Vucevic fadeaways or whatever Evan Fournier comes up with isn’t going to consistently deliver games in a division that has closers like Atlanta’s Young, Miami’s Butler and Washington’s Bradley Beal. The Magic squandered a huge lead and failed to cover in their opener against Cleveland and then came up short down the stretch because no one could be relied upon to score in the latter stages against the Hawks, who picked up a valuable early 103-99 win on Saturday night.

        Keep an eye on Fultz’s development as the x-factor in whether Orlando is able to defend its division title and make some noise. Former lottery picks Jonathan Isaac and Mo Bamba also have to make strides, but Fultz can most impact this group if he gains Steve Clifford’s trust. After visiting Toronto on Monday, the Magic settle in for home games against the Knicks, Bucks and Nuggets this week, thrusting them into the spotlight.

        The Warriors:
        After trailing by 31 points at the break in Oklahoma City on Sunday, Golden State fell behind by 42 in a game it never led, falling to 0-2 on the young season. They entered Monday’s visit to New Orleans looking for not just their first win of the season, but their first lead. The 141 points the Clippers scored to christen the brand-new Chase Center were the most ever surrendered under Steve Kerr.

        Stephen Curry has struggled, but it’s the defense that has really brought about Golden State’s downfall. Namely, outside of Draymond Green, no one is doing it well. Kevon Looney is dealing with a hamstring issue and Willie Cauley-Stein sprained a foot and will likely be sidelined another week, so the team has been forced to throw Marquese Criss and a pair of undersized power forwards who won championships with Villanova, Eric Paschall and Omari Spellman, out there alongside Green to try and defend NBA bigs. It’s not going well.

        The market hasn’t corrected itself enough, so there may be opportunities to fade Golden State as it returns home this week to face Phoenix, San Antonio and Charlotte. Who would have though the Dubs would be such an abomination this early? I saw a bounce-back coming against the Thunder after such an embarrassing first effort against the Clippers, but just watching this new concoction attempt to gel proved grueling to watch and it really looks like everyone is grinding their teeth attempting to find a comfort zone with one another. Things will probably gel at some point, but the fact the Warriors will play 13 of 17 on the road from Nov. 6- Dec. 6 isn’t going to aid their cause. Those who felt they wouldn’t make the playoffs and bet it at Westgate for a return of +250 are puffing those chests out for all to see.

        Jrue Holiday:
        New team president David Griffin raised eyebrows when he tried taking pressure off Zion Williamson by saying that he expected Holiday to be the leader and step his game up to an MVP level. So far, Holiday has let him down, shooting 31 percent and 1-for-9 from 3-point range, but a knee issue is likely to blame and will hopefully not derail him long-term. He sat over the weekend against a Houston and is considered day-to-day entering the week, so we’re likely not going to see what the Pelicans are truly capable of until 2020. It remains to be seen whether Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball and Josh Hart can keep the team afloat until then, but all are off to strong starts.

        Games to watch

        Tuesday - Mavs at Nuggets:
        Kristaps Porzingis looks to be in midseason form despite missing over a year of action, so Dallas has every right to be encouraged considering no sophomore slump is coming for Luka Doncic. This will be a fun one since Denver will be looking to send a message at home. The Mavs’ ability to hang around should hinge on Porzingis and Maxi Kleber holding their own in the paint since Dwight Powell remains sidelined.

        Wednesday - Bucks at Celtics:
        An early clash of East heavyweights allows Boston to test its nucleus at home after an impressive comeback win over Toronto, but hanging around on the boards will require a team effort since Enes Kanter is just coming back from a bone bruise. Daniel Theis and Robert Williams have been playing extended minutes since 7-foot-6 rookie Tacko Fall was also unable to start the season until the past weekend due to a concussion. Will Kanter return to help his new teammates with Greek Freak duty?

        Thursday - Heat at Hawks:
        Atlanta can stick around in the Southeast race if its able to protect its home floor. Young looks quite comfortable there and has helped unlock John Collins’ game with his lobs and command of the offense. Both should be All-Stars this season, but that’s easier said than done. With Butler expected to be back for this one, it will be fun to see him introduce himself to rookie wings DeAndre Hunter and Cam Reddish.

        Friday - Pistons at Bulls:
        It’s unlikely that Blake Griffin is going to play since he’s taking his time coming back from knee and hamstring issues, so this will be an opportunity for the Baby Bulls to pick up a Central Division win as they try to mesh a year earlier than expected in overtaking the likes of Indiana and Detroit in the pecking order behind Milwaukee. Lauri Markkanen and Zach LaVine have each already had games where they’ve scored 35 or more points, but the key for this group lies in getting both going in the same contest.

        Saturday - 76ers at Blazers:
        After missing the start of the season with an ankle injury, it looks like Joel Embiid should be in the mix all week barring a setback. He’ll be reunited with old friend Hassan Whiteside, who he loved to terrorize when he was with the Heat. Their beef often spilled over to social media, so it’s a shame they’ll only face off twice a season going forward. Whiteside helped swing a weekend win over the Kings with a big second-half spurt.

        Sunday - Jazz at Clippers:
        These teams will have already squared off on Wednesday and should have some bad blood built up. Bojan Bogdanovic debuted with a strong outing, while Mike Conley has struggled to find a comfort zone in his new digs. Patrick Beverley will be heavily invested in keeping that from happening.

        Comment


        • #5
          By: Monique Vág



          THE HOT HAND

          The Atlanta Hawks travel to Miami to take on the Heat as 8-point underdogs. Atlanta has been a profitable team to back on the road, covering the spread in 10 of its last 12 games away from home, going back to the 2018-19 season.

          Both teams have been shooting the ball exceptionally well this year, specifically Atlanta which is averaging the second-highest shooting percentage at 48.4 percent. The Hawks are particularly good in the first half, putting up an average of 59 points in the opening 24 minutes. We like them to keep things close early on and are betting them +4.5 in the first half.


          THE BUTLER DID IT

          The Hawks have been the best team defending opposing power forwards, holding them to 26.7 percent shooting from the floor, 0.8 made 3-point shots per game, and 9.3 points an outing.

          Miami's Justise Winslow has logged two games already with 20 or more points, but his career average is still 9.1 a game. With Jimmy Butler set to make his debut for the Heat tonight, expect even less of an opportunity for Winslow to find the basket and bet Under his points total of 15.5.


          ALL THE COMFORTS OF HOME

          The Denver Nuggets host the Dallas Mavericks as 5-point favorites with the total set at 213 points. Dating back to last season, the Nuggets have won 13 of the previous 17 games on their home court, and have won eight of the last 10 meetings in the head-to-head versus Dallas.

          Dallas is surrendering an average of 30.3 first-quarter points and 57 first-half points per game. In one home date this season, Denver held the Phoenix Suns to 45 points in the first half. Last season, the Nuggets posted an average of 58.1 first-half points inside the Pepsi Center. Expect their success to continue and bet the Nuggets on the first-half spread of -2.5.


          GLASS CLEANER

          The Mavericks have surrendered a league-high 20.1 average rebounds per game to opposing centers to start 2019-20. If Dallas continues to shoot around the 39.4 percent clip it did versus the Trail Blazers in its last outing, then expect a huge night out of Denver's Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets’ big man is averaging 13.3 boards a game despite foul trouble limiting minutes. Bet Over Jokic’s rebounding total of 11.5.


          LONG RANGE LAKERS

          The Lakers are 11.5-point home favorites as they host the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies’ opponents are attempting 35 shots from beyond the arc per game to start the season, with Memphis surrendering 11.3 makes on those looks from distance. Throughout the first three games this season for the Lakers, Danny Green has attempted no less than five 3-point shots an outing and is averaging 52.6 percent from deep this season. His success will continue and we’re betting Over 1.5 made 3-point shots from Green tonight.

          Comment

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