Announcement

**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 07:12 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 8 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Bills -1.5 (691)- L

5) Eagles +1.5 (697)- W

4) Buccaneers +2.5 (705)- L

3) Seahawks -6.5 (920)- W

2) Indianapolis -5.5 (1,409)- L

1) Carolina +5.5 (1,418)- L

2019 record: 25-22-1

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Lions 31, Giants 26:
— Giants scored only 13 points on three trips into the red zone.
— Big Blue scored with 1:19 left for the backdoor cover.
— Giants lost their last four games, allowing 30.3 ppg.

— Detroit opened scoring with a defensive TD 7:12 into the game.
— Six of Lions’ seven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Giants converted 7-12 third down plays;; Detroit 8-14.

Titans 27, Buccaneers 23
— Evans caught 11 balls for 198 yards and two TD’s.
— Bucs outgained Tennessee 389-246; their last five games went over total.
— Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in last seven post-bye tilts, 5-8-3 in last 16 games as road dog

— Titans drove 90 yards on 12 plays for winning TD with 6:55 left.
— Tennessee scored 23+ points in its four wins, 17 or less in their losses.
— Titans had two takeaways in first quarter; their first two TD drives were only 10-6 yards.

Chargers 17, Bears 16:
— Chargers’ first five drives: 16 plays, 34 yards, one first down.
— Chargers’ last five drives: 28 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
— Under Lynn, Bolts are 7-2-1 ATS as road underdogs.

— Chicago missed a 41-yard FG on last play of the game.
— Bears scored only 16 points on five red zone drives.
— Chicago outgained LA 388-231, running 77 plays, to 42 for Chargers.

Seahawks 27, Falcons 20:
— Seattle’s first five drives: 36 plays, 215 yards, 24 points.
— Seahawks were +3 (3-0) in turnovers, won field position by 13 yards.
— Seattle scored 28.5 ppg in winning all four of its road games.

— Atlanta lost its last six games, has bye now; will they fire Quinn?
— 38-year old Schaub threw for 460 yards; his last start was in 2015.
— Game was 24-nil at the half; Falcons kicked FG for backdoor cover with 1:17 left.

Jaguars 29, Jets 15:
— Jets drove 93 yards on first drive; next four drives: 11 plays, minus-9 yards.
— Gang Green converted only 11 of last 70 (15.7%) third down plays.
— Jets’ last five losses were all by 14+ points- they’re 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games as road underdogs.

— Jaguars converted 8-17 third down plays, Jets only 2-9.
— All four teams in AFC South are .500 or better.
— Jaguars are +8 in turnovers in their four wins, minus-7 in losses.

Eagles 31, Bills 13:
— Eagles ran ball for 218 yards, outgained Buffalo 371-253.
— First two Philly drives of 3rd quarter: eight plays, 135 yards, two TD’s.
— Eagles were 8-15 on third down (7-21 in previous two games).

— Allen completed only 16-34 passes, 4.1 yards/attempt.
— First five games. Bills allowed total of 70 points; last two games: 21-31 points.
— Buffalo’s last six drives: 20 plays, 32 yards, two first downs.

Rams 24, Bengals 10:
— Cincy got into LA territory on six of nine drives.
— Bengals were only 6-18 on 3rd down, but 4-6 on 4th down.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincy games.

— Goff to Kupp: 7-10, 220 yards; Goff to everyone else: 10-21, 152 yards.
— LA is 6-1 ATS in last seven games as a double digit favorite.
— Rams’ first five drives: 40 plays, 363 yards, 24 points.

Saints 31, Cardinals 9:
— Cardinals had only 40 rushing yards; Murray ran only twice (11 yards)
— Arizona’s last three losses were all by 17+ points.
— Cardinals lost last five visits to Bourbon Street- their last win here was in ’96.

— Brees returned to action, was 34-43/373 passing, with three TD’s.
— New Orleans won/covered its last six games.
— Saints outgained Arizona 510-237; first downs were 28-10.

Colts 15, Broncos 13:
— This was Denver’s third loss this season by two points.
— Broncos scored only three TD’s on their last 35 drives.
— Denver’s last six drives: 20 plays, 129 yards, five punts.

— Vinatieri kicked a 51-yard FG with 0:22 left for the win.
— Colts won five of their last six games.
— Indy allowed 30-31 points in their two losses, 24 or less in their five wins.

Texans 27, Raiders 24:
— Oakland is 2-3 in its last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg.
— Raiders improve to 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.— Hunter Renfrow scored his first NFL TD on a 65-yard pass; there is also a Hunter Renfroe who plays outfield for the San Diego Padres. Go figure.

— Houston drove 75 yards in nine plays for winning score with 6:26 left.
— Hopkins caught 11 balls for 109 yards
— Texans ran 74 plays, to only 53 for Oakland.

49ers 51, Panthers 13:
— Despite the ugly loss, McCaffery still had 18 touches for 155 yards.
— NFC South teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division.
— At one point in this game a punt went out-of-bounds; a cheerleader caught the ball easily, while not dropping her pom-poms. Pretty impressive, actually.

— Coleman touched ball 13 times, scored four TD’s.
— 49ers are 7-0 for first time since 1990.
— Niners won their last four games by combined score of 113-23.

Patriots 27, Browns 13:
— Cleveland turned ball over on three consecutive snaps in first half.
— Browns are 2-5 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Why only three games at 4:00? Need more viewing choices.

— New England is 8-0, with one win by less than 14 points
— Patriots are 31-14-3 ATS in last 48 games as a home favorite, 3-1 TY.
— New England is 18-4 ATS in last 22 games as a double digit favorite.

Packers 31, Chiefs 24:
— Jones had 20 touches for 226 yards, including the GW 67-yard TD.
— Green Bay drives in 2nd half: FG-TD-TD-ran out clock.
— Packers are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite

— Moore did well in his first KC start, only his 6th start since 2011.
— Chiefs lost their 3rd straight home game; they host Minnesota next.
— Both teams converted over half their 3rd down plays; Pack 8-13, Chiefs 6-11

**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 07:14 AM

511INDIANA -512 DETROIT
INDIANA is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite since 1996.

513CHICAGO -514 NEW YORK
CHICAGO is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game since 1996.

515PHILADELPHIA -516 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

517ORLANDO -518 TORONTO
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

519GOLDEN STATE -520 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 35-21 ATS (11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

521CLEVELAND -522 MILWAUKEE
CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

523OKLAHOMA CITY -524 HOUSTON
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

525PORTLAND -526 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

527UTAH -528 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

529DENVER -530 SACRAMENTO
DENVER is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games after a win in the last 3 seasons.

531CHARLOTTE -532 LA CLIPPERS
CHARLOTTE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 07:25 AM

NBA

Monday, October 28

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Trend Report
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New York Knicks
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
New York is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New York is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games at home
New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
New York is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New York
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York

Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games at home
Detroit is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Indiana is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Orlando is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Milwaukee is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Houston Rockets
Houston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Oklahoma City is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
New Orleans is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 18 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
New Orleans is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 18 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
San Antonio is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Portland
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Denver is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Utah is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games at home
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
Charlotte is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers

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**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 08:25 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, October 28

Indiana @ Detroit

Game 511-512
October 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.198
Detroit
109.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Over

Chicago @ New York

Game 513-514
October 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.995
New York
104.746
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1
223
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-1); Over

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Game 515-516
October 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
125.074
Atlanta
117.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-4); Under

Orlando @ Toronto

Game 517-518
October 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
117.398
Toronto
128.382
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City @ Houston

Game 523-524
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.089
Houston
123.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+10 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Milwaukee

Game 521-522
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
110.782
Milwaukee
123.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 12 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
222
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+15); Over

Golden State @ New Orleans

Game 519-520
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
118.484
New Orleans
113.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 5 1/2
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+3); Over

Portland @ San Antonio

Game 525-526
October 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
120.296
San Antonio
118.193
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+5 1/2); Under

Utah @ Phoenix

Game 527-528
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.903
Phoenix
116.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-4 1/2); Under

Denver @ Sacramento

Game 529-530
October 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
122.145
Sacramento
107.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 14 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-6); Under

Charlotte @ LA Clippers

Game 531-532
October 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
112.118
LA Clippers
120.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
244
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 16
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+16); Over

**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 08:48 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, October 28

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INDIANA (0 - 2) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 10/28/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 2) at NEW YORK (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (2 - 0) at ATLANTA (2 - 0) - 10/28/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (1 - 1) at TORONTO (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-6 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (0 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-60 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (1 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 80-104 ATS (-34.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (2 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 0) - 10/28/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1094-961 ATS (+36.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 862-738 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (2 - 1) at PHOENIX (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (2 - 0) at SACRAMENTO (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 188-239 ATS (-74.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-28-2019, 09:01 AM

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Magic at Raptors (-4 ½, 212 ½) – 7:35 PM EST

The first opponent that Toronto eliminated in the playoffs on its way to its first championship in franchise history was Orlando last April. After the Magic shocked the Raptors in the series opener, Toronto grabbed the next four games to advance to the second round. In spite of Kawhi Leonard venturing west, the Raptors have won two of their first three games, including a 24-point blowout of the Bulls on Saturday night. Toronto rebounded off a loss at Boston on Friday as five Raptors finished with double-figures on Saturday, led by Pascal Siakam’s 19 points.

The Magic are fresh off a Southeast division title, but Orlando is coming off its first loss of the season in a 103-99 defeat at Atlanta as 2 ½-point road favorites on Saturday. Orlando has failed to bust the 100-point mark in two games, as the Magic converted only 5-of-31 three-point attempts against the Hawks, including the starting five shooting a dreadful 1-of-16 from long distance. In two games, Orlando has shot 14-of-61 from three-point range, as the Magic are listed in the underdog role for the first time this season after going 0-2 ATS as a favorite.

The Raptors captured six of nine meetings from the Magic last season, including a 3-2 SU/ATS record at home. Orlando has hit the UNDER in each of its first two games, while Toronto is coming off its first UNDER after hitting the OVER in the first two contests.

Jazz (-5, 217 ½) at Suns – 10:05 PM EST

Both these teams have started 2-1 on the young season, but Phoenix is the bigger surprise out of these two squads hooking up on Monday night. The Suns have won each of their first two games at Talking Stick Resort Arena against the Kings and Clippers, while shocking Los Angeles on Saturday night as a 10-point underdog, 130-122. Phoenix shot 50% from the floor, led by Devin Booker’s 30 points, while Kelly Oubre, Jr. chipped in 20 points for the Suns.

The Jazz picked up their first cover of the season on Saturday night in a wire-to-wire blowout of the Kings, 113-81 as 9 ½-point home favorites. Utah rebounded from a nine-point road loss to the Lakers the night before by jumping out to a 25-point halftime lead and never looking back. Bojan Bogdanovic paced the Jazz with 26 points, as Utah drilled 18 three-pointers after hitting a combined 14 treys in it first two games of the season.

Utah has cashed the UNDER in all three games this season, while limiting all three opponents to 95 points or less. Phoenix hit its first OVER in the win over Los Angeles, as the Suns are the only team to start 3-0 ATS. The Jazz have captured seven consecutive meetings with the Suns dating back to 2018 with every win in this span coming by double-digits.

Nuggets (-6, 218) at Kings – 10:05 PM EST

Sacramento was expected to be in the mix for a playoff spot in the Western Conference this season and even though the Kings have played three games, they haven’t looked a postseason squad. The Kings were outscored, 70-36 in the second half of a season opening rout at the hands of the Suns, 124-95. Sacramento hung with Portland in its home opener, but the Blazers outscored the Kings by 10 points in the third quarter of a 122-112 defeat.

Game 3 was a clunker for the Kings in a 113-81 setback at Utah with no rest on Saturday as De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield combined for 12 points on 4-of-16 shooting. The night before against Portland, Fox and Hield put up 49 points, as their production hinges on the success for Sacramento, who begins a three-game homestand that continues with Charlotte on Wednesday and Utah on Friday.

The Nuggets finished one victory shy of the Western Conference Finals last season, but picked up a modicum of revenge against the Blazers in the season opener. Denver pulled away from Portland, 108-100, highlighted by 18 three-pointers from the Nuggets, including three from big man Nikola Jokic, who scored a team-high 20 points. The Nuggets edged the Suns as a heavy favorite on Friday, 108-107 in overtime, as Jokic produced a triple-double in spite of Denver shooting 39% from the floor.

Denver swept Sacramento last season in the three-game regular season series, as two of those victories came by four points or less. All three matchups sailed OVER the total, while the Kings squandered double-digit leads in two of the three losses.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-28-2019, 03:30 PM

Hot & Not Report
October 28, 2019
By Matt Blunt

Week of October 28th

Last week's focus on the World Series got off to a rocky start with Washington winning the first two games on the road and bucking the trend of LCS 'sweepers' rarely winning more than one game in the World Series. But with Houston righting the ship on the plane ride to Washington and now returning home up 3-2 in the series, the historical trend of teams who needed more LCS games to get here is back in the driver's seat to cash.

The World Series will be over in a few days now, and with plenty of stuff going on last week with the start of the World Series and the usual college and pro football schedule, there was no time to touch on the start of the NBA season.

We are now about a week into it with every team having at least two games under their belt. Obviously we are a long ways away from viewing what should be a highly intriguing playoff season for the first time in years, but there are two season-long situations I always like to keep in mind in the NBA each year. And while they can't be blindly followed each night the long-term results speak for themselves.

Who's Hot

Fading the defending NBA Champions

Approx. +34 units blind since the start of the 2004-05 campaign and +31 blind units the past three seasons
Only five of 15 teams finished the next year with a winning ATS record
As exciting as it was for basketball fans north of the border to see their beloved Toronto Raptors go the distance last year – and be the example of why teams in all sports should “go for it” in terms of roster moves when they are close to being a championship title team – from a betting perspective, it was going to be tough to look great this year; with or without Kawhi Leonard.

Defending NBA champs have not been good from a season-long ATS perspective the following year and this year is likely going to be no different. Sure, the easy answer in terms of looking at that is that Toronto did lose some exceptional talent from last year's squad, but that's generally accounted for in point spreads each night and will be sharper numbers as the year goes on.

Raptors fans will be quick to quote Toronto's 17-5 SU record without Kawhi Leonard as “evidence” as to why they will be just fine this year, but that number without context isn't complete. They beat up on a lot of bad teams in those games without Leonard – they were 4-5 SU against teams that finished with a winning record – and it's not like the rest of the Eastern Conference didn't get better for the most part.

Sure, there are still those tanking teams in the East, but the talent pool has been spread out through so many more teams this year that to expect Toronto have similar-type success is just irresponsible. There competition will be better on nearly a nightly basis, and as the champs they are always going to get an opponent's best shot. With Toronto now having the “champions tax” levied on their point spreads now, and while the tax rate may not be as high as what the Warriors and Cavaliers were dealing with in year's past, it's still out there attached to lines.

Furthermore, while there have been defending champions who were strong bets ATS-wise the following year since 2004, there are some extenuating circumstances surrounding those that actually turned a profit.

The 2015-16 Golden State Warriors were the most recent (and tied for the best record at 45-35-2 ATS) to do it, but that came during the season they achieved the regular season win total record. That team was phenomenal from top to bottom and it was still in the early stages of the dynasty years for the Warriors before the market could really catch up in terms of how good they were.

The 2012-13 Miami Heat were also 10 games above .500 ATS-wise when coming off a championship campaign at 46-36 ATS, but they were also en route to a return trip to the Finals and another title with LeBron James at his peak athletically and mentally in his 28-year-old season. This year's Toronto team isn't comparable with that nor the 15-16 Warriors, so keep that in mind.

The other three teams that managed a winning ATS record after a championship win were the 2014-15 San Antonio Spurs (41-39-2 ATS), the 2008-09 Boston Celtics (43-39) and the 2006-07 Dallas Mavericks (41-37-4).

As you can see, not one of them finished more than four games over the .500 mark in terms of point spread wins, and when you break down the best of the bunch – 2008-09 Boston – from a monetary standpoint, you would have won $4300 betting $110 to win 100 on -110 lines, while losing $4290 at -110 prices in those 39 defeats for a whopping $10 profit. Not exactly the best path to profit is it.

So while the big winners a few months ago were the Raptors players, organization, and their fans – and adult diaper companies because bathroom breaks must have been a bitch for the masses that could barely move at that parade – bettors should be on the lookout to be big winners themselves this year by taking the other side in Toronto games.

Who's Not

Backing the NBA Finals losers from a year ago

One winning ATS season in last five years for approx -35 units
Sorry Warriors fans, nobody in the NBA is going to cry for you over the pain you are likely in for this year. And while the answer can be similarly as easy to Toronto's in terms of them missing Kawhi and the Warriors without Durant and Klay Thompson this year, recent history isn't on the runner's up from a betting perspective either.

Over the past five years, teams that lost in the finals have a 181-216-13 ATS record the following season as they've been a great team to fade as well. That's played out so far this year with the Warriors getting smoked in their first two games as they've lost both by 19+, and chances are more pain is in store. After all, Golden State was lined at -1 and +1 for those games as it is.

Now, obviously the bulk of this recent history concerns LeBron James-led teams and his squads are always going to have somewhat inflated point spreads as it is. And if you do take this line of thought back much further, to say the start of the century, there are plenty of favorable results – eight of 13 teams in this role from 2001 through 2013 finished with winning ATS records the following year – so this trend might be something that gets cast aside in a month or two when the market catches up to what true numbers for this year's Warriors team should be.

But it's still going to take some time for perception and reality to meet up in the market, as it's still easy to think of how dominant Golden State has been the past five years and have that infect one's handicapping process regarding this year's squad. We've seen that with how awful the point spreads looked in their first two games, and the Warriors may be best to fade more often now, then down the line on a full-season basis like say the Raptors.

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Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/28

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/28

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