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Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, March 3
Mississippi State won four of last five games, is squarely on bubble; they’re 10-6 in SEC, 2-3 in last five road games. Bulldogs don’t shoot many 3’s’ they rebound 37% of their own missed shots (#4). South Carolina lost three of last four games, are sliding off bubble; their last five games were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Gamecocks won six of last seven at home. MSU outscored South Carolina 28-14 on foul line in its 79-76 home win Feb 19; Bulldogs were 28-36 on charity stripe. State won four of last five series games, but lost five of their last six visits to Columbia.
VCU lost five of last six games to fall off bubble; Rams are 8-8 in A-14, losing two of last three home games- they scored 58.5 ppg in last four losses, are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#5). Duquesne won its last two games by total of 7 points; they’re 10-6 in A-14, winning three of last four road tilts. Five of their last six games were decided by 5 or fewer points. VCU won its last seven games with Duquesne, winning last three meetings here, by 15-22-11 points. Senior night for VCU team that starts three seniors but five of other seven players in rotation are freshmen.
Little Rock already clinched top seed in Sun Belt tourney, which starts Saturday; they were held to 71 or less points in all four league losses, scored 90+ in 81+ in five of last six wins. Trojans won three in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 15-4 in conference, 6-3 on road. UALR turns ball over 22.1% of time (#330), gets 22.8% of their points on foul line (#20). Georgia State lost its last three games, is 11-8 in Sun Belt, splitting last four home games. State won its last four games with UALR, winning last two meetings here, by 9-13 points.
Maryland outscored Rutgers 12-4 on foul line in its 56-51 home win over the Scarlet Knights Feb 4; Rutgers led by 5 at the half. Both teams shot under 40% inside arc. Terps are 8-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings, winning visits to the Garden State by 10-20-14 points. Maryland lost two of last three games after a 9-0 run; they’re 13-5 in Big 14, winning five of last six road games- they have #27 eFG% defense. Rutgers lost three in row, six of last eight games; they’re 9-9 in Big 14, are shooting 29.7% on arc (#325), 65.1% on foul line (#324).
Penn State upset Michigan State 75-70 in East Lansing Feb 4, just 2nd win in last 12 series games for Nittany Lions. Spartans won their last four visits to Happy Valley, but did lose a meeting in Philly’s Palestra three years ago. MSU won its last three games, is 12-6 in Big 14, winning last three road games, including a win at Maryland Saturday- their eFG% defense is #3 in country. PSU lost three of its last four games after a 20-5 start; they’re 11-7 in conference, winning five of last six at home- they’re continuity team #55 that has #30 eFG% defense.
Syracuse led 38-13 at halftime, pounded Boston College 76-50 at home Jan 15; Orange won nine of last 11 series games, but they lost two of last three visits to Boston. Syracuse lost six of its last nine games, is 9-9 in ACC, losing three of last four on road; Orange are experience team #310 whose bench plays 2nd-fewest minutes in country- their ACC opponents score 38.1% of their points on arc (#9). BC lost its last three games, scoring 63.3 ppg; they’re 7-11 in ACC, losing four of last five home games. Eagles don’t shoot well, have #310 eFG% in country.
Cincinnati won its last ten games with South Florida, winning last four visits to Tampa, by 7-3-14-23 points. Bearcats split their last six games overall, are 11-5 in AAC, splitting eight road games; teams shoot only 43.7% inside arc them. Cincy has #25 eFG% defense in country. ESPN has them playing a First Four game, so they’re right on the bubble. USF won its last two games by 5-6 points; they’re 6-10 in AAC, losing four of last six home games. Bulls turn ball over 22.4% of time (#358), have #302 eFG%, shooting 30.7% on arc (#292), 47.1% inside arc (#272).
Texas State won its last game in triple OT Friday at Tex-Arlington; four Bobcats played 41:00+, TSU won five in row, 12 of its last 14 games; they’re 13-6 in Sun Belt, lock up #2 seed in Sun Belt with a win here- they won four of their last five road games. State plays slow pace (#316), don’t shoot many 3’s. South Alabama is #2 experience team that won its last seven games, is 12-7 in Sun Belt, winning last three home games, by 3-1-15 points. Bobcats are 7-4 in last 11 games with USA, but lost last two visits to Mobile, by 5-14 points.
Marquette outscored DePaul 29-12 on foul line in its 76-72 home win over the Blue Demons Feb 1; DePaul led by 8 early in second half. Golden Eagles won eight of last nine series games, taking three of last four visits to Chicago. Marquette lost four of its last five games, is 8-8 in Big East- four of their last five road games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Eagles are shooting 38.2% on arc (#11), getting 38.8% of points on arc (#17). DePaul is 2-14 in Big East after a 12-1 pre-conference slate (#258 SOS); Blue Demons’ last four losses were all by 11+ points.
West Virginia lost six of its last seven games after an 18-4 start; they scored only 57.7 ppg in those six losses. WVU is 7-9 in Big X, losing its last six road games; their last road win was Jan 6 at Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-11 in Big X but they won three of last four home games; their last five losses were all by 12+ points. WVU whacked Iowa State 76-61 at home Feb 5, despite 19 turnovers and going 12-24 on foul line. Mountaineers won seven of last ten series games, but lost last two games in Hilton Coliseum, by 16-24 points.
Iowa lost 104-68 at Purdue last month; Boilers made 19-34 on arc, shot 71% inside arc, scoring 1.53 ppp— have never seen a team score 1.53 ppp before. Purdue is shooting 33.6% on arc this season (#157). Purdue won last three series games, by 23-16-36 points, but lost four of last five visits to Iowa City. Purdue lost four of its last five games, is 8-10 in Big 14, 2-7 on road; Boilers are shooting only 45.6% inside arc in league games (#13). Iowa won three of last four games, is 11-7 in Big 14, 9-0 at home. Hawkeyes allowed 76+ points in all six of their Big 14 losses.
Kentucky put five guys in double figures, won 77-64 at Tennessee Feb 15; Wildcats shot 56% inside arc- they don’t take many 3’s. Tennessee is 6-4 in last ten series games, but lost 11 of last 12 meetings in Rupp Arena- they beat Wildcats in SEC tourney LY. Kentucky won its last eight games, is 14-2 in SEC, winning all eight home games; their last four home wins were all by 8 or fewer points. Tennessee is 8-8 in SEC despite having a PG who was living in Uruguay when season started; Vols lost their last three road games, by 2-7-17 points.
Texas won its last four games to get to 8-8 in Big X, holding all four foes under 60 points; Longhorns are forcing turnovers 21% of time (#59) but turn ball over 20.7% of time themselves (#283). Oklahoma won its last two games, is also 8-8 in Big X; their last eight wins were all by 10+ points. Opponents are shooting only 44.6% inside arc (#52). Oklahoma won 72-62 at Texas Jan 8, after trailing by 9 early on; teams split last six series games- Longhorns lost six of their last seven visits to Norman, with last four losses here all by 4 or fewer points.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, March 3
Mississippi State won four of last five games, is squarely on bubble; they’re 10-6 in SEC, 2-3 in last five road games. Bulldogs don’t shoot many 3’s’ they rebound 37% of their own missed shots (#4). South Carolina lost three of last four games, are sliding off bubble; their last five games were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Gamecocks won six of last seven at home. MSU outscored South Carolina 28-14 on foul line in its 79-76 home win Feb 19; Bulldogs were 28-36 on charity stripe. State won four of last five series games, but lost five of their last six visits to Columbia.
VCU lost five of last six games to fall off bubble; Rams are 8-8 in A-14, losing two of last three home games- they scored 58.5 ppg in last four losses, are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#5). Duquesne won its last two games by total of 7 points; they’re 10-6 in A-14, winning three of last four road tilts. Five of their last six games were decided by 5 or fewer points. VCU won its last seven games with Duquesne, winning last three meetings here, by 15-22-11 points. Senior night for VCU team that starts three seniors but five of other seven players in rotation are freshmen.
Little Rock already clinched top seed in Sun Belt tourney, which starts Saturday; they were held to 71 or less points in all four league losses, scored 90+ in 81+ in five of last six wins. Trojans won three in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 15-4 in conference, 6-3 on road. UALR turns ball over 22.1% of time (#330), gets 22.8% of their points on foul line (#20). Georgia State lost its last three games, is 11-8 in Sun Belt, splitting last four home games. State won its last four games with UALR, winning last two meetings here, by 9-13 points.
Maryland outscored Rutgers 12-4 on foul line in its 56-51 home win over the Scarlet Knights Feb 4; Rutgers led by 5 at the half. Both teams shot under 40% inside arc. Terps are 8-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings, winning visits to the Garden State by 10-20-14 points. Maryland lost two of last three games after a 9-0 run; they’re 13-5 in Big 14, winning five of last six road games- they have #27 eFG% defense. Rutgers lost three in row, six of last eight games; they’re 9-9 in Big 14, are shooting 29.7% on arc (#325), 65.1% on foul line (#324).
Penn State upset Michigan State 75-70 in East Lansing Feb 4, just 2nd win in last 12 series games for Nittany Lions. Spartans won their last four visits to Happy Valley, but did lose a meeting in Philly’s Palestra three years ago. MSU won its last three games, is 12-6 in Big 14, winning last three road games, including a win at Maryland Saturday- their eFG% defense is #3 in country. PSU lost three of its last four games after a 20-5 start; they’re 11-7 in conference, winning five of last six at home- they’re continuity team #55 that has #30 eFG% defense.
Syracuse led 38-13 at halftime, pounded Boston College 76-50 at home Jan 15; Orange won nine of last 11 series games, but they lost two of last three visits to Boston. Syracuse lost six of its last nine games, is 9-9 in ACC, losing three of last four on road; Orange are experience team #310 whose bench plays 2nd-fewest minutes in country- their ACC opponents score 38.1% of their points on arc (#9). BC lost its last three games, scoring 63.3 ppg; they’re 7-11 in ACC, losing four of last five home games. Eagles don’t shoot well, have #310 eFG% in country.
Cincinnati won its last ten games with South Florida, winning last four visits to Tampa, by 7-3-14-23 points. Bearcats split their last six games overall, are 11-5 in AAC, splitting eight road games; teams shoot only 43.7% inside arc them. Cincy has #25 eFG% defense in country. ESPN has them playing a First Four game, so they’re right on the bubble. USF won its last two games by 5-6 points; they’re 6-10 in AAC, losing four of last six home games. Bulls turn ball over 22.4% of time (#358), have #302 eFG%, shooting 30.7% on arc (#292), 47.1% inside arc (#272).
Texas State won its last game in triple OT Friday at Tex-Arlington; four Bobcats played 41:00+, TSU won five in row, 12 of its last 14 games; they’re 13-6 in Sun Belt, lock up #2 seed in Sun Belt with a win here- they won four of their last five road games. State plays slow pace (#316), don’t shoot many 3’s. South Alabama is #2 experience team that won its last seven games, is 12-7 in Sun Belt, winning last three home games, by 3-1-15 points. Bobcats are 7-4 in last 11 games with USA, but lost last two visits to Mobile, by 5-14 points.
Marquette outscored DePaul 29-12 on foul line in its 76-72 home win over the Blue Demons Feb 1; DePaul led by 8 early in second half. Golden Eagles won eight of last nine series games, taking three of last four visits to Chicago. Marquette lost four of its last five games, is 8-8 in Big East- four of their last five road games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Eagles are shooting 38.2% on arc (#11), getting 38.8% of points on arc (#17). DePaul is 2-14 in Big East after a 12-1 pre-conference slate (#258 SOS); Blue Demons’ last four losses were all by 11+ points.
West Virginia lost six of its last seven games after an 18-4 start; they scored only 57.7 ppg in those six losses. WVU is 7-9 in Big X, losing its last six road games; their last road win was Jan 6 at Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-11 in Big X but they won three of last four home games; their last five losses were all by 12+ points. WVU whacked Iowa State 76-61 at home Feb 5, despite 19 turnovers and going 12-24 on foul line. Mountaineers won seven of last ten series games, but lost last two games in Hilton Coliseum, by 16-24 points.
Iowa lost 104-68 at Purdue last month; Boilers made 19-34 on arc, shot 71% inside arc, scoring 1.53 ppp— have never seen a team score 1.53 ppp before. Purdue is shooting 33.6% on arc this season (#157). Purdue won last three series games, by 23-16-36 points, but lost four of last five visits to Iowa City. Purdue lost four of its last five games, is 8-10 in Big 14, 2-7 on road; Boilers are shooting only 45.6% inside arc in league games (#13). Iowa won three of last four games, is 11-7 in Big 14, 9-0 at home. Hawkeyes allowed 76+ points in all six of their Big 14 losses.
Kentucky put five guys in double figures, won 77-64 at Tennessee Feb 15; Wildcats shot 56% inside arc- they don’t take many 3’s. Tennessee is 6-4 in last ten series games, but lost 11 of last 12 meetings in Rupp Arena- they beat Wildcats in SEC tourney LY. Kentucky won its last eight games, is 14-2 in SEC, winning all eight home games; their last four home wins were all by 8 or fewer points. Tennessee is 8-8 in SEC despite having a PG who was living in Uruguay when season started; Vols lost their last three road games, by 2-7-17 points.
Texas won its last four games to get to 8-8 in Big X, holding all four foes under 60 points; Longhorns are forcing turnovers 21% of time (#59) but turn ball over 20.7% of time themselves (#283). Oklahoma won its last two games, is also 8-8 in Big X; their last eight wins were all by 10+ points. Opponents are shooting only 44.6% inside arc (#52). Oklahoma won 72-62 at Texas Jan 8, after trailing by 9 early on; teams split last six series games- Longhorns lost six of their last seven visits to Norman, with last four losses here all by 4 or fewer points.
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