Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/17

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, September 17

Good Luck on day #260 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six interesting college football spreads this week:

— Utah (-4.5) @ USC

— Michigan State (-6.5) @ Northwestern

— Michigan @ Wisconsin (-3)

— Kentucky @ Mississippi State (-7)

— Auburn @ Texas A&M (-4)

— Oklahoma State @ Texas (-5)


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Bad news on the quarterback front Monday; Ben Roethlisberger is done for the year- he needs elbow surgery. Roethlisberger will be 38 in March; there is a chance his Hall of Fame career is over.

Mason Rudolph takes over as Pittsburgh’s starter; they traded #3 QB Josh Dobbs to the Jaguars last week, a move they probably regret now. Looks like the new backup is Devlin Hedges, who played college ball at Samford.

12) Drew Brees needs surgery for ligament damage in his right thumb, is out for at least six weeks; Teddy Bridgewater is the Saints’ new starter.

11) I’m endorsing something today that I never thought I’d endorse, the Peyton Manning stories on ESPN+ about the history of the NFL . Watched one the other day about the Lombardi Trophy, and it was excellent.

Lot of information in there, even if Peyton continues to be annoying at the same time, just like his TV commercials. But if you like NFL history, this is good stuff.

10) Armen Keteyian wrote an article on Nick Saban in The Athletic last week that made me sad, talking about how when Saban won his first national title at Alabama, he didn’t/couldn’t enjoy the win, he was still correcting mistakes made during the game, and then stressing out about the things that had to be done about recruiting in the next few days.

If you can’t enjoy winning, coaching is a miserable job, because no one enjoys losing. Saban had a staff meeting in a hotel meeting room at 10am the day after Alabama won the title, less than 12 hours after the championship game ended.

Understood that you don’t sustain winning without that single-minded focus, but life is short, and you need to enjoy the good things along the way, too.

9) From Jen McCaffrey:
In 2001, an FBI investigation called Operation Bullpen found that over 75% of all autographed items on the market were forgeries. As a result, Major League Baseball created an authentication department that now employs 220 current and former law enforcement officials.

Authenticators Inc. is a company that works with MLB to ensure the legitimacy of milestone and game-used items as well as any player-autographed items. At least two authenticators are present at all 2,430 regular season games, with more at postseason games and special events like the All-Star Game and Home Run Derby.

8) Baseball stuff:
— Braves put IF Johan Camargo (hairline fracture of shin) on the IL.

7) Football stuff:
— Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) is out for the year.
— Saints’ QB Drew Brees is out for six weeks.
— Redskins RB Derrius Guice (knee) was put on IR.
— Florida Gators QB Feleipe Franks (dislocated ankle) is out for the year.

6) Virginia basketball coach Tony Bennett turned down a raise this week while extending his contract another year. The Cavaliers announced the extension Monday, saying Bennett asked for the money he turned down to be used to pay his staff more and for improvements to both his program as well as other Virginia teams.

5) Browns 23, Jets 3:
— Terrible game; wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicates.
— Beckham caught an 89-yard TD pass to officially seal the win.
— Teams combined to convert 6-27 on third down.

— 3rd-stringer Falk was 20-25/198 in relief of injured QB Siemian.
— Jets had 45 total yards in the first half, wound up with 262.
— Le’veon Bell had 31 touches for 129 yards.

4) Handicapping 101— France upset the USA in that FIBA basketball tournament in China, then lost their next game by 14 to Argentina. For once, life makes perfect sense. Peaks and valleys, you have an emotional win, then a very disappointing loss.

3) In case you were wondering, the highest paid player on the WNBA’s Las Vegas Aces makes $115,000 a year. They play a 34-game regular season. Was wondering the other day, so I looked it up, but I can’t find out how much WNBA coaches make.

2) If I owned an NBA team and was shelling out hundreds millions of dollars to pay the players, no way in hell would I want any of them playing in these international tournaments during the offseason that don’t mean a damn thing. One of them gets hurt, then what?

1) Best wishes to Nationals’ skipper Dave Martinez, who felt chest pains and underwent a cardiac catheterization Monday- he’ll miss the series in St Louis this week. Chip Hale is the interim manager for Washington.

[Udog]

Cheat Sheet - Semifinals

No. 4 Las Vegas vs. No. 1 Washington

Regular Season Meetings (Washington 2-1 SU/ATS, Over 3-0, Home Team 0-3 SU/ATS)

June 20 - Washington (+3.5) 95 at Las Vegas 72 (Over 166.5)
July 5 - Washington (-1) 99 at Las Vegas 70 (Over 166)
July 13 - Las Vegas (+3) 85 at Washington 81 (Over 163.5)

Aces: 22-13 Straight-Up, 13-22 Against the Spread, 18-16-1 Over/Under
Mystics: 26-8 Straight-Up, 20-13-1 Against the Spread, 20-14 Over/Under

-- Las Vegas shocked Chicago in the second round on a steal and desperation three-pointer in the final 10 seconds of a 93-92 victory as four-point favorites.

-- The Aces owned the second-worst ATS record in the league at 13-22, behind the Liberty’s 11-21-2 ATS mark.

-- Las Vegas has won eight of its last nine home games, but has compiled a 3-6 record in its previous nine road contests.

-- Washington put together the top record in the league at 26-8, while closing the season on an 11-1 run.

-- The Mystics have won 10 consecutive home contests, as Washington has covered seven times in this span.

-- Washington’s offense has topped the 86-point mark in each of its last 13 victories, while the Mystics are 6-2 in their last eight road affairs.

-- The road team captured all three meetings this season, as Washington destroyed Las Vegas in the first matchup, 95-72 as 3 ½-point underdogs on June 20.

-- The Mystics led the Aces, 51-36 at halftime in the next matchup in Sin City on July 6 before an earthquake stopped the contest. The teams resumed the game one month later as Washington cruised to a 99-70 rout, capped off by a 24-11 fourth quarter run.

-- Las Vegas broke through in D.C. in the final regular season matchup on July 13 in an 85-81 win as three-point underdogs. The Mystics played without leading scorer Elena Delle Donne, as Washington squandered a 12-point lead after the first quarter.

-- This is the first-ever meeting in the postseason between these two franchises (Las Vegas started in Utah then moved to San Antonio before settling as the Aces two seasons ago).

-- Las Vegas is taking part in the playoffs for the first time since its move from San Antonio in 2018, and its first postseason appearance since 2014.

-- Washington is back in the playoffs for the sixth time in seven seasons, as the Mystics are coming off a loss in the WNBA Finals last season to Seattle.



No. 3 Los Angeles vs. No. 2 Connecticut

Regular Season Meetings (Los Angeles 2-1 SU/ATS, Under 2-1, Home Team 3-0 SU/ATS)

May 31 - Los Angeles (+2.5) 77 vs. Connecticut 70 (Under 164.5)
June 6 - Connecticut (-7) 89 vs. Los Angeles 77 (Over 157.5)
Aug. 25 - Los Angeles (-4.5) 84 vs. Connecticut 72 (Under 156.5)

Sparks: 23-12 Straight-up, 18-16-1 Against the Spread, 19-16 Over/Under
Sun: 23-11 Straight-up, 14-19-1 Against the Spread, 17-17 Over/Under

-- Los Angeles dominated Seattle, 92-69 in the second round as seven-point favorites to advance to the semifinals.

-- The Sparks have won eight of their last 10 games, including seven consecutive wins at home in this stretch.

-- Los Angeles struggled on the road this season by posting a 7-10 SU and 5-11-1 ATS record, including a 2-4 ATS mark as an away underdog. Five of the seven road wins came against non-playoff teams.

-- The Sparks have caught fire at home by winning 15 consecutive games at Staples Center, including seven straight victories by double-digits.

-- The Sun put together a 15-2 record at home, including wins in nine of their final 10 home contests. However, Connecticut went 5-5 ATS in the last 10 home games.

-- Connecticut enters the playoffs off consecutive losses to Chicago and Indiana to close out the regular season, while riding a five-game OVER streak.

-- Since starting the season on a 6-3 ATS run, the Sun has slumped to an 8-16-1 ATS ledger in the last 25 games.

-- Connecticut began with road wins in three of its four tries on the highway, but finished 5-8 in the last 13 away contests, including a 2-9 ATS run as a road favorite.

-- The home team won all three matchups this season, as all three games were decided by seven points or more.

-- Los Angeles beat Connecticut as 2 ½-point home underdogs on May 31 in a 77-70 triumph following a season-opening defeat to Las Vegas.

-- The Sun jumped out to a 12-point lead after one quarter in the next matchup one week later in Connecticut and grabbed an 89-77 win as seven-point favorites.

-- The Sparks took the series finale at Staples Center on August 25 as 4 ½-point favorites, 84-72.

-- This is the first playoff meeting between the Sparks and Sun ever.

-- Connecticut is making its third straight playoff appearance, while Los Angeles is in the postseason for an eighth consecutive campaign.

-- The Sun lost to Phoenix in the second round of the playoffs each of the past two seasons, while making its last appearance in the WNBA Finals back in 2005 as they lost to Sacramento.

-- The Sparks reached the WNBA Finals in 2016 and 2017 and faced the Lynx both times. Los Angeles won the title in 2016, but failed to repeat in a series loss to Minnesota in 2017.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 17

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LOS ANGELES (23 - 12) at CONNECTICUT (23 - 11) - 9/17/2019, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LAS VEGAS (22 - 12) at WASHINGTON (25 - 8) - 9/17/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Tuesday, September 17

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Trend Report
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Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Connecticut is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Connecticut is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Los Angeles is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Connecticut
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut

Washington Mystics
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing Las Vegas
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Las Vegas is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Las Vegas's last 12 games
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Las Vegas's last 15 games when playing Washington
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 17


Los Angeles @ Connecticut

Game 611-612
September 17, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
104.439;
Connecticut
118.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 14
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2 1/2
161 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-2 1/2); Under

Las Vegas @ Washington

Game 613-614
September 17, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
109.441
Washington
122.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13
175
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
170 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7 1/2); Over