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Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/15

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  • Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, September 15

    Good Luck on day #258 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top six picks for Week 2 in Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Falcons, +1.5 (729)

    5) Rams, 2.5 (785)

    4) Bengals, -2 (804)

    T2) Steelers, -4 (966)
    T2) Cowboys, -5 (966)

    1) Browns, -2.5 (2,053)— Spread posted before Darnold declared out

    2019 record: 3-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Virginia 31, Florida State 24— Cavaliers had three TD drives of 72+ yards in the 4th quarter, as they handed FSU a loss that made the Seminoles 13-15 SU in their last 28 games.

    12) Iowa 18, Iowa State 17— Game was delayed twice by lightning for total of almost three hours; Hawkeyes won 5th straight game in this rivalry, despite being outgained by 105 yards. Cyclones lost two fumbles, were 3-9 on 3rd down; Iowa was 10-19.

    11) Temple 20, Maryland 17— Weird game; Terrapins were 5-21 on 3rd down, 1-6 on 4th down, failing to score on three drives where they had 1st-and goal. Maryland scored two safeties, was +2 in turnovers but still lost- they completed only 16-39 passes.

    10) BYU 30, USC 27 OT— Cougars win in OT for second week in a row; they won at Tennessee LW. Trojans were minus-3 in turnovers; total yardage was 452-430, fun game to watch.

    9) Air Force 30, Colorado 23 OT— Buffaloes started LY 5-0, then lost their last seven games and fired coach MacIntyre, who I think is a good coach (DC at Ole Miss now).

    Colorado beat Nebraska LW, in the renewal of an old rivalry, then they get beat in OT here by an Air Force team that ran ball for 289 yards. Buffs have a senior QB; this is their year to make some noise, but this is a bad loss.

    8) Wake Forest 24, North Carolina 18— Demon Deacons are 3-0, and appear headed to their 4th straight bowl, which would be the first time Wake Forest has done that. Thats the good news.

    Bad news for Wake Forest will be when a big $$$ school comes calling for coach Dave Clawson, who appears headed for greener pa$ture$ fairly soon. Very good coach.

    7) Upsets:
    — Kansas (+19) 48, Boston College 24
    — Arizona State (+15.5) 10, Michigan State 7
    — Kansas State (+7.5) 31, Mississippi State 24
    — West Virginia (+7) 44, NC State 27
    — Temple (+7) 20, Maryland 17
    — Eastern Michigan (+7) 34, Illinois 31
    — Liberty (+6) 35, Buffalo 17

    6) I-A team losing to a I-AA team:
    — Citadel 27, Georgia Tech 24— Citadel runs the option, making things worse for Tech.

    Close call, red flag:
    — Virginia Tech 24, Furman 17
    — Nevada 19, Weber State 13
    — Wyoming 21, Idaho 16

    5) Eastern Michigan 34, Illinois 31— Was impressed by EMU senior QB Mike Glass III, who was 23-36/316 passing in the Eagles’ upset win.

    4) Arizona State 10, Michigan State 7— Spartans didn’t score until there was 8:37 left to play; Sun Devils went ahead 10-7 with 0:50 left, then Michigan State tied it on a FG with 0:06 left, but they had 12 men on the field- when they tried the kick again, they missed badly.

    Big win for Herm Edwards’ Sun Devils, who were 15.5-point underdogs; ASU is 6-2 ATS as an underdog under Edwards.

    3) Arizona 28, Texas Tech 14— Wildcats ran ball for 314 yards, converted 15-21 third down plays. Arizona QB Tate threw for 185 yards, ran for 129 more.

    2) Southern Miss 47, Troy State 42— Both teams threw for 500+ yards; there were six TD’s scored in 4th quarter, including back/back kick returns for TD’s— shortest play of the six TD’s was 34 yards. 12 TD’s, no turnovers, wild game.

    1) A gambler put $1,000 on Auburn to beat Kent State (with no pointspread) at a Caesars sportsbook Saturday night. Auburn won 55-16; the bettor wins $5, so he basically got a free drink for his trouble.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2019, 11:26 AM.

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    • #3
      Cheat Sheet - Second Round

      The WNBA playoffs is down to six teams as the first round concluded this past Wednesday.

      In those games, the home teams went 2-0 both straight up and against the spread as Chicago and Seattle posted wins and covers against Phoenix and Minnesota respectively while the 'over' also cashed in both games as well.

      The Sky will now head to desert to meet Las Vegas on Sunday while the Storm trek down the West Coast for a matchup at Los Angeles later in the evening.

      Those two clubs will meet the winner of Sunday's winners in the semifinals, which are best-of-five matchups.

      (Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U)

      No. 6 Seattle at No. 3 Los Angeles (ESPN, 3:05 p.m. ET)

      Regular Season Meetings (Los Angeles 2-1 SU/ATS, Over 2-1, Home Team 3-0 SU/ATS)


      June 21 - Seattle (+1.5) 84 vs. Los Angeles 62 (Under 154)
      Aug. 4 - Los Angeles (-4.5) 83 vs. Seattle 75 (Over 148)
      Sept. 5 - Los Angeles (-6.5) 102 vs. Seattle 68 (Over 155)

      -- The home team went unbeaten in all three regular season meetings.

      -- The Sparks captured their two victories at home, winning by eight points in early August before a 34-point blowout win last week.

      -- Seattle advanced to this matchup by defeating Minnesota 84-74 at home this past Wednesday in the first round as a 2 1/2-point home favorite while the 'over' (149.5) cashed.

      -- Including that victory, the Storm have won and covered four of their last five games. The lone loss, mentioned above, came at Los Angeles.

      -- Seattle went 7-10 SU and 9-8 ATS on the road this season.

      -- When catching points away from home, the Storm went 5-9 SU and 7-7 ATS.

      -- In their last six spots as a road underdog, Seattle went 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS.

      -- Even though Wednesday's first-round playoff game went 'over' the total, the Storm were a solid 'under' bet in the regular season (20-13-1).

      -- On the road, the low side went 11-5-1 for the club and all of those results are attributed to Seattle's defense that is allowing a league best 75.1 points per game.

      -- Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 22-12 SU and 17-16-1 ATS record, the best mark in the Western Conference.

      -- The Sparks closed the year with three straight wins at home, winning by an average of 17.6 PPG.

      -- At home, Los Angeles was an impressive 15-2 SU and 12-5 ATS.

      -- As home favorites this season, the Sparks closed with 12 consecutive wins and they went 9-3 ATS in those contests.

      -- Total bettors saw a nice back and forth with Los Angeles this season as the club saw the 'over' go 18-16 overall, 9-8 both at home and on the road.

      -- L.A. went 1-1 in last year's postseason and the win came at home, a 75-68 decision over Minnesota as a six-point home favorite.

      -- Going back to the 2015 playoffs, Los Angeles has gone 8-2 both SU and ATS in its last 10 playoff games at home. The 'over' has gone 6-4 during this span but the 'under' has connected in the last three encounters.

      -- Seattle managed to steal one road win against Washington in last year's WNBA Finals but that was an anomaly. Prior to that win, the Storm had dropped eight straight playoff games on the road.


      No. 5 Chicago at No. 4 Las Vegas (ESPN2, 5:05 p.m. ET)

      Regular Season Meetings (Las Vegas 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, Over 3-0, Away 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)


      July 2 - Las Vegas (-9) 90 vs. Chicago 82 (Over 162.5)
      Aug. 9 - Chicago (+7) 87 at Las Vegas 84 (Over 164.5)
      Aug. 18 - Las Vegas (-2) 100 at Chicago 85 (Over 168.5)

      -- This regular season matchup saw the visitor go 2-1 SU and ATS, with all of the encounters coming in the second-half of the season.

      -- Chicago surprised Las Vegas on Aug. 9 wtih an 87-84 win as a seven-point home favorite but it did fall to Las Vegas 90-82 at the Thomas & Mack Center on July 2.

      -- The point-spread on those games was Vegas -9 and -7, which is much higher than Sunday's opening number of -2.5.

      -- The totals on those games ranged from 162.5 to 168.5 and the 'over' went 3-0 in the regular season. Fast forward to the playoffs, where defense is expected to be stressed, and the number is up to 176.5 off an opener of 173.

      -- Chicago came to play this past Wednesday as it dominated Phoenix 105-76 in wire-to-wire fashion as a seven-point favorite.

      -- Including the win over the Mercury, the Sky have won and covered three of their last four games.

      -- The 'over' has been the hot hand for Chicago, winners now in seven straight and 15 of the last 16 for the club.

      -- Chicago is the only team in the WNBA to average and allow over 80 points per game (84.6, 83.3).

      -- On the road, the Sky went 8-9 SU and 10-6-1 ATS.

      -- Circling back to the 'over' angle, the Sky have watched the high side go 15-2 in 17 away games.

      -- Las Vegas finished 21-13 SU overall but it burned bettors with a 13-21 record against the spread.

      -- The Aces were strong at home, going 13-4 at the Thomas & Mack Center and they were a tad better for bettors (7-10 ATS).

      -- Vegas finished the season with a 98-89 road win at Phoenix but a 1-4 record in its previous five games could be alarming.

      -- The 'over' went 10-7 at home for Las Vegas, 17-16-1 overall on the season.

      -- This will be the first playoff appearance for the Las Vegas franchise since the club moved from San Antonio.

      -- Prior to Wednesday's playoff win over Seattle, the last trip to the postseason for the Sky came in the 2016 playoffs.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2019, 11:27 AM.

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      • #4
        WNBA

        Sunday, September 15


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Los Angeles Sparks
        Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
        Los Angeles is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Seattle
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Seattle
        Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
        Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
        The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Los Angeles's last 19 games when playing at home against Seattle
        Seattle Storm
        Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
        Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games on the road
        Seattle is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Los Angeles
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
        Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Seattle's last 19 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

        Las Vegas Aces
        Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
        Las Vegas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
        Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Las Vegas's last 11 games
        Las Vegas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
        Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
        Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 13 of Las Vegas's last 16 games when playing Chicago
        Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
        Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
        Chicago Sky
        Chicago is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
        Chicago is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
        Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
        Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
        Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Las Vegas
        Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
        Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2019, 11:28 AM.

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        • #5
          WNBA
          Dunkel

          Sunday, September 15



          Seattle @ Los Angeles

          Game 605-606
          September 15, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Seattle
          109.661
          Los Angeles
          114.917
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Los Angeles
          by 5
          152
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Los Angeles
          by 7
          155
          Dunkel Pick:
          Seattle
          (+7); Under

          Chicago @ Las Vegas


          Game 607-608
          September 15, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Chicago
          115.275
          Las Vegas
          108.390
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Chicago
          by 7
          166
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Las Vegas
          by 4 1/2
          175
          Dunkel Pick:
          Chicago
          (+4 1/2); Under





          WNBA
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, September 15


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SEATTLE (19 - 16) at LOS ANGELES (22 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 2:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SEATTLE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
          SEATTLE is 82-113 ATS (-42.3 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
          LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in August or September games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          SEATTLE is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
          SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
          SEATTLE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SEATTLE is 5-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO (21 - 14) at LAS VEGAS (21 - 12) - 9/15/2019, 4:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHICAGO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
          CHICAGO is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
          CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
          CHICAGO is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
          CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
          CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
          LAS VEGAS is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
          LAS VEGAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.
          LAS VEGAS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
          LAS VEGAS is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2019, 11:28 AM.

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