Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/1

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, September 1

Good Luck on day #244 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

NFL doings:

— Buffalo released veteran RB LeSean McCoy, who then signed with KC.

— Titans traded WR Taywan Taylor to Cleveland for a draft pick.

— Giants cut QB Kyle Lauletta, a 4th-round draft pick last year.

— Patriots cut backup QB Brian Hoyer.

— Chargers cut backup QB Cardale Jones.

— Vikings traded a 5th-round draft pick for P/K Kaare Vedvik three weeks ago; they cut him Saturday.


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Armadillo:Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Boise State 36, Florida State 31:
— Seminoles led this game 31-13 with 3:00 left in first half; they didn’t score again.
— Plays from scrimmage: Boise 108, FSU 62. Boise had 38 first downs.
— Broncos have a good freshman QB in Hank Bachmeier (30-51/407 yards)
— Third down conversions: Boise 10-19, FSU 1-12

12) USC 31, Fresno State 23:
— USC’s QB JT Daniels got hurt; he was replaced by freshman Kedon Slodis, whose QB coach in high school was NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner.
— How was Jeff Tedford fired by Cal? Fresno has only 3 starters back on offense but they went toe-to-toe with USC here. Tedford is an excellent coach (Aaron Rodgers’ college coach).
— Fresno had the ball in the red zone in the last 2:00, but threw an end zone pick.
— Clay Helton went for it on 4th-and-1 near midfield with 2:20 left up 8 points; he didn’t make but was bailed out by his defense.

11) North Carolina 24, South Carolina 20— Mack Brown’s return to the sidelines was a success, though not before a mind-numbing mistake when they took a knee instead of punting in the last 0:20, giving the Gamecocks the ball on the UNC 47.

Tar Heels trailed this game 20-9 after the third quarter, but rallied with 98-95 yard TD drives for the win. Brown was out of coaching for five years; I enjoyed his TV work, but he seems happier to be back coaching.

10) Auburn 27, Oregon 21:
— Auburn started a freshman QB in its opener for first time since 1946.
— Ducks led 14-6 at half, 21-13 after third quarter, but were scoreless in 4th quarter.
— Auburn outrushed Oregon 206-90.

9) Houston Texans were very busy Saturday:
— Houston acquired LT Laremy Tunsil, WR Kenny Stills from Miami for two 1st round picks and a 2nd round pick.
— Texans traded DE Jadeveon Clowney to Seattle, dumping his $16M salary.
— Houston also acquired RB Carlos Hyde from the Chiefs, and DB Keion Crosson from New England in separate deals.

Houston’s Bill O’Brien is getting ripped on social media for these moves, but we’ll see how this all works out. Texans gave up 66 sacks LY, the most for a playoff team since 1999, so acquiring Tunsil seems like a good idea, even if they overpaid some.

Dolphins, on the other hand, seem to have given up on this season before Labor Day; giving away your LT and your best WR is similar to what the Raiders did LY when they traded Kahlil Mack to Chicago and Amari Cooper to Dallas for draft picks.

8) Best wishes to New Mexico coach Bob Davie, who was hospitalized after the Lobos’ 39-31 win over Sam Houston State with chest pains. No word on how serious it is.

7) Nebraska 35, South Alabama 21— Cornhuskers scored two TD’s in the third quarter before they ran an offensive play; a pick-6 and a punt return TD. Nebraska ran ball for only 98 yards, which is alarming.

Someone at Caesars Palace wagered $2,000 on Nebraska’s money line; he had to sweat a decent amount before he collected his $12.50 winnings. Not even enough to buy a decent lunch.

6) I-A teams that lost to I-AA opponents:
— Central Arkansas 35, Western Kentucky 28 (WKU led 28-14 after 3rd quarter)

Close calls/red flags:
— Iowa State 29, Northern Iowa 26 OT
— Kansas 24, Indiana State 17
— UConn 24, Wagner 21
— Minnesota 28, South Dakota State 21
— UAB 24, Alabama State 19
— Arkansas 20, Portland State 13
— UTEP 36, Houston Baptist 34
— Old Dominion 24, Norfolk State 21
— West Virginia 20, James Madison 13
— San Diego State 6, Weber State 0

5) Michigan State 28, Tulsa 7— Total yardage in this game was 303-80, MSU.

In college football, sacks count as rushing yardage; in this game, Tulsa had 25 rushes for minus-73 yards; they were 16-27/153 passing. Spartans’ defense scored nine points, as Tulsa botched two shotgun snaps that padded the ridiculously bad rushing numbers.

4) Upsets:
— Georgia State (+26.5) 38, Tennessee 30— Panthers were 2-10 LY, 1-7 in Sun Belt. Tennessee has its fourth offensive coordinator in four years. Learning takes time.
— Wyoming (+18) 37, Missouri 31
— Nevada (+11) 34, Purdue 31— Kid that made the game-winning 56-yard FG was put on scholarship after the game, meaning he actually got paid for making that kick.
— North Carolina (+10) 24, South Carolina 20
— Boston College (+4.5) 35, Virginia Tech 28

3) Wake Forest 38, Utah State 35— Both teams passed for 400+ yards; Wake converted 13-24 third down plays. State had 8 penalties for 84 yards; Deacons one for 15 yards.

2) Memphis 15, Ole Miss 10— Yardage was 364-173 Memphis; they led 13-0 at halftime, then held on for dear life.

1) A big problem with the epidemic of quarterback transfers is that it leaves more teams very thin under center. A starter gets hurt or struggles, and it is a disaster.

UCLA’s quarterback is obviously struggling, but the Bruins don’t have anyone with experience to step in for him— they’ve got all young backup QB’s, two freshmen and a sophomore.

Chip Kelly has some work to do; the kid was 8-26 passing and lost two fumbles in the red zone, not exactly a stellar performance in a 24-14 loss.

[Udog]

WNBA

Sunday, September 1

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Trend Report
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Chicago Sky
Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Phoenix is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Minnesota Lynx
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Indiana Fever
Indiana is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Indiana is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Seattle Storm
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Seattle is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Seattle is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Atlanta is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Seattle


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 1

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PHOENIX (15 - 15) at CHICAGO (18 - 13) - 9/1/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (7 - 23) at SEATTLE (15 - 15) - 9/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (11 - 20) at MINNESOTA (16 - 15) - 9/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
MINNESOTA is 158-124 ATS (+21.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 1


Phoenix @ Chicago

Game 641-642
September 1, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
106.968
Chicago
117.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 11
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
168 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-2 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Minnesota

Game 645-646
September 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
103.769
Minnesota
109.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 9 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+9 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Seattle

Game 643-644
September 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
101.181
Seattle
112.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 11 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-8 1/2); Under