Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, August 27

Good Luck on day #239 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win Conference USA football title:

+$375— Florida Atlantic

4-1— Marshall, North Texas

+$725— UAB, FIU, Southern Miss.

10-1— Louisiana Tech

40-1— Middle Tennessee State

50-1— Western Kentucky


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) NFL scouting isn’t easy; front office types make big money, with their decisions largely deciding whether teams win or lose.

With that in mind, here are QB’s taken in the 2012 NFL Draft:
Round 1 (1st pick): A. Luck – retired, played 86 games
1 (2): Robert Griffin III- Ravens’ backup
1 (8): Ryan Tannehill – Titans’ backup
1 (22): Brandon Weeden – out of football
Round 2 (57): Brock Osweiler – out of football

3 (75): Russell Wilson – Super Bowl champ
3 (88): Nick Foles – Super Bowl MVP
4 (102): Kirk Cousins – Vikings’ starter, makes $28M a year

Undrafted: Case Keenum— Redskins’ starter
Kellen Moore- Cowboys’ offensive coordinator

12) Golfers Dustin Johnson/Lucas Glover tied for last at the TOUR Championship Sunday; they both went home wth a check for $400,000. Pretty solid consolation prize.

11) Robbie Ray threw five shutout innings in Arizona’s 5-2 win in Milwaukee Sunday; he faced 21 batters, threw 103 pitches, which is an awful lot for a guy who didn’t allow a run. Usually the average pitches per batter is 3.6 or 3.7, not 5.0+.

10) Major League ballfields need more 8-foot high outfield fences; the most exciting play in baseball is an outfielder trying to rob the hitter of a home run.

9) Off the top of my bald head, I‘m thinking that the Broncos, Colts, Vikings will all be bucking the NFL’s pass-happy trend and will try to run the ball more this season.

Vic Fangio and Mike Zimmer are defensive coaches; defensive guys like to run the ball to protect their defense. Indianapolis is breaking Jacoby Brissett in as the new QB; they’ll try and lighten his load by depending on their improved offensive line and moving the ball on the ground.

8) Remember the movie Ferris Bueller’s Day Off and the kid with the Detroit Red Wings’ jersey who was Ferris’ friend? Haven’t seen that actor in 33 years that I know of, but he showed up on my TV in the HBO series Succession, which is about a horrendous bunch of rich people.

He wears a suit now, instead of the Gordie Howe jersey.

7) Baseball stuff:
— A’s DFA’d OF Nick Martini, brought up OF Seth Brown from AAA.
— A’s also put OF Stephen Piscotty (ankle) on the IL.

6) Why would FOX hire Urban Meyer as a studio analyst? The man has no personality, seems incapable of humor. He was awful analyzing games on ESPN. Don’t understand this.

5) I wonder if dogs enjoy having their pictures taken as much as it looks like they’re enjoying it.

4) Kansas City Chiefs signed QB Matt Moore to back up Patrick Mahomes; Chad Henne broke his ankle last weekend, so KC needed a solid backup, and Moore is that.

3) Over the last 25 months:
— Baltimore Ravens are 12-0 in exhibition games, Atlanta is 0-12.
— Ravens are 19-14 in regular season/playoffs; Atlanta is 18-16.

Some teams just try harder to win preseason games.

2) We talk about this too much now: “If I ain’t startin’, then I’ll be departin’…..’”

Sophomore QB Jake Haener wasn’t going to be Washington’s starter this year, so he will now transfer. Haener is from Danville, CA; his mom and grandfather both went to college at Washington, but he will leave the Huskies, sit this year out and be eligible to play wherever he goes in both 2020 and 2021. Hard to impress NFL scouts by sitting on the bench.

Washington’s new QB is Jacob Eason, who bolted to Seattle because he didn’t win the starting job at Georgia (sound familiar?)

1) Turns out that OJ Simpson is in a fantasy football league, and he drafted Andrew Luck an hour before the retirement story broke. Whoops.

[Udog]

WNBA Betting Recap - 8/20-8/26
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (Tuesday, Aug. 20 through Monday, Aug. 26)

-- Favorites went 8-7 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 9-6 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams went 9-6 SU
-- Home teams went 9-6 ATS
-- The 'over' went 10-5

Season Totals To Date

-- Favorites are 113-61 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs 91-78-5 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams are 108-66 SU
-- Road teams are 85-84-5 ATS
-- The 'under' is 87-85-2

Team Betting Notes

Atlanta (7-22 SU, 14-15 ATS) showed that they intend to be a tough out down the stretch, even if they are out of the mix for a playoff spot. The Dream rattled off two victories in three games in the past week, including three straight covers. The 3-0 ATS run is one short of a season best, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six outings. Total bettors like the Dream, too, as the 'over' is 7-1 across their past eight contests.

Chicago (18-11 SU, 19-9-1 ATS) has posted three straight wins heading into the new week. That's just one short of a season best for a win streak. The Sky is hot against the number lately, too, going 9-2 ATS across the past 11, and 10-3 ATS over the previous 13 outings. The 'over' is also on a 9-1 run acros the past 10.

Connecticut (20-9 SU, 12-17 ATS) suffered a loss in L.A. to kick off a three-game road trip. They're still 4-1 SU across the the past five, although the Sun are having trouble against the number. Connecticut is just 2-5 ATS over the past seven, and 3-8 ATS across the past 11 contests.

After a thre-game winning streak, Dallas (9-20 SU, 14-15 ATS) has dropped three in a row, and they have failed to cover in any of the outings, too. Total bettors have been flying with the Wings, though, as the 'over' is 5-1 across their past six heading into the new week.

Indiana (10-19 SU, 12-16-1 ATS) reached double-digit victories with a stunning 63-54 win in Seattle, snapping an 0-4 ATS skid. They're also just 2-7-1 ATS across the past 10 outings. The Fever have covered in back-to-back games on just three occasions this season, so watch them heading into the new week.

Las Vegas (19-11 SU, 11-19 ATS) have dropped two in a row for the first time since May 31-June 2, and both mini skids have involved Connecticut. They're 0-3 ATS across the past three and 7-14 ATS across the past 21. The 'over' has cashed in seven in a row dating back to a push on Aug. 3.

Los Angeles (18-10 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) has rattled off three straight victories and covers on their home floor after an 0-2 SU/ATS road trip on Aug. 14-16. The Sparks have won 11 straight on their home floor since a setback to the Mystics on June 18. They're also 6-1 ATS over the past seven at home.

Minnesota (15-15 SU, 16-13-1 ATS) has bounced back with a pair of wins after a three-game skid, and they have covered in back-to-back games for just the second time since mid-July. Total bettors are also loving the Lynx, as the 'over' is 6-1 across the past seven outings.

New York (9-20 SU, 10-18-1 ATS) was humbled in D.C. by 29 points on Sunday, and they have dropped 10 of the past 11 games overeall. They're also 1-9 AST over the previous 10 outings. The over is an impressive 4-1-1 over the past six, and 6-2-2 in the previous 10 outings.

Phoenix (13-15 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) finds themselves in a strange spot, fighting for their playoff lives. While they're 3 1/2 games ahead of the Fever for the No. 8 spot with two weeks to go, it's unusual to see the Mercury way down in fifth place so late in the season. The Mercury are just 2-5 SU over the past seven outings, although they are a solid 9-3 ATS across the past 12 contests.

Seattle (15-14 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) haven't looked like the team which won the WNBA title last season. They're 3-6 SU across the past nine outings, and 4-5 ATS during the impressive span.

Washington (21-8 SU, 17-11-1 ATS) is not showing any signs of letting up, and the Mystics might be the odds-on favorites to win the WNBA title at this point. They have won six of the past seven, and 11 of the past 13, and they're hot against the number, too. The Mystics have posted a 5-1 ATS mark across the past six, while also going 8-3-1 ATS over the past 12 contests. They're latest win, a 101-72 rout of visiting New York, was their third triple-digit scoring performance in the past four games on their home floor.

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 27

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Trend Report
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Indiana Fever
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Indiana is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
Indiana is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Las Vegas
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

New York Liberty
New York is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
New York is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York

Washington Mystics
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Los Angeles is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington

Minnesota Lynx
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Seattle Storm
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Connecticut is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Connecticut's last 12 games when playing on the road against Seattle


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 27


Las Vegas @ Indiana

Game 621-622
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
109.362
Indiana
106.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 3
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 7
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 619-620
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
104.327
New York
104.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
Even
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6
157
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+6); Over

Los Angeles @ Washington

Game 623-624
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
114.488
Washington
119.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
163 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+6 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 625-626
August 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.401
Minnesota
112.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2 1/2); Under

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 627-628
August 27, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.303
Seattle
106.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-2 1/2); Over

[Udog]

LAS VEGAS ACES AT INDIANA FEVER (+7, 161)

There’s no rest for the weary when the Aces come to Indiana to take on the Fever Tuesday night. Las Vegas is playing its third game in five nights, all of which coming away from Sin City.

"We're a tired basketball team right now, but the league doesn't stop,” Vegas head coach Bill Laimbeer told the media after the Aces’ loss at Minnesota on Sunday. “So, we need some practice time, we need a little bit of rest, but unfortunately, we're still on the road and we have more games, and we have to find it."

The Aces, who average 80.6 points per game on the road this season, managed just 77 in the loss to the Lynx, including only 18 points in the first quarter. Las Vegas has been one the fastest-starting teams in 2019, putting up over 21 average points in opening frames, but that number has dipped to 18.8 points per first quarter on the road.

The Fever don’t budge in the opening 10 minutes, allowing a league-low 18.5 first-quarter points this season, including allowing Seattle just 14 points in the opening quarter in the Fever’s road victory over the Storm on Sunday. Offensively, Indiana takes a while to get going, netting an average of 16.7 points in the first quarter inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse – another WNBA low.

With a tired visiting team dragging their Nikes and a stingy host in the first frame, bettors should brace for an uneventful opening 10 minutes of tonight’s game.

PREDICTION: Under first-quarter 40.5


LOS ANGELES SPARKS AT WASHINGTON MYSTICS (-6.5, 163.5)

The headliner of Tuesday’s WNBA odds board is a West-versus-East clash between the Sparks and Mystics, two teams fighting for playoff positioning and a possible first-round bye in the postseason.

The total for this matchup opened 161 and immediately jumped to 163.5. And why not? Los Angeles and Washington are two of the top 3-point shooting teams in the league, with rosters loaded with offensive standouts.

However, if L.A.’s win over Connecticut on Sunday was any indication, the intensity level among playoff contenders is starting to rise, which means tougher defense. The Sparks and Sun played a physical game and the final score fell Under the 156.5-point total. The same could be said for the Mystics' meeting with Chicago on Friday, which also stayed below the 174.5-point total – the highest Over/Under number of the 2019 WNBA season.

And while known for their scoring - Los Angeles ranked No. 4 and Washington ranked No. 1 - these clubs have leaned on defense to get the job done over the past month, with the Sparks holding foes to 75.7 points per game (second lowest) and the Mystics limiting opponents to 77.1 points per outing (fourth lowest) in August.

PREDICTION: Under 163.5

Sunday’s picks: 2-0
Season to date: 66-42-1