Saturday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/3

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, August 3

Good Luck on day #215 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— White Sox 4, Phillies 3 (15)— OF Roman Quinn pitched, took the loss; P Vince Velasquez made a great catch and threw a guy out at the plate from LF.

— Cubs 6, Brewers 2— Javier Baez had three hits, knocked in three runs.

— Washington 3, Arizona 0— Diamondbacks had only one hit.

— Rangers 5, Tigers 4— Detroit lost 34 of its last 41 games.

— Dodgers put P Hyun-Jin Ryu (neck) on the IL.

— 77 players were traded in 30 deals at the trade deadline Wednesday.


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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: College football knowledge……..

Numbers/ratings in this list are from Phil Steele’s college football magazine:
13) Top 3 quarterbacks in country:
Trevor Lawrence (Clemson), Tua Tagovailoa (Alabama), Justin Herbert (Oregon)

12) Top three offensive lines in country:
Oregon, Georgia, Clemson

11) Most experienced offensive lines in country:
Oregon, UL-Monroe, UL-Lafayette, Texas Tech

10) Teams who lose lot of close games one year tend to improve the next year; these teams had 4 net close losses last year:

Arkansas, Nebraska, North Carolina, Western Kentucky (2 have new coaches this year)

9) Teams who win lot of close games one year tend to regress the next year; these teams had 4 net close wins last year:

Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas

8) Michigan State gained 18.3 yards per point LY, 2nd-worst in country, which means their defense/special teams provided very little help to the offense. As a result, Spartans regressed from a 10-3 record in 2017 to 7-6 LY.

Here is how Michigan State fared the last six years:
2013-15: 36-5 W-L, +46 turnover margin
2016-18: 20-18 W-L, -1 turnover margin

7) Then there is Utah State, which gained only 10.46 yards/point LY, best in country, as they jumped from 6-7 to 11-2, and their coach jumped to Texas Tech for more money.

Aggies were +14 in turnovers LY, after being -2 in turnovers from 2015-17.

6) These four teams had the best defensive yards/point in country LY:

Clemson, Fresno State, Kentucky, Mississippi State— Bulldogs have only 9 of 22 starters back this season; other three teams all have only four starters back on defense. Experienced teams tend to get the most out of what they have, then take a step back when new guys step n.

5) These three teams had the worst defensive yards/point in country LY:
Bowling Green, Louisville, Western Michigan

Louisville went 57-21 from 2012-17, then went 2-10 LY and fired the coach; Bowling Green also fired its coach, who was 9-27 the last three years (they were 28-14 from 2013-15).

4) Toughest schedules in country this fall:

South Carolina, Auburn, USC, Texas A&M

3) Since 1991, 353 teams went -10 or worse in turnovers; 67% of them improved the next year, only 23% got worse:

-17: UTEP, UConn
-14: East Carolina, Rutgers
-12: Louisville, UL-Monroe

2) Since 1991, 440 teams went +10 or better in turnovers; only 28% of them improved the next year, 64% got worse:

+22 Georgia Southern
+16 Kansas
+14: UCF, Utah State
+13: Syracuse, Ohio U.

1) Over the last seven seasons, 53 teams were +14 or better in turnovers; 45 of those 53 teams did worse the following season.

Kansas went 3-9 with a +16 turnover ratio, which isn’t easy; they fired the coach and brought in Les Miles, so the Jayhawks will be a fascinating study for the next couple years. Miles will improve their talent base.

[Udog]

WNBA

Saturday, August 3

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Trend Report
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Chicago Sky
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Minnesota's last 22 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Fever
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indiana is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Las Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Dallas
Las Vegas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Las Vegas
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 3

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MINNESOTA (10 - 10) at INDIANA (7 - 15) - 8/3/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (11 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 16) - 8/3/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LAS VEGAS (14 - 7) at DALLAS (6 - 15) - 8/3/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, August 3


Chicago @ Atlanta

Game 629-630
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.077
Atlanta
102.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 7 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Under

Minnesota @ Indiana

Game 627-628
August 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
107.311
Indiana
107.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
Even
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+2 1/2); Under

Las Vegas @ Dallas

Game 631-632
August 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
115.156
Dallas
105.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 9 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(-7); Under