Wednesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/26

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, June 26

Good Luck on day #177 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Five MLB teams led off their first inning Tuesday with a home run, tying the most leadoff homers in one day in MLB history.

— Phillies 7, Mets 5— First time since ’09 Phillies hit 4+ HR’s in consecutive games.

— Royals 8, Indians 6— Hunter Dozier hit a 9th-inning grand slam.

— Padres 8, Orioles 3— Manny Machado homered in his return to Camden Yards.

— Vanderbilt 4, Michigan 1— Teams meet for the national title tonight.

— Bengals’ rookie LT Jonah Williams (shoulder) will likely miss the whole 2019 season.


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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Big 14 football knowledge…….

Illinois— Lovie Smith is 9-27 SU at Illinois, 4-10 vs spread as a home underdog; with 17 of 22 starters back this year, if they don’t show improvement this year, then what? Illini is 9-18 vs spread as an underdog under Smith; their last bowl was in 2014, last bowl win in 2011.

Indiana— Under Allen, Hoosiers are 5-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 2-5 as a home dog; they’ve got seven starters back on both sides of the ball this year. Indiana has two new coordinators this season, with their new OC coming in from Fresno State.

Iowa— Last four years, Iowa is 37-16 SU, with a +33 turnover margin; they won their last couple bowls. Since 2013, Hawkeyes are 15-2-1 vs spread as a road favorite. Iowa has only four starters back on defense this year.

Maryland— Mike Locksley went 3-31 as HC of New Mexico from 2009-11, somehow got this job. Terps lost their last three bowls; their last bowl win was in 2010. Last five years, Maryland is 5-19 vs spread coming off a win.

Michigan— Under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 7-12 vs spread on road, 4-7 vs spread coming off a loss- they lost last three bowls, giving up 33.3 ppg. Michigan has a senior QB (23 starts) and a new OC who ran a no-huddle offense at his last stop.

Michigan State— Last four years, Spartans are 8-13 vs spread as a home favorite; they’ve got 17 of 22 starters back this year, with a senior QB (25 starts). In their last four bowls, MSU scored 42-0-42-6 points. TO margin from 2013-15: +46. From 2016-18: -1.

Minnesota— Gophers have 9 starters back on offense this year; both soph QB’s (split time LY) are also back. Minnesota won its last three bowls, allowing 14-12-10 points. Under Fleck, Minnesota is 6-1 vs spread in non-conference games.

Nebraska— From 2009-14, Nebraska was 57-24, but Cornhuskers had losing seasons three of last four years; since 2013, they’re 13-20-1 vs spread as a home favorite, but last two years, they’re 7-2 as road underdogs. Last seven years, Nebraska’s turnover ratio: minus-41.

Northwestern— Wildcats are 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in four of those five games- they’ve had a plus TO ratio the last seven years (+45 total). New QB this year, with one candidate a transfer from Clemson.

Ohio State— Day is the new HC; over last decade, Buckeyes are 10-1 vs spread as an underdog. OSU has only 4 starters back on offense; QB Fields is a transfer from Georgia. Since 2015, Buckeyes are 11-16 vs spread as a home favorite.

Penn State— Under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 17-11-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 7-8 as road favorite, 5-8 as an underdog, 4-13 coming off a loss. Average total in their last three bowls: 75.0. PSU will have a new starting QB this fall.

Purdue— Last five years, Boilermakers are 14-4 as road underdogs; they were favored in all their road games LY. Purdue is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 non-league games. Split bowls last two years, with totals of 73-77, their first bowls since 2012.

Rutgers— Scarlet Knights’ last bowl was 2014; under Ash, they’re 7-29 SU. Rutgers had a -14 turnover ratio LY; their last positive TO ratio was in 2012. Last two years, Knights are 7-4 vs spread as a home underdog.

Wisconsin— Badgers are 5-0 in bowls the last five years; they were underdog in three of the five games. Over last decade, they’re 11-5 vs spread as an underdog. Under Chryst, Wisconsin is 11-3 vs spread as a road favorite.

[Udog]

WNBA

Wednesday, June 26

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Trend Report
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Washington Mystics
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Washington is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Connecticut is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games
Dallas is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Connecticut


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[Udog]

This report will update asap....


WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 26

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WASHINGTON (7 - 3) at CHICAGO (6 - 3) - 6/26/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (9 - 2) at DALLAS (2 - 6) - 6/26/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky (+5.5, 164.5)

The Mystics and Sky have a high-noon shootout scheduled Wednesday, and WNBA bettors who are balancing action and work have an opportunity to get in and out of this one in a hurry.

Washington and Chicago rank No. 2 and No. 3 in first quarter points per game, with the Mystics posting 23.5 and the Sky averaging 22.9 in the first 10 minutes. Both teams shoot a blistering percentage in the first frame as well, with Washington knocking down half of its takes and Chicago making more than 48 percent of its first-quarter field goals.
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Defensively, the Mystics and Sky have enjoyed early-game shootouts with Washington allowing almost 21 points per first frame (ninth in WNBA) and Chicago giving up 21.8 points to foes in the first quarter (12th in the WNBA).

These teams met in D.C. back on June 5 and combined for 52 first-quarter points, blasting Over the first-quarter total. Bettors looking for some quick and dirty daytime action have an edge here with the Over in the first Q again Wednesday.

PREDICTION: Over first-quarter 41.5


Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings (+8.5, 150.5)

It’s a first-versus-worst matchup in Dallas tonight, with the league-leading Sun visiting the 2-6 Wings. Dallas is playing better basketball – outside of a recent road loss in Las Vegas (but don’t we all lose something every time we visit Sin City?) – especially at home.

The Wings picked up their first two wins of the season inside College Park Center in the middle of the month and looking back over their four home stands on the season, they own a +4.5 margin of victory versus an average pointspread of +4.12 which has led to a 3-1 ATS mark as hosts.

Dallas ranks as the No. 2 defense in the league but much of that has to do with the team’s methodical pace with the basketball. The Wings are the slowest pace in the WNBA at 91.28 and that alone limits opponents to only 64.4 field goal attempts per game. That said, Dallas has done a good job defending those looks, with foes shooting just under 41 percent per game.

Connecticut likes to get out and run, averaging a league-high 12 points of fast breaks per contest and pushing a pace of 96.16, while attempting more than 71 shots an outing. Given the size of this spread, Dallas’ strong showings at home, and the Wings’ slow-motion style limiting the Sun’s scoring chances, there’s value with the home dog Wednesday.

PREDICTION: Dallas +8.5

Tuesday’s picks: 2-0
Season to date: 24-16

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 26


Washington @ Chicago

Game 605-606
June 26, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
114.759
Chicago
112.458
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5 1/2); Under

Connecticut @ Dallas

Game 607-608
June 26, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.966
Dallas
106.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 8 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+8 1/2); Under