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Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/18

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  • Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, June 18

    Good Luck on day #169 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six least experienced offensive lines, according to Phil Steele’s magazine:

    Navy— 23 returning starts

    Florida— 24

    Oklahoma— 24

    Colorado State— 26

    Tulsa— 27

    Rice, Cincinnati– 31


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Some early notes for SEC college football……

    14) Vanderbilt— Vandy has new QB this year but grad transfer Neal started 23 games at Ball State. Commodores have won three straight over Tennessee for first time since 1926.

    13) Texas A&M— Jimbo Fisher is 6-2 in bowl games; Aggies scored 52-52 points in their last two bowls, are 8-1-1 vs spread in last 10 non-league games. A&M has only 4 starters back on defense.

    12) Tennessee— Volunteers haven’t gone bowling since 2016; they won last three bowls, scoring 42.7 ppg. Last two years, Vols are 3-11 vs spread at Neyland Stadium. Their offensive line is expected to be much better this year.

    11) South Carolina— Senior QB Bentley has already started 32 games; last two years. Gamecocks are 6-0 vs spread as a road dog. Carolina last four games with Georgia, by 32-14-14-24 points.

    10) Missouri— Clemson transfer Kelly Bryant takes over at QB for Drew Lock; under Odom, Mizzou is 10-7 vs spread as a HF. Former Tennessee coach Derek Dooley is the Tigers’ OC.

    9) Mississippi State— Last seven times Bulldogs were an underdog, the home team covered the spread; last two years, State is 8-3 vs spread as a home favorite. New QB for MSU this season.

    8) Ole Miss— Under Luke, Rebels are 3-9 vs spread as an underdog, 0-5 at home; they were 0-8 vs spread in SEC games last year. Ole Miss won four of its last five bowl games (last one in ’15).

    7) LSU— Under Orgeron, Tigers covered six of seven games as an underdog, but he is 0-3 vs Alabama, outscored 63-10 in those games. Tigers are 7-9 as a favorite under Coach O.

    6) Kentucky— Wildcats won 10 games LY for first time since 1977; they have only 10 returning starters this year. Last two years, Wildcats are 0-9 vs spread as a home favorite.

    5) Georgia— Dawgs won 10+ games five of last seven years; they’re 13-6 vs spread in last 19 SEC games. This is first time since 1995 that Georgia opens season with an SEC game (Vanderbilt).

    4) Florida— Gators have only one returning starter back on OL (24 career starts). Mullen is 6-2 in bowl games, winning last four. Florida plays Miami this year for first time since 2013.

    3) Auburn— Last five years, Tigers are 9-20-1 vs spread as home favorites; LY they were 0-7 vs spread in game following a win, 4-1 after a loss. New quarterback this season for Auburn.

    2) Arkansas— Razorbacks are 6-18 SU the last two years, 1-15 in SEC games (beat Ole Miss 38-37 in ’17). Arkansas brought in pair of grad transfer QB’s this year, figure to improve there.

    1) Alabama— Crimson Tide is +40 in turnovers the last four years; they’re 41-1 SU at home the last six years, and covered 10 of last 15 games as a road favorite.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:25 PM.

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    • #3
      WNBA Betting Recap - 6/11-6/17
      Joe Williams

      League Betting Notes (Tuesday, June 11 through Monday, June 17)

      -- Underdogs went 8-6 straight up (SU)
      -- Underdogs went 10-4 against the spread (ATS)
      -- Road teams went 8-6 SU
      -- Home teams went 8-6 ATS
      -- The 'under' went 11-3

      Season Totals To Date

      -- Favorites are 27-18 straight up (SU)
      -- Underdogs 24-19-2 against the spread (ATS)
      -- Home teams are 26-19 SU
      -- Home teams are 22-21-2 ATS
      -- The 'under' is 31-14

      Team Betting Notes

      -- Atlanta (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS) continues to struggle without F Angel McCoughtry (knee), as they have dropped five in a row since opening with a victory against Dallas (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS). The Wings returned the favor with a 71-61 victory against the Dream as 3 1/2-point underdogs at home on Saturday.

      -- The Wings have hit the 'under' in all six of their games so far, as they're averaging just 68.0 points per game (PPG), ranking 11th in the WNBA. They're also 11th in field-goal percentage (37.6 percent), 11th in 3-point percentage (26.4 percent) and 10th in free-throw percentage (76.5 percent), too.

      -- Chicago (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) stumbled out of the gate at 1-2 SU/ATS, but they have rattled off three consecutive victories. The improvement on the defensive end has been the biggest difference, as they allowed 90.3 PPG in the first three games, while yielding just 70.0 PPG over the past three.

      -- Connecticut (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) has posted five consecutive victories since their lone loss on May 31 in Los Angeles (4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS).

      -- The Sparks have played just two home games in their seven outings, going 1-1 SU/ATS in their two games at home.

      -- Indiana (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) has hit the 'under' in each of the past two games, their first consecutive games with an under result after opening with overs in five of their first six outings. Next up is a trip to visit the struggling Dream on June 19.

      -- Minnesota (0-4 SU, 2-2 ATS) fired out of the box with a 3-0 SU mark, but they're 1-4 SU across the past five, and 0-5-1 ATS in the past six outings.

      -- Las Vegas (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) has posted back-to-back victories for the first time this season. While they're been a bit uneven against the spread, they're a friend of total bettors with the 'under' going 6-1 through the first seven games, including each of the past five.

      -- New York (3-5 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) saw their mini two-game win streak come to a close, but they're still a solid 4-3-1 ATS across the first eight outings. They have also covered four of the past five outings after opening the season 0-2-1 ATS through the first three.

      -- Phoenix (2-4 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) has gotten off to a rough and uncharacteristic slow start. In the two victories, the 'over' is 2-0, and in their four losses the 'under' is a perfect 4-0. They're 1-3 SU/ATS in four games on the road, and they'll likely be heavy favorites on June 20 in Dallas in their next road contest.

      -- Seattle (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) picked up victories in consecutive games for the first time this season in Indiana and Washington, but Connecticut slapped them back to Earth in a 14-point loss on Sunday. The under is 7-2 through the first nine outings for the defending WNBA champs.

      -- Washington (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) has ripped off five wins in the first seven outings, and they're 0-2 SU/ATS in two games against the Sun, and 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in five games against everyone else. The 'under' is also 2-0 in their two outings against Connecticut, and 3-2 against the other five.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:26 PM.

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      • #4
        WNBA

        Tuesday, June 18


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Washington Mystics
        Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
        Washington is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
        Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Los Angeles
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
        Washington is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        Los Angeles Sparks
        Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        Los Angeles is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
        Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
        Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
        Los Angeles is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 12 games when playing Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Washington
        Los Angeles is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington
        Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:27 PM.

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        • #5
          WNBA
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, June 18


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WASHINGTON (4 - 3) at LOS ANGELES (4 - 3) - 6/18/2019, 10:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LOS ANGELES is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:27 PM.

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          • #6
            WNBA ATS Record By Team:

            East:

            Connecticut 6-3 ATS
            Chicago 4-2 ATS
            Washington 3-4 ATS
            Indiana 4-4 ATS
            New York 4-3 ATS
            Atlanta 1-5 ATS

            West:
            Las Vegas 3-4 ATS
            Los Angeles 3-3-1 ATS
            Seattle 5-4 ATS
            Minnesota 4-4-1 ATS
            Phoenix 2-3-1 ATS
            Dallas 3-3 ATS
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:27 PM.

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            • #7
              WNBA
              Dunkel

              Tuesday, June 18



              Washington @ Los Angeles

              Game 639-640
              June 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Washington
              113.870
              Los Angeles
              109.813
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Washington
              by 4
              166
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Los Angeles
              by 3
              160 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Washington
              (+3); Over
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-18-2019, 12:28 PM.

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              • #8
                WNBA Lady Luck: June 18 free picks, predictions and betting odds

                Candace Parker, a two-time WNBA MVP, averaged almost 18 points per game in 2018 and adds another weapon to a L.A. offense ranked third in scoring in the league, pouring in 81.1 points per game.

                There’s only a single game on the WNBA betting odds board Tuesday but it so happens to feature the return of one of the league’s all-time greats, when the Washington Mystics visit the Los Angeles Sparks for a late 10:30 p.m. ET tipoff.

                We size up tonight’s odds and give our best bets and WNBA predictions in our daily "Lady Luck".

                Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks (-3, 162.5)

                One of the biggest stars of the WNBA returns to action Tuesday night. Los Angeles Sparks forward Candace Parker has been cleared to play after missing the start of the 2019 schedule with a hamstring injury.

                Parker, a two-time WNBA MVP, averaged almost 18 points per game in 2018 and adds another weapon to a L.A. offense ranked third in scoring in the league, pouring in 81.1 points per game.

                The 6-foot-4 Parker should also help improve the Sparks defense (even if she plays limited minutes), which has struggled in recent contests. Los Angeles is allowing an average of 85 points against on 42.9 percent shooting over the past four games, going 2-2 SU and ATS in those outings.

                While L.A. brings back its top talent (and possibly Alana Beard, who is listed as questionable tonight), the Washington Mystics are missing some important role players. Emma Meesseman and Kim Mestdagh have been “suspended” by the team while they participate in the Women’s EuroBasket tournament for Belgium.

                Meesseman was scoring 13.3 points per contest while Mestdagh was logging more than 16 minutes per game and scoring three points per outing off the bench. Washington has undoubtedly missed them, dropping their past two games without the duo and scoring just 71 and 75 points in defeats to Connecticut and Seattle.

                Los Angeles, on the other hand, has played well without Parker and Beard to start the year. The Sparks are 4-3 and 3-3-1 ATS and getting terrific work from sisters Nneka and Chiney Ogwumike as well as guard Chelsea Gray. Take L.A. to cover the spread at home tonight.

                PREDICTION: Los Angeles -3

                Sunday’s picks: 2-0
                Season to date: 18-9

                Comment


                • #9
                  WNBA O/U Record By Team:

                  East:
                  Connecticut 3-6 O/U
                  Chicago 1-4-1 O/U
                  Washington 3-4 O/U
                  Indiana 5-3 O/U
                  New York 4-4 O/U
                  Atlanta 1-5 O/U

                  West:
                  Las Vegas 1-6 O/U
                  Los Angeles 3-4 O/U
                  Seattle 2-6-1 O/U
                  Minnesota 3-6 O/U
                  Phoenix 2-4 O/U
                  Dallas 0-6 O/U

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