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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, May 30

    Good Luck on day # 150 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Matchups for the Gavitt Games this fall:

    — Villanova at Ohio State

    — Michigan State at Seton Hall

    — Creighton at Michigan

    — Purdue at Marquette

    — Providence at Northwestern

    — Penn State at Georgetown

    — Minnesota at Butler

    — DePaul at Iowa


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) One important thing in baseball now is for your starting pitchers to go deeper into games, to take stress off your bullpen. Over the course of a 162-game schedule, you can wear out your bullpen if they get used too much— after all, the starting pitchers are the better pitchers.

    So far this season, Angels have only had 10 games where their starter went 6+ innings, but they use the opener a decent amount. John Means lasted six innings Wednesday; it was only the 11th game that Baltimore’s starters lasted 6+ innings

    12) Pirates 7, Reds 2— These teams don’t like each other; since 2014, 72 Pirates have been hit by Cincinnati pitchers, 64 Reds have been hit by Pittsburgh hurlers. Six players were hit in the 5-4 Pirates’ win Wednesday.

    Eugenio Suarez got drilled on the hand in 8th inning; x-rays came back negative, but Suarez had some words for pitcher Clay Holmes on his way to first base.

    11) Cubs starting pitchers gave up 6+ runs four games in a row Saturday-Tuesday, first time they’ve done that since August of 2006.

    10) Foul poles at Safeco Field in Seattle are 92 feet high. In case you were wondering.

    9) Toronto will host a college basketball tripleheader Nov 16;
    — Tennessee-Washington
    — Buffalo-Harvard
    — Rutgers-St Bonaventure

    8) College basketball transfer portal:
    — Coppin State transfer Justin Steers bolts to Rider.

    7) Baseball stuff:
    — Astros put SS Carlos Correa (broken rib) on IL.

    6) Houston now has Altuve, Springer, Correa, Diaz all on the IL. Tough times for their training staff. Correa got hurt during a home massage; he broke a rib getting massaged.

    5) Top five starting pitchers, if you bet on all their starts:
    1. Lucas Giolito CWS (8-2) +$855
    2. Clayton Kershaw LA (8-0) +$800
    3. Jordan Lyles Pitt (8-2) +$777
    4. Matt Shoemaker Tor (5-0) +$673
    5. Jose Berrios Minn (9-2) +$671

    4) Seven of Notre Dame’s football opponents this fall have a bye week the week before they play the Fighting Irish, first time that has happened to anyone in the last 30 years.

    3) Former Bengals’ coach Marvin Lewis has joined Arizona State’s football staff as a special advisor to head coach Herm Edwards. Too bad; Lewis was good on TV doing AAF games and would’ve been a solid TV analyst for NFL games.

    2) Blue Jays’ CF Jonathan Davis made one of the best catches you’ll ever see to end the first inning in Tampa Bay last night- it saved two runs, cost Avisail Garcia two RBI.

    1) Random thing I learned today: singer Ariana Grande is allergic to tomatoes- she cancelled two shows after having an allergic reaction this week. No pizza for her.
    Last edited by Udog; 05-29-2019, 11:37 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-30-2019, 02:01 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Finals Game 1 - Warriors at Raptors
        Tony Mejia

        NBA Finals – Game 1

        Golden State at Toronto (-1/213.5), ABC, 9:07 p.m. ET


        2018-19 Head-to-Head Meetings
        Dec. 12 – Raptors (+8) 113 at Warriors 93 (Under 226.5)
        Nov. 29 – Raptors (-9.5) 131 vs. Warriors 128, OT (Over 223)

        The Warriors are used to taking down the East’s best player in June, having done so three of the past four years against LeBron James.

        They’ll now look to handle Kawhi Leonard, who has revenge on his mind and a solid defensive team behind him.

        These NBA Finals are expected to wrap up with Golden State celebrating a threepeat and its fourth title in five years, but how we get there remains to be seen. There are variables everywhere, starting with when and if Kevin Durant will return from a calf injury to make a run at a third straight Finals MVP.

        As of Wednesday afternoon, betting the Raptors to dethrone the Warriors would yield a return of +250 at the Westgate Superbook and William Hill shops, while Golden State is -300 practically everywhere, with the Golden Nugget still offering -280. The odds would certainly improve if the Raptors are able to hold serve on Thursday night, but if you see this series as a mismatch, those odds may be the best you’ll get the rest of the way if the Warriors are able to win another big playoff game without Durant.

        With him officially ruled out of the series opener, the Warriors went from 1-point favorites to 1-points underdogs for a Game 1 that’s essentially a pick’em. On the road without Durant, Golden State appears vulnerable.

        The Warriors will have fresher legs since they swept Portland and haven’t taken the court for a taxing game since May 20, but there’s certainly a chance that they’re rusty and struggle to adjust in a building they don’t often visit. The atmosphere is certain to be raucous, but Golden State is certainly accustomed to quieting excited crowds. They’re just not very experienced at having to do so in a series opener, which VegasInsider.com NBA expert Kevin Rogers points out.

        “For only the second time since Steve Kerr took over as head coach of the Warriors in 2014, Golden State will begin a playoff series on the road. The Warriors traveled to Houston to open the Western Conference Finals in 2018 and not only won the opener by 13 points, but closed out the series with a road win in Game 7,” Rogers said. “Golden State owns a perfect 4-0 record in NBA Finals openers the last four seasons, although two of those victories came in overtime. The Raptors have struggled in franchise history in home Game 1’s by compiling a dreadful 2-7 SU/ATS record since 2014, but one of those victories came in the second round this season against Philadelphia.”

        The Warriors last played in Toronto back on November 29, losing 131-128 in overtime without Stephen Curry, who missed that game with a groin injury. Durant scored 51 points in the loss, which was one of those early-season games that set the stage for things to come. Curry was back for the blowout loss suffered 13 days later in Oakland but scored just 10 points, so he’s going to need to catch an early rhythm against pesky defenders in Kyle Lowry, Danny Green and Leonard.

        Although Toronto swept the season series despite not having the services of Marc Gasol, it had lost 16 of the previous 18 meetings against the Warriors over the previous decade. Golden State hadn’t lost at ScotiaBank Arena (formerly the Air Canada Centre) since 2014 before this season’s meeting, and they’ll be looking to run their road playoff winning streak to four games here.

        Without Durant available and DeMarcus Cousins unlikely to play a major role if he does return since he’s had such limited practice time, Draymond Green must stay out of foul trouble in Game 1 since he’ll be counted on to help defend Leonard while also rebounding and leading the break, serving as the point forward to help get Curry and Klay Thompson quality looks from the perimeter. One of the most crucial factors set to unfold in this opener is seeing how he controls his temper considering there are plenty of agitators available in Serge Ibaka, Gasol and Pascal Siakam who will be baiting him in a hostile atmosphere.

        The Warriors are going to need the likes of Kevon Looney and Jordan Bell to continue helping Green out in the post, but he’s going to need to be the most productive guy out there. Green has been masterful against Houston and Portland with Durant sidelined, playing the role of conduit to make Golden State tick over thee past few years and must do so again, which makes him my pick for Finals MVP. He’s getting 10-to-1 odds at Sportsbook.ag. Curry is listed as the favorite considering how dominant he was in closing out the Rockets and Trail Blazers, but there’s just not much value in backing the favorite on this type of bet. I’d ride the other Splash Brother over Curry with Klay Thompson yielding a 20-to-1 payout.

        If you’re all in on the Raptors, you’re banking on Leonard’s quad and knee holding up, not to mention Siakam’s health continuing to improve. Leonard has been brilliant despite playing through a quad injury that has limited his explosiveness, but avoiding a Game 7 and a return trip to Milwaukee has helped matters and he’s saying all the right things about feeling healthy entering this series. Siakam, Gasol, Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and Ibaka all stepped up significantly to help put away the Bucks and will be counted on to continue playing well at home in order to get off to a strong start and make this a competitive NBA Finals.

        On paper, there’s no reason they shouldn’t hold up against a Durant-less Warriors team if everyone plays to their potential. The pick’em is fair and not a trap line. If Leonard is healthy, he’ll have Green exhausted by game’s end. There’s no question the Toronto frontcourt is deeper and more talented. Can the guards make enough shots and get enough stops against one of the most prolific backcourts the NBA has ever seen? How will the feeling-out process come into play?

        The total for Game 1 opened at 215 and the number has dropped to 213 as of Wednesday. VegasInsider.com NBA expert Chris David offered up his thoughts on the series opener.

        “Total bettors could be scratching their heads in Game 1 since we’ve seen conflicting trends for both clubs in the postseason,” said David. “Golden State has watched the ‘over’ go 10-6 in the playoffs and that includes a 6-2 mark on the road. Meanwhile, the ‘under’ has gone 12-6 (67%) in 18 postseason games and ten of those contests were played at Scotiabank Arena where the low side went 6-4.

        “In the two regular season encounters between the pair, the totals ranged from 223 to 226 ½ and both games had key starters missing and that trend will continue on Thursday with KD out for Golden State. Durant’s absence is worth a few points to the total but it’s apparent that the oddsmakers are respecting the Raptors defense after watching the unit stifle Milwaukee in the East Finals. We’re going to find out very quickly if the inept production from the Bucks was based on the Raptors defense or just poor shooting.”

        Pace will play a huge role since Curry and Thompson will let the 3-ball fly whenever they have clean looks to avoid bogging down against the Raptors’ halfcourt defense, but they’re not likely to get away with coming down and consistently launch 30-footers. It will also be interesting to see who comes off utilizing a traditional center first since Andrew Bogut and Damian Jones are available for Steve Kerr to throw out there against Gasol, but both teams will likely employ small-ball looks throughout most of the series. Ibaka was incredibly productive off the bench and was an x-factor in beating the Bucks, while Green, Looney and Bell are all capable of holding down the five-spot to get more shooting on the floor.

        “Golden State was ranked first in scoring offense (117.5) on the road this season and that average jumped to 118.8 PPG in eight playoff tilts away from home. In 15 road games versus the East this season, the Warriors averaged 114.8 PPG but they did lay some eggs against playoff teams in losses to the Magic (103-96) and Pistons (111-102),” said David. “Scoring on the Raptors won’t be easy and they’ve been great defensively at home (95.8 PPG) in the postseason albeit against less explosive teams. I believe Toronto will strike first in this series and it’s going to do so with defense, which makes me lean to the ‘under’ in Game 1.”

        The Raptors have won five consecutive home games and are 8-2 in Toronto this postseason after going 32-9 during the regular season, the third-best mark in the league. Golden State tied the Bucks for the regular-season’s top road mark and are 6-2 in opposing gyms in these playoffs, beating all of their foes at least once. That’s all it’s going to take to significantly alter this series since it would steal away homecourt advantage with Durant likely to join the party.

        Comment


        • #5
          Trends to Watch - Game 1

          -- The home team has gone 19-3 straight up in Game 1 of the last 22 NBA Finals.

          -- Twelve of the last 15 victories have come by double digits.

          -- The ‘under’ has gone 10-4-1 in the last 15 openers and is 14-7-1 in the previous 22.

          -- In the last 22 years, we've only seen both teams score triple digits three times in Game 1 and all of those games went to overtime.

          -- Toronto has gone 1-2 both straight up and against the spread in Game 1 of this year's playoffs, with two of the games played at Scotiabank Arena.

          -- The Raptors are 8-2 straight up and 7-3 against the spread at home in this year's playoffs.

          -- Golden State is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in series openers, all decisions coming at home. In the first road game of a series in this year's playoffs, it has gone 2-1 both SU and ATS.

          -- Overall, the Warriors have gone 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road in this year's postseason.

          Listed below are the past 22 openers in the NBA Finals, with total results.

          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-30-2019, 02:02 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA Finals: Warriors vs Raptors series preview, odds and best bets
            Rohit Ponnaiya

            Kawhi Leonard has led the Toronto Raptors to their first NBA Finals appearance but they're +230 underdogs to win the title against the Golden State Warriors.

            The Golden State Warriors shoot for their third championship in a row as they head to Toronto to play the Raptors in Game 1 of the 2019 NBA Finals.

            The Warriors will need to get through at least the first few games of the series without the Finals MVP of the last two years in Kevin Durant. The Raptors are making their first finals appearance, have an entire nation rooting for them and are led by 2014 Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard.

            We break down the series odds and give you in-depth trends and notes so you can make the best bets for this best-of-seven battle.

            GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS TORONTO RAPTORS

            Series Winner Odds: Golden State -304/Toronto +230

            Regular Season Head to Head: Toronto 2-0


            Game 1: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON - Thursday, May 30, 9:00 p.m. ET
            Game 2: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON - Sunday, June 2, 8:00 p.m. ET
            Game 3: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA - Wednesday, June 5, 9:00 p.m. ET
            Game 4: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA - Friday, June 7, 9:00 p.m. ET
            *Game 5: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON - Mon, June 10, 9:00 p.m. ET
            *Game 6: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA - Thur, June 13, 9:00 p.m. ET
            *Game 7: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON Sun, June 16, 8:00 p.m. ET

            * If Necessary

            BACKGROUND

            The Raptors won both games in the head-to-head during the regular season but don't expect that to count for much this series, the Warriors have been notoriously laid back during the regular season for the past few years before turning their intensity up for the playoffs. On top of that, Stephen Curry and Draymond Green missed the first game while Leonard sat out the second.

            The Warriors are coming off a four game sweep of the Blazers in the Western Conference Finals, after being taken to six games by the Clippers and Rockets. They will be without Kevin Durant for at least the first game of the series and possibly longer than that. KD has been the Finals MVP for the last two years and was leading the Warriors in scoring with 34.2 ppg in the playoffs before a calf injury against the Rockets. However, in his absence Golden State has gone 6-0 while Curry and Green have dominated with the ball in their hands more often.

            Many counted out the Raptors when they fell behind two games to nothing against the Bucks after getting clobbered by 22 points in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but the Raps came back to win four in a row and book their first trip to the finals. They also had a close call in the second round, winning a tight series against the 76ers with a last-second Leonard shot that will go down in history. Toronto finished one game ahead of Golden State in the regular season standings which will give them home-court advantage in this series.

            ROAD WARRIORS

            That home-court advantage could prove crucial for a Raptors squad that is 40-11 at Scotiabank Arena this season, including 8-2 during the playoffs. Toronto has outstanding scoring margin of plus-12.1 at home in the postseason.

            However the Warriors have been excellent on the road with a league-best 33-16 record, including 6-2 in the playoffs. Their road playoff scoring margin of plus-7.9 is almost 11 points better than the Raptors scoring margin away from Toronto (minus-3).

            DEFENSE VS OFFENSE

            This could be a classic battle of two teams with different styles. Golden State has improved on their already potent offense from the regular season, scoring 116.4 points per 100 possessions while shooting 48.7 percent from the field during the playoffs. The Raptors have stepped up on the defensive end of the floor, holding postseason opponents to 102.4 points per 100 possessions.

            However the Warriors have shown flaws on the defensive end of the court, allowing 110.2 points per 100 possessions. When the Raptors have scored at least 104 points per 100 possessions during this playoffs they are 10-0.

            FALLING BEHIND EARLY

            Both teams had a bad habit of falling behind early during their conference finals matchups. Although Golden State swept Portland they trailed at halftime in each of the last three games, while Toronto trailed Milwaukee after 24 minutes in three of their last five games.

            Golden State looks to have the edge in the early going, leading the league in 1Q scoring margin with plus-3.1. Toronto is plus-1.6 in the first 12 minutes, including a terrible minus-7.3 in the first quarter of their last three games. Taking the Warriors on the 1Q spread could be a good option.

            Falling behind early will be far more costly for Toronto in this series given how well Golden State has closed out games.

            TIGHTENING UP IN THE FOURTH

            Both the Raptors and Warriors step up their defensive intensity in the fourth quarter while slowing down their offenses. The Warriors allow just 26.1 ppg in the fourth quarter and that number has been an incredible 19.3 pgg over their last three games. While the Raptors give up 26.3 ppg in the fourth, improving to 21 ppg over their previous three contests.

            On offense, Golden State puts up 26.5 ppg in the final quarter, while Toronto averages 26 ppg. Live bettors should keep those trends in mind when betting on the total late in game.

            THE KING IN THE NORTH

            Kawhi Leonard has carried the Raptors throughout the playoffs, averaging 31.2 ppg while shooting 51/39/88. The Raptors need Leonard on the floor if they want their offense to click, They average 111.7 points per 100 possessions with Kawhi on the court and just 85.1 points per 100 possessions with him on the bench. Expect him to log big minutes and take plenty of shots.

            In his lone game against the Warriors during the regular season, Leonard scored 37 points on 14 of 24 shooting from the floor. The O/U for Leonard's ppg in the series is set at 30.5
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-30-2019, 02:03 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA Finals Predictions

              The 2019 NBA Finals begins on Thursday May 30 from Scotiabank Arena as Toronto and Golden State will square off for the championship. The Warriors have won three of the last four titles and the oddsmakers have installed them as series favorites over the Raptors despite not having homecourt advantage in the best-of-seven battle.

              Toronto finished the regular season at 58-24 and was the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference while Golden State earned the top spot in the Western Conference with a 57-25 mark.

              The best-of-seven series will be played in a 2-2-1-1-1 format with a possible Game 7 taking place on Sunday June 16 from Canada.

              In this year's regular season, Toronto and Golden State played each other within a two-week span in late November and early December. The Raptors earned a 131-128 victory at home on Nov. 29 and completed the sweep with a 113-93 win at Oracle Arena on Dec. 12. In the wild shootout from Canada, Warriors All-Star Stephen Curry sat out due to a groin injury. He was available in the second encounter and the Raptors still earned the win and they did so without their best player Kawhi Leonard, who was nursing a hip injury.

              Throughout the 2019 playoffs our trio of NBA experts listed below have offered up their fearless predictions on every series and their records are listed below (Exact Games).

              Kevin Rogers: 10-4 (3)
              Chris David: 10-4 (4)
              Tony Mejia: 11-3 (3)


              Below are each of their predictions for the 2019 NBA Finals between the Raptors and Warriors which includes their analysis as well.



              Analysis - Kevin Rogers

              In a strange twist, the Raptors go from not owning home-court advantage in the Eastern Conference Finals to now possessing it in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Golden State is in familiar territory by making its fifth consecutive NBA Finals, but two things are different this time around. The Warriors don’t have to worry about containing LeBron James and Golden State will be on the road for the first two games and a potential Game 7.

              Two games into the Eastern Conference Finals, it looked like Milwaukee would be heading to the NBA Finals, but four straight victories by Toronto has the Raptors vying for their first ever championship. No LeBron this time around, but Kawhi Leonard has put together a fantastic postseason by averaging 31.2 ppg, which is nearly five points higher than his regular season average.

              Kevin Durant’s status is up in the air for Golden State after missing the Western Conference Finals with a calf injury. The big question heading into this series for the Warriors (besides the availability of KD) is if all those holes Portland dug for Golden State to climb out of was a sign to things to come or just poor starts for the Warriors.

              Toronto swept the season series, including a blowout win at Oracle Arena without Leonard. Stephen Curry didn’t suit up in an overtime loss at Toronto, as Durant lit up the Raptors for 51 points. If Durant doesn’t play and the Warriors owned home-court advantage, then Golden State should be alright. But with Durant out to start the series and the Warriors have to travel early, that could spell problems for the champs.

              Analysis - Chris David

              In the 2008 NBA Finals, the L.A. Lakers (-180) met the Celtics (+160) in the finals without homecourt advantage and that was the last time we saw a club with the venue disadvantage listed as favorites in the series. Boston won the matchup in six games and while the extra home matches played a factor in that series, it’s not always the telling factor. Since that best-of-seven battle, we’ve seen three teams in the Mavericks (2011), Heat (2012) and Cavaliers (2016) win the finals without homecourt advantage.

              While I believe Toronto will be much more competitive than last year’s LeBron James-led Cleveland Cavaliers in the finals, I can’t see the Raptors sustaining their defense against this well-tuned Warriors squad. Holding the Bucks to 102, 99 and 94 points in the last three games of the East Finals was very impressive but Milwaukee helped that cause by only hitting 31 percent from 3-point land in the series. Outside of the Game 4 win at home, every contest was tight and they’re now facing a group that is better than anybody in finishing games.

              The Raptors have a slight edge in the frontcourt due to the uncertain status of Golden State forward Kevin Durant. If he was healthy, the Warriors would likely be -500 favorites knowing how much success he’s had against Toronto. He averaged 40.5 points per game in the two losses to the Raptors this season and his career numbers (27.7 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 4.2 APG) versus the Canadian club are off the charts as well. Without KD, the Warriors are 5-0 in the postseason and his absence has helped give minutes and confidence to Steve Kerr’s reserves. If Durant returns and possibly DeMarcus Cousins too, the added talent should only create more issues for the Raptors.

              I expect Toronto to win at least one, possibly two games at home in this series and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a blowout as well since we’ve seen this Golden State team get run plenty of times this season. However, the Warriors have been very solid off losses and their playoff record at home is ridiculous. Golden State in six games (9/4) is the top choice for Exact Game Odds and that’s my lean in the finals.

              Analysis - Tony Mejia

              It's difficult to look ahead in this series since we don't know when Kevin Durant will return to alter the dynamic, but I'm of the belief we'll see him by the time the series returns to Oakland. The Warriors can theoretically win this series without him but will certainly be able to use his services to help make life more difficult for Kawhi Leonard. It's hard to imagine Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet staying as hot as they were late in the Eastern Conference finals, which means it's going to be tough to hang with the Splash Brothers, especially since Danny Green is mired in such an awful slump. Golden State will need Draymond Green to stay out of foul trouble and Andre Iguodala's calf to hold up but should win a third straight title, breaking Canadian hearts in spoiling Toronto's first Finals.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-30-2019, 02:04 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                521Golden State -522 Toronto
                GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent in the current season.




                NBA
                Dunkel

                Thursday, May 30


                Golden State @ Toronto

                Game 521-522
                May 30, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Golden State
                130.705
                Toronto
                128.382
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Golden State
                by 2 1/2
                223
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Toronto
                by 1
                215
                Dunkel Pick:
                Golden State
                (+1); Over





                NBA
                Long Sheet

                Thursday, May 30


                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                GOLDEN STATE (69 - 29) at TORONTO (70 - 30) - 5/30/2019, 9:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                GOLDEN STATE is 42-54 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
                GOLDEN STATE is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                GOLDEN STATE is 52-67 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                GOLDEN STATE is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                GOLDEN STATE is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                GOLDEN STATE is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
                GOLDEN STATE is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                TORONTO is 215-269 ATS (-80.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
                GOLDEN STATE is 4-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                NBA
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Thursday, May 30


                Warriors are in Finals for 5th year in row; Raptors are in Finals for first time. Toronto is 2-0 vs Golden State this season, winning in OT in Oakland in November, by 20 at home 13 days later, after Warriors had won previous eight meetings. Six of last eight series games went over the total. Golden State will be without Durant/Cousins; they won their last six games- their last losses were Games 2-3 in Houston. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five road games. Toronto won/covered its last four games; they won last five home games (4-1 vs spread). Over is 3-2 in last five Raptor home games.




                NBA

                Thursday, May 30


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Golden State Warriors
                Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games
                Golden State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
                Golden State is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Toronto
                Golden State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
                Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Toronto
                Golden State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                Toronto Raptors
                Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 19 games
                Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                Toronto is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Golden State
                Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Golden State
                Toronto is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State
                Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-30-2019, 02:06 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  THURSDAY, MAY 30
                  GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                  GS at TOR 09:00 PM

                  TOR -1.5

                  U 213.5
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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