The Bums 2019 WNBA News - Notes - Picks Thru The Playoffs !

[Udog]

WNBA Betting Recap - 8/20-8/26
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (Tuesday, Aug. 20 through Monday, Aug. 26)

-- Favorites went 8-7 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 9-6 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams went 9-6 SU
-- Home teams went 9-6 ATS
-- The 'over' went 10-5

Season Totals To Date

-- Favorites are 113-61 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs 91-78-5 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams are 108-66 SU
-- Road teams are 85-84-5 ATS
-- The 'under' is 87-85-2

Team Betting Notes

Atlanta (7-22 SU, 14-15 ATS) showed that they intend to be a tough out down the stretch, even if they are out of the mix for a playoff spot. The Dream rattled off two victories in three games in the past week, including three straight covers. The 3-0 ATS run is one short of a season best, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six outings. Total bettors like the Dream, too, as the 'over' is 7-1 across their past eight contests.

Chicago (18-11 SU, 19-9-1 ATS) has posted three straight wins heading into the new week. That's just one short of a season best for a win streak. The Sky is hot against the number lately, too, going 9-2 ATS across the past 11, and 10-3 ATS over the previous 13 outings. The 'over' is also on a 9-1 run acros the past 10.

Connecticut (20-9 SU, 12-17 ATS) suffered a loss in L.A. to kick off a three-game road trip. They're still 4-1 SU across the the past five, although the Sun are having trouble against the number. Connecticut is just 2-5 ATS over the past seven, and 3-8 ATS across the past 11 contests.

After a thre-game winning streak, Dallas (9-20 SU, 14-15 ATS) has dropped three in a row, and they have failed to cover in any of the outings, too. Total bettors have been flying with the Wings, though, as the 'over' is 5-1 across their past six heading into the new week.

Indiana (10-19 SU, 12-16-1 ATS) reached double-digit victories with a stunning 63-54 win in Seattle, snapping an 0-4 ATS skid. They're also just 2-7-1 ATS across the past 10 outings. The Fever have covered in back-to-back games on just three occasions this season, so watch them heading into the new week.

Las Vegas (19-11 SU, 11-19 ATS) have dropped two in a row for the first time since May 31-June 2, and both mini skids have involved Connecticut. They're 0-3 ATS across the past three and 7-14 ATS across the past 21. The 'over' has cashed in seven in a row dating back to a push on Aug. 3.

Los Angeles (18-10 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) has rattled off three straight victories and covers on their home floor after an 0-2 SU/ATS road trip on Aug. 14-16. The Sparks have won 11 straight on their home floor since a setback to the Mystics on June 18. They're also 6-1 ATS over the past seven at home.

Minnesota (15-15 SU, 16-13-1 ATS) has bounced back with a pair of wins after a three-game skid, and they have covered in back-to-back games for just the second time since mid-July. Total bettors are also loving the Lynx, as the 'over' is 6-1 across the past seven outings.

New York (9-20 SU, 10-18-1 ATS) was humbled in D.C. by 29 points on Sunday, and they have dropped 10 of the past 11 games overeall. They're also 1-9 AST over the previous 10 outings. The over is an impressive 4-1-1 over the past six, and 6-2-2 in the previous 10 outings.

Phoenix (13-15 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) finds themselves in a strange spot, fighting for their playoff lives. While they're 3 1/2 games ahead of the Fever for the No. 8 spot with two weeks to go, it's unusual to see the Mercury way down in fifth place so late in the season. The Mercury are just 2-5 SU over the past seven outings, although they are a solid 9-3 ATS across the past 12 contests.

Seattle (15-14 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) haven't looked like the team which won the WNBA title last season. They're 3-6 SU across the past nine outings, and 4-5 ATS during the impressive span.

Washington (21-8 SU, 17-11-1 ATS) is not showing any signs of letting up, and the Mystics might be the odds-on favorites to win the WNBA title at this point. They have won six of the past seven, and 11 of the past 13, and they're hot against the number, too. The Mystics have posted a 5-1 ATS mark across the past six, while also going 8-3-1 ATS over the past 12 contests. They're latest win, a 101-72 rout of visiting New York, was their third triple-digit scoring performance in the past four games on their home floor.

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 27

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Trend Report
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Indiana Fever
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Indiana is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
Indiana is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Las Vegas
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

New York Liberty
New York is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
New York is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York

Washington Mystics
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Los Angeles is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington

Minnesota Lynx
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Seattle Storm
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Connecticut is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Connecticut's last 12 games when playing on the road against Seattle


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 27


Las Vegas @ Indiana

Game 621-622
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
109.362
Indiana
106.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 3
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 7
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 619-620
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
104.327
New York
104.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
Even
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6
157
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+6); Over

Los Angeles @ Washington

Game 623-624
August 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
114.488
Washington
119.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
163 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+6 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 625-626
August 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.401
Minnesota
112.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2 1/2); Under

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 627-628
August 27, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.303
Seattle
106.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-2 1/2); Over

[Udog]

LAS VEGAS ACES AT INDIANA FEVER (+7, 161)

There’s no rest for the weary when the Aces come to Indiana to take on the Fever Tuesday night. Las Vegas is playing its third game in five nights, all of which coming away from Sin City.

"We're a tired basketball team right now, but the league doesn't stop,” Vegas head coach Bill Laimbeer told the media after the Aces’ loss at Minnesota on Sunday. “So, we need some practice time, we need a little bit of rest, but unfortunately, we're still on the road and we have more games, and we have to find it."

The Aces, who average 80.6 points per game on the road this season, managed just 77 in the loss to the Lynx, including only 18 points in the first quarter. Las Vegas has been one the fastest-starting teams in 2019, putting up over 21 average points in opening frames, but that number has dipped to 18.8 points per first quarter on the road.

The Fever don’t budge in the opening 10 minutes, allowing a league-low 18.5 first-quarter points this season, including allowing Seattle just 14 points in the opening quarter in the Fever’s road victory over the Storm on Sunday. Offensively, Indiana takes a while to get going, netting an average of 16.7 points in the first quarter inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse – another WNBA low.

With a tired visiting team dragging their Nikes and a stingy host in the first frame, bettors should brace for an uneventful opening 10 minutes of tonight’s game.

PREDICTION: Under first-quarter 40.5


LOS ANGELES SPARKS AT WASHINGTON MYSTICS (-6.5, 163.5)

The headliner of Tuesday’s WNBA odds board is a West-versus-East clash between the Sparks and Mystics, two teams fighting for playoff positioning and a possible first-round bye in the postseason.

The total for this matchup opened 161 and immediately jumped to 163.5. And why not? Los Angeles and Washington are two of the top 3-point shooting teams in the league, with rosters loaded with offensive standouts.

However, if L.A.’s win over Connecticut on Sunday was any indication, the intensity level among playoff contenders is starting to rise, which means tougher defense. The Sparks and Sun played a physical game and the final score fell Under the 156.5-point total. The same could be said for the Mystics' meeting with Chicago on Friday, which also stayed below the 174.5-point total – the highest Over/Under number of the 2019 WNBA season.

And while known for their scoring - Los Angeles ranked No. 4 and Washington ranked No. 1 - these clubs have leaned on defense to get the job done over the past month, with the Sparks holding foes to 75.7 points per game (second lowest) and the Mystics limiting opponents to 77.1 points per outing (fourth lowest) in August.

PREDICTION: Under 163.5

Sunday’s picks: 2-0
Season to date: 66-42-1

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, AUGUST 27
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LA at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -6.5
U 164.5

PHO at NY 07:00 PM
NY +6.0
O 159.5

LV at IND 07:00 PM
U 161.5

CHI at MIN 08:00 PM
O 166.0

CONN at SEA 10:00 PM
CONN +1.5

[StarDust Bum]

Griner, Mitchell lead Mercury to cusp of playoff berth
August 28, 2019
By The Associated Press

WHITE PLAINS, N.Y. (AP) Brittney Griner had 29 points and 14 rebounds, Leilani Mitchell added a career-high 29 points and Phoenix beat the New York Liberty 95-82 on Tuesday night, moving the Mercury a step closer to the playoffs.

Phoenix's magic number for clinching a playoff spot was reduced to one. The Liberty (9-21) were eliminated from postseason contention.

Diana Taurasi, who was playing her second game since returning from a hamstring injury, had only two points, missing all seven of her shots. She did have 10 assists and four rebounds for the Mercury (14-15).

LYNX 93, SKY 85

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Sylvia Fowles had a season-high 25 points and 12 rebounds, moving into third on the WNBA career rebounding list, and Minnesota beat Chicago to claim its ninth straight playoff berth.

Chicago guard Courtney Vandersloot also set a league record, breaking her single-season assists record on an inbounds pass to Diamond DeShields early in the third quarter. Vandersloot had five assists in the first quarter to tie her mark of 258 and she finished the game with 10.

Odyssey Sims had 23 points and eight assists for Minnesota (16-15), which swept Chicago this season.

Cheyenne Parker scored 22 points for Chicago (18-12).

MYSTICS 95, SPARKS 66

WASHINGTON (AP) - Aerial Powers scored 20 points, Elena Delle Donne added 14 and first-place Washington beat Los Angeles for its eighth straight home win.

Washington made six 3-pointers in the first quarter for a 33-22 lead and had nine at the break. The Mystics finished 11 of 35 from distance.

Natasha Cloud scored 15 points, Emma Meesseman had 12 and Ariel Atkins added 10 for Washington (22-8).

Candace Parker and Chelsea Gray each scored 12 points for Los Angeles (18-11).

FEVER 86, ACES 71

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - Teaira McCowan had 24 points, 17 rebounds and five blocks to lead Indiana past Las Vegas.

McCowan became the first WNBA rookie with 20-plus points and 15-plus rebounds in back-to-back games.

Mitchell finished with 16 points, Candice Dupree had 13 and Tiffany Mitchell scored 12 for Indiana (11-19).

A'ja Wilson had 18 points and eight rebounds and Kelsey Plum added 17 points for Las Vegas (19-12).

SUN 89, STORM 70

SEATTLE (AP) - Alyssa Thomas had 22 points and 11 rebounds for her seventh double-double, Courtney Williams scored 17 points and Connecticut beat Seattle.

Connecticut (21-9) is a game behind first-place Washington. Seattle (15-15) has clinched a spot in the playoffs for a chance to repeat as champion.

Jonquel Jones added 10 points for Connecticut, which is 7-8 on the road this season.

Jewell Loyd scored 18 points for Seattle, which has lost four of five.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY AUGUST 29, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Los Angeles Sparks Indiana Fever Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:00 PM Phoenix Mercury Atlanta Dream State Farm Arena
8:00 PM Dallas Wings Chicago Sky Wintrust Arena


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WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/27/2019 6-1-0 85.71% +24.50
08/25/2019 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
08/23/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
08/22/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/20/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
08/18/2019 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
08/16/2019 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
08/14/2019 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
08/13/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
08/09/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/08/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/07/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/06/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/03/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/02/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -6.50


Totals...........52-44-1 .......54.16% .....+18.50


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS

08/27/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................4 - 0...........+20.00..........+24.50
08/25/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................2 - 0...........+10.00...........+9.50
08/23/2019..............1 - 2...............-6.00.................2 - 1...........+4.50.............-1.50
08/22/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................2 - 0...........+10.00...........+9.50
08/20/2019..............1 - 3...............-11.00...............3 - 1...........+9.50............-1.50
08/18/2019..............3 - 2...............+4.00................2 - 3...........-6.50.............-2.50
08/16/2019..............3 - 2...............+4.00................2 - 3...........-6.50.............-2.50
08/14/2019..............0 - 3...............-16.50...............1 - 2............-6.00.............-22.50
08/13/2019..............0 - 2...............-11.00...............1 - 1............-0.50.............-11.50
08/10/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/09/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/08/2019..............3 - 0..............+15.00...............2 - 1............+4.50...........+19.50
08/07/2019..............1 - 0..............+5.00.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-0.50
08/06/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/04/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/03/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/02/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals.....................24 - 24.............-10.00.............29 - 19..........+40.50...........+30.50

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

— Orioles 2, Nationals 0— Baltimore was +$280.

— Pirates 5, Phillies 4— Pitt scored winning run on an error.

— Cubs 5, Mets 2— Darvish went 8 innings, first time this year he got an out in 8th inning.

— Arizona 3, Giants 2— Diamondbacks won their third straight game.

— Cardinals 6, Brewers 3— Milwaukee is 5-9 in its last 14 games.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):

NL: Braves-Cardinals-Dodgers. Wild Card: Cubs @ Nationals

AL: New York-Twins-Astros. Wild Card: A’s @ Indians

Tweet of the Day
“Never friends just had to get my ends…….shut up already.”
Antonio Brown, talking about Ben Roethlisberger

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Chicago Bears’ coach last time they played in a Super Bowl?

Tuesday’s quiz
Dan Reeves was the Falcons’ coach the first time they played in the Super Bowl.

Monday’s quiz
Atlanta Falcons are 0-2 in Super Bowls; they lost to Denver, New England.

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Wednesday’s Den: Notes for this week’s college football games

— Clemson plays Texas A&M next week; since 2013, they’re 20-17-3 as home favorites, 20-13 in non-ACC games. Tigers won their last four games with Georgia Tech, only one by more than 19 points. Tech has a new coach; they’re 8-3-1 in last dozen games as a road underdog.

— Since 2014, Florida International is 11-7-1 as a road underdog; they’ve got 16 starters back, with a senior QB (26 starts). Tulane is 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite; Green Wave is 8-5 in its last 13 non-conference games.

— Utah State has a new coach, an OL with only 15 returning starts; Aggies are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog. Wake Forest covered four of last six tries as a home favorite; they’re 11-11-1 in last 23 non-league games. Deacons have 82 returning starts on their OL. Home teams won last two series games.

— Purdue (-5) beat Nevada 24-14 in last meeting in 2016; Boilers are 3-2 as road favorites under Brohm- they covered eight of last 11 non-league games. Purdue has only three returning starters on offense. Nevada has a new QB; they covered four of last six tries as a home underdog, but are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games outside Mountain West.

— Oklahoma State has 81 starts back on the OL in front of a new QB; since 2012. Cowboys are 8-13-2 as a road favorite, but thy’ve covered 11 of last 12 games outside the Big X. Oregon State has four senior starters on the OL; Beavers are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog, 6-13 in last 19 games outside Pac-12.

— Indiana won its last two games with Ball State 30-20/38-10 (1-1 vs spread); Hoosiers covered five of last six tries as a home favorite. Indiana has 78 returning starts on its OL, seven starters back on both sides of ball. Ball State has 17 starters back; lat two years, they’re 3-9 ATS as a road underdog- Cardinals covered eight of last 12 non-MAC games.

— Last two years, Kentucky is 0-9 ATS as a home favorite; Wildcats are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games outside the SEC. Toledo covered once in its last six games as an underdog; they’re 3-7 ATS in last ten non-MAC games. Wildcats have a junior QB (13 starts) and an OL with 57 starts. Toledo should play two QB’s; their OL has 6 starts.

— Last four years, Eastern Michigan is 14-3 ATS outside the MAC; EMU’s OL has 46 returning starts, their senior QB has only three starts- their defense has only four returning starters. Coastal Carolina has a new coach; their OL has 86 returning starts. Chanticleers are 3-5 ATS as a home underdog, 5-3 ATS in non-league games.

— Since 2012, Duke is 26-8 vs spread outside the ACC; they’re 14-9 in last 23 games as a road underdog, 4-0 on a neutral field. Since 2016, Alabama is 18-13-1 as a favorite; they’re 16-21-1 ATS in last 38 non-SEC games. Crimson Tide is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games on neutral fields, though crowd for this game in Atlanta will be an Alabama crowd.

— Arkansas State will be an emotional team here; their coach’s wife passed away two weeks ag0; he has taken a leave from his job. ASU is 16-9 in it last 25 games as a home favorite, but they’re 3-11 ATS in last 14 non-Sun Belt games. SMU (-3.5) won last meeting 44-21 two years ago. Mustangs are 7-5-1 in last 13 games as a road dog, 10-6-1 in last 16 non-AAC games.

— Georgia won 45-14/31-14 in its last two visits to Vanderbilt; under Smart, Dawgs are 7-4 ATS as a road favorite. Georgia’s OL has 83 returning starts; their junior QB has 28. Vandy has a new QB; their OL has 54 returning starts; Commodores covered once in their last six games as a home underdog. Under Mason, Vandy is 21-19 ATS in SEC play.

— Missouri (-19) won its last meeting with Wyoming 40-13; QB Bryant was Clemson’s starter at this time LY. Under Odom, Mizzou is 3-3 as a road favorite; their OL has 77 returning starts. Wyoming is 10-6 in last 16 games as a home underdog; they covered three of last nine non-MW games. Cowboys’ OL has 81 returning starts; they’ll use two QB’s.

— Texas has only eight starters back this year, three on defense; they play LSU next. Longhorns’ OL does have 91 starts returning- their junior QB has 20 starts. Since 2016, Texas is 7-4 ATS outside the Big X. Since 2014, Louisiana Tech is 14-4-1 as a road underdog; their senior QB has 27 starts, their OL has 78 returning starts.

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack

How Nevada casinos made their money in July:
$10.5M— sports betting
$32.2M— roulette
$39.3M— craps
$77.1M— baccarat
$87.2M— blackjack
$307.1M— penny slots

Quote of the Day
“Just because you’re sitting behind a microphone broadcasting a game does not make you a journalist. It makes you a broadcaster. I think there’s a difference. That might seem a little quaint as well, but I think with the term journalist, you’ve had some actual training, and that there is at least a theoretical canon of ethics, and you’re there to tell the truth and let the chips fall where they may… Even the best team broadcasters in any particular sport wouldn’t necessarily be journalists.”
Bob Ley

Thursday’s quiz
Which (retired) quarterback has started the most games for the Los Angeles Rams?

Wednesday’s quiz
Lovie Smith was the Chicago Bears’ coach last time they played in a Super Bowl.

Tuesday’s quiz
Dan Reeves was the Falcons’ coach the first time they played in the Super Bowl.

************************************************** ************

Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Monday, a courageous soul in Las Vegas wagered $33,000 on the Colts (+7) in Week 1 against the Chargers. That gambler has lot of faith in Jacoby Brissett.

12) New England Patriots made two trades for offensive linemen Wednesday, addressing their need for depth on their front line.

11) Cubs 10, Mets 7— Chicago pounded Noah Syndergaard for eight runs in first two innings.

10) This is a little weird: Eagles backup QB Josh McCown will be on the sidelines at Myers Park HS in Charlotte every Friday night this fall as an assistant football coach, in addition to playing for the Eagles on Sundays, and practicing with the team during the week. McCown plans to fly to rejoin the Eagles on Friday night/Saturday morning each week.

9) Life for a marginal big league pitcher: Astros’ pitcher Cy Sneed has been called up from AAA/sent back to AAA five times in the last 48 days. Lot of frequent flyer miles.

8) Back in 2000, David Glass bought the Kansas City Royals for $96M; he is expected to sell the ballclub soon, with the price expected to be a little over $1B. Thats billion, with a B.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Dodgers’ 3B Justin Turner was suspended for a game for making contact with an ump.
— Giants DFA’d 2B Scooter Gennett.

6) Obscure stat of the day, from Christopher Kamka: Lou Piniella hit 102 career home runs, most ever by a player who never hit two home runs in a game.

5) Perk to being an NBA player: Myles Turner and Brook Lopez acted as roadies for Fleetwood Mac Tuesday night in Sydney, Australia— that must have been fun.

4) More and more, you hear NFL-types talking about how teams holding joint practices is more productive than exhibition games. The practices are over a 3-4 day period and starters can get 80+ good reps in different situations, and against other starters.

In coming years, we’ll likely see only two preseason games a year, and more joint practices.

3) Jeremy Lin signed a deal to play basketball in China this winter.

2) Indianapolis Colts now have $56.6M in salary cap space, $19.6M more than any other team in the league (Houston is 2nd).

1) Raise your hand if you’ve heard this before; USC QB Jack Sears will enter the transfer portal and will play elsewhere in 2020-21, as a graduate transfer, because he lost the starting job to sophomore QB JT Daniels. Apparently Sears is going to graduate from USC in only three years. Because of that, he can still be on the Trojans’ roster this year, and play elsewhere in 2020.

[Udog]

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana Fever
Indiana is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Indiana is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Indiana is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games at home
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Indiana is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 9 games
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Los Angeles is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Chicago Sky
Chicago is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 11 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 1-21 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 18 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (18 - 11) at INDIANA (11 - 19) - 8/29/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9 - 20) at CHICAGO (18 - 12) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (14 - 15) at ATLANTA (7 - 22) - 8/29/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, August 29


Los Angeles @ Indiana

Game 629-630
August 29, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
110.401
Indiana
107.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 3
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 6
158
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+6); Over

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 633-634
August 29, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.618
Atlanta
103.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 6 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-4 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 631-632
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
102.356
Chicago
117.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 15 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 11 1/2
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-11 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, AUGUST 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LA at IND 07:00 PM
LA -5.5
U 158.0

PHO at ATL 07:00 PM
ATL +5.5
O 155.0

DAL at CHI 08:00 PM
DAL +11.5
O 159.5

[StarDust Bum]

Gray ties Sparks' franchise mar with 7 3s in win over Fever
August 29, 2019
By The Associated Press

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) Chelsea Gray scored a career-high 30 points and tied a franchise record with seven 3-pointers, leading the Los Angeles Sparks to an 87-83 victory over the Indiana Fever on Thursday night.

Gray scored 20 points, including five 3-pointers, in the Sparks' 33-point third quarter that erased a nine-point halftime deficit and gave them a four-point edge heading into the fourth quarter.

The Sparks (19-11) went up by 11 points early in the fourth quarter. The Fever closed within two with 29.1 seconds remaining before Gray clinched it with an 18-foot jumper with 6.9 seconds left.

Teaira McCowan had 24 points and 10 rebounds for Indiana (11-20), which was eliminated from playoff contention. McCowan tied a franchise record with her third straight double-double.

Indiana's Candice Dupree scored 17 points and moved into second place in the WNBA for career field goals with 2,632. She passed Tina Thompson.

WINGS 88, SKY 83

CHICAGO (AP) - Arike Ogunbowale scored eight of her 35 points in the fourth quarter and Dallas snapped a four-game losing skid with a win over Chicago.

The Sky (18-13), who are playoff bound for the first time in two seasons, have lost consecutive games after winning three in a row.

Ogunbowale matched her career-high in scoring and added six assists. She also surpassed 500 career points and is the first rookie in league history to have seven consecutive 20-point games. Isabelle Harrison had 18 points and 12 rebounds for the Wings (10-20). Allisha Gray added 16 points and Glory Johnson had 10.

Courtney Vandersloot had 19 points and seven assists to lead the Sky. Diamond DeShields had 17 points, Allie Quigley 16 and Stefanie Dolson finished with 15 points and 11 rebounds.

MERCURY 65, DREAM 58

ATLANTA (AP) - Brittney Griner scored 21 points and Phoenix secured the final WNBA playoff spot with a win over Atlanta.

It's the seventh consecutive postseason berth for Phoenix (15-15).

Griner finished 7 of 12 from the field and made 7 of 8 free throws. She had eight rebounds and four blocks.

Atlanta (7-23) scored just six points in the first quarter before closing within one with 4:36 left in the third. But Griner scored six straight points late in the period for an eight-point edge.

Renee Montgomery led Atlanta with 20 points.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY AUGUST 30, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:30 PM Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Westchester County Center
7:30 PM Phoenix Mercury Atlanta Dream McCamish Pavilion


**************************


WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/29/2019 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
08/27/2019 6-1-0 85.71% +24.50
08/25/2019 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
08/23/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
08/22/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/20/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
08/18/2019 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
08/16/2019 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
08/14/2019 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
08/13/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
08/09/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/08/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/07/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/06/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/03/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/02/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -6.50


Totals...........54-48-1 .......52.94% .....+6.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS

08/29/2019..............1 - 2..............-6.00..................1 - 2...........-6.00.............-12.00
08/27/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................4 - 0...........+20.00..........+24.50
08/25/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................2 - 0...........+10.00...........+9.50
08/23/2019..............1 - 2...............-6.00.................2 - 1...........+4.50.............-1.50
08/22/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................2 - 0...........+10.00...........+9.50
08/20/2019..............1 - 3...............-11.00...............3 - 1...........+9.50............-1.50
08/18/2019..............3 - 2...............+4.00................2 - 3...........-6.50.............-2.50
08/16/2019..............3 - 2...............+4.00................2 - 3...........-6.50.............-2.50
08/14/2019..............0 - 3...............-16.50...............1 - 2............-6.00.............-22.50
08/13/2019..............0 - 2...............-11.00...............1 - 1............-0.50.............-11.50
08/10/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/09/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/08/2019..............3 - 0..............+15.00...............2 - 1............+4.50...........+19.50
08/07/2019..............1 - 0..............+5.00.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-0.50
08/06/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/04/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/03/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/02/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals.....................25 - 26.............-16.00.............30 - 20..........+34.50...........+18.50