The Bums 2019 WNBA News - Notes - Picks Thru The Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, AUGUST 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at IND 03:00 PM
IND -6.5
U 151.5

DAL at PHO 10:00 PM
DAL +9.0
O 145.5

[Udog]

Sunday’s 6-pack
— Reds 10, Cubs 1— Rookie Aristides Aquino hit three HR’s.
— Astros 23, Orioles 2— Rookie Yordan Alvarez hit three HR’s.
— Mets 4, Nationals 3— Luis Guillorme hit the game-winning homer.
— Twins 4, Indians 1— Minnesota regains first place in AL Central.
— Angels 12, Red Sox 4— Mike Trout hit his first home run at Fenway.
— White Sox 3, A’s 2— Oakland is 2-26 when they don’t hit a home run.

Quote of the Day
“Remember that not getting what you want is sometimes a wonderful stroke of luck.”
Dalai Lama

Sunday’s quiz
When Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl coaching Tampa Bay, who did the Buccaneers beat?

Saturday’s quiz
Antonio Brown played his college football at Central Michigan.

Friday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals’ coach Kliff Kingsbury played in one NFL game, back in 2005; he played that game for the Jets.

************************************************** ********************


Sunday’s List of 13: Some early college football knowledge for Labor Day weekend

13) Oregon has their entire offensive line back from last year (153 starts), but last three years, they’re 3-11 vs spread as an underdog, 6-13-1 ATS outside Pac-12. Ducks also have a senior QB (28 starts)- they open with an Auburn squad that has five seniors starting on OL (104 starts), but Tigers have a new QB- they’re 8-16-1 vs spread in last 25 non-SEC games.

12) Virginia Tech won three of last four games with Boston College, winning 23-10/26-10 in last two visits here- road team won four of last five series games. Since 2012, Hokies are 6-16 ATS as a road favorite.

11) Georgia won four of last five games with Vanderbilt, winning 45-14/31-14 in last two visits to Nashville. Under Kirby Smart, Dawgs are 7-4 ATS as a road favorite; last two years, Vanderbilt is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.

10) Last two years, Kentucky is 0-9 vs spread as a home favorite.

9) Since 2014, Northwestern covered 14 of 17 games as a road underdog.

8) Last two years, Fresno State is 22-6 SU, 5-0 vs spread as a road underdog, 8-2 vs spread outside Mountain West. Bulldogs have a new QB this year and an inexperienced offensive line, o they figure to take a step back despite having an excellent coach in Tedford.

USC has a soph QB (11 starts), three soph starters on OL; they crushed Fresno State 52-13 (-20) in last five meeting five years ago. Last two years, Trojans are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite; they start Pac-12 play (Stanford) next week.

7) Pittsburgh won its last four games with Virginia, winning 31-14/26-19 in last two meetings here. Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 17-11 ATS as an underdog- last three years, they’re 5-3 as a home dog. Since 2010, Virginia is 2-3 as a road favorite.

6) Since 2014, UCLA is 4-13-1 vs spread outside the Pac-12; they’ve got 19 starters back, are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog. Last six years, Cincinnati is 10-18 ATS outside AAC; under Fickell, Bearcats are 4-5 as a home favorite.

5) Utah won its last three games with rival BYU, by 1-6-8 points; Utes have senior QB (19 starts) but their OL has total of only 49 starts. BYU is 13-15 SU last two years; under Sitake, Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.

4) Since 2012, Tennessee is 11-23 vs spread as a home favorite.

3) Colorado won its last four games with Colorado State by average score of 33-12 (3-0-1 ATS); Buffs have a new coach and a senior QB (27 starts). CSU has a very young OL (26 starts); last three years, Rams are 10-4 vs spread when getting points.

2) North Carolina has a new QB, a new/old coach (Mack Brown) and a thin OL (48 starts); they lost last meeting with South Carolina 17-13 (+2) in 2015. Gamecocks covered six of last seven games on neutral fields; since 2012, SC is 2-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.

1) Houston is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games as a road dog; they upset Oklahoma 33-23 (+12) in last meeting three years ago, but Holgorsen was 0-7 vs Sooners when he coached WVU. Oklahoma beat West Virginia 59-56 (-3) in LY’s meeting; Sooners scored 52.8 ppg in winning last five games against Holgorsen’s defense.

[Udog]

WNBA

Sunday, August 11

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Trend Report
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Seattle Storm
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Seattle's last 24 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Seattle's last 15 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing New York
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Liberty
New York is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Seattle
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
New York is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Minnesota's last 24 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Mystics
Washington is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Chicago Sky
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 12 games
Connecticut is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Las Vegas
Connecticut is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Connecticut is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Connecticut's last 12 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Las Vegas is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Connecticut
Las Vegas is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Las Vegas is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Las Vegas's last 12 games when playing at home against Connecticut


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 11

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MINNESOTA (12 - 11) at WASHINGTON (15 - 7) - 8/11/2019, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (13 - 11) at NEW YORK (8 - 14) - 8/11/2019, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (14 - 9) at LOS ANGELES (14 - 8) - 8/11/2019, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (16 - 7) at LAS VEGAS (15 - 8) - 8/11/2019, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-2 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, August 11


Seattle @ New York

Game 603-604
August 11, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
109.467
New York
101.972
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 7 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
N/A

Minnesota @ Washington

Game 601-602
August 11, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
107.778
Washington
121.439
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Chicago @ Los Angeles

Game 605-606
August 11, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.898
Los Angeles
114.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 3 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
N/A

Connecticut @ Las Vegas

Game 607-608
August 11, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
110.635
Las Vegas
109.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
N/A

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Blue Jays 19, Rangers 4— Toronto is 10-5 since Bo Bichette was called up.
— Nationals 7, Reds 6— Aristides Aquino has 15 hits, 8 HR’s in his first 35 at-bats.
— Rays 10, Padres 4— Tampa Bay won eight in a row vs San Diego.
— Indians 5, Red Sox 4— Cleveland is in 1st place by itself for first time since April 20.
— JD Martinez has his batting practice videotaped every day, so he can analyze it.
— Chiefs’ rookie QB Kyle Shurmur was 6-15 for 77 yards and a TD in KC’s 38-17 win Saturday; he is the son of Giants’ coach Pat Shurmur.

Today would’ve been my parents’ 64th wedding anniversary; congrats to them up in heaven.

Quote of the Day
“While I disagree with the arbitrator’s decision, I’m working on getting back to full health and looking forward to rejoining my teammates on the field. I’m excited about this season appreciate all the concerns about my feet.”
Antonio Brown

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NFL head coach played college football at Princeton and was later Nick Saban’s QB coach with the Miami Dolphins?

Monday’s quiz
When Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl coaching Tampa Bay, Bill Callahan was coaching the Raiders.

Sunday’s quiz
When Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl coaching Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers beat Oakland, Gruden’s old team (and current team).

************************************************** *********************

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Miami Hurricanes will start redshirt freshman Jarren Williams at QB when they open their season against Florida next week, which means that Ohio State transfer Tate Martell may have transferred to the wrong school- he was expected to start.

Martell is from Las Vegas; if he transferred home now, he could sit out next year, then play for UNLV in 2021 and 2022.

12) Bryce Harper jumped from Washington to the Phillies this season, but as of August 12, here are the standings in the NL East:

Braves 70-50
Nationals 63-55
Mets 61-57
Phillies 60-58
Marlins 44-73

They also traded for catcher JT Realmuto last winter. If the Phillies don’t make the playoffs, how does manager Gabe Kapler keep his job?

11) Dak Prescott turned down a $30M a year offer from the Cowboys. Word is he wants $40M a year, which I’m pretty sure ain’t going to happen, at least not this year.

Russell Wilson makes $35M a year, Carson Wentz makes $32M. Wilson has won a Super Bowl and Wentz hasn’t, nor has Prescott. Wonder if Prescott would take $32M a year?

10) Jets kicker Chandler Catanzaro missed two PAT’s Thursday, then retired Saturday before the Jets could tell him to take a hike. Catanzaro kicked for four teams the last five years; he will be replaced by Taylor Bertolet, who kicked for the Salt Lake Stallions in the ill-fated AAF.

9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 55-105 in the 10 years since Jon Gruden last coached there.

8) If you thought you had a bad day, thieves recently broke into Alex Rodriguez’ rented SUV and made off with $500,000 worth of electronics and jewelry in San Francisco— ARod was there to broadcast the Phillies-Giants game Sunday night.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Reds claimed SS Freddie Galvis off waivers from Toronto.
— Red Sox put IF Michael Chavis (shoulder) on IL.

6) The 2020 baseball schedule is out; the A’s open next season on March 26 at home against the Twins. There are going to be some cold fans around the country on March 26. Starting a season that early and finishing it in late September is a little odd.

5) Mets and Marlins will play a three-game series in San Juan, Puerto Rico on April 28-30.

4) Gleyber Torres has 26 home runs this year; 13 of them are against the Orioles.

3) Caddy Steve Williams worked six tournaments for golfer Jason Day, then got told to take a hike; Day finished above 40th in only two of the six tournaments.

2) Random beverage item: Starbucks’ Pumpkin Spice Latte returns to menus on August 27, it’s earliest-ever recorded official launch. Just thought you’d like to know.

1) We can put a man on the moon, but we can’t find a football helmet that Antonio Brown likes that is less than 10 years old?

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 13

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Trend Report
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Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Minnesota's last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing New York
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Liberty
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New York is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games at home
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 14 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Las Vegas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Las Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Las Vegas is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Atlanta
Las Vegas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Las Vegas's last 14 games when playing Atlanta
Las Vegas is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta


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[Udog]

WNBA Betting Recap - 8/6-8/12
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (Tuesday, Aug. 6 through Monday, Aug. 12)

-- Favorites went 10-3 straight up (SU)
-- Favorites went 7-5-1 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams went 9-4 SU
-- Home/road teams went 6-6-1 ATS
-- The 'over' went 10-3

Season Totals To Date

-- Favorites are 92-52 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs 78-62-4 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams are 88-56 SU
-- Road teams are 74-66-4 ATS
-- The 'under' is 77-65-2

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (5-19 SU, 10-14 ATS) continues to careen out of control, losing both games in the past week, pushing their losing streak to nine games. They're also just 2-5 ATS across the past seven. The Dream have started to struggle on the defensive end again, allowing 85 or more points in each of the past three contests with the 'over' hitting in each.

-- Chicago (14-10 SU, 16-7-1 ATS) continues to be a friend of bettors at the window, cashing in each of their past six while hitting the 'over' in each of the past five. Chicago ranks No. 2 overall in the WNBA with 81.9 points per game (PPG), while allowing 80.9 PPG, good for 11th in the WNBA in scoring defense.

-- Connecticut (16-8 SU, 10-15 ATS) slipped into second place this week with a pair of road losses and non-covers after a seven-game winning streak. The Sun have been terrible against the number, going just 1-5 ATS across the past six.

-- Dallas (7-17 SU, 12-12 ATS) had a rare 'over' result in their testy game in Phoenix (11-12 SU, 11-11-1 ATS), just their fifth over in 22 games overall this season. The Wings continue to struggle on the offensive end, ranking dead-last in the WNBA with 69.8 PPG. They're also second in the league in scoring defense at 74.8 PPG.

-- Indiana (9-16 SU, 11-13-1 ATS) has pulled into fourth place in the Eastern standings, which is no small feat considering they were one of the worst performers in the WNBA last season. They're currently the ninth seed, three games back of the Mercury for the final playoff seed with nine games remaining in the regular season. The Fever have won three of the past four overall, but they're still a dismal 1-4-1 ATS over the past six, and 2-6-1 ATS across the past nine.

-- Las Vegas (16-9 SU, 10-15 ATS) has been playing without star C A'ja Wilson (ankle), and she will be sidelined until at least late August. Even so, they won a key battle against the Sun on Sunday, 89-81, and they're a respectable 5-2 SU aross the past seven.

-- Also in the West, Los Angeles (15-8 SU, 12-10-1 ATS) remains tied with the Aces for first place, and they have two games in hand, too. The Sparks have rattled off five in a row, and eight of the past nine, while going 4-1 ATS over the past five. The 'over' has hit in three in a row, as the Sparks are averaging 84.7 PPG during the span.

-- Minnesota (12-12 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) was humbled by Washington (17-7 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) for the second time in the past 18 days, falling 101-78 in D.C. on Sunday. They're 13-8-1 against everyone else, and 0-2 ATS against the Mystics.

-- New York (8-15 SU, 9-13 ATS) fell behind Indiana in the race for a playoff spot. They have dropped five in a row, and eight of the past nine, while the Liberty have posted an 0-4 ATS mark in the past four, and 2-7 ATS in the previous nine. The Liberty will look to get well against Minnesota on Tuesday evening.

-- The Mercury are struggling to find tertiary scoring this season, and it's one of the reasons they're barely alive in the playoff rce. They have posted a 1-4 SU mark over the past five outings, although they are a respectable 5-2 ATS across the past seven. The 'over' is also 3-0 in the past three, and 5-1 in the past six, as their defense has gone south recently. Rebounding is also a problem, as the Merc rank dead-last in offensive rebounds (32.1 RPG), while checking in 10th in defensive boards (36.6 RPG).

-- Defending WNBA champion Seattle (14-11 SU, 13-11-1 ATS) has cobbled together a two-game winning streak, and they're 6-3 SU over the past nine while also going 6-3 ATS. They're also a solid 5-3 ATS across the past eight outings away from home.

-- The Mystics have managed a 7-1 SU record across the past eight, and the 'over' has cashed in five consecutive outings. They continue to score the basketball well, hitting 91 or more points in two straight, four of the past five and six of the past eight outings.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 13

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MINNESOTA (12 - 12) at NEW YORK (8 - 15) - 8/13/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 19) at LAS VEGAS (16 - 8) - 8/13/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA

TUESDAY AUGUST 13, 2019

Minnesota
@
New York
Game 609-610
August 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Minnesota
107.135
New York
108.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New York
by 2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick: New York
N/A


Atlanta
@
Las Vegas
Game 611-612
August 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Atlanta
110.877
Las Vegas
110.550
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Las Vegas
by 9 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Las Vegas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick: Las Vegas
N/A

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Lynx (12-12) at Liberty (8-15)
Date: August 13, 2019 7:00 PM EDT

The Minnesota Lynx try to put more ground between themselves and the bottom four of the league Tuesday night when they face the struggling New York Liberty.

The Lynx (12-12) are currently seventh in the WNBA and would need to finish fifth or sixth to host a first-round playoff game. Minnesota has a 3 1 /2-game lead over ninth-place Indiana with 10 games remaining and trails fourth-place Las Vegas by 3 1/2 games for a postseason bye into the second round.

Cheryl Reeve's team was unable to complete a sweep of the top two teams in the league after getting pummeled 101-78 at Washington on Sunday. The Lynx barely resembled the team that thumped Connecticut by 32 points Friday night, allowing the Mystics to shoot 54.8 percent while getting outscored 27-10 at the foul line.

"We've got one of the top defensive teams in the league, but you would not know that by watching this game today," Lynx coach Cheryl Reeve fumed to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. "We had zero concept of defending the post. Zero. Three players with 20-plus points - 25, 23 and 20 on our defense."

Odyssey Sims had 20 points and eight assists while rookie Napheesa Collier contributed 11 points, six rebounds and five assists. Minnesota has lost five of seven overall and four of five on the road - with the lone win coming against WNBA-worst Atlanta. In the three road games in that span the Lynx played outside Atlanta, they gave up 87.7 points per game - well above their season average of 75.3 that ranks third in the league.

The playoffs appear to be out of reach for New York (8-15), which is three games behind Phoenix for the eighth and final spot. The Liberty are trying to avoid their first six-game skid since ending last year with 13 straight losses and have dropped eight of nine overall after an 84-69 home defeat to Seattle on Sunday.

Tina Charles had 22 points and eight rebounds to pace the Liberty, who committed nine of their 19 turnovers in a decisive third quarter in which they were outscored 27-12.

"We dug ourselves a hole again in the second half," coach Katie Smith told Elite Sports New York. "We knew they were going to ratchet up their pressure, knew they were going to fly around. We turned over the ball in the second half. ... (It was) "same as Chicago, same as Dallas. We can't turn it over."

Starting forward Amanda Zahui B. is currently in the league's concussion protocol and her status for this game is uncertain. Asia Durr, the No. 2 overall pick who has averaged 9.7 points in 18 games, is questionable after aggravating a groin injury that caused her to miss Sunday's contest.

The teams have split the first two meetings this year, with the home team winning both. The Lynx won the most recent matchup 92-83 on June 22 as Sims, Collier and Sylvia Fowles combined for 58 points on 24-of-38 shooting.


WNBa HEAD TO HEAD

Jun 22, 2019 Score ATS Results
NEW 83 Over: 175
MIN « 92 Cover: 0.5
Tools: Recaps

Jun 12, 2019 Score ATS Results
MIN 69 Under: 144
NEW « 75 Cover: 9
Tools: Recaps

Jul 24, 2018 Score ATS Results
NEW 82 Cover: 9.5
MIN « 85 Over: 167
Tools: Recaps

Jun 16, 2018 Score ATS Results
NEW 71 Over: 156
MIN « 85 Cover: 7
Tools: Recaps

May 25, 2018 Score ATS Results
MIN « 78 Under: 150
NEW 72 Cover: 1
Tools: Recaps

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, AUGUST 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at NY 07:00 PM
NY +6.0
O 157.5

ATL at LV 10:00 PM
LV -12.5
U 153.5

[StarDust Bum]

Aces rally past Dream 94-90
August 14, 2019
By The Associated Press

LAS VEGAS (AP) Dearica Hamby had 23 points and 16 rebounds, Liz Cambage added 18 points, 10 rebounds and six assists and the Las Vegas Aces held off the Atlanta Dream 94-90 on Tuesday night.

Kelsey Plum sank a pull-up jumper from the free-throw line with 15.8 seconds left to give Las Vegas a 92-88 lead. Tiffany Hayes was off on a long 3-pointer at the other end and Kayla McBride sealed it at the line.

McBride scored 21 points, with five 3-pointers, for Las Vegas (17-9). Jackie Young chipped in with 17 points and Plum was the lone Aces starter not in double figures with nine.

Atlanta (5-20) has lost 10 straight games, its longest streak since a 4-30 season in 2010.

Jessica Breland scored 18 points and Marie Gulich had her first career double-double with 15 points and 12 rebounds for Atlanta. Hayes was just 2 of 12 from the field for 10 points after setting a career high with 34 on Saturday at Indiana.

LYNX 89, LIBERTY 73

WHITE PLAINS, N.Y. (AP) - Odyssey Sims had 17 points, Stephanie Talbot added 16 points and the Lynx beat the Liberty.

Minnesota led 40-29 before New York closed the half on an 11-2 run with seven straight points from Rebecca Allen. She scored a franchise-best 20 points in the quarter - just two points shy of the WNBA record.

Minnesota jumped ahead in the third quarter, scoring 20 of the first 31 points, and cruised.

Napheesa Collier and Danielle Robinson each had 14 points for Minnesota (13-12). Sylvia Fowles had seven points and eight rebounds in 24 minutes.

Allen finished with a career-high 28 points for New York (8-16), which has lost six straight and nine of 10. Allen was 11 of 15 from the field, including 6 of 7 from 3-point range. The fifth-year player set her previous high of 21 points last Wednesday.

Tanisha Wright had six assists for New York to move into a tie with Temeka Johnson for 10th all-time in the WNBA. Tina Charles was held to seven points on 2-of-9 shooting, and Asia Durr and Amanda Zahui B. did not play because of injury.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY AUGUST 14, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
8:00 PM Los Angeles Sparks Dallas Wings College Park Center
8:00 PM Seattle Storm Washington Mystics The Entertainment and Sports Arena
10:00 PM Connecticut Sun Phoenix Mercury Talking Stick Resort Arena


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WNBA AUGUST'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

08/13/2019 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
08/09/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
08/08/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/07/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
08/06/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/04/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/03/2019 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
08/02/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
08/01/2019 2-3-1 40.00% -6.50


Totals...........23-18-1 .......56.09% .....+16.50


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS............. ..UNITS...............O/U..............UNITS...........TOTALS



08/13/2019..............0 - 2...............-11.00...............1 - 1............-0.50.............-11.50
08/10/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/09/2019..............1 - 1...............-0.50.................1 - 1............-0.50.............-1.00
08/08/2019..............3 - 0..............+15.00...............2 - 1............+4.50...........+19.50
08/07/2019..............1 - 0..............+5.00.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-0.50
08/06/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/04/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/03/2019..............2 - 1..............+4.50.................3 - 0...........+15.00..........+19.50
08/02/2019..............0 - 1...............-5.50.................0 - 1............-5.50.............-11.00
08/01/2019..............2 - 1...............+4.50................0 - 2............-11.00............-6.50

Totals.....................12 - 9...............+11.00.............11 - 9...........+5.50............+16.00

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win Mountain West football title:

5-4- Boise State

4-1- Fresno State

6-1- San Diego State

7-1- Air Force

10-1- Utah State

25-1- Nevada

Quote of the Day
“Daniel Jones looks like he’d play Eli Manning in a movie about Peyton Manning.”
Chris Carlin

Wednesday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was once a QB who led his college team to a 42-40 win after they trailed 31-0 in that game?
Hint: He also won an NFL playoff game after his team trailed by 32 points.

Tuesday’s quiz
Cowboys coach Jason Garrett played college football at Princeton and was later Nick Saban’s QB coach with the Miami Dolphins.

Monday’s quiz
When Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl coaching Tampa Bay, Bill Callahan was coaching the Raiders.

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Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Phillies fired hitting coach John Mallee Tuesday, replacing him for rest of this season with 75-year old Charlie Manuel, who managed the Phillies when they won the 2008 World Series.

Manuel managed the Phillies for nine years, winning NL pennants in 2008-09. He wasn’t at the Phillies’ game Tuesday night.

12) Must be a ton of $$$ involved in running fantasy football leagues. ESPN had a live fantasy draft on national TV Tuesday night, as they wrapped up a 26-hour fantasy football marathon. Fantasy drafts are usually fun to be a part of, just not so much fun to watch.

Related comment: ESPN has gone down the drain in recent years, just don’t like the way they do things as much anymore, but the 26-hour football thing they did this week was good. Maybe they should try something like that for baseball next spring.

Actually, it is surprising that ESPN doesn’t tout NBA fantasy leagues, seeing how they talk about the NBA 365 days a year now.

11) The more I think about it, it makes sense that I suck at fantasy football because I can’t grasp the concept that quarterback isn’t the most important position on fantasy teams.

10) Mariners 11, Tigers 6— How bad do you have to be for Detroit to be -$160 against you? Tigers are now 11-41 in their last 52 games, just an awful team, but Seattle is pretty terrible too.

9) Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck’s calf strain has turned into a high-ankle issue, which is bad news for Indy- they can’t pinpoint exactly what the problem is.

8) Oregon Ducks landed 6-11 center N’Faly Dante, who moved up from Class of 2020 to this year’s freshman class, as Oregon restocks a roster ravaged by five early departures last spring.

Dante figures to team with UNLV transfer Shakur Juiston to lead the Ducks back to the NCAAs; this news pushed Oregon back into the preseason top 25.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Colorado Rockies DFA’d veteran C Chris Iannetta.

6) New England Patriots’ recent history in divisional games:
— Won 28 of last 31 games with the Bills, won last 8 visits to Buffalo.
— Won 14 of last 16 games with the Jets, six of last eight in NJ.
— 6-5 in last 11 games vs Dolphins, 1-5 in last six visits to Miami.

5) Houston Astros are in line to become the first team ever not to issue an intentional walk all season.

4) Arizona State announced that true freshman Jayden Daniels will be its starting QB on August 29, with true freshman Joey Yellen as his backup; this is thought to be the second time a I-A team has gone into the season with two true freshmen atop their QB depth chart- Texas Tech in 2013 had Baker Mayfield and Davis Webb, both of whom are in the NFL now.

3) There are people in this world who actually get upset about the ketchup/mustard debates that pop up on social media. I mean, we have some screwed-up things going on in the world today, condiments should be the least of our problems.

I once had a date go in the ashcan (imagine that?) because my female companion got annoyed when I asked for ketchup to put on my food. This happened in Chicago, and apparently putting ketchup on food is mostly frowned upon there. Who knew?

2) Braves 5, Mets 3— Ronald Acuna led off the first inning by hitting a ball off the wall in deep right-center field, but didn’t hustle out of the box and only got a single. He later scored anyway.

Acuna homered later in the game and threw a runner out at home from left field; he is really, really good, but he is still only 21 and will probably get even better.

1) Awful Announcing released their ratings for local TV announcers; I’m going to do my own ratings later this month, but in their ratings, Padres-Giants-Mets were top three teams.

Nationals-Pirates-Tigers were three lowest-rated announce teams; I would strongly disagree with the Detroit ranking. Jack Morris is really good when he talks about pitching, and Kirk Gibson is a solid analyst. Matt Shepard asks his analysts good questions and they discuss the answers openly. Very unfair rating.

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA

Wednesday, August 14

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Trend Report
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Seattle Storm
Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Seattle's last 25 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Mystics
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games when playing Dallas
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Wings
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Dallas's last 24 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Connecticut is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Connecticut is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut


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WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, August 14

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LOS ANGELES (15 - 8) at DALLAS (7 - 17) - 8/14/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (14 - 11) at WASHINGTON (16 - 7) - 8/14/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (16 - 8) at PHOENIX (11 - 12) - 8/14/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-5 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WNBA (WOMEN'S PROFESSIONAL)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Seattle at Washington - Wednesday August 14, 2019
The Washington Mystics come into tonight’s contests with the highest Dunkel home rating on the board at 121.626. Washington is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games versus a team with a winning record. The Seattle Storm come in with a Dunkel road rating of 105.972. Seattle is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Washington Mystics come in with the highest Dunkel O/U rating on the board at 173.964. The Mystics have gone over in five of their last six home games. Dunkel’s Pick: Washington (-10; Over).

WEDNESDAY AUGUST 14, 2019

Seattle
@
Washington
Game 615-616
August 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Seattle
105.972
Washington
121.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Washington
by 15 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Washington
by 10
160
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(-10); Over

Los Angeles
@
Dallas
Game 613-614
August 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Los Angeles
115.381
Dallas
105.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Los Angeles
by 8 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Los Angeles
by 5 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles
(-5 1/2); Under

Connecticut
@
Phoenix
Game 617-618
August 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Connecticut
108.545
Phoenix
110.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Phoenix
by 2 1/2
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Connecticut
by 5 1/2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix
(+5 1/2); Over