Announcement

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Some college football over/under win totals from New Jersey books:

— Alabama 11, under -$121

— Clemson 11, over -$139

— Georgia 10.5, over -$182

— Oklahoma 10, over -$148

— Ohio State 10, under -$121

— Boise State 10, under -$118

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) From metsblog.com:
”These baseballs suck. They’re more slick and the seams are more smooth and hard to grip.”

That is a major league relief pitcher, talking about this year’s batch of baseballs.

Noah Syndergaard told reporters last week that gripping a baseball on a cold night has felt like trying to throw an ice cube.

From Robert Arthur, who provides pitch-tracking information in every ballpark:
”As baseballs become more aerodynamic, they travel further given a certain initial velocity. A deep fly ball that might have been caught at the warning track can instead (with just a three percent change in drag) go into the first row of the stands (for a home run).”

So if you’re wondering why home runs are on the increase again, this is part of why.

12) Hollywood producer Jerry Bruckheimer will be a minority owner of the new Seattle team in the NHL, which will begin play in the fall of 2021.

Bruckheimer produced the CSI shows, Without a Trace as well as numerous movies, like Top Gun and Beverly Hills Cop.

11) Of the 32 teams in the NFL, 15 will have a play-caller this season who is in his first full year calling plays for that team.

10) Sunday afternoon against the Giants, Eugenio Suarez, Jesse Winker and Derek Dietrich of the Reds hit back-to-back-to-back homers on three straight pitches off Jeff Samardzija.

Last team to do this was the Dodgers on June 12, 2007: Wilson Betemit, Matt Kemp and Hong-Chih Kuo all homered off the Mets’ John Maine.

9) This year the Reds are celebrating their team’s 150th anniversary; they’re wearing 15 different sets of throwback uniforms this season, to commemorate various eras in their long history. Sunday’s uniforms were actually dark blue, with red lettering.

8) Max Homa won the Wells Fargo golf tournament this past weekend; coming into the week, Homa was ranked 417th in the world. Now he is a millionaire and exempt on tour for the next 2.5 years, so a big four days for him. Golf is a really, really competitive sport.

7) Baseball injuries:
— Red Sox put P David Price (elbow) on IL.
— Nationals put 1B Matt Adams (shoulder) on IL.
— Mets put P Jason Vargas (hamstring) on IL.

6) When the Red Sox go to the White House Thursday to be honored for winning the World Series, manager Alex Cora, who is from Puerto Rico, won’t be there. He isn’t happy how the government responded to Hurricane Maria last year:

“Although the government of the United States has helped, there is still a long way to go, that is OUR reality. I have continually used my voice so that we Puerto Ricans are not forgotten and my absence is not different. Therefore, at this moment, I do not feel comfortable celebrating in the White House.”

David Price, Mookie Betts and Rafael Devers will also be no-shows Thursday.

5) How has Brewers’ CF Lorenzo Cain never won a Gold Glove? Guy plays a great centerfield. He made another great catch against the Mets Sunday, crashing into the fence in right-center but hanging onto the ball.

4) Interesting trade in our fantasy league Sunday night; this is a 16-team dynasty league, where you keep your roster from year-to-year.

Team A traded Mike Trout, Max Scherzer and Robbie Ray. In return, they got Yordan Alvarez, Keston Hiura and Brendan Rodgers, three of the best minor league prospects, all at the AAA level. Was really surprised to see Trout get dealt; wonder if the Angels will ever do that?

Team A is the defending champ in our league but is 0-4-1 so far this season, so they decided to build for the future; time will tell who won this trade.

3) I wasted a decent amount of space this spring writing about the AAF, so I won’t be writing a lot about the XFL until it proves it has staying power, but the XFL did sign a TV deal with ABC and FOX this week. All 43 games will be shown somewhere on network TV next spring.

2) College basketball transfer portal:
— Clemson poached grad transfer Curran Scott (8.9 ppg LY) from Tulsa.
— UNLV F Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua jumps from UNLV to Baylor.

1) Oakland A’s on Sundays so far this season:
— W2-1 vs Angels.
— L9-8 @ Houston— Led 8-6 in 8th inning.
— L8-7 @ Texas— Led 7-4 in 8th inning.
— L5-4 vs Toronto— Blue Jays swept series in Oakland.
— L5-4 @ Toronto (11)— Led 4-1 in the 11th.
— L5-3 @ Pittsburgh (13)— Led 3-1 in the 13th.

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 08:32 AM

**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 08:37 AM

505Philadelphia -506 Toronto
TORONTO is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

507Portland -508 Denver
PORTLAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in the current season.

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 7

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PHILADELPHIA (57 - 34) at TORONTO (64 - 27) - 5/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 146-118 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-57 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 210-265 ATS (-81.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 10-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (59 - 32) at DENVER (60 - 33) - 5/7/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PORTLAND is 94-76 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-7 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 7

Leonard scored 39 in Game 3; this time his teammates were little more supportive (22-56, 39.3%) than in first two games (32.8%). Raptors’ bench outscored Philly’s 12-11, after being outscored 49-20 in previous two games. Simmons had 10 points, five boards, four assists in Game 4; they need lot more from him than that. 76ers have been held to 96 or fewer points in three of four series games; they won by 21 the one big game Embiid had (9-18 in Game 3, 9-32 in other three games combined). Home side won seven of last ten series games. 76ers won eight of their last 12 games overall; over is 13-10 in their last 23 games.

Denver outscored Portland 27-14 in third quarter of 116-112 Game 4 win, evening series 2-2 after Friday’s 4-OT loss. Blazers’ bench was +36 Sunday; their starters -56- Seth Curry had 16 points off bench. Murray had 34 for Nuggets, who won eight of last 11 games with Portland; seven of last eight series games went over the total. Home side won seven of last ten series games. Under is 4-2 in Blazers’ last six wins; three of their last four losses went over. Nuggets’ bench was -35 in Game 4; they were -16 in 16:00 Plumlee played, are -26 in his last 28:00 in series. Nokic had a triple-double in Game 4, 48 hours after playing 65:00 in Friday’s marathon.

NBA

Tuesday, May 7

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Philadelphia is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Toronto is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Portland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Denver
Portland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Nuggets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Denver's last 18 games at home
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Portland
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing at home against Portland

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**Udog** · 05-07-2019, 09:15 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 7

Philadelphia @ Toronto

Game 505-506
May 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
126.887
Toronto
126.861
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
Even
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+6 1/2); Over

Portland @ Denver

Game 507-508
May 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
122.840
Denver
121.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+4 1/2); Under

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/7

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/7

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