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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/1

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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, May 1

    Good Luck on day # 121 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    The Athletic’s NBA Mock Draft

    1) Zion Williamson, Duke

    2) Ja Morant, Murray State

    3) RJ Barrett, Duke

    4) Darius Garland, Vanderbilt

    5) Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech

    6) De’Andre Hunter, Virginia


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Last year, the Arizona Cardinals spent a lot of $$$ on quarterbacks:
    — They paid Sam Bradford $16M; he played three games.
    — They paid Josh Rosen $11.5M; he lives in Miami now.
    — They paid Mike Glennon $5M; he lives in Oakland now.

    Now the Cardinals’ QB’s are Kyler Murray, Brett Hundley and two guys I’ve never heard of, free agents from Murray State and Princeton. Kyler Murray better be the real deal.

    12) No idea how NFL teams will handle their rookie QB’s this year, but last season, all five first-round quarterbacks were playing by midseason, so there’s that.

    11) Interesting article in the Los Angeles Times about UCLA’s search for a new basketball coach; Bruins offered to double Jay Wright’s salary, but the Villanova coach turned them down. When a coach declines having his salary doubled, thats a major red flag.

    Similar to Loyola coach Porter Moser turning down St John’s, when they offered to more than double his salary. Turning down a Big East job to stay at Loyola was an eye-opener.

    10) So far this baseball season, relief pitchers have a worse ERA than starting pitchers; that hasn’t happened over a full season in fifty years. Starting pitchers need to last longer in games; there is too much strain being put on bullpens.

    9) There are 127 I-A college football teams; for some reason, in 2020 there will be three new bowl games, bringing the total (for now) to 43.

    Fenway Park, Myrtle Beach and the new dome in Los Angeles get the new bowl games; why do baseball stadiums in Boston/New York have bowl games? These games are in December; warm weather cities seem like a better bowl destination.

    Do kids want to freeze their butts off in a bowl game? I think not.

    With 43 bowls, teams with losing records will go to bowls, which also isn’t ideal.

    8) 233 players have declared for early entry to the NBA Draft; players have until late May to pull their names from the draft. NBA Draft is two rounds- 60 players get picked, so do the math, then add in the seniors who will also be involved.

    If you’re not a first round pick, go back to school. Become a better player. Unless you want to play in the G-League or in Europe.

    7) Warriors 115, Rockets 109— Houston was +5 with Chris Paul on court. -11 in the 8:00 he sat out. Golden State leads series, 2-0.

    Scott Foster was one of the refs for this game; Houston has now lost the last seven times Foster reffed their games, with six losses by 16+ points. Back in February. James Harden called Foster “rude and arrogant.” You would think the league would keep Foster away from the Rockets.

    It was also mentioned that Golden State’s players aren’t crazy about Foster, either. There was a recent stretch where the road team had won 12 playoff games in a row worked by Foster.

    With three refs working a game, I’m skeptical how much stats like this actually mean, but if the players think they matter, then they matter, whether they matter or not.

    6) Harden led the NBA in foul shots attempted in six of last seven years; he led the NBA in free throws made the last five years in a row. He is obviously used to getting calls.

    5) Baseball stuff:
    — Dodgers put OF AJ Pollock (elbow) on IL.
    — Nationals put 3B Anthony Rendon (elbow) on DL.
    — Padres put SS Fernando Tatis (hamstring) on DL
    — Mariners sent OF Mallex Smith to AAA because he can’t hit.

    4) Ranger College basketball coach Billy Gillispie was named JUCO Coach of the Year this week, after leading Ranger to a 31-4 record this year- they played in the NJCAA championship game.

    The former head coach at Kentucky, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, and UTEP, Gillispie returned to coaching this season after a kidney transplant. Good for him.

    3) Tim Mead was named this week as the new vice-president of National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown. Mead represented the Los Angels Angels for the last 40 years, under three owners, nine managers and six interim managers, last 22 years as the team’s vice president of communications.

    Not often you see a guy get a new job, followed by a flood of 100% positive tweets giving the thumbs up to the hire. Everyone really likes this guy, so good for the Hall of Fame.

    2) Milwaukee Bucks are now 19-4 vs spread this season in the game following a loss.

    1) Wake Forest signed football coach Dave Clawson to an 8-year contract extension; Wake is the smallest school that has big-time college football. Tough job.

    Comment


    • #3
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-01-2019, 11:37 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        577Portland -578 Denver
        DENVER is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.




        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, May 1


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND (57 - 31) at DENVER (59 - 31) - 5/1/2019, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DENVER is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
        PORTLAND is 48-40 ATS (+4.0 Units) in all games this season.
        PORTLAND is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 8-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 8-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Wednesday, May 1


        Nuggets were +6 (18-12) in turnovers. won Game 1 131-123; Nokie had 37 points for Denver, Lillard scored 39 for Blazers, but had six turnovers. Denver won seven of its last eight games with Portland; last five series games went over the total. Trailblazers are 1-4-1 vs spread in their last six visits to Colorado. Portland won seven of its last nine games overall; they covered only once in last five road games. Nuggets are 3-3 vs spread in last six home games, 4-6 vs spread in last 10 games overall. Five of last seven Denver games went over.




        NBA

        Wednesday, May 1


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
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        Portland Trail Blazers
        Portland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
        Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
        Portland is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
        Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Denver
        Portland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
        Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
        Denver Nuggets
        Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
        Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Denver's last 17 games at home
        Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
        Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Portland
        Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
        Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing at home against Portland


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-01-2019, 11:37 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Dunkel

          Wednesday, May 1



          Portland @ Denver

          Game 577-578
          May 1, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Portland
          123.155
          Denver
          121.645
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Portland
          by 1 1/2
          212
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Denver
          by 4
          219 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Portland
          (+4); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-01-2019, 11:38 AM.

          Comment

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