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**Udog** · 04-22-2019, 08:51 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Celtics 110, Pacers 106— Boston sweeps series, 4-0.

— Warriors 113, Clippers 105— Klay Thompson had 27 points at the half.

— Trailblazers 111, Thunder 98— Russell Westbrook was 5-21 from the floor.

— Sharks 2, Golden Knights 1 (2 OT)— Game 7 is Tuesday in San Jose.

— Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 2— Game 7 is Tuesday in Boston.

— Nets’ GM Sean Marks was suspended one game without pay, fined $25,000 for entering the refs’ locker room after Brooklyn’s 112-108 loss Saturday.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……

13) Philadelphia Eagles’ center Travis Kelce played LY with a broken foot, something he called a “torn elbow” (he wore a big brace), and a Grade 2 MCL tear.

Toronto pitcher Aaron Sanchez left Sunday’s game in Oakland with a broken right fingernail on the middle finger of his pitching hand.

12) Jim Kaat and Bert Blyleven discussed pitching all weekend on Twins’ TV; Kaat said Sunday he thinks the strike zone is much tighter now than when he pitched.

Blyleven mentioned that back when he pitched, umpires weren’t graded on each pitch by MLB and that has changed how the game is called.

11) Twins hit 11 home runs in their doubleheader sweep of the Orioles Saturday. Hard to believe Baltimore was in the playoffs only three years ago; their team is awful.

Baltimore’s AAA farm team is 7-10, their AA team is 3-13 and got shut out in both ends of a twin bill Saturday, so not sure where the Orioles’ help is going to come from.

10) Indianapolis Colts’ owner Jim Irsay recently spent $718,750 for the piano John Lennon used to write songs for Sergeant Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band.

9) They run a commercial on Colorado Rockies games for University of Colorado health services; it shows an older fellow who struggles to get out of his easy chair, then starts to work out- they show pics in his house of him running when he was much younger.

They show the man’s name; he survived heart failure, and as he recovers, his treadmill workouts get more rigorous, and the commercial ends with him finishing a 2-mile run in a local race.

The commercial is so well-done and very inspirational; the guy should get a sneaker contract from Nike or adidas, and they should run that commercial during the Super Bowl.

8) Christian Yelich is first player with 12+ homers in his team’s first 22 games since Alex Rodriguez in 2007.

7) Baseball injuries:
— Rays’ OF Austin Meadows (thumb) had an MRI.
— Blue Jays put P Matt Shoemaker (knee) on IL; he tore his ACL and is out for the season.

6) Merrill Kelly threw 109 pitches for Arizona Friday, but he didn’t finish the 4th inning. He got 18 called strikes, had 21 pitches fouled off, gave up six hits on 12 balls in play.

Funny thing, two of the three runs he gave up came on a harmless looking pop-up to short CF that the wind played games with and no one caught it.

5) Detroit Pistons have lost 13 consecutive playoff games, tied for longest-ever streak in NBA.

4) Seattle Mariners have already had five games with 4+ homers this year; all of last season, they had five games with 4+ home runs.

3) Former major league OF Matt Holliday is retired now and lives in Stillwater, OK; he recently had a house built in Stillwater. The guy who built the house is Philly catcher JT Realmuto’s uncle. Small world.

2) Good grief, the Utah Jazz uniforms are terrible. Like the old purple uniforms with the musical note on them that Pete Maravich wore for the Jazz back in the day.

1) A comedian was elected president of Ukraine; I was going to make a joke about this, but then remembered who the president is here. Having a comedian as president wouldn’t be so bad.

**Udog** · 04-22-2019, 08:52 AM

**Udog** · 04-22-2019, 09:08 AM

573Milwaukee -574 Detroit
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

575Houston -576 Utah
UTAH is 79-54 ATS (19.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 22

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MILWAUKEE (63 - 22) at DETROIT (41 - 44) - 4/22/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 66-111 ATS (-56.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in April games this season.
DETROIT is 119-167 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (56 - 29) at UTAH (50 - 35) - 4/22/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 14-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 22

Not much stress for Milwaukee in this series, winning first three games by 35-21-16 points; Bucks are 40-107 from arc in series, and held Detroit under 40% from floor in all three games. Bucks won 11 of last 13 games with Detroit; under is 6-4-1 in last 11 series games. Milwaukee won 10 of last 13 games overall; eight of their last ten games went over; Bucks covered five of last seven road games. Detroit lost its last 13 playoff games; they set an all-time NBA record if they lose this game. Pistons lost seven of their last nine games overall; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games.

Mitchell had 34 points in Game 3 but was only 9-27 from floor; Rockets pulled out 104-101 road win, taking 3-0 series lead despite Harden going 3-20 from floor, 2-13 on arc. Houston is 47-128 on arc in series, Jazz is 27-106; both teams took 40+ 3’s in Game 3. Rockets won/covered nine of their last ten games overall; they’re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games. Houston won ten of its last 13 games with the Jazz; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games (2-0-1 in this series). Jazz had won its last eight home games before Saturday, but Rockets won/covered four of last five visits to Salt Lake City.

NBA

Monday, April 22

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Milwaukee is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Houston Rockets
Houston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 23 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games on the road
Houston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Utah
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games at home
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Houston
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

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**Udog** · 04-22-2019, 09:43 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, April 22

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 573-574
April 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
127.096
Detroit
111.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 16
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 12
218
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-12); Over

Houston @ Utah

Game 575-576
April 22, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
132.938
Utah
121.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 04-22-2019, 01:51 PM

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game 4 – Bucks (-12 ½, 219 ½) at Pistons – 8:05 PM EST – TNT
Milwaukee leads series, 3-0

The Celtics are waiting in the wings for the Bucks in the second round of the playoffs after Boston swept Indiana in four games. Milwaukee is one victory away from a playoff rematch with Boston in a series that went the distance in 2018 and won by the Celtics. However, the top-seeded Bucks have to suffer through one more game with the Pistons, as Milwaukee has won and covered in each of the first three games by double-digits.

The first two contests in Milwaukee were no doubt blowouts as the Bucks cashed as 15-point favorites each time in 35 and 21-point routs. In Game 3 at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Pistons’ star Blake Griffin returned to the lineup after missing the first two losses with a lingering knee injury. Griffin led the Pistons with 27 points, but Milwaukee cruised past Detroit, 119-103 for its seventh win over the Pistons this season.

Seven different Bucks posted double-figures in the Game 3 win as Khris Middleton put up 20 points, while Eric Bledsoe and Brook Lopez each scored 19 points to help Milwaukee cash as 9 ½-point favorites. The Bucks improved to 6-0-1 ATS this season against Detroit, while six of the seven wins have come by 10 points or more.

Milwaukee snapped a six-game road playoff losing streak in Saturday’s victory, as the Bucks picked up their first away postseason win since Game 1 of the 2017 first round series against the Raptors. The Pistons had won 11 consecutive games at Little Caesars Arena from February 4 through March 30, but Detroit is currently on a 1-3 run at home the last four opportunities.

Game 4 – Rockets (-3, 214 ½) at Jazz – 10:35 PM EST – TNT
Houston leads series, 3-0

How well are things going for the Rockets? Last season’s MVP James Harden missed his first 15 shots from the floor in Game 3 at Utah, but the Rockets still managed a 104-101 victory to grab a 3-0 series advantage. Houston and Golden State are on the verge of meeting once again in the postseason after last season’s epic seven-game set won by the Warriors, but the Rockets need one more victory to move forward.

Rewinding to Saturday’s Game 3 in Salt Lake City, in spite of Harden’s horrendous start from the floor, he finished with 22 points and 10 assists on 3-of-20 shooting. All five Rockets’ starters scored in double-figures as Chris Paul posted 18 points, while P.J. Tucker and Clint Capela each compiled a double-double. The only offensive firepower from the Jazz came courtesy of Donovan Mitchell, who scored 34 points, but also struggled shooting by hitting 9-of-27 attempts.

Utah captured the first two meetings in the regular season, but Houston won the final two matchups before taking the opening three games of this series. Dating back to the start of the 2017-18 season, the Rockets have won 13 of the last 16 meetings with the Jazz, including a 6-1 mark at Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Chris David expected Houston to sweep Utah in four games and he’s sticking with that angle on Monday. He explained, “After closing as short ‘dogs on Saturday, the Rockets go from hunter to hunted in this game and will be laying as road favorites. We saw the same situation happen yesterday with Boston as the Celtics cashed as an underdog in Game 3 on Friday before sealing the series in Game 4. While homecourt is a big factor in the NBA, talent wins out and we’ve seen that so far in this year’s playoffs. Road favorites are 7-0 straight up and 5-2 against the spread in the postseason with the Warriors and Raptors just missing covers by a couple points over the weekend.”

He added, “Houston’s numbers as a road favorite (15-12 SU, 10-16-1 ATS) don’t seem appealing but a lot of those losses came early in the season. Since the All-Star break, the club has gone 6-3 when laying points as a visitor. It’s rare to see Utah listed as a home underdog, just twice this season (1-1). However, the Jazz are 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three games as an underdog versus Houston and that includes a pair of losses in last year’s Western Conference semifinals. Some bettors might feel more secure taking the visitor on the money-line (-150) but make a note that the Rockets won all three of those games in Salt Lake City by double digits and the ‘under’ cashed in each contest too.”

Under Quin Snyder, the Jazz have put together an 0-5 SU/ATS record as a home underdog in the playoffs, including four straight losses by 11 points or more. The Rockets are currently riding a 7-1 run to the UNDER in the last eight playoff games, including three straight UNDERS against the Jazz on the road since last season’s second round matchup.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/22

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/22

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