Announcement

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 09:31 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some very early NFL over/under win totals:

— Arizona 5, under -$130

— Atlanta 8.5, over -$125

— Baltimore 8.5

— Buffalo 6, under -$120

— Carolina 8, under -$120

— Chicago 9.5

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) After eight weeks of games, the AAF has suspended operations, which is sad for the people who worked there. Players only got paid for the first seven weeks of the season.

Takes lots of money to fund a start-up league like this; there are rumors that the guy from the NHL’s Carolina Hurricanes who invested in the AAF only wanted access to the technology for the league’s betting app, and once he had that, he pulled the plug on spending more money. Supposedly, he dropped $70M on this fiasco. Must be a good betting app.

Not sure what this means, if anything, for the XFL, which starts up next spring.

12) So it is April 2 and here in upstate New York, spring is slowly emerging. It was 46 degrees when I left my house today; in the bank, a guy in line behind me was wearing shorts. Oy.

11) Ronald Acuña signed a $100M extension with the Braves that keeps his contract under team control until 2028. Team-friendly deal.

10) Seattle TV analyst Mike Blowers told an interesting story Monday night:

Blowers was playing for the Mariners in the mid-90’s; Lou Piniella (a noted hothead) was the manager. Blowers made two errors in the 9th inning that cost Seattle the last game of a road trip. Blowers: “Lou was sitting towards the front of the plane; he wasn’t real happy with me.”

Next game for Seattle is a home game; Blowers comes to the plate for the first time, and is booed when his name is announced. He hits a grand slam.

Second time up, Blowers is still booed a little; he hits a 3-run homer.

Third time up, Blowers gets a standing ovation.

Lessons: Baseball is a tough game; people are fickle.

9) Washington Wizards fired team president Ernie Grunfeld after 16 seasons; Wizards are having their first losing season in six years. Washington hasn’t been to a conference final since 1979, so the franchise’s issues go way back before Grunfeld was around.

8) Last Thursday, Michael Reed started in RF on Opening Day for the Giants; he went 0-8 with six strikeouts in four games and Tuesday, he was designated for assignment. Produce or else.

7) Nationals’ SS Trea Turner tried to bunt last night; the ball hit his finger and he left the game, with what looked a lot like a broken finger.

6) Former tennis star Billie Jean King is a minority owner of the LA Dodgers.

5) Few years ago, I’m driving thru New Jersey and stop for gas. I get out of the car and start pumping the gas, and this little Asian guy comes running out of the store, yelling at me, waving his arms. Apparently it is illegal in New Jersey to pump your own gas. Who knew?

Funny thing, they pump it for you but the gas is still cheaper than it is in New York.

4) From Christopher Kamka: Last time Cubs, White Sox, Bulls, Blackhawks all won on the same day was April 21, 2012, the day Philip Humber threw a perfect game for the White Sox.

3) Puerto Rico has a larger population than 21 of the 50 states.

2) Lipscomb 71, Wichita State 64— Shockers led by 11 in second half, but veteran Lipscomb team rallied back, scored last 14 points of the game and will play for the NIT title Thursday night.

Texas 58, TCU 44— If you had Texas-Lipscomb in your NIT brackets, you’re about to get paid. TCU beat the Longhorns twice during the regular season, but came up empty here.

1) Arizona 8, San Diego 5— Zack Greinke hit two home runs, struck out 10 Padres.

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 09:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 3

Indiana @ Detroit

Game 501-502
April 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.708
Detroit
121.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-1 1/2); Over

New York @ Orlando

Game 503-504
April 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
105.786
Orlando
121.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 15 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 12 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-12 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Washington

Game 505-506
April 3, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
107.349
Washington
114.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 11
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+11); Over

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Game 507-508
April 3, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
117.913
Atlanta
118.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
Even
237
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
240
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6); Under

Toronto @ Brooklyn

Game 511-512
April 3, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118,363
Brooklyn
123.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+1); Under

Boston @ Miami

Game 509-510
April 3, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
116.544
Miami
117.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+2); Over

Charlotte @ New Orleans

Game 513-514
April 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
113.964
New Orleans
107.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 2 1/2
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-2 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 515-516
April 3, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.421
Dallas
114.262
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1
222
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1); Under

San Antonio @ Denver

Game 517-518
April 3, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
113.384
Denver
120.503
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4 1/2); Over

Utah @ Phoenix

Game 519-520
April 3, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
125.948
Phoenix
110.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-10); Under

Memphis @ Portland

Game 521-522
April 3, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
114.224
Portland
122.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 11
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+11); Under

Houston @ LA Clippers

Game 523-524
April 3, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
127.607
LA Clippers
123.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+1 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 09:59 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 3

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INDIANA (46 - 32) at DETROIT (39 - 38) - 4/3/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 90-75 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 119-165 ATS (-62.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (15 - 62) at ORLANDO (38 - 40) - 4/3/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 49-67 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 46-65 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (21 - 57) at WASHINGTON (32 - 46) - 4/3/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 34-42 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-88 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 138-175 ATS (-54.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (49 - 28) at ATLANTA (28 - 50) - 4/3/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 138-112 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-56 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 75-53 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (46 - 32) at MIAMI (38 - 39) - 4/3/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 132-108 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 95-78 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (55 - 23) at BROOKLYN (39 - 39) - 4/3/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
BROOKLYN is 88-71 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (35 - 42) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 46) - 4/3/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 68-85 ATS (-25.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 54-84 ATS (-38.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (34 - 43) at DALLAS (31 - 46) - 4/3/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (45 - 33) at DENVER (51 - 26) - 4/3/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1088-954 ATS (+38.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 368-286 ATS (+53.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 42-72 ATS (-37.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (47 - 30) at PHOENIX (18 - 60) - 4/3/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
UTAH is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 42-56 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (31 - 46) at PORTLAND (49 - 28) - 4/3/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 43-34 ATS (+5.6 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-5 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (50 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (47 - 31) - 4/3/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 229-287 ATS (-86.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 10:01 AM

501Indiana -502 Detroit
DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the current season.

503New York -504 Orlando
NEW YORK is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

505Chicago -506 Washington
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

509Boston -510 Miami
MIAMI is 80-51 ATS (23.9 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

511Toronto -512 Brooklyn
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

513Charlotte -514 New Orleans
CHARLOTTE is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

515Minnesota -516 Dallas
DALLAS are 74-42 ATS (27.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

517San Antonio -518 Denver
SAN ANTONIO is 368-286 ATS (53.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

519Utah -520 Phoenix
PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

521Memphis -522 Portland
PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

523Houston -524 La Clippers
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent in the current season.

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 10:02 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 3

Indiana lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Detroit lost four of its last six games but covered six of its last seven; they’re 11-0 vs spread in last 11 home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Home side won eight of last nine Pacer-Piston games; Indiana covered once in its last four trips to Detroit. Last three series games went over.

Knicks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 road games. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Orlando won seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Magic won five of last seven games with New York (under 5-2); Knicks are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Orlando.

Chicago lost its last five games; they’re 3-4 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four road games stayed under. Washington lost six of its last eight games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Bulls won three of last four games with the Wizards; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Chicago covered its last four trips to Washington.

76ers won eight of their last 11 games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Six of their last nine games went over. Atlanta won four of its last six games; since All-Star Game, Hawks are 15-5 vs spread. Four of their last six games went over. Hawks are 6-4 in their last ten games with Philly; six of last nine series games went over total. 76ers covered once in their last five trips to Atlanta.

Boston won three of its last four games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five road games. Nine of their last dozen games went over. Heat won six of its last nine games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Miami covered seven of its last eight games with the Celtics, but Boston is 7-3 in last ten SU. Celtics are 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to Miami. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Raptors won their last four games and covered their last three road games. Six of their last nine games went over the total. Brooklyn lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last six games went over. Nets lost nine of their last ten games with Toronto; three of last four series games went over. Raptors are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn.

Hornets lost their last three games; they covered five of their last seven games. Four of their last six games went over. New Orleans lost 10 of its last 12 games; they’re 1-10 vs spread in last 11 home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Pelicans won their last five games with Charlotte; over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Hornets are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to New Orleans.

Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over. Dallas is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Timberwolves won six of last nine games with the Mavericks; they covered once in their last four trips to Dallas. Eight of last ten series games stayed under.

San Antonio is 3-4 in its last seven games (1-6 vs spread); they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 road games. 13 of their last 17 games stayed under. Denver lost four of its last six games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 20-2-1 in their last 23 games. Home side won last nine Spur-Nugget games; San Antonio covered three of its last four visits to Denver. Last three series games stayed under.

Utah won five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they covered four of their last five road games. Nine of their last 11 games stayed under. Suns lost six of their last seven games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Last three Phoenix games went over the total. Jazz won nine of their last ten games with Phoenix; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Four of last five series games stayed under.

Grizzlies lost six of their last nine games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last nine games went over. Trailblazers won 10 of their last 12 games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Home side won last five Memphis-Portland games; Grizzlies are 2-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Rockets won five of their last six games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. 14 of their last 16 games stayed under. Clippers won eight of their last nine games; they covered their last three home games. Seven of their last nine games went over. Clippers won five of last seven games with Houston; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Rockets are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here.

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 10:05 AM

NBA

Wednesday, April 3

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chicago's last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 23 games when playing at home against Chicago

New York @ Orlando
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Detroit
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Brooklyn
Toronto
Toronto is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Miami
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Charlotte @ New Orleans
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Minnesota @ Dallas
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

San Antonio @ Denver
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver's last 20 games

Memphis @ Portland
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Portland's last 13 games at home

Utah @ Phoenix
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games

Houston @ LA Clippers
Houston
Houston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

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**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 12:01 PM

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Rockets (-1, 229 ½) at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

All eight playoff spots in the Western Conference have been spoken for, but seeding for these positions are still up in the air heading into the final week of the season. The Rockets (50-28 SU, 37-38-3 ATS) reached the 50-win mark for the third straight season following last night’s 130-105 blowout of the Kings to pull off the season sweep of Sacramento. James Harden led Houston with 36 points and 10 assists, while knocking down seven three-pointers to push the Rockets temporarily into the third seed in the Western Conference ahead of Portland.

The Clippers (47-31 SU, 45-32-1 ATS) are fighting for the fifth seed in the Western Conference, but sit one half-game behind the Jazz heading into Wednesday’s action. Los Angeles continues a four-game homestand after knocking off Cleveland and Memphis easily by double-digits apiece. The Clippers won both those games on a back-to-back set, capped off by Sunday’s 113-96 win over the Grizzlies as 10-point favorites. Danilo Gallinari paced the Clippers with 27 points and 15 rebounds, as Los Angeles connected on 34-of-38 free throws.

Since losing at Utah to close out February, the Clippers have won 13 of 15 games, including an 8-1 mark at Staples Center with the lone loss coming to Portland on March 12. The last time Houston visited Staples Center on February 21, the Rockets squandered a 19-point lead in a five-point loss to the Lakers. The Rockets have caught fire ever since by winning 17 of the past 20 games, but won’t be able to have home-court advantage against the Warriors potentially in the Western Conference Finals this season.

The Clippers have captured each of the first two matchups with the Rockets this season, although both wins came back in October. Los Angeles edged Houston, 115-112 at Staples on October 21 as Chris Paul was sidelined against his former team. The game finished OVER the total of 221 after the final three matchups between these teams went UNDER last season. The Clippers claimed the second meeting at Toyota Center five days later as 3 ½-point underdogs, 133-113, but Harden sat out for Houston as the Rockets will finally have their full compliment of players this time around.

Pacers at Pistons (-3 ½, 205 ½) – 7:05 PM EST

It’s Round Two between these Central division rivals as Indiana (46-32 SU, 39-39 ATS) rallied past Detroit (39-38 SU, 40-34-3 ATS) on Monday, 111-102 to snap a three-game losing streak. The Pacers overcame an early double-digit deficit, while seven players finished in double-figures, led by Bojan Bogdanovic and Thaddeus Young scored 19 points apiece.

The Pistons continue to play without leading scorer Blake Griffin, who is sidelined with knee tendinitis, as Detroit looks to secure a playoff spot by sitting in the sixth position. Detroit was dealt its fourth straight road loss on Monday, but the Pistons have been unbeatable at Little Caesar’s Arena of late by running off 11 consecutive home victories.

Indiana has lost in its past three visits to the Motor City since the start of the 2017-18 season, while the Pacers have dropped 10 straight games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The last time Indiana won away from the Hoosier State came at Washington on February 23, while covering only twice during this 10-game road skid.

Raptors (-1 ½, 226) at Nets – 7:35 PM EST

Toronto (55-23 SU, 35-43 ATS) will likely settle for the second seed in the Eastern Conference as the Raptors are three games behind the Bucks with four games remaining. In the “If the playoffs started today” hypothetical, the Raptors would take on the Nets (39-39 SU, 42-36 ATS) in the 2/7 matchup. That wouldn’t disappoint Toronto at all, as the Raptors have captured nine of the past 10 meetings with their division rivals, but the Nets have covered in two matchups this season as a heavy underdog.

The Raptors are coming off their fourth straight victory since consecutive home losses to the Thunder and Hornets as Toronto pulled away from Orlando on Monday, 121-109 as 6 ½-point favorites. Toronto outscored Orlando, 33-16 in the second quarter to overcome an early 11-point deficit as Danny Green drilled seven three-pointers and scored 29 points.

The Nets will have to work for a playoff spot over the final week of the season as Brooklyn still has to face Milwaukee and Indiana on the road, followed by hosting Miami next Wednesday. Brooklyn has dropped three of four games, including Monday’s 131-121 setback to Milwaukee to snap a four-game winning streak at Barclays Center.

Celtics (-1, 212 ½) at Heat – 7:35 PM EST

Boston (46-32 SU, 36-41-1 ATS) jumped out to a 22-4 lead over Miami on Monday, but needed every last point to hold off the Heat, 110-105 at TD Garden. Although the Celtics failed to cash as seven-point favorites, Boston remained tied with Indiana for the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Celtics have slumped to a 2-9 ATS record the last 11 games, while posting an 0-7 ATS mark the past seven contests at home.

Now, Boston travels to Miami to face the Heat (38-39 SU, 42-34-1 ATS), as the Celtics were crushed in their last visit to American Airlines Arena in early January, 115-99. Miami has covered all three meetings with Boston this season and is 7-1 ATS in the past eight matchups since December 2016. The Heat have won six straight games after a loss with the streak starting in late February on the Dwyane Wade miracle three-pointer at the buzzer to stun the Warriors.

The Heat are currently on a 7-3 run at the AAA, but two of those losses have come to upper-tier Eastern Conference foes Milwaukee and Toronto. The Celtics have not been reliable as a short favorite by posting a 4-9 ATS record as chalk of 2 ½ points or less, but Boston has won six of its last nine games in the role of a road favorite.

Spurs at Nuggets (-5, 213) – 9:05 PM EST

There is a strong possibility that San Antonio and Denver can meet up in the opening round of the Western Conference playoffs. The Nuggets (51-26 SU, 39-38 ATS) are currently the second seed in the West and may have to settle for that position after losing a critical game at Golden State on Tuesday, 116-102 as 8 ½-point underdogs. Denver has lost three of four, while hoping not to fold down the stretch with Houston sitting 1 ½ games back of the second spot in the West.

The Spurs (45-33 SU, 41-35-2 ATS) travel to Denver with no rest following Tuesday’s 117-111 victory over Atlanta. San Antonio fell to 0-4 ATS the last four games, although the last three ATS defeats came when laying 10 points or more. This series has been owned by the home team since January 2017 as the Nuggets have won the last three matchups at Pepsi Center. After San Antonio beat Denver at home in late December by eight points, the past two meetings have been decided by a total of four points.

The Nuggets are riding an 8-1 run to the UNDER the last nine games at Pepsi Center, while Denver has not allowed more than 100 points in four straight home contests. However, the Spurs are 9-3 to the OVER with no rest this season, while putting together a 4-8 SU and 6-5-1 ATS mark on the second of a back-to-back set.

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 01:51 PM

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

The Pistons are 14-0 ATS (+10.29 ppg) as a favorite with rest after a game as a road dog that was tied five-plus times.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

The Nuggets are 0-15 ATS (-9.50 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

The Wizards are 13-0 OU (+13.81 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest when they are facing a team that is getting less than 25 percent of their rebounds on the offensive end.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

The Hawks are 0-16 OU (-13.25 ppg) with no rest off a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game.

**Udog** · 04-03-2019, 05:24 PM

By: Monique Vág

No weapons in the offensive lineup

Washington are 10-point favorites as they host the Bulls who are exceptionally short handed without four of their best players in Kris Dunn, Zach LaVine, Otto Porter Jr., Lauri Markkanen.

Chicago have struggled on the road winning only one of their most recent eight games, and one of six on the road versus Washington. The Under has been a profitable bet when these two teams meet up cashing in 18 of 23 at Capital One Arena. With the Bulls only eclipsing 105 points once over their last five tries, back their team total Under 108.

Slow starters

The Heat host the Celtics with Miami currently a 1-point home favorite. The Celtics have won 10 of the most recent 13 on the road versus Miami but have failed to cover the spread in five straight.

The Celtics and Heat have been two of the lower scoring first half teams in the Association with Boston averaging 52.8 on the road, and Miami 54.3 at home. Over their most recent 10, the average score at halftime has been 49-47 in favor of the Celtics. Look for another slow start, and low scoring first half. Back the first half game total Under 103.

Closing the season off strong

Both the Timberwolves and Mavericks have struggled securing rebounds, with both squads surrendering a large number of rebounds with Dallas averaging 10.3 offensive and 60.7 overall over their last three, and the Timberwolves 11.3 offensive and 58 over their most recent three.

This is a favorable spot for Karl-Anthony Towns who in both meetings this season has been efficient from the floor shooting 9-of-16 for 31 points, and 12-of-21 for 30 points with 11 boards. Look for similar numbers today versus a Mavericks team surrendering 22 points and 15.7 rebounds to opposing centers and bet Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 42.5.

Playing unselfishly

The Nuggets play on the tail end of a back-to-back after a very poor shooting effort last night against the Warriors shooting 37.5 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc versus. Today, they host a San Antonio team who have split their most recent six games, also play in the second game of a back-to-back.

Both the Nuggets and Spurs have been burned by the extra pass this season, and the Nuggets are coming off a game where they surrendered 36 assists to the Warriors. The Spurs’ DeMar DeRozan is averaging a career high in assists per game with 6.2. Look for him to find the open man and continue to help orchestrate the Spurs offense. Bet “DeRozan to get 6+ assists”.

Keeping their offenses rolling

Houston travel to Los Angeles to take on a Clippers team who have won five straight home games and 13 of 18 overall on their own court versus the Rockets.

Both teams rank in the top six in first half points per game with the Clippers averaging 59.5 at home, and the Rockets 57.8 on the road this season. In the most recent meeting between these two, offenses were clicking early on with the Clippers edging out the Rockets 70-61 entering halftime with a lead. Look for similar numbers today and back the first half game total Over 117.

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/3

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/3

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