Announcement

**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 08:36 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

How NCAA tournament prop bets fared:

— #4 seeds- 5.5 wins. Finished at 5; K-State’s 1st round loss was a crusher. UNDER

— #5 seeds- 4.5 wins. Sitting at 4, with Auburn alive- they have all four wins.

— #6-seeds- 4.5 wins. Finished at 3. UNDER

— #7-seeds: 3.5 wins. Finished at 1. Wofford got only win. UNDER

— #8-seeds: 2.5 wins. Got shut out by the 9-seeds. UNDER

— #9-seeds: 2 wins: Went 4-0 in first round. OVER

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy April Fools’ Day

13) Auburn 77, Kentucky 71 OT— Last time they played, Kentucky beat Auburn by 27. Not this time, and Charles Barkley’s alma mater is going to the Final Four for the first time. Auburn beat Kansas, North Carolina and Kentucky in its last three games; not bad.

Kentucky poached Stanford’s best player (a senior) and surrounded him with three freshmen and a sophomore; college basketball has become more like baseball, where kids jump to where they think the grass is greener, trying to get to the NBA.

Sometimes that grass is greener, sometimes it isn’t. You can get to the NBA from anywhere.

12) Nine of the 16 coaches in the Sweet 16 had already been to a Final Four. Chris Beard, Bruce Pearl and Tony Bennett will all be going to their first one.

11) Michigan State 68, Duke 67— Spartans trailed by 9 in first half, by 3 with 1:51 left, but survived 2-6 shooting on the foul line to get their first Final Four since 2015.

Final Four is a #1-seed, #2-seed, #3-seed, #5-seed.

10) San Francisco 49ers sold two seats inside their War Room on draft night to two people who paid $11,000 each for that experience. The $22,000 will supposedly go to a charity.

9) SI.com did a survey of NFL scouts about which colleges are the best ones to visit when they evaluate players, and Alabama was far and away chosen as the most accommodating.

On Alabama’s 2012 team, all 22 starters played in the NFL. I’m guessing that hasn’t happened much. It also helps recruiting.

8) West Virginia F Lamont West is transferring to Missouri State, which is not a step up or even a lateral move, but he should score more than the 12.1 ppg he averaged LY, starting 20 of the 36 Mountaineer games.

7) Over half the NFL owners (17 of 32) inherited their teams. Only seven of 30 NBA owners inherited their team.

6) In 20 games for Milwaukee against the Cardinals. Christian Yelich has 10 homers, 23 RBI and 22 runs scored.

5) If I’m a Philadelphia Eagles fan, and I hear coach Doug Pederson say “Carson Wentz has it in him to be a better teammate” well, that would worry me. The last thing you should be worrying about is if your quarterback is a good teammate.

4) Dodgers 18, Diamondbacks 5— Third game of the season Saturday night, and Arizona used a catcher to pitch the 7th/8th innings. Seriously, in the third game of the year?

Then the Dodgers let catcher Russell Martin pitch the 9th inning, when they were winning, albeit 18-5. When was last time both teams used a position player to pitch in same game?

3) Minnesota Twins’ starters Berrios/Odorizzi both struck out 10+ guys in their first start, just 2nd time EVER a team had that happen in their first two games of a season. Diamondbacks in 2001 also did it, with Randy Johnson/Curt Schilling.

2) San Diego Padres’ rookie pitcher Chris Paddack was thrown out at first base by the RF on what appeared to be a sharp single to right in his first MLB at-bat, with the bases loaded. I’m guessing that hasn’t happened very often.

1) Orlando 34, Memphis 31— Memphis was up 31-28 with 2:40 left on a rainy day; the snap goes right through the punter’s hands, and Orlando gets the wet ball on the 26-yard line and wins the game.

Refs missed a delay of game penalty on Orlando on the last play before the 2:00 warning, and Mike Singletary went off, getting two unsportsmanlike penalties during the 2:00 warning. Had the feel of a semi-pro game, which isn’t a good look for a new league.

**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 09:12 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 1

Pistons split their last six games but covered eight of last nine; they’re they covered six of their last nine road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Pacers lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last six games went over. Home side won seven of last eight Detroit-Indiana games; Pistons covered once in their last five visits to Indiana. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Miami won six of its last eight games; they’re 8-1 vs spread in their last nine road games. Heat’s last five games stayed under. Boston lost five of its last seven games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six home games. Eight of their last 11 games went over the total. Heat won three of last four games with the Celtics; they covered their last four visits to Boston. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Since Dec 24, Milwaukee is 9-1 vs spread if they lost their previous game; they’re 3-3 vs spread on road if they played night before. Three of Bucks’ last four games went over. Brooklyn lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games. Bucks won nine of last ten games with the Nets; they covered four of last five trips to Brooklyn. Three of last four series games played here stayed under.

Magic won seven of their last eight games; they covered three of their last four road games. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Toronto won its last three games; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last dozen home games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Raptors won five of last seven games with Orlando; five of last six series games stayed under. Magic is 2-1-1 vs spread in its last four visits to Canada.

Bulls lost their last four games, but covered three of last four road tilts. Under is 4-2-1 in their lat seven games. New York lost 14 of its last 15 games; they’re 2-6 vs spread as a home favorite this year. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Knicks lost four of last five games with Chicago, with last two losses in OT; four of last six series games played here stayed under. Bulls are 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Manhattan.

Trailblazers lost six of their last seven games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 road games. Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Timberwolves lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Home side won last ten Portland-Minnesota games; Blazers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to the Twin Cities. Last four series games stayed under the total.

Philly won eight of its last ten games; they’re 8-5 vs spread in last 13 games. Sixers’ last three games stayed under the total. Dallas lost five of its last seven games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. 76ers won their last four games with the Mavericks; they covered once in their last four visits to Dallas. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Charlotte split its last 12 games; they lost by 47 in Oakland last nite. Hornets covered once in last four road games. Four of their last five games went over. Jazz won nine of their last ten games, are 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Home side won nine of last ten Charlotte-Utah games; Hornets are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Salt Lake City- four of those games stayed under.

Cavaliers lost four of their last five games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Eight of their last nine games went over. Phoenix lost its last six gamess (1-5 vs spread); they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Suns lost their last eight games with Cleveland (0-4 vs spread in last four); Six of last nine series games stayed under. Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the desert.

**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 09:19 AM

NBA

Monday, April 1

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Trend Report
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Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games
Indiana is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 13 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Brooklyn's last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 2-14-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Miami Heat
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Miami is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Boston is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Chicago is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 13 games
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 19 games at home
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Orlando Magic
Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Orlando's last 17 games
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games on the road
Orlando is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Toronto is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
Toronto is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Portland is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Portland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Portland's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 23 games at home
Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing at home against Portland

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Dallas is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Utah
Charlotte is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing Utah
Charlotte is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Utah
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home
Utah is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Utah is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cleveland's last 19 games when playing Phoenix
Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Phoenix's last 19 games when playing Cleveland
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

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**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 09:21 AM

561Detroit -562 Indiana
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

563Miami -564 Boston
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

565Milwaukee -566 Brooklyn
MILWAUKEE is 207-268 ATS (-87.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

567Orlando -568 Toronto
ORLANDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots in the current season.

569Chicago -570 New York
NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

571Portland -572 Minnesota
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

573Philadelphia -574 Dallas
PHILADELPHIA is 78-42 ATS (31.8 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

575Charlotte -576 Utah
CHARLOTTE is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

577Cleveland -578 Phoenix
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games vs. losing teams in the current season.

**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 10:27 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 1

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DETROIT (39 - 37) at INDIANA (45 - 32) - 4/1/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 89-75 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (38 - 38) at BOSTON (45 - 32) - 4/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 95-77 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 131-108 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (57 - 20) at BROOKLYN (39 - 38) - 4/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 395-470 ATS (-122.0 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 209-257 ATS (-73.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 88-70 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (38 - 39) at TORONTO (54 - 23) - 4/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-35 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (21 - 56) at NEW YORK (14 - 62) - 4/1/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 240-190 ATS (+31.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NEW YORK is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (48 - 28) at MINNESOTA (34 - 42) - 4/1/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 42-34 ATS (+4.6 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PORTLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-67 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 384-454 ATS (-115.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 9-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (49 - 27) at DALLAS (30 - 46) - 4/1/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 42-32 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DALLAS is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 138-111 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (35 - 41) at UTAH (46 - 30) - 4/1/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 67-85 ATS (-26.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (19 - 58) at PHOENIX (17 - 60) - 4/1/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 77-100 ATS (-33.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 46-65 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-59 ATS (-22.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 44-59 ATS (-20.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-43 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 12:00 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, April 1

Detroit @ Indiana

Game 561-562
April 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
108.594
Indiana
122.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 14
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-5); Over

Miami @ Boston

Game 563-564
April 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.048
Boston
125.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 14
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn

Game 565-566
April 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
120.170
Brooklyn
120.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 1
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+2 1/2); Over

Chicago @ New York

Game 569-570
April 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
104.869
New York
111.852
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-3 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Toronto

Game 567-568
April 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
121.209
Toronto
122.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7
216
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7); Under

Portland @ Minnesota

Game 571-572
April 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
123.061
Minnesota
114.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-3 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 573-574
April 1, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
118.780
Dallas
115.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+7); Under

Charlotte @ Utah

Game 575-576
April 1, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
115.351
Utah
123.561
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 11 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+11 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Phoenix

Game 577-578
April 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
107.542
Phoenix
112.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 5
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-2); Over

**Udog** · 04-01-2019, 12:04 PM

Monday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Miami at Boston (-6.5, 212), 7:35 ET, NBA TV

With the West’s top eight already decided, the Eastern Conference is the only show in town if you’re looking to watch how desperate teams facing must-win games in order to extend their season perform. Monday’s nine-game schedule features the Trail Blazers and Jazz favored to pick up wins to strengthen their bid for the No. 4 seed that looks to be up for grabs, but the truly compelling games all feature East teams that begin the month with plenty left to accomplish.

The Celtics beat the Pacers on a Kyrie Irving game-winner late last week and have the inside track on the East’s No. 4 seed as they try and pick up homecourt advantage for their likely playoff matchup. Indiana has lost seven of eight but still hosts Boston on Friday night with an opportunity to open the postseason at Bankers Life Fieldhouse and begins an important home-and-home against Detroit you can read about below.

Prior to visiting Indianapolis, the Celtics have their own home-and-home set to get through against Miami, which enters the week looking to catch Orlando or Brooklyn in order to extend Dwyane Wade’s retirement tour into the postseason. Ideally, the playoffs in where his career should end, but it could be that the basketball gods have no desire to see him go out in a first round. As things stand, the Heat control its destiny, coming in a half-game ahead of the Magic despite losing at home to them last week. Considering they have the tougher schedule and Orlando holds the tie-breaker, the Heat’s grip on No. 8 is indeed tenuous, but they have won six of eight and figure to go down swinging.

The Heat won in New York on Sunday night despite leaving Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson and Rodney McGruder behind due to injuries. It remains to be seen if they’ll be available fort the rematch on Wednesday in South Florida, but with Derrick Jones, Jr. dealing with a personal matter and questionable to play, James Johnson, Dion Waiters and Wade will see extended time on the wing and Miami will be far more vulnerable defensively than they have been for most of their current run.

Hassan Whiteside provided the spark in Saturday’s 100-92 win at the Knicks, providing 17 points and 13 rebounds off the bench while Waiters delivered 28 points and six assists. Wade had 16 points and has consistently made plays late in games to the point that it’s clear he’s leaving with plenty left in the tank, so you can count on him leaving it all out there and playing a defining role in determining what he’ll be preparing to do once the next 10 days are up.

It doesn’t sound like the Celtics have any injury concerns ahead of this one, so the Heat could get a team that will be looking to turn up their intensity level now that we’ve reached April with everyone still healthy. Al Horford has been dealing with knee soreness but is expected to start in the middle. Kyrie Irving has skipped games here and there over the past few months but looks to be fresh. His game-winning layup against Indiana was the type of shot that wins championships, capping a 30-point night. He got exactly where he wanted with a confidence and certainty that only the truly elite can manage, delivering the winning bucket with 0.5 left.

Irving then got the night off on Saturday as the short-handed Celtics fell in Brooklyn without their All-Star point guard and Horford, getting outscored by 18 over the final three quarters. Jayson Tatum did play despite dealing with an illness over the weekend, so we’ll see where his energy level is for this one, but Boston has been better early in games of late and should look to get out in transition to keep the Heat from setting its halfcourt defense, which could lead to a high-scoring opening quarter. If Jones sits, Miami will be without its most dynamic athlete and will certainly be vulnerable to the edge in depth the Celtics would have on the wing given the absence of Winslow, Richardson and McGruder.

Each team has won at home through the first two meetings in the season series, but the Heat actually have been better in opposing arenas than in their own gym, coming in with the Eastern Conference’s third-best road record. Wade isn’t likely to get the warm reception he got at Madison Square Garden from Boston fans tonight considering he’s always been a villain a TD Garden, but he should be heavily involved in determining the outcome given Miami’s personnel issues. The future Hall of Famer has averaged 19.7 points against the Celtics over his career.

The ‘over’ has prevailed in eight of the last 11 games involving Boston, but the ‘under’ is 4-1 over Miami’s last five. The number (212) is identical to where it was placed for the first two meetings which split.

Best of the Rest

Detroit at Indiana, 7:05 p.m. ET: Blake Griffin was scratched on Saturday night prior to the Pistons tipping off against the Blazers, complaining of knee soreness after suiting up for warm-ups. His absence took everyone by surprise and will carry over another game since he’s already been ruled out for this one. Andre Drummond finished with 22 points and 19 rebounds to help take down Portland for Detroit’s 11th consecutive home win, but it’s been a different story on the road, where it has lost six of seven, failing to top the century mark in three of the losses. We’ll see if scoring is an issue against the defensive-minded Pacers, who won the first meeting of the season between these teams at Bankers Life Fieldhouse 125-88 back on Dec. 28. Indiana has lost seven of eight but should prioritize ramping up its intensity level on defense after being carved up for 65 second-half points by Orlando in a bad home loss on Saturday. Bojan Bogdanovic is averaging 21.8 points over the Pacers’ last 10 games, sporting a 28.0-points-per-game clip over his last four.

Milwaukee at Brooklyn, 7:35 p.m. ET: Khris Middleton wasn’t expected to sit on Sunday, but felt pain in warmups and opted not to play against the Hawks. That had a domino effect with Eric Bledsoe getting the day off, so we’ll see if they play here. The team is rightfully being cautious with Giannis Antetokounmpo’s ankle and have a three-game lead on Toronto for the East’s top seed with five to play, so they can afford to give key guys time off. The Nets benefited from Irving and Horford sitting out Saturday night and could again catch a break if the Bucks aren’t at full strength here since they’re looking to hold off both Florida teams to finish among the conference’s top eight. Middleton and Tony Snell could return here for Milwaukee or might be given some additional time to heal up since the team doesn’t play again until Thursday, so be sure to check on the status of these guys closer to tip. Allen Crabbe remains out with a knee issue for Brooklyn, which is 0-2 against the Bucks this season.

Orlando at Toronto, 7:35 p.m. ET: This could be the Magic's toughest remaining game given their remaining schedule, which features only one other playoff team, so if they can secure an upset, you really have to like their chances of ending a lengthy playoff drought. Saturday's win in Indy was impressive and featured everyone collectively playing really well on both sides of the ball, which is a big deal for this group since they've been so streaky on the offensive end. The Raptors fell 113-98 last time these teams played on Feb. 24 as Terrence Ross haunted his former team with 28 points. Orlando has won two of three over the Raps and seven of eight overall, coming off a season-best 37 assists against the Pacers. Toronto should have starting forwards Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam back after both rested on Saturday, so we could be in for a true early preview of a potential playoff series with both teams playing to win this one since this could very well end up the 2-7 matchup in the East. The 'over' is on an 8-3-1 run in games involving Toronto.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/1

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/1

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