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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 23

    Good Luck on day # 82 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Alabama will fire Avery Johnson; Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew. NCAA tournament is fun, but if you don’t make it, your job is in jeopardy.

    — Oakland Raiders signed Mike Glennon as a backup QB.

    — Red Sox signed Chris Sale to a 5-year, $150M contract extension.

    — A’s 1B Matt Olson had hand surgery, will miss 4-8 weeks.

    — Rockets 111, Spurs 105— James Harden scored 61 points; he was 9-13 on arc.

    — Wofford’s Fletcher Magee is the all-time leader in 3-point shots made; coming out of high school, he was an unranked recruit. Recruiting services are overrated.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Wrapping up a full Friday of hoops

    Cal-Irvine 70, Kansas State 64— Anteaters’ first-ever NCAA tournament win; they’ve won 17 games in a row, have wins this year at Saint Mary’s, Texas A&M. Very good defensive team.

    Disappointing loss for a veteran K-State team, which made the Elite 8 last year.

    Iowa 79, Cincinnati 72— Bearcats led by 13 early on, but Iowa made 11-22 on arc, shot 58% inside arc and won a game where most of the crowd in Columbus was pulling for Cincinnati.

    Last seven years, Bearcats are 183-59, 95-31 in conference games, but only 3-7 in NCAA tournament games. Three years ago, Mick Cronin pretended he was interested in the UNLV job so he could get financial concessions from the Cincinnati administration. I’m guessing there is a lot of grumbling going on today in Cincinnati.

    Oklahoma 95, Ole Miss 72— Sooners made their first eight shots, led 12-0 quickly and jogged home from there. Oklahoma was just stronger, tougher than the Rebels,

    Lon Kruger is the only coach to win an NCAA tournament for five different schools; UNLV, Kansas State, Illinois, Florida, Oklahoma. He also coached the Atlanta Hawks for three years.

    Texas Tech 72, Northern Kentucky 57— Horizon League teams lost their last eight first round games; their last win was when Brad Stevens was coaching Butler and they made the national title game two years in a row.

    Think about that accomplishment; a team from the Horizon League made the national title game two years in a row!!! No wonder the guy is coaching in the NBA now.

    Tennessee 77, Colgate 70— Colgate has a kid named Jordan Burns who was told by his HS football coach that he would never play college basketball— he scored 32 points in this game, as Red Raiders gave Tennessee quite a scare.

    One of Colgate’s best players, Rapolas Ivanauskas had pink-eye and didn’t play in the second half. Red Raiders made 15-29 on the arc in a strong performance.

    Virginia 71, Gardner-Webb 56— Cavaliers were down 14 in first half of this game, as flashbacks from LY’s loss to UMBC were in everyone’s head.

    Reality set in after halftime, when Gardner-Webb led by 6. Has to be a tremendous sigh of relief for Virginia- they play Oklahoma Sunday.

    Gardner-Webb won games at Georgia Tech, Wake Forest; they were a pretty strong 16-seed.

    Buffalo 91, Arizona State 74— Less than six years ago, Buffalo coach Nate Oats was teaching five math classes a day – algebra, geometry and statistics – at Romulus HS in Michigan. Now he is coaching a top 25 college team and making a boatload of money. He s very good at his job, but how long will he stay in Buffalo?

    Buffalo hammered Arizona in the tournament LY, now this; their game with Texas Tech Sunday will be very good.

    None of the play-in game winners won their first round game, which is unusual, first time in nine years.

    Oregon 72, Wisconsin 54— Wooten has developed into an elite rim protector for the Ducks, who have won nine games in a row. They play #13-seed Cal-Irvine next.

    This will be the 13th 2nd round game between a 12 and 13-seed; favorites went 9-3 vs spread in the first 12.

    As of right now, the Big 14 is 6-1 in this tournament, pretty strong showing.

    Washington 78, Utah State 61— Rough week for the Mountain West, with Nevada/Utah State going down meekly. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 1-5 in first round games.

    Great year for the Aggies, though who went 28-7, winning 17 of their last 19 games. It was their first 20+-win season since 2013.

    Duke 85, North Dakota State 62— Friday, a guy with too much money at a Caesars sportsbook placed a $150 money-line bet on Duke at -$15,000. When the Blue Devils won, his profit was $1. One American dollar.

    Watching games all day Thursday, think I only heard Zion Williamson’s name once all day; once you get away from ESPN, coverage of Duke is a little more even-handed.

    Houston 84, Georgia State 55— This game was 15-3 early; teams combined to go 14-52 on the arc. Cougars shot 71.4% inside the arc; last year, Houston lost 64-63 to Michigan in the second round. Now, they play another Big 14 team (Ohio State) in second round Sunday.

    Liberty 80, Mississippi State 76— Bulldogs missed their last eight shots from floor, as Liberty wins its first NCAA tournament game. This is first non-play-in win for the Atlantic Sun since Florida Gulf Coast made the Sweet 16 six years ago.

    This is 5th time that the #12 seeds went 3-1 in the first round, first time since 2014. The four #5-seeds played a total of six non-conference road games during the regular season.

    North Carolina 88, Iona 73— Gaels led this game 38-33 at halftime, little bit of a red flag for the Tar Heels.

    Iona has lost 13 straight NCAA tournament games; last time they got out of the first round was 1980, when their coach was Jim Valvano.

    Central Florida 73, VCU 58— At first TV timeout, teams were combined 1-16 from floor; VCU led 3-0. UCF missed its first ten shots from floor, then made their next ten. VCU went over 10:00 without scoring a point midway thru game.

    This is the first time since 2001 that all four #9-seeds beat the #8-seeds.

    Ohio State 62, Iowa State 59— Cyclones lost six of last eight regular season games, then won the Big X tournament last weekend, then laid an egg here. Teams combined to make 11-42 on the arc; five of the ten starters in this game played 38:00+.

    Virginia Tech 66, Saint Louis 52— First NCAA tournament win in dozen years for the Hokies; check status of PG Robinson, who played in this game but may have tweaked a leg when he slipped on a wet spot on the floor in second half.

    Billikens turned ball over 18 times (-7), made 4-23 on the arc; their bench was 0-7 from the floor.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-23-2019, 12:50 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Golden State Warriors
      Per the NBA’s injury report that was posted Friday afternoon, Stephen Curry will be out for ‘rest’ reasons. Also sitting Saturday’s game for rest will be center Andrew Bogut and guard Shaun Livingston.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, March 23


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        BOSTON (43 - 29) at CHARLOTTE (32 - 39) - 3/23/2019, 6:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON is 94-73 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 66-49 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 64-83 ATS (-27.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CHARLOTTE is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        CHARLOTTE is 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 8-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 9-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MIAMI (35 - 37) at WASHINGTON (30 - 43) - 3/23/2019, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
        WASHINGTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        MIAMI is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
        MIAMI is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
        MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        MIAMI is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
        MIAMI is 233-185 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        MIAMI is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 71-86 ATS (-23.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 8-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        PHILADELPHIA (47 - 25) at ATLANTA (25 - 48) - 3/23/2019, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 136-109 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 158-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
        PHILADELPHIA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 76-55 ATS (+15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season.
        ATLANTA is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MINNESOTA (32 - 40) at MEMPHIS (29 - 43) - 3/23/2019, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        MEMPHIS is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MEMPHIS is 8-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        MEMPHIS is 7-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        UTAH (42 - 30) at CHICAGO (21 - 52) - 3/23/2019, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTAH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        UTAH is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        UTAH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CHICAGO is 136-183 ATS (-65.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
        CHICAGO is 74-106 ATS (-42.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
        CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
        CHICAGO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        DALLAS (28 - 44) at GOLDEN STATE (49 - 22) - 3/23/2019, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GOLDEN STATE is 82-54 ATS (+22.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
        DALLAS is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
        DALLAS is 60-45 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 521-442 ATS (+34.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
        DALLAS is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
        DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        DETROIT (37 - 34) at PORTLAND (44 - 27) - 3/23/2019, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DETROIT is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
        PORTLAND is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
        PORTLAND is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
        PORTLAND is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        PORTLAND is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        PORTLAND is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        DETROIT is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        PHOENIX (17 - 56) at SACRAMENTO (35 - 36) - 3/23/2019, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHOENIX is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
        PHOENIX is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        PHOENIX is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        SACRAMENTO is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        SACRAMENTO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SACRAMENTO is 6-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
        SACRAMENTO is 6-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-23-2019, 12:52 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Saturday, March 23


          Boston lost three of its last five games; they’re 3-8-2 vs spread in their last 13 games. Five of their last six games went over. Charlotte lost nine of its last 13 games; 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Celtics won nine of last ten games with the Hornets; they covered three of last four visits to Charlotte. Last four series games went over the total.

          Heat won eight of its last 11 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread on road if they played the night before. Four of their last six games stayed under. Washington lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Miami won seven of last ten games with the Wizards; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four trips to Washington. Last five series games went over the total.

          Philly won its last six games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in their last ten road games. Sixers’ last four games went over the total. Atlanta lost three of its last four games; they covered four of their last five home games. Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games. 76ers won four of last five games with the Hawks; they covered once in their last four visits to Atlanta (over 3-1).

          Minnesota lost its last five games; they’re 0-8 vs spread in their last eight games. Five of Timberwolves’ last six games stayed under. Memphis lost three of their last four games; they covered their last four home games. Six of their last seven games went over. Grizzlies won six of last eight games with Minnesota; seven of last nine series games stayed under. Wolves are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Memphis.

          Jazz won five of their last six games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in their last ten games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Bulls are 8-8 in their last 16 games; they’re 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last six games went over. Home side won six of last seven Utah-Chicago games; Jazz covered once in their last four trips to the Windy City. Seven of last ten series games stayed under.

          Warriors won four of their last five games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Last ten Golden State games stayed under. Mavericks lost 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Three of their last four games went over. Golden State won nine of last ten games with Dallas, but Mavericks covered four of last five. Dallas is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Oakland.

          Detroit won eight of its last 11 games; they covered once in last four road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Trailblazers won five of their last six games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Pistons won five of their last six games with Portland; they’re 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Seven of last ten series games went over the total.

          Phoenix lost four of its last five games; they covered their last five road games. Eight of their last ten games stayed under. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 13-4-1 vs spread in last 18 home games. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Suns/Kings split their last ten games; three of last four series games stayed under. Phoenix is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Sacramento.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-23-2019, 12:53 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Saturday, March 23


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            Trend Report
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            Boston Celtics
            Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games on the road
            Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
            Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
            Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
            Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
            Charlotte Hornets
            Charlotte is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
            Charlotte is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
            Charlotte is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
            Charlotte is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
            Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Boston
            Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
            Charlotte is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

            Miami Heat
            Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
            Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
            Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Washington
            Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
            Washington Wizards
            Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
            Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
            Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
            Washington is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
            Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Miami
            Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
            Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing at home against Miami

            Philadelphia 76ers
            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 22 games
            Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
            Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
            Philadelphia is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Atlanta
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Atlanta
            Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
            Atlanta Hawks
            Atlanta is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
            Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
            Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
            Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Philadelphia
            Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
            Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            Utah Jazz
            Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
            Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
            Utah is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 13 games when playing Chicago
            Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            Chicago Bulls
            Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
            Chicago is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
            Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games at home
            Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
            Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 13 games when playing Utah
            Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
            Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

            Minnesota Timberwolves
            Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
            Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
            Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 17 of Minnesota's last 24 games on the road
            Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
            Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Memphis
            Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
            Minnesota is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Memphis
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
            Memphis Grizzlies
            Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
            Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
            Memphis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
            Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
            Memphis is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Minnesota
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

            Dallas Mavericks
            Dallas is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
            Dallas is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
            Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
            Dallas is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Golden State
            Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            Golden State Warriors
            Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Golden State is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
            Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
            Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            Golden State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
            Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
            Golden State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Dallas
            Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
            Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

            Detroit Pistons
            Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
            Detroit is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
            The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
            Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
            Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Portland
            Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
            Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Portland
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
            Portland Trail Blazers
            Portland is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
            Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Portland's last 23 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
            Portland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
            Portland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 11 games at home
            Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
            Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Portland's last 14 games when playing Detroit
            Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
            Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

            Phoenix Suns
            Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
            Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
            Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Phoenix is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing Sacramento
            Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            Sacramento Kings
            Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            Sacramento is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
            Sacramento is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Sacramento is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Sacramento's last 17 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing Phoenix
            Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
            Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-23-2019, 12:53 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              515Boston -516 Charlotte
              CHARLOTTE is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after 2+ home games in the last 3 seasons.

              517Miami -518 Washington
              WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the current season.

              519Philadelphia -520 Atlanta
              ATLANTA is 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

              521Minnesota -522 Memphis
              MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

              523Utah -524 Chicago
              UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

              525Dallas -526 Golden State
              GOLDEN STATE is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after 5 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

              527Detroit -528 Portland
              PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

              529Phoenix -530 Sacramento
              SACRAMENTO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

              Comment


              • #8
                NBA
                Dunkel

                Saturday, March 23



                Phoenix @ Sacramento

                Game 529-530
                March 23, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Phoenix
                107.539
                Sacramento
                119.830
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Sacramento
                by 12 1/2
                230
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Sacramento
                by 10
                231
                Dunkel Pick:
                Sacramento
                (-10); Under

                Detroit @ Portland


                Game 527-528
                March 23, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Detroit
                115.634
                Portland
                124.031
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Portland
                by 8 1/2
                227
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Portland
                by 5
                215
                Dunkel Pick:
                Portland
                (-5); Over

                Dallas @ Golden State


                Game 525-526
                March 23, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Dallas
                111.571
                Golden State
                122.084
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Golden State
                by 10 1/2
                216
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Golden State
                by 14
                220 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Dallas
                (+14); Under

                Utah @ Chicago


                Game 523-524
                March 23, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Utah
                123.620
                Chicago
                114.151
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Utah
                by 7 1/2
                233
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Utah
                by 10 1/2
                218 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Chicago
                (+10 1/2); Over

                Minnesota @ Memphis


                Game 521-522
                March 23, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Minnesota
                118.215
                Memphis
                108.855
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Minnesota
                by 9 1/2
                227
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Minnesota
                by 1
                216 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Minnesota
                (-1); Over

                Philadelphia @ Atlanta


                Game 519-520
                March 23, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Philadelphia
                125.522
                Atlanta
                115.029
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Philadelphia
                by 10 1/2
                227
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Philadelphia
                by 8
                236 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Philadelphia
                (-8); Over

                Miami @ Washington


                Game 517-518
                March 23, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Miami
                118.685
                Washington
                114.906
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Miami
                by 4
                207
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Washington
                by 1 1/2
                221 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Miami
                (+1 1/2); Under

                Boston @ Charlotte


                Game 515-516
                March 23, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Boston
                117.666
                Charlotte
                119.093
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Charlotte
                by 1 1/2
                216
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Boston
                by 3
                222
                Dunkel Pick:
                Charlotte
                (+3); Under

                Comment


                • #9
                  Inside the Paint - Saturday
                  Chris David

                  The NBA favorites kept trucking along Friday with a 6-1 mark but the point-spread mattered as underdogs went 4-3 against the spread. Including those results, the ‘chalk’ has gone 11-2 SU and 7-6 ATS the past two nights. The big winner lately has been the ‘under’ as the low side has gone 10-2-1 in the last two days.

                  Saturday’s slate has eight games on tap and below is my quick handicap.

                  Closing Time

                  Boston (43-29 SU, 34-36-2 ATS) at Charlotte (32-29 SU, 31-38-2 ATS)


                  The Celtics will be headed to the playoffs but they’re hoping to jump Indiana for the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the Hornets are looking to snag the eighth and final spot in the East but they have plenty of work to do. Boston (-3) opened as a short road favorite and it’s won and covered both games at home against Charlotte this season but they dropped a 117-112 road loss to the Hornets on Nov. 19. The Celtics come into this game off back-to-back losses and it’s burned bettors with a 1-4 ATS mark in their last five games. However, Boston has won four of its last six games as a road favorite. The Hornets haven’t been great home underdogs (2-5 SU, 2-4-1 ATS) and they’ve lost their last four contests in that role. Charlotte has five wins since the All-Star break and only one came against a playoff team (Nets). Even though the form of Boston hasn’t been great, it has racked up four consecutive wins against losing clubs.

                  Miami (35-37 SU, 39-33 ATS) at Washington (30-43 SU, 35-38 ATS)

                  The Heat currently sit in the eighth spot of the East but a loss in D.C. tonight would put them in a tie with Orlando. Miami is listed as a short underdog (+1 ½) and it will be playing on no rest after getting run at Milwaukee last night. The Heat have gone 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS in back-to-back spots and they’ve been better away from home (5-3). These teams have played to three shootouts this season, with Miami taking two of those meetings and that includes a 113-112 at Washington on Oct. 18. The ‘over’ has gone 3-0 and the high side is on a 5-0 run in this series.

                  Heavy Chalk

                  The final quarter of the regular season has become very tough to handicap at times just because the lineups are always up in the air and often unpredictable. Philadelphia (-8), Utah (-10) and Golden State (-14) are all laying big prices tonight and the 76ers and Jazz are doing so on the road versus the Hawks and Bulls respectively.

                  Among that pair, I’d expect Utah to be ready in Chicago after it dropped a 117-114 decision to Atlanta on Thursday. This is the final game of a four-game road trip for the Jazz and the club has a legit chance to push all the way up to the fourth seed in the Western Conference based on its upcoming schedule.

                  The 76ers were upset by the Hawks 123-121 on Jan. 11 at home and payback should be on their mind. Atlanta is a fun team to watch, especially when it’s connecting from distance, but it still has the worst defense in the league and it turns the ball over way too much. Atlanta has won three of its last four at home and the offense posted 128, 132 and 117 in the wins.

                  Golden State just covered as a double-digit favorite on Thursday in a 112-89 win over Indiana and it would be surprising to see them lose at Oracle Arena tonight. However, they just dropped two games in this role (Rockets, Suns) and they’ve overall record as double-digit home favorites is a solid 16-2, but they've been hit or miss for bettors (9-9 ATS).

                  Looking at our Parlay Calculator, you could get 3/5 odds (Bet $100 to win $60) on the 'chalk' trio if you rolled them into a money-line parlay – 76ers (-340), Jazz (-600), Warriors (-1600). Or you can play the ‘dogs and get back close to a 200/1 return with three outright upsets.

                  Playoff Power

                  Only one game on Saturday has two playoff teams squaring off and it’s a non-conference tilt from the Moda Center with Detroit (37-34 SU, 36-33-2 ATS) visiting Portland (44-27 SU, 40-31 ATS). The Pistons dropped a 100-87 decision at this venue last season but had won and covered five straight games against the Trail Blazers prior to that setback. This is the first meeting between the pair this season and they’ll square off again next Saturday from Michigan.

                  The Pistons enter this game on a 3-1 run and with road games at Golden State and Denver on deck, the sense of urgency should be he high for this matchup. Portland is certainly no slouch and it has gone 5-1 in its last six games and three of those wins came at home. The Blazers have feasted on the Eastern Conference at home this season, going 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS. Meanwhile, Detroit has gone 5-6 on the road versus the West and only one win came against a playoff team (Clippers). They have been competitive with a 7-3-1 ATS mark and total bettors should note that the ‘under’ has gone 8-2-1 in those games.

                  Meaningless Matchups

                  There are two ‘roll the ball out’ games on Saturday between non-playoff clubs and while I would normally lean to the ‘over’ in those contests, the lack of scoring depth for these teams is evident.

                  Minnesota at Memphis:
                  This will be the fourth and final encounter between the pair and Memphis has gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the first three meetings while the ‘under’ has gone 2-1. The Grizzlies are playing on no rest and they’ve struggled to a 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS mark in those spots. Minnesota has dropped five straight games both SU and ATS entering this matchup and the offense (104.4 PPG) has been inconsistent, which has led to a 4-1 ‘under’ mark. The Grizzlies could be without point guard Mike Conley, who is listed as 'questionable.'

                  Phoenix at Sacramento:
                  Another season series wrapping up here and the Kings (-10) are laying a big price in this Pacific Division matchup. Sacramento has gone 2-1 both SU and ATS versus Phoenix this season, scoring 122 and 117 in the wins. The Kings are still pushing the pace and scoring lately but the Suns have been held to 102 points or less in four of their last five games. The loss of Kelly Oubre (thumb) certainly won’t help Phoenix in the offensive department. The line is high but make a note that the Kings have gone 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS as home favorites this season while the ‘under’ has gone 10-3-1.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Hoop Trends - Saturday
                    Vince Akins

                    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

                    -- The Celtics are 17-0 ATS (+10.44 ppg) as a rested favorite off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than five blocks per game.

                    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                    -- The Hornets are 0-12 ATS (-7.00 ppg) as a home dog with less than two days rest off a win.

                    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

                    -- The Timberwolves are 17-0 OU (+11.88 ppg) as a road dog after a game as a road dog in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

                    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

                    -- The Grizzlies are 0-13 OU (-14.38 ppg) with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

                    Comment

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