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Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/20

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  • Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 20

    Good Luck on day # 79 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Database


    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Some more prop bets for the NCAA Tournament:

    — Wins by Gonzaga 3.5. Over +$130, Under -$160

    — Wins by Kentucky 2.5 Over -$125, Under +$105

    — Wins by Virginia 3.5 Over +$120, Under -$150

    — Wins by Duke 3.5 Over -$190, Under +$160

    — Wins by Michigan 2.5 Over +$115, Under -$145

    — Wins by Michigan State 2.5 Over -$140, Under +$110


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Mike Trout signed a 12-year, $430M deal with the Angels; thats $35,833,333 per year, if you’re scoring at home. Big day for baseball players and their agents.

    The business of baseball myst be good; Artie Moreno bought the Angels for $184M in April, 2003; 16 years later, he pays one guy more than double that.

    12) Question is, was this a good day for Angel fans? Halos are also paying Albert Pujols another $87M over the next three seasons. Neither one of those guys pitches, and pitching wins.

    11) Oakland A’s entire payroll last year was $65,985,833; now Trout/Pujols will be making $63.8M combined this year. Oakland won 17 more games than the Angels last year.

    10) St Joe’s fired coach Phil Martelli Tuesday after 24 years with the school; Hawks were 28-8 three short years ago, but then DeAndre’ Bembry left school a year early and things weren’t the same- St Joe’s went 41-55 the last three years, 20-34 in the A-14.

    St Joe’s brought in a new athletic director last year, and new AD’s usually don’t care too much about what happened before they got there, so now the Hawks are looking for a new coach. Martelli made the NCAA’s seven times in 24 years at St Joe’s; we live in a fickle society.

    9) Freshman Joel Ntambwe is transferring from UNLV, which is terrible news for Rebel fans and the new UNLV coach, whoever that turns out to be. Ntambwe averaged 11.8 ppg and 5.5 rpg this year- he shot 38.6% behind the arc. Really good player.

    8) FDU 82, Prairie View 76— Prairie View made 8-12 on arc in first half, led 41-34 at the break; they made 15-29 on arc for the game, but FDU’s PG Jenkins scored 20 second half points and the Knights move on to play Gonzaga in Salt Lake City Thursday. Fun game to watch.

    7) Belmont 81, Temple 70— Belmont plays like the old Pete Carril/Princeton teams; they shoot the 3’s, they make backdoor cuts, they’re a unique team to play against.

    6) #8-seed in the NBA’s Western Conference are the Clippers, who are 41-30; a 41-30 team would be the 6th seed in the East.

    5) Rams signed Blake Bortles as their new backup QB; Bortles has started 73 NFL games, and was the Jaguars’ QB when they made the playoffs in 2017.

    4) I don’t understand why people bet on spring training baseball games; no one cares who wins, the pitchers might actually be working on one pitch and may stay away from his best stuff, but lines are posted every day, subs we’ve rarely heard of play the last half of the game and money changes hands. Go figure.

    3) Wofford is a 3-point favorite over a Seton Hall team that went 9-9 in the Big East; that alone should get coach Mike Young into the top 3 in national Coach of the Year voting.

    2) Damon Jones played 12 years in the NBA and was later an assistant coach with the Cavaliers when they won the 2016 NBA title. In his playing days, Jones played for 10 different teams in his dozen years in the league. This is a guy who should write a book.

    1) Former NBA star Walt (Clyde) Frazier is 73 years old now: he is a New York City icon who led the Knicks to two NBA titles in the 70’s, and to this day he works Knicks’ games on MSG Network. He generally isn’t very controversial, but he does speak the truth.

    Sunday afternoon, when the Knicks played the Lakers, Frazier was critical of Lebron James because Lebron was sitting away from his teammates on the bench during a timeout near the end of a game the Lakers wound up losing by a point. Candid comments; good stuff.

    Monday night during the Knicks-Raptors game, Frazier told Mike Breen that he was surprised his comments got so much attention, but criticism is unusual to hear in these politically correct times, and it was great to hear, because it was warranted.

    Bonus List of 13: College basketball prop bets

    13) Will Auburn make the Sweet 16: No -$130, Yes even

    12) Will Texas Tech make the Sweet 16: Yes -$180, No +$150

    11) Will Buffalo make the Sweet 16: Yes +$220, No -$300

    10) Will Villanova make the Sweet 16: Yes +$170, No -$200

    9) Will Houston make the Sweet 16: Yes -$115, No -$115

    8) Will Virginia Tech make the Sweet 16: Yes -$145, No +$115

    7) Will Iowa State make the Sweet 16: Yes +$160, No -$190

    6) Will Marquette make the Sweet 16: Yes +$230, No -$310

    5) Will Purdue make the Sweet 16: Yes -$135, No +$105

    4) #1-seeds to make Final Four: over/under 1.5: Over -$190, Under +$160

    3) Will a Big 14 team win the national title? Yes +$325, No -$450

    2) Will a #2-seed win the national title? Yes +$325, No -$450

    1) Will a #1 seed win the national title? Yes -$170, No +$140

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, March 20


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      WICHITA ST (19 - 14) at FURMAN (25 - 7) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WICHITA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
      WICHITA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      FURMAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
      FURMAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
      FURMAN is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
      FURMAN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
      FURMAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
      WICHITA ST is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      ARIZONA ST (22 - 10) vs. ST JOHNS (21 - 12) - 3/20/2019, 9:10 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST JOHNS is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
      ST JOHNS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
      ST JOHNS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
      ST JOHNS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      ST JOHNS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
      ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      NC CENTRAL (18 - 15) vs. N DAKOTA ST (18 - 15) - 3/20/2019, 6:40 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      N DAKOTA ST is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      N DAKOTA ST is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      N DAKOTA ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
      N DAKOTA ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      N DAKOTA ST is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      TOLEDO (25 - 7) at XAVIER (18 - 15) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TOLEDO is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
      XAVIER is 368-312 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 368-312 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games on Wednesday games since 1997.
      XAVIER is 255-202 ATS (+32.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      XAVIER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      TOLEDO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      NORFOLK ST (21 - 13) at ALABAMA (18 - 15) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      HARVARD (18 - 11) at GEORGETOWN (19 - 13) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HARVARD is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
      HARVARD is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      HARVARD is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      HARVARD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
      HARVARD is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
      HARVARD is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      HARVARD is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      HARVARD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
      HARVARD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 35-51 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      GEORGETOWN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      SAM HOUSTON ST (21 - 11) at TCU (20 - 13) - 3/20/2019, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAM HOUSTON ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
      SAM HOUSTON ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
      TCU is 117-159 ATS (-57.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      TCU is 117-159 ATS (-57.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
      TCU is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
      TCU is 45-73 ATS (-35.3 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
      TCU is 191-242 ATS (-75.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      TCU is 117-157 ATS (-55.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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      BUTLER (16 - 16) at NEBRASKA (18 - 16) - 3/20/2019, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BUTLER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      BUTLER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      BUTLER is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      NEBRASKA is 103-72 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
      NEBRASKA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      BUTLER is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
      BUTLER is 165-101 ATS (+53.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      BUTLER is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
      BUTLER is 81-49 ATS (+27.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
      BUTLER is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
      NEBRASKA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      GRAND CANYON (20 - 13) at W VIRGINIA (14 - 20) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      C MICHIGAN (23 - 11) at DEPAUL (15 - 15) - 3/20/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DEPAUL is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      C MICHIGAN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
      C MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      HOWARD (17 - 16) at COASTAL CAROLINA (15 - 16) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOWARD is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
      HOWARD is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
      HOWARD is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
      HOWARD is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
      COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      STONY BROOK (24 - 8) at S FLORIDA (18 - 13) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      STONY BROOK is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
      STONY BROOK is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
      STONY BROOK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
      STONY BROOK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
      STONY BROOK is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      S FLORIDA is 124-158 ATS (-49.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      S FLORIDA is 124-158 ATS (-49.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
      S FLORIDA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
      S FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
      S FLORIDA is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
      S FLORIDA is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
      S FLORIDA is 78-110 ATS (-43.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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      LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (20 - 11) at CAL BAPTIST (16 - 14) - 3/20/2019, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      UAB (20 - 14) at BROWN (19 - 11) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UAB is 54-82 ATS (-36.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
      BROWN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      TEXAS SOUTHERN (21 - 13) at NEW ORLEANS (18 - 13) - 3/20/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
      NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
      TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW ORLEANS is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      GRAMBLING (17 - 16) at UTRGV (19 - 16) - 3/20/2019, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      GRAMBLING is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
      UTRGV is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
      UTRGV is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
      UTRGV is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      UTRGV is 1-1 straight up against GRAMBLING over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      WI-GREEN BAY (17 - 16) at E TENN ST (24 - 9) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E TENN ST is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      E TENN ST is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      E TENN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      WI-GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      E TENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      PRESBYTERIAN (18 - 15) at SEATTLE (18 - 14) - 3/20/2019, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SEATTLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      SOUTHERN MISS (20 - 12) at LONGWOOD (15 - 17) - 3/20/2019, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 01:59 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        679Wichita St -680 Furman
        FURMAN is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        715Nc Central -716 N Dakota St
        N DAKOTA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

        717Toledo -718 Xavier
        TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

        719Norfolk St -720 Alabama
        NORFOLK ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

        723Harvard -724 Georgetown
        GEORGETOWN is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

        725Sam Houston St -726 Tcu
        TCU is 55-90 ATS (-44 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

        727Butler -728 Nebraska
        NEBRASKA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

        737Grand Canyon -738 W Virginia
        W VIRGINIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        739C Michigan -740 Depaul
        C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

        741Howard -742 Coastal Carolina
        HOWARD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

        743Stony Brook -744 S Florida
        S FLORIDA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

        745Loyola Marymount -746 Cal Baptist
        LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 81-117 ATS (-47.7 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

        747Uab -748 Brown
        UAB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

        749Texas Southern -750 New Orleans
        NEW ORLEANS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

        755Presbyterian -756 Seattle
        PRESBYTERIAN is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

        757St Marys Ca -758 Villanova
        VILLANOVA is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        759Old Dominion -760 Purdue
        OLD DOMINION is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

        761Murray St -762 Marquette
        MURRAY ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

        763Vermont -764 Florida St
        FLORIDA ST is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game in the current season.

        767Yale -768 Lsu
        LSU is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts in the current season.

        769Seton Hall -770 Wofford
        WOFFORD is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

        771Abilene Christian -772 Kentucky
        ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games in the last 3 seasons.

        773Minnesota -774 Louisville
        MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        775Bradley -776 Michigan St
        MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

        777Florida -778 Nevada
        FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

        779Montana -780 Michigan
        MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

        781New Mexico St -782 Auburn
        NEW MEXICO ST is 18-44 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games since 1997.

        783Northeastern -784 Kansas
        NORTHEASTERN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in the current season.

        787Baylor -788 Syracuse
        SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in the current season.

        793Fla Atlantic -794 Charleston So
        FLA ATLANTIC is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

        795St Francis Ny -796 Hampton
        HAMPTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games in the current season.

        799Ucf -800 Va Commonwealth
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

        801Gardner Webb -802 Virginia
        VIRGINIA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

        803Oklahoma -804 Ole Miss
        OKLAHOMA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

        805Iowa -806 Cincinnati
        IOWA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        807Colgate -808 Tennessee
        COLGATE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

        809Iona -810 N Carolina
        N CAROLINA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

        811Washington -812 Utah St
        WASHINGTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

        813Ohio St -814 Iowa St
        OHIO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        815Georgia St -816 Houston
        GEORGIA ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less over the last 2 seasons.

        819N Kentucky -820 Texas Tech
        TEXAS TECH is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

        821Liberty -822 Mississippi St
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Wednesday, March 20


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          North Carolina Central @ North Dakota State
          North Carolina Central
          No trends to report
          North Dakota State
          North Dakota State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          North Dakota State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

          Wichita State @ Furman
          Wichita State
          Wichita State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Wichita State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
          Furman
          Furman is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
          Furman is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

          Harvard @ Georgetown University
          Harvard
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Harvard's last 8 games on the road
          Harvard is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
          Georgetown University
          Georgetown University is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Georgetown University is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Norfolk State @ Alabama
          Norfolk State
          No trends to report
          Alabama
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Alabama's last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games at home

          Toledo @ Xavier
          Toledo
          Toledo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Toledo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Xavier
          Xavier is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
          Xavier is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toledo

          Grand Canyon @ West Virginia
          Grand Canyon
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Grand Canyon's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Grand Canyon's last 5 games on the road
          West Virginia
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games
          West Virginia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Howard @ Coastal Carolina
          Howard
          No trends to report
          Coastal Carolina
          No trends to report

          Stony Brook @ South Florida
          Stony Brook
          No trends to report
          South Florida
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games

          Southern Mississippi @ Longwood
          Southern Mississippi
          Southern Mississippi is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Mississippi's last 6 games on the road
          Longwood
          No trends to report

          UAB @ Brown
          UAB
          UAB is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          UAB is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Brown
          Brown is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brown's last 5 games

          Wisconsin-Green Bay @ East Tennessee State
          Wisconsin-Green Bay
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 8 games
          East Tennessee State
          No trends to report

          Central Michigan @ DePaul
          Central Michigan
          Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Central Michigan is 13-2-1 ATS in its last 16 games
          DePaul
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of DePaul's last 8 games at home

          Texas Southern @ New Orleans
          Texas Southern
          No trends to report
          New Orleans
          No trends to report

          Grambling State @ UTRGV
          Grambling State
          No trends to report
          UTRGV
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of UTRGV's last 5 games
          UTRGV is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games

          Sam Houston State @ TCU
          Sam Houston State
          No trends to report
          TCU
          TCU is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games

          Butler @ Nebraska
          Butler
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Butler's last 8 games
          Nebraska
          Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Nebraska is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

          St. John's @ Arizona State
          St. John's
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. John's's last 5 games
          St. John's is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Arizona State
          Arizona State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State's last 7 games

          Loyola Marymount @ Cal Baptist
          Loyola Marymount
          Loyola Marymount is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Loyola Marymount is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Cal Baptist
          No trends to report

          Presbyterian @ Seattle
          Presbyterian
          No trends to report
          Seattle
          Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Wednesday, March 20


            Wednesday’s play-in games
            North Carolina Central is in NCAA’s for 4th time in six years; they’re 0-2 in play-in games, losing by 4-18 points the last two years. Eagles finished in 6th place in MEAC this year, worst league in country- they turn ball over 22.9% of time- they’re #15 experience team that won eight of its last ten games. North Dakota State makes 36.8% of its 3’s, getting 40.3% of their points on 3’s- they’re experience team #277; Bison are in NCAAs for first time in four years- they’re not a good defensive team, with #305 eFG% on defense.

            Arizona State beat St John’s 82-70 LY at Staples Center; ASU won six of last eight games overall; they get 22.3% of their points on foul line. St John’s subs play minutes #347, so they better not get in foul trouble. Hurley is 0-2 in NCAA’s as a head coach; this is Mullin’s first NCAA game as a coach. Johnnies started season 12-0, playing the #327 non-conference schedule, then went 9-12 in last 21 games- they beat Pac-12 cellar dweller Cal 82-79. Neither team subs very much. Last four years, Big East teams are 20-8 against Pac-12 opponents.

            Wednesday’s other tournament games
            Motivation is the main variable in these “other” tournaments; I’ll give you some stats and some knowledge, but these games are really tough to decipher from the outside.

            Toledo won five of its last six games, got upset in first MAC tourney game; Rockets are #86 experience team that gets 38.5% of its points behind the arc. Toledo is 1-2 vs top 100 teams this year, losing twice to Buffalo, by 30-6 points- they beat Cal-Irvine. Xavier won by 27-21 in its two games vs MAC teams this season; they’re experience team #120 that won 7 of its last 9 games.

            Norfolk State was 2-10 in its pre-conference schedule, with three other non-D-I wins; they lost by 19 to Michigan, 17 to South Carolina- they’re experience team #78 that turns ball over 20.6% of the time. Alabama lost seven of its last ten games; they’re experience team #208 that was 9-3 in its pre-conference schedule. Tide won by 20-8-10 points in its three non-top 200 games.

            Harvard lost Ivy title game to arch-rival Yale Sunday afternoon; quick turnaround here for #258 experience team that beat Saint Mary’s but lost by 20 to North Carolina. Crimson turns ball over 22.3% of time. Georgetown was 10-3 in its pre-conference games, is 5-6 in its last 11 games; they’re experience team #263 that plays pace #23- they haven’t played since Thursday.

            Sam Houston State won Southland by two games but lost in its first tourney game; Bearkats are #28 experience team that lost to Clemson by 15, Georgia by 11- they force turnovers 21.4% of time. TCU was disappointed not to make NCAA’s; they lost several players during year- their bench plays minutes #321. Horned Frogs lost seven of last ten games. Their motivation is a ?

            Rumors are strong that Nebraska will fire coach Miles as soon as the Huskers lose in this event; how long will they stay? Nebraska beat Big East’s Seton Hall by 23, Creighton by 19 back in the fall, when Huskers had high hopes. Butler lost five of its last six games, despite being experience team #117- they play a slow (#260) pace, lost by 3 to Indiana in their only Big 14 game.

            Long trip east for Dan Majerle’s Grand Canyon team, which is 20-13, 12-7 in WAC; Antelopes are experience team #99 that lost by 8 to Nevada, 7 to Seton Hall, 9 to Utah, 38 to Texas- they lost WAC final Saturday. West Virginia is young team with 14-20 record; they were 4-3 in last seven games after they ran couple guys off the team— this is prep work for next season.

            Central Michigan is 23-11, losing MAC semis by 4 to Buffalo; Chippewas are experience team #27 that played a horrible (#346) pre-conference schedule. CMU shot 38.3% on arc, best in league, 46.9% inside arc, worst in MAC. DePaul is 15-15, but 7-1 against teams outside top 100; Blue Demons lost six of their last eight games- they’re experience team #79.

            Howard lost by 21 to Little Rock, by 14 to Appalachian State, two Sun Belt teams; Bison are #313 experience team that plays pace #32- they’re 3-8 outside the MEAC. Coastal Carolina lost seven of last ten games after starting 6-3 in Sun Belt; Chanticleers are experience team #195 that beat NC Central by 4, their only MEAC opponent. CCU turn ball over 20.2% of time (#290).

            Stony Brook’s coach has already bolted to Ohio U; Seawolves are 24-8 despite being experience team #305- they split last six games, are 12-3 outside America East (#257 non-conf schedule). /South Florida lost seven of its last eight D-I games; Bulls are experience team #328 that turns ball over 22.9% of time- they also force turnovers 22.2% of time- they shoot only 32.7% on arc.

            Cal-Baptist is in its first year of D-I basketball, so they’re fired up to be playing; Lancers lost by 3 at Tulsa, lost by 3 at Cal-Irvine, 35 at Nevada- they’re experience team #174 that lost four of its last six games. LMU is 20-11, its first winning season in seven years; Lions are 10-2 outside WCC, beating UNLV, Georgetown- they force turnovers 21.2% of time (#40).

            UAB comes north after winning six of last nine games; Blazers are experience team #188 that plays slow (#307) pace- they won three of their last four true road games. UAB is only 6-5 outside C-USA (#305 non-conf schedule). Brown is 19-11 but didn’t make 4-team Ivy tourney after going 7-7. Bears are experience team #177 that forces turnovers 21.4% of time (#34).

            Texas Southern won at Baylor/Oregon before Christmas, but was 3-8 in pre-SWAC games, with two other non-D-I wins; they lost by 8 at Lamar in their only Southland game. TSU is #5 experience team that plays pace #4. New Orleans lost in Southland final; they’re experience team #246 that forces turnovers 22.6% of time (#17).

            Grambling is 3-7 outside SWAC; they’re shooting 39.7% on arc (#6). Tigers are experience team #60 that subs a lot (bench minutes #45) but turns ball over 22.2% of time. Rio Grande Valley won eight of last 11 games; they beat SWAC champ Prairie View by 13 in November. Vaqueros are #72 experience team but have #334 eFG%, shooting 31% on arc, 45.8% inside arc.

            Green Bay is 7-4 in its last 11 games; they’re #103 experience team that plays pace #12- they beat Belmont back in December. Phoenix split their last four road games. East Tennessee State won four of last six games but lost to Wofford in SoCon semis; Bucs are experience team #257 that is 7-4 outside SoCon. ETSU’s opponents shoot 38.8% on the arc (#344).

            Long trip west for Presbyterian squad that is experience team #286- they went 9-7 in Big South. Blue Hose is shooting 38% on arc (#28) they get 41.4% of their points on arc; they’re not a good defensive team. Seattle won five of its last seven games; their last two wins were in OT; they’re experience team #212 who are 10-3 outside the WAC (non-conf #342).

            Southern Miss won 12 of its last 17 games; they’re experience team #22 that is 3rd-shortest team in country. Eagles won four of their last six true road games. Longwood lost eight of its last ten games, is 15-17; they’re experience team #70 that lost 42-39 to Charlotte, the worst team in C-USA. Lancers turn ball over 20.9% of time; they went 5-11 in Big South.

            Wichita State won 11 of its last 14 games, four of last five true road games. Shockers are #274 experience team that lost by 3 to Cincinnati in AAC semis; their eFG% is #325 but they’re riding star McDuffie’s scoring. Furman won nine of its last 11 games; they’re shooting 56.9% inside arc. Paladins won at Villanova in November, then went 13-5 in an improved SoCon.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 02:01 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Wednesday, March 20



              NC Central @ North Dakota St

              Game 715-716
              March 20, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              NC Central
              45.896
              North Dakota St
              49.425
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              North Dakota St
              by 3 1/2
              127
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              North Dakota St
              by 5 1/2
              134 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              NC Central
              (+5 1/2); Under

              Arizona State @ St John's

              Game 713-714
              March 20, 2019 @ 9:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Arizona State
              59.444
              St John's
              60.881
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              St John's
              by 1 1/2
              157
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Arizona State
              by 1 1/2
              154
              Dunkel Pick:
              St John's
              (+1 1/2); Over

              Presbyterian @ Seattle

              Game 755-756
              March 20, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Presbyterian
              52.758
              Seattle
              51.757
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Presbyterian
              by 1
              142
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Seattle
              by 5
              149
              Dunkel Pick:
              Presbyterian
              (+5); Under

              Loyola Marymount @ Cal Baptist

              Game 745-746
              March 20, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Loyola Marymount
              52.342
              Cal Baptist
              57.207
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Cal Baptist
              by 5
              136
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Loyola Marymount
              by 1 1/2
              140
              Dunkel Pick:
              Cal Baptist
              (+1 1/2); Under

              Butler @ Nebraska

              Game 727-728
              March 20, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Butler
              58.793
              Nebraska
              66.337
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Nebraska
              by 7 1/2
              150
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Nebraska
              by 5 1/2
              143 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Nebraska
              (-5 1/2); Over

              Sam Houston St @ TCU

              Game 725-726
              March 20, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Sam Houston St
              57.477
              TCU
              67.030
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              TCU
              by 9 1/2
              154
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              TCU
              by 14
              146
              Dunkel Pick:
              Sam Houston St
              (+14); Over

              Central Michigan @ DePaul

              Game 739-740
              March 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Central Michigan
              56.992
              DePaul
              65.800
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              DePaul
              by 9
              173
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              DePaul
              by 5
              166
              Dunkel Pick:
              DePaul
              (-5); Over

              Texas Southern @ New Orleans

              Game 749-750
              March 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Texas Southern
              44.894
              New Orleans
              48.455
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              New Orleans
              by 3 1/2
              161
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              New Orleans
              by 1 1/2
              159
              Dunkel Pick:
              New Orleans
              (-1 1/2); Over

              Grambling @ TX-Rio Grande

              Game 751-752
              March 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Grambling
              41.238
              TX-Rio Grande
              55.290
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              TX-Rio Grande
              by 14
              141
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              TX-Rio Grande
              by 10
              144
              Dunkel Pick:
              TX-Rio Grande
              (-10); Under

              Green Bay @ E Tenn State

              Game 753-754
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Green Bay
              51.275
              E Tenn State
              56.978
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              E Tenn State
              by 5 1/2
              157
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              E Tenn State
              by 11
              155 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Green Bay
              (+11); Over

              Southern Miss @ Longwood

              Game 887-888
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Southern Miss
              60.748
              Longwood
              43.946
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Southern Miss
              by 17
              132
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Southern Miss
              by 10 1/2
              136 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Southern Miss
              (-10 1/2); Under

              UAB @ Brown

              Game 747-748
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              UAB
              56.835
              Brown
              54.470
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              UAB
              by 2 1/2
              150
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Brown
              by 2 1/2
              138 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              UAB
              (+2 1/2); Over

              Stony Brook @ South Florida

              Game 743-744
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Stony Brook
              54.541
              South Florida
              59.021
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              South Florida
              by 4 1/2
              132
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              South Florida
              by 6 1/2
              139
              Dunkel Pick:
              Stony Brook
              (+6 1/2); Under

              Howard @ Coastal Carolina

              Game 741-742
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Howard
              43.920
              Coastal Carolina
              48.382
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Coastal Carolina
              by 4 1/2
              170
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Coastal Carolina
              by 12 1/2
              162 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Howard
              (+12 1/2); Over

              Grand Canyon @ West Virginia

              Game 737-738
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Grand Canyon
              55.388
              West Virginia
              64.838
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              West Virginia
              by 9 1/2
              144
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              West Virginia
              by 4 1/2
              150 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              West Virginia
              (-4 1/2); Under

              Wichita State @ Furman

              Game 895-896
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Wichita State
              00.000
              Furman
              00.000
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Wichita State

              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Wichita State

              Dunkel Pick:
              Wichita State
              ( );

              Harvard @ Georgetown

              Game 723-724
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Harvard
              55.493
              Georgetown
              58.410
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Georgetown
              by 3
              144
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Georgetown
              by 5 1/2
              152
              Dunkel Pick:
              Harvard
              (+5 1/2); Under

              Norfolk State @ Alabama

              Game 719-720
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Norfolk State
              45.085
              Alabama
              64.590
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Alabama
              by 19 1/2
              147
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Alabama
              by 15 1/2
              142 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Alabama
              (-15 1/2); Over

              Toledo @ Xavier

              Game 717-718
              March 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Toledo
              59.098
              Xavier
              69.551
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Xavier
              by 10 1/2
              148
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Xavier
              by 6 1/2
              143
              Dunkel Pick:
              Xavier
              (-6 1/2); Over

              NC Central @ North Dakota St

              Game 715-716
              March 20, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              NC Central
              45.896
              North Dakota St
              49.425
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              North Dakota St
              by 3 1/2
              127
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              North Dakota St
              by 5 1/2
              134 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              NC Central
              (+5 1/2); Under
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 02:02 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Wednesday's First-Four Tips
                Brian Edwards

                **North Carolina Central vs. North Dakota State**

                -- As of early this morning, most books had North Dakota State (18-15 straight up, 14-15 against the spread) listed as a five-point favorite with a total of 132.5. The Eagles were +185 on the money line (risk $100 to win $185). For first-half wagers, the Bison were favored by 2.5 points with an ‘over/under’ of 61.

                -- Tonight’s winner advances to take on the Tournament’s top overall seed, Duke, on Friday at 7:10 p.m. Eastern at Colonial Life Arena in Columbia, S.C.

                -- North Dakota State will bring a four-game winning streak to Dayton, the annual home of the First Four where Fairleigh Dickinson and Belmont prevailed last night to stay alive in this year’s NCAA Tournament. The Bison won the Summit League Tournament with victories over Oral Roberts, Western Illinois and Nebraska-Omaha. NDS won an 73-63 decision over the Mavericks in the finals in Sioux Falls, S.D., on March 12. The Bison took the cash as a 3.5-point underdog. They roared out to a 41-27 halftime advantage, only to see Nebraska Omaha rally with a 24-10 run to knot the score at 51-51 with 8:24 remaining. But it would be all NDS the rest of the way as it ripped off a 9-0 run to go ahead 60-51 and coast into the win column from there.

                -- Vinnie Shahid led the way against the Mavericks with 22 points and three assists without a turnover. Shahid, a transfer from Western Nebraska Community College, buried 7-of-12 field-goal attempts and 6-of-7 from the free-throw line to garner Summit League Tournament MVP honors. Tyson Ward added 15 points and seven rebounds on 6-of-9 FGAs. Cameron Hunter logged only 13 minutes of playing time but made them count, draining all three of his launces from 3-point range and all three attempts from the charity stripe in a 12-point effort. Hunter also dished out a pair of assists without committing a turnover.

                -- NDS is ranked 11th in the nation in free-throw percentage, making 77.4 percent of its attempts from the charity stripe. The Bison are No. 69 in the nation in the country in 3-point accuracy (36.6%). On the flip side, NDS struggles defensively, ranking No. 196 in scoring ‘D’ (76.7 PPG), No. 300 in FG-percentage defense (46.1%) and No. 269 at defending the 3-point line (35.8%).

                -- Shahid paces NDS in scoring with his 12.8 points-per-game average and dishes out a team-best 2.7 assists per game. He’s hitting 36.4 percent of his treys, 83.9 percent of his free-throw attempts and has an 88/44 assist-to-turnover ratio. Ward averages 12.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, while Deng Geu averages 9.9 points and 5.0 RPG.

                -- This is NDS’s third NCAA Tournament appearance in the past six years. The Bison have a 1-3 all-time record in four NCAA Tournament games, upsetting fifth-seeded Oklahoma in an 80-75 overtime win in 2015.

                -- NDS faced six foes that are in KenPom.com’s Top 100. The Bison went 0-6 in those games, losing by 17 points or more five times. They gave South Dakota State (No. 94) fits, however, in a 78-77 loss as five-point home underdogs on Feb. 16. NDS has faced a No. 1 seed, getting blasted 102-60 at Gonzaga as a 26.5-point underdog back in non-conference play.

                -- NDS is 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in its past 12 games. Four of those victories have come by double-digit margins.

                -- NC Central (18-15 SU, 17-11 ATS) is on fire for our purposes, compiling a 7-1-2 spread record in its past 10 games. The Eagles are 8-2 SU over that span with one its defeats coming in overtime at Norfolk State, the MEAC’s regular-season champ that plays at Alabama in the NIT.

                -- NC Central avenged the OT setback to Norfolk State by beating it by a 50-47 count in the MEAC Tournament finals, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. The Eagles overcame a 10-point intermission deficit by using a 25-6 run to start the second half. They used a balanced scoring attack with five players scoring at least seven points led by Zacarry Douglas’s 10 points and 12 rebounds. Raasean Davis added eight points, 14 boards, two assists, two blocked shots and one steal. The Eagles controlled the glass with a 37-24 rebounding edge.

                -- NC Central is led by Davis, who averages team-bests in scoring (14.6 PPG), rebounding (8.9 RPG), FG percentage (64.5 %), steals (0.9 SPG) and blocked shots (1.2 BPG). The senior center was named the Most Outstanding Player of the MEAC Tournament.

                -- NC Central is ranked 50th in the nation in scoring ‘D’, limiting opponents to an average of 66.3 PPG. The Eagles are 37th in the country at defending the 3-point line (31.3%). However, they can’t shoot it well from long distance, ranking No. 313 nationally with an abysmal 31.5 percentage.

                -- NC Central is in the NCAA Tournament for the third straight season, but it is still looking for its first victory.

                -- The ‘under’ is on a 6-0 run for the Eagles to improve to 17-13 overall.

                -- The ‘over’ is on a 13-6 run to improve to 19-11 overall for the Bison.

                -- Tip-off from Dayton Arena is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. Eastern on TruTV.

                **Arizona State vs. St. John’s**

                -- As of early this morning, most betting shops had Arizona State (22-10 SU, 17-14 ATS) installed as a two-point favorite with a total of 152.5. The winner advances to face sixth-seeded Buffalo on Friday in Tulsa.

                -- The head-coaching matchup here might pit the two best college basketball players (among head coaches in this Tournament) from their playing days at Duke for Bobby Hurley (1990-93) and Chris Mullin (1981-85). Both were NBA lottery picks.

                -- Bobby Hurley’s team has won six of its past eight games while posting a 5-3 spread record. ASU advanced past UCLA with an 83-72 win as a five-point favorite in its opening game of the Pac-12 Tournament. All five starters scored in double figures led by Romello White’s 19 points and seven rebounds.

                -- In the semifinals at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, ASU was eliminated from the Pac-12 Tournament by Oregon in a 79-75 overtime loss as a 2.5-point underdog. Luguentz Dort scored a team-high 16 points in the losing effort, while Rob Edwards finished with 15 points, five rebounds a pair of steals. Remy Martin and Zylan Cheatham had 14 points apiece.

                -- Cheatham was the only Pac-12 player to average a double-double this season (11.8 PPG, 10.4 RPG), recording 13 of them. Dort was named the Pac-12 Freshman of the Year thanks to his team-high 16.1 PPG average. Martin, a sophomore guard, averaged 13.4 PPG and handed out a team-best 5.1 APG.

                -- ASU has compiled an 8-4 spread record in 12 games as a single-digit ‘chalk.’

                -- St. John’s (21-12 SU, 14-18 ATS) is in its first NCAA Tournament since 2015 and its first under Mullin, who led the Johnnies to the 1985 Final Four and is in his fourth season back at his alma mater. The Red Storm hasn’t been to a Sweet 16 since going all the way to the Elite Eight back in 1999.

                -- Mullin’s team is led by junior guard and Brooklyn native Shamorie Ponds, who averages team-high in scoring (19.5 PPG), assists (5.2 APG) and steals (2.6 SPG). Ponds has a 165/64 assist-to-turnover ratio. Mustapha Heron, a transfer from Auburn, averages 14.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.0 steals per game. Heron is knocking down 42.1 percent of his 3-pointers. L.J. Figueroa averages 14.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.8 SPG, while Marvin Clark (10.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Justin Simon (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG) also average in double figures.

                -- St. John’s is 5-5 ATS with three outright wins in 10 games as an underdog this season.

                -- These schools met on Dec. 8 of 2017 at the Basketball Hall of Fame Classic in Los Angeles, where ASU beat St. John’s 82-70 behind White’s 22 points. Ponds added 19 points for the Johnnies in the losing effort.

                -- The ‘under’ cashed in each of ASU’s final five regular-season game before the ‘over’ hit on both of its Pac-12 Tournament contests. Nevertheless, the ‘under’ is 19-13 overall for the Sun Devils.

                **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

                -- Belmont advanced to face sixth-seeded Maryland in Jacksonville on Thursday by capturing an 81-70 First Four win over Temple as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bruins won their first NCAA Tournament game in program history and cashed tickets as 2.5-point ‘chalk.’ The 151 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 155-point total. Kevin McClain was the catalyst for Belmont, dropping a game-high 29 points on the Owls by draining 8-of-14 FGAs, 4-of-7 greys and 9-of-11 FTAs. Dylan Windler struggled with his shot, making only 2-of-7 FGAs and scoring merely five points. However, he pulled down 14 rebounds. The defensive attention Temple paid to Windler freed up Nick Muszynski to hit 8-of-12 FGAs in a 16-point effort. The OVC Freshman of the Year also added four rebounds, three assists and a pair of blocked shots.

                -- Fairleigh Dickinson rallied from a seven-point halftime deficit to advance past Prairie View A&M with an 82-76 win as a two-point favorite. The 158 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 148.5-point tally. Darnell Edge and Jahlil Jenkins were the catalyst for the Knights, who enjoyed a 39-24 advantage in the rebounding department. Edge played all 40 minutes and produced 33 points on 9-of-13 FGAs, 7-of-9 net splashes from long distance and 8-of-8 on FTAs. Jenkins finished with 22 points, four rebounds and six assists compared to only two turnovers.

                -- VCU guard Marcus Evans has been upgraded to ‘probable’ (knee) for Friday’s first-round game vs. UCF. Evans averages 14.3 points, 3.3 assists, 3.1 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game.

                -- Toledo (25-7 SU, 17-13 ATS) will be down two of its best players in tonight’s NIT game at Xavier. Marreon Jackson (shoulder) and Willie Jackson (concussion) are both ‘out.’ Marreon Jackson (11.7 PPG) averages team-highs in assists (4.2 APG) and steals (1.4 SPG), while Willie Jackson averages 8.5 points and 8.8 RPG.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-20-2019, 02:03 PM.

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