Announcement

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 08:42 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Odds to win the national championship (odds via Bets Online):

+$225— Duke

+$600— Gonzaga

+$800— Virginia

+$1000— Michigan

+$1200— Kentucky, Michigan State, North Carolina

+$1400— Tennessee

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68……

13) If you look at the last 13 national champs, those teams went 12-1 against the spread in their first round tournament game. Only exception was Kentucky in 2012, who won 81-66 (-26). UConn won its first round game in OT in 2014, but covered 89-81 (-5).

12) Bobby Hurley coached Buffalo for two years (42-20), then bolted western NY for Arizona State; his Sun Devils have to beat St John’s in Dayton, and if they do, Hurley and Buffalo will be re-united Friday in Tulsa. Buffalo spanked ASU’s rival Arizona by 21 in first round last year.

Since replacing Hurley, Nate Oats is 95-42 in four years at Buffalo, but before the Bulls get to play Arizona State, the Sun Devils still have to beat St John’s.

11) Richard Pitino’s Minnesota Gophers playing Louisville, the school that ran his father out of town two years ago, is classic sidebar material. Rick Pitino won the national title with Louisville six short years ago. Lot of stuff has happened since then.

Rick Pitino is coaching pro ball in Greece now; UCLA, UNLV have jobs open, which lends itself to speculation, but for now Richard’s Gophers vs Louisville is the main event.

10) Tennessee Volunteers are a #2-seed in the South Region, but they can’t be very happy about the prospects of a second round game against Cincinnati………in Columbus, OHIO.

9) Montana-Michigan play in the first round for the second year in a row; I’m thinking that could’ve been avoided.

8) Clemson, NC State and Texas are the highest-rated teams that didn’t get in the NCAA’s; Lipscomb, Furman and NC-Greensboro also have to be pretty disappointed.

7) No team has ever lost its first conference tournament game, and then gone on to win the national championship. Texas Tech, LSU, Purdue, Maryland fall into that category.

6) Virginia Tech’s star PG Justin Robinson missed the last 12 games with a foot injury, but he’ll be back for the NCAA tournament. Hokies play Saint Louis in the first round Friday.

5) If you care about such things, over the last five years, the underdog is 12-8 vs spread in first round 4-13 games. Over last six years, underdogs are 14-10 vs spread in 3-14 games.

4) Last four years, the 11-seed is 7-5 SU in the first round against the 6-seed; the 11-seed was the underdog in all seven of their wins.

3) Over the last 23 years, in the West Region final, the underdog is 17-6 against the spread. During that time, when the #1-seed in the West got to the regional final, they’re 4-8 SU in that regional final.

2) Over the last 16 years, in the Midwest Region final, the underdog is 12-4 against the spread. #1-seeds have fared better in this regional final, going 10-7 SU in their last 17 tries.

1) My pick for the national title? I’ll take Virginia.

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 08:43 AM

533Detroit -534 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

535Utah -536 Washington
UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

537Denver -538 Boston
BOSTON is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

539New York -540 Toronto
TORONTO is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

541Miami -542 Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-75 ATS (-27.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

543Golden State -544 San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

545New Orleans -546 Dallas
NEW ORLEANS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a home loss in the current season.

549Indiana -550 Portland
PORTLAND is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 08:51 AM

NBA

Monday, March 18

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Trend Report
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Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

Utah Jazz
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Washington
Utah is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Utah
Washington is 5-14-2 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games
Denver is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Boston
Denver is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Denver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games at home
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Denver
Boston is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Denver
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

New York Knicks
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
New York is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Toronto
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Toronto is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing New York
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Miami Heat
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games on the road
Miami is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Oklahoma City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing Miami
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home
San Antonio is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Dallas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Chicago is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Phoenix is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
Phoenix is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Chicago
Phoenix is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against Chicago

Indiana Pacers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Indiana is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 21 games
Portland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Portland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

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**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 09:55 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 18

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DETROIT (36 - 33) at CLEVELAND (17 - 53) - 3/18/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 73-97 ATS (-33.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-56 ATS (-23.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (40 - 29) at WASHINGTON (30 - 40) - 3/18/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 59-45 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 70-84 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (46 - 22) at BOSTON (43 - 27) - 3/18/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 93-72 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 65-48 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (14 - 56) at TORONTO (49 - 21) - 3/18/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 68-82 ATS (-22.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 240-188 ATS (+33.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (33 - 36) at OKLAHOMA CITY (42 - 28) - 3/18/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-69 ATS (-23.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (47 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (41 - 29) - 3/18/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-57 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 200-150 ATS (+35.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 195-145 ATS (+35.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-8 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (30 - 42) at DALLAS (28 - 41) - 3/18/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DALLAS is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 258-210 ATS (+27.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (19 - 52) at PHOENIX (17 - 54) - 3/18/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (44 - 26) at PORTLAND (42 - 27) - 3/18/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PORTLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PORTLAND is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 87-70 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 59-44 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 01:04 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 18

Indiana @ Portland

Game 549-550
March 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
112.235
Portland
118.168
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 6
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-4); Under

Chicago @ Phoenix

Game 547-548
March 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
112.042
Phoenix
111.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Dallas

Game 545-546
March 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
112.633
Dallas
111.488
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+4 1/2); Under

Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 543-544
March 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
125.593
San Antonio
118.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 2 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-2 1/2); Under

Miami @ Oklahoma City

Game 541-542
March 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.135
Oklahoma City
122.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-4 1/2); Under

New York @ Toronto

Game 539-540
March 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
108.550
Toronto
119.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 9
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 12
213
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+12); Under

Denver @ Boston

Game 537-538
March 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.259
Boston
119.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4
221
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4); Over

Utah @ Washington

Game 535-536
March 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.076
Washington
116.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 5
228
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-5); Over

Detroit @ Cleveland

Game 533-534
March 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.907
Cleveland
105.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 10
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-6 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 01:09 PM

Monday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Golden State (-3, 224) at San Antonio, 8:05 ET, ESPN

Considering how poorly the Rodeo road trip went – the Spurs went 1-7 in their worst showing on what is annually their longest trek – Gregg Popovich and his team were written off for the 642,574th time over the past decade. This time, it figured to stick.

Kawhi Leonard is in Toronto with Danny Green. Tony Parker is producing in Charlotte. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili have retired.

San Antonio looked done after getting swept by the Knicks and Nets by double-digits three weeks ago. It had dropped its first three games coming out of the All-Star break and were overwhelmed in New York as a 9-point favorite and 1.5-point underdog. Even on the second night of a back-to-back, catching points in Brooklyn isn’t something typically associated with Western Conference powers. The Spurs were officially done.

So, naturally, they got back home after losing to the Nets and beat the Pistons. San Antonio then took out the Thunder and Nuggets. It hasn’t lost since that Feb. 25 setback in Brooklyn. The Spurs put an eight-game winning streak, currently the longest in the NBA, on the line against Golden State. You’re not going to read that this is a potential conference finals preview. In that sense, Pop’s team continues to be overlooked as a true contender, but it’s hard to dismiss what we’ve seen from them in making it to this point in March as the only team not to taste a loss this month.

The Spurs have defeated the Bucks and Trail Blazers at home on this run in addition to getting revenge on the Knicks, so they’ve actually won 10 straight at AT&T Center. San Antonio’s last loss in its building came on Jan. 20 against the Clippers. The Spurs are 8-1 at home as a pick’em or underdog this season, winning seven straight games in that role. That’s important to know because the Warriors are going to be favored here, getting forward Kevin Durant back from a two-game absence after spraining an ankle. Golden State went out and beat the Rockets and Thunder, arguably the top threats to their Western Conference supremacy, on the road without him.

Improved defense has been the reason both of these teams have persevered of late. San Antonio has led the NBA in scoring defense during its eight-game surge, giving up 99.8 points per 100 possessions. Golden State clamped down and held the Rockets to 104 points, Houston’s second-lowest output since February began, before visiting Oklahoma City on Saturday night and surrendering just 88 points, the fewest the Thunder have managed since Feb. 8, 2018.

After losing at home to the Suns as a 17-point favorite in a game memorable due to cameras catching Steve Kerr commenting on how tired he is of Draymond Green’s schtick -- or something like that – Golden State has turned things around, killing the narrative that it might indeed be vulnerable. That they’ve done it with Durant watching is even more impressive, since he was not the issue with their inconsistency. The Warriors are just fine, and when they want to defend, they’re virtually unbeatable.

The Spurs have been solid with first-year starting point guard Derrick White in the mix since he’s turned into a standout defender, filling the role that Dejounte Murray was supposed to play before he tore his ACL in the preseason. White missed all but two games on the Spurs’ ill-fated roadie with a heel injury but has since returned to play every game on their current run, averaging 13 points and nearly six assists while shooting over 52 percent from the field and close to 37 percent from 3-point range. Popovich has made no secret of his importance and anyone who watches the Spurs regularly can attest to the impact he has on the team with his pace and defense.

He’s played just 18 minutes off the bench against Golden State this season, participating in the 104-92 home win back on Nov. 18 that featured neither Stephen Curry, Green or DeMarcus Cousins, so we’ll really only be able to gage his impact in helping defend Curry and Klay Thompson tonight. White’s foot issues kept him out against the Warriors in the lone meeting in Oakland, a 141-102 loss on Feb. 6 you can flush down the toilet since LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan and White all sat out.

It’s still possible that this winds up being the 1-8 matchup in the West, so it will be interesting to see how Popovich attacks this game, particularly since his team is playing their best basketball of the season and Durant is returning to make the Warriors whole. San Antonio is 12 games over .500 for the first time this season and showcased its depth as seven players scored in double-figures in Saturday’s night win over Portland. Despite Denver carrying a three-game winning streak into tonight’s visit to Boston, Golden State owns a one-game lead in the conference. The Spurs are currently sixth, a half-game up on the Jazz and Clippers and just 1.5 games behind the Blazers for fourth. They trail the Rockets in the Southwest Division by just three games with 12 to go and will visit Houston on Friday night, making this a massive week.

We’ll see if they can take advantage of Durant potentially needing to knock off a little rust in order to pull off another surprise here, but it’s surely getting expensive to continue fading the Spurs if that’s what you’ve been doing since the Rodeo road trip. San Antonio has covered in seven of eight. The ‘under’ has prevailed in eight of nine involving the Spurs and nine of 10 games featuring Golden State, including each of the last seven.

Best of the Rest

Utah at Washington, 7:05 p.m. ET: The Wizards are running out of time to salvage what has thus far been an ill-fated season, coming into the week 3.5 games behind Miami for the Southeast Division lead and the East's final playoff berth. Bradley Beal has been on a tear and has scored 40 points in consecutive games, shooting 16-for-25 from 3-point range, so the Wizards can hop on his back again to try and take down a Jazz team opening a four-game Eastern road swing that will also see them visit the Knicks, Hawks and Bulls. Utah is looking to surge into the West's top four by taking care of business on a trip in which they'll be favored in every game.

Denver at Boston, 7:35 p.m. ET: Nikola Jokic got thrown out of the Nuggets' 102-100 Saturday night win over the Pacers and has now been tossed by Tony Brothers all three times he's been ejected from an NBA game. Fortunately for Jokic, Brothers won't be on this game as Denver opens a four-game road trip against the Celtics. Denver will play six of its next seven away from home against a very challenging schedule that features only one non-playoff team, so we'll see what its made of over the next few weeks as it looks to hold on to the Northwest Division lead it has enjoyed for months. Al Horford is expected to play through knee soreness for Boston, but Gordon Hayward is considered doubtful with a neck issue.

Miami at Oklahoma City, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Heat locked in defensively and held Charlotte to just 75 points on Sunday afternoon, marking the second time in three games that they've held an opponent in the 70s. It was even more impressive that they held it down without Justise Winslow, who is dealing with a thigh injury that may keep him out again here. Miami catches a huge break not having to deal with Russell Westbrook, who is suspended for amassing 16 technical fouls this season after picking up the penalty-clinching T in Saturday's loss to the Warriors. The Heat are plenty familiar with Paul George and Dennis Schroder, whose roles as catalysts will now be heightened in Westbrook's absence.

Indiana at Portland, 10:35 p.m. ET: The Blazers got encouraging news regarding CJ McCollum's knee injury suffered late Saturday night since it's not expected to be season-ending, but they'll need to make due without him and will be relying on Rodney Hood to help fill in. The Pacers know all about replacing a standout shooting guard since Victor Oladipo is rehabbing away from the team in South Florida after his own knee injury. Wes Matthews has done a nice job filling in defensively but is nowhere near the same type of threat on the offensive end, requiring Bojan Bogdanovic to be more aggressive in looking to score. The Pacers opened a tough four-game road trip with a 102-100 loss in Denver and are just one game up on the Celtics for the No. 4 spot in the East in what's looking increasingly likely to be a first-round matchup come postseason.

**Udog** · 03-18-2019, 01:10 PM

Hoop Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Wizards are 12-0 ATS (+11.62 ppg) at home with rest off a win as a favorite in which they trailed by double-digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Warriors are 0-11 ATS (-13.95 ppg) on the road with rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Warriors are 13-0 OU (+14.65 ppg) after a game in which their opponent shot under 35% from the field.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Raptors are 0-13 OU (-13.12 ppg) as a home 8+ favorite off a loss in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

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