Announcement

**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 09:22 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Mountain West tournament this week:

8-5: Nevada

2-1: Utah State

8-1: Fresno State

15-1: San Diego State, UNLV

25-1: Boise State

100-1: New Mexico, Air Force, Colorado State

500-1: Wyoming, San Jose State

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Giants traded Odell Beckham Jr to Cleveland last night; I’m guessing Odell might not enjoy December by Lake Erie, but while the Ravens/Steelers lose players this month and the Bengals pretty much stand still. are the Browns a playoff contender now?

Giants got Jabril Peppers, plus draft picks in 1st and 3rd rounds.

12) Are there any other honest people left? Parents paying off people so their kids can go to fancy colleges. Oy. Just send the kid to a damn state college and tell him/her to study.

Jerome Allen is an assistant coach with the Celtics; he used to work at Penn, and admitted to taking $300K to designate a kid as a basketball recruit at Penn, so the kid could get into an Ivy League school.

The three smartest (whether book smart or street smart) people I know went to these colleges, and I’m posting the colleges in alphabetical order, not in order of how smart those people are:

Albany, Northeastern, St Francis NY

Not a lot of “elite” colleges on that list. Smart people come from all kinds of schools.

USC’s senior associate athletic director, Donna Heinel, apparently received more than $1.3M in bribe payments to fabricate athletic credentials for prospective students.

Tremendous. Just awesome. Ms Heinel has already been fired, by the way.

11) Monday at the MGM in Las Vegas, a courageous soul made a $310,000 money-line bet on the Raptors (-$420) to win in Cleveland; they lost by 25. Had Toronto won, the bettor would’ve banked a little over $73,800. Tough way to start the week.

10) At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, Detroit Lions dropped from 100-1 to 60-1 to win the Super Bowl, after their four free agent signings.

9) Teddy Bridgewater is taking less money to be the Saints’ backup QB, instead of being the starter with the Dolphins? What does that say about Miami?

8) Monday night in LA, Lou Williams of the Clippers set the NBA’s all-time record for most points scored off the bench, passing Dell Curry. Williams has scored 13,037 points in the NBA, but has started only 11.8% of his 923 career games.

Remember seeing Williams play in an AAU tournament in Orlando back when he was in high school; if I remember right, he played for the Atlanta Celtics’ AAU team- they were excellent.

7) Bradley’s path to winning the MVC tournament:
— beat Missouri State by 3; trailed by 7 early in 2nd half.
— beat Loyola, Chi by 2; trailed by 4 with 12:11 left.
— beat Northern Iowa by 3; trailed by 18 with 17:07 left.

6) Texas PG Kerwin Roach will play for the Longhorns in the Big 12 tournament this week, so whatever offense he committed to get suspended for the last five games is forgiven.

Ohio State’s Kaleb Wesson will also be back for the Big 14 tournament; he was suspended for the last three games.

Funny how conference tournaments make suspensions go away.

5) Five years ago, Mercer won the Atlantic Sun tourney, then beat Duke in the first round of the NCAA’s, before losing to Tennessee in the 2nd round. Mercer beat Duke as a 14-seed. In the last 20 years, #14-seeds are 8-72 in the first round of the NCAA tournament- Mercer’s win was a very big deal.

The next year, Mercer moved up to the Southern Conference and in five years since then, Bears went 83-83, 46-46 in conference games. Thats a .500 record in a better league, but Monday, they fired coach Bob Hoffman, the same guy who coached the team when they beat Duke.

Who made this decision? This isn’t UCLA or some other big-money school that expects to make the tournament every year to appease its big-money boosters. It is freakin’ Mercer. If you’re Mercer and the guy beats Duke, you give him a 10-year contract and pray he doesn’t bolt your school for green$r pa$ture$.

4) If you care about such things, you can wager on next year’s Super Bowl right now; AFC is favored by 2.5 points, with a total of 57.

3) Oakland Grizzlies basketball coach Greg Kampe played football in college at Bowling Green, graduating in 1978— one of his coaches was Don Nehlen, who went on to an excellent career coaching West Virginia. Kampe was a cornerback, who also kicked/punted.

2) Chris Woodward is the new manager of the Texas Rangers; he went on live TV for a half-inning with the Rangers’ TV guys during an exhibition game the other night and he was great. Best one of those interviews I’ve seen. He talked about how a lot of players don’t know all the rules, and how the bench coach for the Dodgers (Bob Geren) “….is obsessed with rules.” Was interesting to listen to.

1) A’s play Seattle over in Japan in games that count, starting at 5:30am here in New York on both March 20th and 21st; the NCAA tournament starts at noon on the 21st. When the hell am I supposed to sleep?

**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 09:50 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 13

Pistons are 8-2 in their last ten games; they’re 7-5-1 vs spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last five road games stayed under. Heat won four of its last five games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Detroit/Miami split their last ten meetings (over 7-3). Pistons are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to South Beach.

Magic lost three of its last four games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Washington is 3-2 in its last five games (5-0 vs spread); they covered five of last six home games. 13 of their last 16 games went over. Wizards won six of last eight games with Orlando; six of last nine series games went over. Magic is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Washington.

Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 5-8-1 vs spread in last 14 road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Atlanta lost three of its last four games; they’re 9-1 vs spread in last ten games. Five of their last seven games went over. Grizzlies won three of last four games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total.

Nets won their last four games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Last five Brooklyn games stayed under. Oklahoma City won three of its last five games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Thunder won four of last five games with Brooklyn; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Nets covered three of their last four visits to Oklahoma.

Warriors are 4-6 in their last ten games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. Houston won its last nine games, covered four of last five games. Under is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games. Rockets won their last three games with Golden State; seven of last eight series stayed under the total. Warriors are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Houston.

Jazz lost three of last four games; they covered five of their last six road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Phoenix won five of its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); four of their last five games stayed under the total. Utah won nine of last ten games with the Suns (5-4-1 vs spread); Jazz is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to Phoenix. Four of last five series games stayed under.

**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 09:53 AM

NBA

Wednesday, March 13

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Trend Report
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Orlando Magic
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing Washington
Orlando is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Orlando is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 16 games
Washington is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Orlando
Washington is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 15 games on the road
Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Brooklyn is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Oklahoma City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Oklahoma City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games
Oklahoma City is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Oklahoma City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Detroit's last 17 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Detroit is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing Detroit
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Miami is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Memphis is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Memphis is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Memphis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
Atlanta is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Atlanta is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Memphis
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games
Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Golden State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Houston
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

Utah Jazz
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games on the road
Utah is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Utah
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing at home against Utah

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**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 09:56 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 13

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DETROIT (34 - 32) at MIAMI (31 - 35) - 3/13/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (31 - 37) at WASHINGTON (28 - 39) - 3/13/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 77-107 ATS (-40.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 68-83 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (28 - 40) at ATLANTA (23 - 45) - 3/13/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (36 - 33) at OKLAHOMA CITY (41 - 26) - 3/13/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 83-67 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-68 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a division game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (45 - 21) at HOUSTON (42 - 25) - 3/13/2019, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-8 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (37 - 29) at PHOENIX (16 - 52) - 3/13/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-51 ATS (-18.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 10:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 13

Detroit @ Miami

Game 547-548
March 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.654
Miami
116.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+1 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Washington

Game 549-550
March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
122.329
Washington
119.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+2 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 551-552
March 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
115.955
Atlanta
121.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 6
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1
221
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-1); Under

Brooklyn @ Oklahoma City

Game 553-554
March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.818
Oklahoma City
124.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7 1/2
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Houston

Game 555-556
March 13, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
116.387
Houston
123.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
237
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Over

Utah @ Phoenix

Game 557-558
March 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.940
Phoenix
113.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 10:40 AM

549Orlando -550 Washington
ORLANDO is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

553Brooklyn -554 Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-13-2019, 11:51 AM

Inside the Paint - Wednesday
Chris David

All things usually balance out in the long run and daily followers of the NBA are starting to see that trend take place at the betting counter recently. After watching the underdogs own the first three weeks after the All-Star break, favorites have started to flex in a big week. Since Monday, the ‘chalk’ has gone 11-2 straight up and 9-4 against the spread and that includes last night’s results of 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS. For total players, the ‘under’ still holds a slight edge (79-68) in the second-half but I expect a big night of ‘over’ tickets to dominate the slate in the near future.

Game of the Night (ESPN, 9:35 p.m. ET)

Golden State (45-21 SU, 26-39-1 ATS) at Houston (42-25 SU, 31-34-2 ATS)

A possible preview of the Western Conference Finals will take place on Wednesday as the Warriors will meet the Rockets from the Toyota Center. Houston will be seeking an improbable sweep of the four-game season series and by doing so, the Rockets would only be three games behind the Warriors in the latest race for the top seed in the West.

Houston has been installed as a 3 ½-point home favorite and NBA expert Tony Mejia weighed in on the fourth showdown between the pair.

He said, “Steph Curry is calling this an opportunity to send a statement, but the fact Kevin Durant is coming off an ankle contusion means it doesn’t really mean all that much from that standpoint. The exception to that would be if Golden State were to win without him, but considering they fell apart against the lowly Suns without the reigning two-time MVP, it’s the Rockets that who are more likely to send a message in putting a little doubt in the Warriors on the heels of a stretch where they’ve gone 4-6.”

“Getting DeMarcus Cousins was always going to be taxing and he could be exposed as a liability due to his pick-and-roll defense against a team that boasts James Harden and Chris Paul, but injuries have further compounded things. Klay Thompson missed a couple of games, Draymond Green seems stuck in a place with no confidence to shoot the ball and key reserves Shaun Livingston and Kevon Looney have had their knocks. All that in addition to Durant’s unfortunate ankle tweak at home against Phoenix makes this a tough game for the Warriors and a prime opportunity for the Rockets to finish off a season sweep of the defending champs.”

As Mejia mentioned, the Warriors have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games and more importantly they’re 2-8 ATS during this span and that includes the embarrassing 115-11 loss at home to Phoenix on Sunday as 17-point home favorites. If you go back 20 games, Golden State is 6-14 ATS and its been favored in all of those games.

Catching points this season has been a rarity for Golden State but it has happened five teams and Steve Kerr’s team has gone 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Kevin Durant (ankle) is ‘out’ Wednesday and the Warriors are 0-1 this season without him, a 103-96 decision at Orlando on Feb. 28.

While Golden State has struggled, Houston has been on fire with a 9-1 record in its last 10 games. The Rockets have gone 5-4-1 ATS during this run and the team is finally healthy. After starting the season with an 11-14 record, Mike D’Antoni and company have gone 31-11. A lot of that success has come at home with Houston going 24-9 SU and 18-14-1 ATS. That record also comes after the team started 0-4 at the Toyota Center.

From a head-to-head perspective, Mejia argues that a fully-active Rockets squad has an edge over the Warriors.

He explained, “Paul has missed one of this year’s victories, but it’s worth noting that the Rockets have defeated Golden State five of the last six times he’s taken the court for them and are 7-3 overall with him in the lineup since he came on board last season. With Kenneth Faried back, the Rockets are the healthiest they’ve been all season and have really dominated games on the defensive end during their nine-game winning streak, giving up 106 or fewer points in five consecutive contests.”

The total on this game is hovering between 230 and 231 points. Despite the offensive firepower on both sides, this series has been a great ‘under’ bet with the low side cashing in eight of the last 10 meetings. They did play to a 135-134 shootout on Jan. 3 from the Bay Area and the ‘over’ (232) in the recent meeting at Oracle Arena on Feb. 23 had a chance to go high but the Warriors were stifled late in a 118-112 loss to the Rockets.

Including four games from last year’s Western Conference Finals, the ‘under’ has gone 4-1 in the last five games between the pair from Houston. The Warriors have been a better ‘over’ (19-13) team on the road but they’re only averaging 101 points per game in their last five visits to Houston.

Eastern Test

Two teams fighting for playoff spots in the Eastern Conference will meet on Wednesday when Detroit (34-32 SU, 33-31-2 ATS) and Miami (31-35 SU, 35-31) meet at the American Airlines Arena. This will be the final meeting between the two teams and the Pistons have gone 2-1 both SU and ATS versus the Heat and that includes a 119-96 blowout win on Feb. 23 as 3 ½-point road underdogs. For the fairly quick rematch, Miami opened as a 1 ½-point favorite and some of the adjustment can be based on form.

Even though the Pistons were embarrassed 103-75 this past Monday as two-point road underdogs, the club still owns an 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS mark in the second-half of the season. Miami was also lit up in its last game, a 125-104 decision to Toronto as a two-point home favorite. Prior to that win, the Heat had won five of their last six games both SU and ATS with four of the victories coming at home.

The Pistons hold a three-game lead over the Heat for the seventh spot in the East so the sense or urgency should be much higher for Miami. Especially with the Bucks and Hornets visiting the American Airlines Arena later this week.

Roll the Ball Out

Meaningless matchups late in the NBA regular season happen often and I usually lean to the ‘over’ in those games knowing that the defense tends to be a tad looser. Wednesday’s game between Memphis and Atlanta fits perfectly and bettors are looking at a total of 221, which doesn’t seem high for Atlanta but it out of the norm for Memphis.

The Grizzlies have only had five totals listed in the 220s this season and not surprisingly, the ‘under’ has gone 5-0 in those games. The Memphis team we’ve seen lately has been running more and even though lack offensive consistency, point guard Mike Conley has been on a roll. Plus, the Hawks defense (118.7 PPG) is ranked last in scoring and they give up plenty of extra possessions due to turnovers, also ranked last in the league with 17.7 per game.

The pair met early in the season on Oct. 19 from Memphis and the Grizzlies notched a 131-117 win over the Hawks and the ‘over’ (216) was never in doubt. All signs point to another back-and-forth game in the second meeting.

Desert Heat

The Suns (16-52 SU, 31-37 ATS) have been on fire recently, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and that includes the largest upset of the NBA season on Sunday when the club stunned Golden State 115-111 as 17-point road underdogs. During this hot run, Phoenix has gone 3-1 at home and it’s been listed as an underdog in three of those games.

Fast forward to Wednesday and Phoenix (+7) is receiving points again to Utah (37-29 SU, 33-31-2 ATS) at home. Knowing the Jazz have dropped two straight and three of their last four games, the obvious lean would be to the underdog in this spot if you’re handicapping on current form.

However, this will be the first encounter between the pair this season and this series has been very lopsided. The Jazz have won four straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings against the Suns and they’ve gone 8-4 versus the number in those games. Also, Utah hasn’t lost three straight games since late November and it’s gone 4-2 both SU and ATS in its last six games as a road favorite.

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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

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