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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 11

    Good Luck on day # 70 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Conference USA tournament:

    3-1: Southern Mississippi
    7-2: Old Dominion
    4-1: Western Kentucky
    5-1: Texas-San Antonio
    10-1: UAB
    12-1: North Texas, Louisiana Tech
    15-1: Marshall
    20-1: Florida Atlantic
    30-1: Florida International
    75-1: Middle Tennessee, Rice


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……

    13) Houston 85, Cincinnati 69— Cougars were very impressive in second half; they’re 29-2 now and will be a popular sleeper to make the Final Four. Not even sure they would qualify as a sleeper— Joe Lunardi has them listed as a #3-seed in his last listing.

    12) Bradley 57, Northern Iowa 54— Braves were down 18 early in second half, rallied to win first MVC title since 1988— they’re in NCAA’s for first time since 2006.

    11) MAAC semis: It’ll be Monmouth vs Iona in the finals tonight.

    Iona won this tournament the last three years; Monmouth started this season 0-12, won their last pre-conference game, then went 10-8 in the MAAC, finishing in 6th place.

    10) SoCon semis: It’ll be Wofford vs NC-Greensboro in the finals tonight. Wofford is now 20-0 in conference games this year. I’m thinking they’re in the NCAA’s no matter what, but for the sake of their nervous systems over the next week, winning tonight would be good.

    9) Gardner-Webb 76, Radford 65— Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for first time ever; they were a 7-point underdog in this game. Gardner-Webb is located in Boiling Springs, NC.

    Gardner-Webb won at both Wake Forest, Georgia Tech this year; they lost by 12 at VCU, by 28 at Virginia Tech.

    8) Wisconsin 73, Ohio State 67 OT— Badgers led this game by 23, blew the lead, but survived and get the #4 seed in Big 14 tournament.

    7) Suns 115, Warriors 111— Golden State lost and Kevin Durant hurt his ankle. Bad night.

    6) Sunday, the Tampa Bay Rays renewed the contract of ace and Cy Young winner Blake Snell; they will pay him $573,700 this coming season, not much above his $558,200 salary from last year. The minimum salary increased $10,000 to $555,000 this year, so Snell’s $15,500 raise is really only $5,500.

    5) Los Angeles Lakers have 156-320 record over the past six years, which is the worst record in the NBA during that time.

    4) Former Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook transferred to Florida State; he was 26-6 in three seasons as the starter for the Badgers, leading them to the Orange Bowl following the 2017 season. Florida State finished 10th in the ACC last year in both passing efficiency at 125.77 and completion percentage at 57.1;

    3) San Diego Padres attempted 36 stolen bases in their first 16 spring training games, so looks like the Friars will be running a lot more than they have recently. Orioles are second this spring, with 26 attempted steals.

    2) OF Adam Jones signed a one-year, $3M deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

    1) Shaka Smart’s four years at Texas:
    — 66-65 record, 31-41 in Big X games
    — 2-3 in Big X tournament, 0-2 in NCAA’s.

    Shaka Smart’s six years at VCU:
    — 163-56 record, 74-30 in conference games
    — 15-4 in conference tournament, 7-5 in NCAA’s.

    Comment


    • #3
      Guys,

      I've got an early doctor appointment 60 miles away for Monday morning. I'll be leaving before any of the stuff is up. It will be a late start for Monday, March 11. I could be as late as midday getting started. There are no early starts scheduled for Monday, though. I'll get you caught up in all sports well before any play begins. Thanks for your understanding and good luck Monday night!

      Comment


      • #4
        521 TORONTO -522 CLEVELAND
        TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

        523 SACRAMENTO -524 WASHINGTON
        SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents in the current season.

        525 DETROIT -526 BROOKLYN
        BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

        527 CHARLOTTE -528 HOUSTON
        CHARLOTTE is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          TORONTO @ CLEVELAND
          TORONTO
          Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

          CLEVELAND
          Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
          Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

          SACRAMENTO @ WASHINGTON
          SACRAMENTO
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
          WASHINGTON
          Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

          DETROIT @ BROOKLYN
          DETROIT
          Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          BROOKLYN
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing Detroit

          CHARLOTTE @ HOUSTON
          CHARLOTTE
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
          HOUSTON
          Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

          OKLAHOMA CITY @ UTAH
          OKLAHOMA CITY
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Utah
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
          UTAH
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
          Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

          BOSTON @ LA CLIPPERS
          BOSTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games on the road
          LA CLIPPERS
          LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

          Comment


          • #6
            Toronto Raptors
            Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
            Toronto is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
            Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Toronto is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
            Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
            Toronto is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Cleveland
            Toronto is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cleveland
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Cleveland
            Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
            Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

            Cleveland Cavaliers
            Cleveland is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
            Cleveland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home
            Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
            Cleveland is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Toronto
            Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
            Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

            Sacramento Kings
            Sacramento is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games
            Sacramento is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
            Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Sacramento is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games on the road
            Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Washington
            Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington

            Washington Wizards
            Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
            The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 15 games
            Washington is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
            Washington is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
            Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
            Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
            Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

            Detroit Pistons
            Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 12 games
            Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games on the road
            Detroit is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Brooklyn
            Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
            Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
            Detroit is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 20 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn

            Brooklyn Nets
            Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
            Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Brooklyn is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
            Brooklyn is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Detroit
            Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing Detroit
            Brooklyn is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
            Brooklyn is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 20 games when playing at home against Detroit

            Charlotte Hornets
            Charlotte is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
            Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games
            Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
            Charlotte is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
            Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
            The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Charlotte's last 23 games when playing Houston
            Charlotte is 1-7-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
            Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

            Houston Rockets
            Houston is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
            Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
            Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Houston is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
            Houston is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
            Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
            The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Houston's last 23 games when playing Charlotte
            Houston is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte
            Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

            Oklahoma City Thunder
            Oklahoma City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
            Oklahoma City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
            Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
            Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 25 games when playing Utah
            Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Utah

            Utah Jazz
            Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games
            Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Utah's last 23 games at home
            Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
            Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Utah's last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
            Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

            Boston Celtics
            Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
            Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games on the road
            Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
            Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing LA Clippers
            Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers

            Los Angeles Clippers
            LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
            LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
            LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
            LA Clippers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
            LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

            Comment


            • #7
              Monday's Tip Sheet
              Kevin Rogers

              Game of the Night: Celtics at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

              After Boston lost at home to Houston last Sunday, the conversation of this team’s demise began. But then, the Celtics (41-26 SU, 34-32-1 ATS) traveled west and everything changed. It all started with Tuesday’s 128-95 blowout of Golden State, then the Celtics held off the Kings the next night, 111-109 without point guard Kyrie Irving in the lineup.

              Irving returned on Saturday night as the Celtics avenged a buzzer-beating loss to the Lakers from last month as Boston pounded Los Angeles at Staples Center, 120-107. The Celtics easily cashed as seven-point favorites against a beat-up and beaten down Lakers’ squad, as Irving torched L.A. for 30 points to knock off old friend LeBron James. Boston drilled 14 three-pointers, including four from Marcus Smart to pick up their first road favorite cover since February 1 at New York.

              The Celtics remain in Tinseltown on Monday to face the Clippers (38-29 SU, 39-28 ATS), who have won four straight games. Los Angeles pulled away from Oklahoma City on Friday, 118-110 to cash as short two-point home favorites. The Clippers took advantage of Russell Westbrook and Paul George each fouling out late for OKC, as L.A. converted 31 free throws, including 10 from Lou Williams, who scored 40 points.

              The last time the Celtics and Clippers hooked up at TD Garden on February 9, Boston built a seemingly insurmountable 68-40 second quarter advantage. The cardiac Clippers roared back to outscore the Celtics, 70-38 in the second half to shock Boston, 123-112. L.A. cashed as 11 ½-point road underdogs, while the OVER of 228 ½ easily hit in spite of Boston’s scoring woes after halftime. The Clippers captured four straight home meetings with the Celtics before Boston won at Staples last January, 113-102.

              Pull out the Brooms?

              Last season, the Jazz (37-28 SU, 33-30-2 ATS) knocked out the Thunder (40-26 SU, 34-32 ATS) in six games of the opening round of the playoffs. This season, Oklahoma City has picked up revenge against its division rivals by taking the first three meetings with Utah as the teams meet for the final time in the regular season.

              The Thunder took care of the Jazz in the first matchup at home in December by nine points, but the last two hookups have been decided by one point each. On February 22 at Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City outlasted Utah in double-overtime, 148-147, capped off by a 45-point effort from Paul George and a game-winning basket by the All-Star in the final seconds. The only bright side for the Jazz (more specifically, their backers) is they covered as four-point underdogs to cash for the first time in the last five meetings.

              OKC wraps up a four-game road trip in Salt Lake City after dropping two of the first three contests. The Thunder was blown out at Minnesota to start the swing last Tuesday, while rallying past the Blazers in overtime on Thursday. Billy Donovan’s club fell apart late against the Clippers on Friday to drop to 1-9 ATS the last 10 games, including a 1-5 ATS mark on the highway.

              The Jazz ran off four straight wins after the double-overtime setback at OKC, including victories over the Clippers and Nuggets. However, Utah has taken a step back recently by losing two of three, including favorite losses to New Orleans at home and a 10-point defeat at Memphis on Friday. The Jazz have performed well at Vivint Smart Home Arena by winning 14 of the past 17, although they are 0-3 ATS in the last three opportunities as a home favorite.

              Battle for Sixth

              Past the top five teams in the Eastern Conference, the two wild card teams that are flying under the radar are Detroit and Brooklyn. The two squads hook up at Barclays Center on Monday as they try to avoid the seventh playoff position, which would likely pit them against the Raptors in the opening round.

              The Nets (35-33 SU, 36-32 ATS) return home for one night before hitting the road for a seven-game trip starting Wednesday at Oklahoma City. Brooklyn has bounced back since dropping three in a row as the Nets are riding a three-game winning streak following Saturday’s two-point victory at Atlanta. The Nets have cashed the UNDER in four consecutive games, although Brooklyn topped the 113-point mark in each of the past three contests.

              The Pistons (34-31 SU, 33-30-2 ATS) travel to Brooklyn with no rest after blowing out the Bulls on Sunday, 131-108 to cash as nine-point favorites. Detroit moved its winning streak to five games, while the Pistons have 12 of their last 14 contests since squandering a 25-point lead in a home setback to the Clippers in early February.

              Detroit and Brooklyn haven’t met since October when the two teams played a pair of games decided by four points. The home team won each time, as the Nets edged the Pistons, 120-119 in overtime on Halloween night, but Detroit cashed as 2 ½-point underdogs.

              Time’s A Wastin

              Washington and Sacramento are both on the outside looking in with the playoffs one month away. The Kings (33-32 SU, 38-26-1 ATS) have been the most pleasant surprise in the NBA this season and are still hanging around the Western Conference race by sitting four games back of San Antonio for the final playoff spot.

              Sacramento continues its four-game Eastern Conference road trip after winning at New York on Saturday, 102-94 to pick up only its second victory in the last six contests (both against the Knicks). The schedule has been tough for the Kings lately as they have lost to the Celtics, Bucks, Clippers, and Warriors since the All-Star break.

              The Wizards (27-39 SU, 31-35 ATS) are still alive in the dreadful Southeast division as Washington trails Miami by four games with 16 to go. Washington threw away a golden opportunity in Saturday’s overtime loss at Minnesota as the Wizards blew an early 15-point lead in a 135-130 setback. Washington managed its fourth consecutive cover, while beating a pair of Western Conference squads at home by beating Dallas and Minnesota.

              The Kings struggled against the Wizards from 2016 through 2018 by losing four straight meetings, but Sacramento broke through in late October by rallying past Washington, 116-112 at Golden 1 Center. Sacramento outscored Washington in the fourth quarter, 37-27, while cashing outright as 5 ½-point underdogs. The task for the Kings on Monday night is to snap a five-game skid at Capital One Arena dating back to 2014.

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends - Monday
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

                -- The Jazz are 13-0 ATS (+11.31 ppg) as a favorite off a loss.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                -- The Raptors are 0-11 ATS (-9.73 ppg) after a game as a road favorite in which they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Raptors are 11-0 OU (+12.82 ppg) when their last four games are L-L-W-W.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Hornets are 0-13 OU (-14.54 ppg) on the road with rest off a road game when they are seeking same-season revenge for a home loss.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA
                  Dunkel

                  Monday, March 11



                  Boston @ LA Clippers

                  Game 531-532
                  March 11, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Boston
                  117.737
                  LA Clippers
                  120.511
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  LA Clippers
                  by 3
                  221
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Boston
                  by 1 1/2
                  226
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  LA Clippers
                  (+1 1/2); Under

                  Oklahoma City @ Utah

                  Game 529-530
                  March 11, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Oklahoma City
                  120.764
                  Utah
                  118.225
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Oklahoma City
                  by 2 1/2
                  231
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Utah
                  by 3 1/2
                  227
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Oklahoma City
                  (+3 1/2); Over

                  Charlotte @ Houston

                  Game 527-528
                  March 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Charlotte
                  113.319
                  Houston
                  124.533
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Houston
                  by 11
                  228
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Houston
                  by 8 1/2
                  223 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Houston
                  (-8 1/2); Over

                  Detroit @ Brooklyn

                  Game 525-526
                  March 11, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Detroit
                  114.576
                  Brooklyn
                  125.897
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Brooklyn
                  by 11 1/2
                  216
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Brooklyn
                  by 2
                  221 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Brooklyn
                  (-2); Under

                  Sacramento @ Washington

                  Game 523-524
                  March 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Sacramento
                  109.678
                  Washington
                  115.145
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Washington
                  by 5 1/2
                  244
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Washington
                  by 1 1/2
                  240 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Washington
                  (-1 1/2); Over

                  Toronto @ Cleveland

                  Game 521-522
                  March 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Toronto
                  125.134
                  Cleveland
                  111.068
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Toronto
                  by 14
                  219
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Toronto
                  by 9 1/2
                  223
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Toronto
                  (-9 1/2); Under

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NBA
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Monday, March 11


                    Raptors won 11 of their last 14 games; they’re 5-1 vs spread on road if they played night before. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Cleveland lost three of its last four games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Toronto won its last three games with the Cavaliers; they covered only one of their last five visits to Ohio. Seven of their last ten games went over the total.

                    Kings lost four of their last six games; they covered four of last five road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Washington lost seven of its last ten games; they covered four of last five home games. 13 of their last 15 games went over. Sacramento lost four of its last five games with the Wizards; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Washington. Six of last eight series games stayed under the total.

                    Detroit won five in row, 12 of last 14 games; they covered heir last seven home games. Six of their last seven home games went over. Brooklyn won its last three games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Nets’ last four games stayed under. Pistons won five of their last seven games with the Nets; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

                    Hornets lost six of their last eight games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Houston won its last eight games (5-3 vs spread); they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Rockets won nine of last ten games with Charlotte; three of last four series games stayed under. Hornets are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits to Houston.

                    Oklahoma City lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-9 vs spread in their last ten games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Utah won five of its last seven games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Thunder won four of their last five games with the Jazz; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Utah (under 3-2).

                    Celtics won four of their last five games; they’re 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Clippers won four of their last six games (6-0 vs spread); they covered five of their last six home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Clippers won seven of last ten games with Boston; last three series games went over the total. Celtics are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NBA
                      Long Sheet

                      Monday, March 11


                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                      TORONTO (48 - 19) at CLEVELAND (16 - 50) - 3/11/2019, 7:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      TORONTO is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
                      TORONTO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 71-96 ATS (-34.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      CLEVELAND is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      CLEVELAND is 12-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                      CLEVELAND is 13-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                      12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                      SACRAMENTO (33 - 32) at WASHINGTON (27 - 39) - 3/11/2019, 7:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      WASHINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                      WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                      SACRAMENTO is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      WASHINGTON is 67-83 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      WASHINGTON is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                      WASHINGTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                      WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                      DETROIT (34 - 31) at BROOKLYN (35 - 33) - 3/11/2019, 7:35 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      BROOKLYN is 82-67 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BROOKLYN is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      BROOKLYN is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                      DETROIT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BROOKLYN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against Central division opponents this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                      DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                      6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                      CHARLOTTE (30 - 36) at HOUSTON (41 - 25) - 3/11/2019, 8:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      CHARLOTTE is 62-80 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 53-83 ATS (-38.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
                      CHARLOTTE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      CHARLOTTE is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      CHARLOTTE is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
                      CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      HOUSTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                      HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
                      HOUSTON is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                      HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                      OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 26) at UTAH (37 - 28) - 3/11/2019, 9:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      UTAH is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      UTAH is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      UTAH is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                      OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-6 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                      10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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                      BOSTON (41 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (38 - 29) - 3/11/2019, 10:35 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
                      BOSTON is 93-69 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
                      BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 148-111 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
                      BOSTON is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      BOSTON is 65-45 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 172-214 ATS (-63.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
                      LA CLIPPERS are 227-285 ATS (-86.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.


                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        By: Monique Vág



                        Expect fireworks

                        The Kings travel to Washington to take on a Wizards team they have historically played well against in the head-to-head versus Sacramento winning five straight home games, and 16 of 23 at Capital One Arena.

                        With the game total set as high as 240.5 on some books, look for offensive fireworks as these are two of the league’s top-10 scoring offenses and top-five worst defenses in terms of opponent points per game. Both teams are ranked near the top of the league in pace and are efficient at capitalizing on fast break opportunities. Bet Over the total of 240.


                        From Downtown!

                        The Kings Bogdan Bogdanovic has not been shooting the ball well lately but has logged 11 games with 20 or more points this season. Today he is in a favorable matchup versus a Wizards team vulnerable to the deep ball.

                        Bogdanovic is shooting just over 39 percent from beyond the arc and should be able to capitalize against a Wizards’ defense surrendering 123.3 points per game over their most recent three games while allowing opponents to shoot 36.9 percent from 3-point range. Back Over his points total of 14.5.


                        Sixth Man of the Year Candidate

                        The Pistons take their five-game winning streak on the road to Brooklyn to play the Nets who have won 17 of their most recent 23 games at home.

                        Nets guard Spencer Dinwiddie has had a huge impact all season long coming off the bench, averaging career highs in points per game and field goal percentage. His most recent two games have been his most efficient since returning from injury, logging 23 and 28 points, and averaging five rebounds and six assists per game. Look for his success to continue today and back Over his points, rebounds, assists total Over 24.5.


                        Hoping to sweep the series

                        The Thunder are looking to complete the season sweep versus the Jazz. The most recent three contests between these two has resulted in very high scoring games with both teams shooting over 47 percent from the field, with the Thunder winning all three of these contests by an average score of 125-122 (mostly due to a double overtime game in the last meeting).

                        The Over looks like a profitable play as both offenses come in hot with the Thunder averaging 119.7 over their last three games, and the Jazz 111.8 at home. Take Over the game total of 226.


                        To Live and Die in L.A.

                        The Celtics travel to Los Angeles to take on a Clippers team they have struggled against recently, winning three of the most recent 11 games, and only one of the last six on the road at Staples Center.

                        Look for the Clippers to get out to a quick start as they are averaging 59.7 first-half points at home and have shot the ball well versus the Celtics shooting 48 percent from the field over their most recent 10. Back the Clippers on the first half moneyline at a nice price.

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