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**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:38 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six states in this country where a case of beer is most expensive:

1) Alaska $31.21

2) Wyoming $26.68

3) Hawai’i $22.39

4) Montana $22.28

5) Tennessee $22.25

6) Vermont $21.56

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…..

13) Joel Embiid played 23:00 in Sunday’s NBA All-Star Game; now comes news that Embiid will miss the next week with a sore left knee. No bueno.

Embiid missed all of the first two seasons of his career because of injuries, and then he missed 51 games in his third year. This is his fifth year.

Over this season and the next four years, Philadelphia will pay Embiid $146M; playing for the 76ers is more important than playing in the damn All-Star Game.

12) Will the Big East get more than two teams in the NCAA’s?

As of Wednesday morning. Villanova/Marquette are locks for the tournament, but no one else in the league is ranked in KenPom’s top 50.

Joe Lunardi has St John’s as a 9-seed, Seton Hall as a 10-seed, so if they don’t stumble in the next three weeks, they’ll probably to get in, because nationally, this is a down year for quality teams. There will be a few teams in the NCAA’s this year that aren’t really that good.

Big East had six teams in NCAA’s last year, seven the year before, so even if St John’s/Seton Hall both get in the field of 68, it is a down year for the league.

11) Florida State’s Mfiondu Kabengele is the only player in the country who leads his team in scoring, but hasn’t started one game this season.

10) Georgetown 85, Villanova 73— Wildcats lost their third straight road games, as Patrick Ewing’s Hoyas improve to 16-10, 6-7 in Big East.

9) Mississippi State 68, Georgia 67— Georgia fan threw a small stuffed bulldog on the court while Miss State was shooting a foul shot with 0:00.5 left and game tied. Kid missed the first of two foul shots, but a technical foul was called, he made the second one, then missed the third foul shot on purpose as MSU escapes Athens with a road win.

8) Upsets of the Night:
— Air Force (+14.5) 64, Fresno State 61
— North Carolina (+9) 88, Duke 72
— San Diego State (+8.5) 65, Nevada 57
— Xavier (+6.5) 70, Seton Hall 69
— Northern Iowa (+6) 63, Missouri State 43
— Georgetown (+5.5) 85, Villanova 73
— Florida (+5.5) 82, LSU 77, OT

7) Kentucky’s big man Reid Travis sprained his knee Tuesday night, is expected to be out until the SEC tournament, which starts in three weeks.

6) Watching the first two weeks of the AAF, it seems like it might become a throwback league, a throwback to a time where teams ran the ball a lot instead of passing it all the time.

Why? Because the quality of QB’s in the AAF ain’t that good. When Mike Martz reverts to a run-based attack, and then it works, you realize that this league might be a little different, not better or worse than expected, just different. More like old-school football.

5) Joe Gibbs has had an underrated career, parlaying being a great NFL coach with his tremendous success as a NASCAR owner. Very unique combination.

4) Franklin Pierce is the only first-term American President who had been elected president and then was denied re-nomination four years later; four other Presidents didn’t win their party’s nomination in the next election either, but all four of those guys became president because their predecessor passed away.

3) At halftime of the Villanova-Georgetown game last night, FOX’s Gus Johnson gave a very nice tribute to a young man who passed away in a car accident recently. The man’s father is the stat guy on FOX’s broadcasts lot of the time. Johnson fought back tears as he spoke

2) North Carolina 88, Duke 72— Zion Williamson played 33 seconds in this game, hurt his knee and never returned. His foot went right thru his sneaker; never saw that before.

If you like to bet futures, this could change EVERYTHING; if Williamson is done for the year, Duke is in the ashcan as far as a national title goes- more than twice as much money has been bet on the Blue Devils to win the national title as has been wagered on any other team.

1) For some reason, betting over/unders on the first period of NHL games has become a hot topic in some corners of Twitter. Blackhawks are 47-13 over in the first period; Dallas Stars are 41-18 under. You get a trend that goes 47-13, and people get interested.

**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:40 AM

NBA's Top ATS Teams at the All-Star Break:

1. Bucks 34-20-3 ATS
2. Mavs 34-22-1 ATS
3. Kings 34-23 ATS
4. Thunder 33-24 ATS
5. Nets 33-26 ATS
6. Magic 32-26-1 ATS
7. Clippers 32-27 ATS
8. Blazers 31-26 ATS

NBA's Worst ATS Teams at the All-Star Break:

30. Knicks 24-33-1 ATS
29. Suns 25-34 ATS
28. Warriors 24-32-1 ATS
27. Hawks 25-33 ATS
26. Lakers 24-31-2 ATS
t25. Cavaliers 25-32-1 ATS
t25. Bulls 25-32-1 ATS

NBA's Top Over Teams at the All-Star Break:

t1. Spurs 36-22-1
t1. Wizards 36-22
3. Celtics 34-24
4. Rockets 32-24-1
5. Hawks 32-26
t6. Warrior 31-26
t6. Timberwolves 31-26
t8. Raptors 32-27
t8. Nets 32-27

NBA's Top Under Teams at the All-Star Break:

1. Grizzlies 36-23
2. Lakers 34-22-1
3. Pacers 34-24
4. Bulls 32-25-1
t5. Pistons 31-25
t5. Mavs 31-25-1
t7. Magic 32-27
t7. Suns 32-27

NBA's Top OVER Referees (based on Over %, min. 5 games):

1. Leroy Richardson 26-12
2. Michael Smith 25-13
3. Derek Richardson 23-12
4. Matt Boland 25-14
5. Karl Lane 28-17

NBA's Top UNDER Referees (based on Under %, min. 5 games):

1. Gediminas Petraitis 29-16
2. Derrick Collins 27-15
3. Brian Forte 28-17
4. Justin Van Duyne 23-13
5. Brandon Adair 23-13

**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:40 AM

Denver's Jekyll & Hyde play and other NBA betting trends & analysis
Rohit Ponnaiya

The Denver Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league ATS at home and one of the worst teams ATS on the road, and the play of center Nikola Jokic has reflected that.

With the NBA taking a break for the All-Star game now is the perfect time to look back on the first two-thirds of the regular season for betting trends and see who have been some of the best teams to back - and to fade - this season.

Top Over Teams

San Antonio 36-22-1
Washington 35-22-1
Boston 34-24

Surprising San Antonio has been the best Over play in the league despite an average offense and defense. It might have something to do with being the top defensive team in the league last year and regressing to the middle of the pack this season. The second-best Over bet this season? The Washington Wizards who allow the second most points per game in the league.

Top Under Teams

Memphis 36-22-1
L.A. Lakers 34-22-1
Indiana 34-24

Memphis and Indiana both combine good defenses with anemic offenses and then throw in a dash of extremely slow pace to be two of the best Under bets in the league. The Lakers are a bit more of a surprise. L.A. sits smack dab in the middle of the league in scoring offense and are in the bottom-ten of the NBA in terms of how many points they allow, they even play at one of the fastest paces in the league, yet they are also a good bet to hit the Under.

Best ATS Teams at home

Sacramento 21-8-1
Dallas 20-9
Denver 20-9

Yes Sacramento plays like kings when on their home court. Part of that success is their ability to win the games they are supposed to. The Kings have gone a very impressive 8-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Worst ATS Teams at home

Atlanta 8-18
New York 9-16-2
Chicago 11-18

The Hawks, Knicks and Bulls are three of the worst teams in the league and it doesn't get any better for them at home. If you're wondering if these teams can cover the spreads that are usually against them, the answer is usually no.

Best ATS teams on the road

Milwaukee 17-10-2
Brooklyn 18-11
Miami 18-11

Milwaukee's performance away from home is one of the reasons they currently have the best record in the league. The Nets and Heat might not be quite as good but they have also been road warriors for bettors.

Worst ATS teams on the Road

Washington 9-21
Houston 10-18
Denver 10-18

Interestingly the Nuggets are the third-best ATS team at home and the third-worst ATS team on the road. Part of the reason has been the play of Nikola Jokic who scores 2.6 fewer points, grabs 1.9 fewer rebounds and dishes out 1.3 less assists when playing away from Denver. Something to keep in mind when betting on his player props.

Best ATS Teams overall

Milwaukee 34-20-3
Dallas 35-22
Sacramento 34-22-1

No big surprises here with the best ATS team on the road and the two best ATS teams at home taking the top spots.

Be wary of backing Dallas for the remainder of the season though. The Mavs are 1-3 SU and ATS over their last four games and should have a much harder time winning games without DeAndre Jordan and Harrison Barnes who were both jettisoned at the trade deadline.

Worst ATS Teams overall

Phoenix 25-34
Golden State 24-32-1
Toronto 25-33-1

Now this might be a bit of a shocker. The two teams with the best odds to make the NBA Finals have the second and third-worst ATS records in the league. Suffice to say the oddsmakers might be setting the lines a bit too high for the Raptors and Warriors, making it difficult for them to cover the spread.

**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:42 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 21

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MIAMI (26 - 30) at PHILADELPHIA (37 - 21) - 2/21/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 130-101 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 150-114 ATS (+24.6 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (11 - 48) at CLEVELAND (12 - 46) - 2/21/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a division game this season.
PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (34 - 23) at BROOKLYN (30 - 29) - 2/21/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 79-61 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 76-60 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (37 - 21) at MILWAUKEE (43 - 14) - 2/21/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 89-65 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 145-111 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-43 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 61-42 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 420-488 ATS (-116.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 55-91 ATS (-45.1 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 384-462 ATS (-124.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 206-253 ATS (-72.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-7 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (33 - 24) at LA LAKERS (28 - 29) - 2/21/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 107-70 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (30 - 27) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 16) - 2/21/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 75-56 ATS (+13.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-87 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:43 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 21

Embiid is out here. Miami lost six of its last eight games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six visits to Philly. Under is 10-5 in Miami’s last 15 games. 76ers won three of its last four games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine home games. Six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Sixers won their last four games with Miami; Heat is 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Suns lost their last 15 games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Cleveland lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-3 as a favorite this year, 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games went over. Phoenix lost its last seven games with the Cavaliers; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to Cleveland. Three of last four series games went over the total.

Portland lost three of its last five games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Brooklyn lost five of its last seven games; they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six home games. Nets’ last four games went over the total. Trailblazers won eight of their last ten games with the Nets; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Brooklyn. Five of last six series games went over.

Milwaukee won eight of its last nine games; they covered their last seven road games. Bucks’ last three games stayed under. Boston won seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won nine of last ten Celtic-Buck games; Boston is 2-2 vs spread in its last four trips to Milwaukee. Eight of last ten series games went over total.

Houston split its last eight games; they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Lakers lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-4 vs spread in last seven games at Staples. Three of their last four games went over the total. Rockets won eight of last nine series games; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Houston is 2-2 vs spread in last four series games played here.

Kings won six of their last seven games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Golden State won 16 of its last 18 games; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five home games. Over is 10-6 in their last 16 games. Warriors won their last four games with Sacramento, but Kings covered six of last eight series games. Sacramento covered its last four visits to Oakland.

**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 09:44 AM

NBA

Thursday, February 21

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Trend Report
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Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Phoenix's last 18 games when playing Cleveland
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing Phoenix
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Miami Heat
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games
Miami is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Portland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Portland's last 14 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Portland
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Boston Celtics
Boston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 19 games
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Boston
Milwaukee is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Boston
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

Houston Rockets
Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing LA Lakers
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
LA Lakers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Lakers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Sacramento's last 18 games
Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Sacramento is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Sacramento is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Golden State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Golden State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento

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**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 11:12 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 21

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
February 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
115.988
Philadelphia
121.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+7 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
February 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
107.216
Cleveland
104.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 2 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 1
218
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+1); Over

Portland @ Brooklyn

Game 505-506
February 21, 2019 @ 7:31 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
124.398
Brooklyn
114.468
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1); Over

Boston @ Milwaukee

Game 507-508
February 21, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
119.203
Milwaukee
127.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
228
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-5); Under

Houston @ LA Lakers

Game 509-510
February 21, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.629
LA Lakers
110.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2
233
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-2); Under

Sacramento @ Golden State

Game 511-512
February 21, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.569
Golden State
128.842
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 16 1/2
244
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
239
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-21-2019, 11:32 AM

Thursday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Houston (-2.5, 233) at L.A. Lakers, 10:35 ET, TNT

Rockets point guard Chris Paul says he “forgot about” the incident with Rajon Rondo back on Oct. 20 that resulted in a skirmish. The new Lakers’ floor general was ruled to have spit on Paul, whether by accident or intentionally, and ended up suspended for two games while Paul was shelved for one after both threw punches.

Three months later, Houston and L.A. will square off again at Staples Center as NBA action resumes after the All-Star break. The teams have seen one another twice at the Toyota Center since that early-season start, resulting in a pair of high-scoring Rockets’ victories, only one of which came in a game LeBron James participated in. Rondo missed both games and Paul only played once, so Thursday night’s contest will certainly be a reunion.

Adding to the party will be the return of Rockets center Clint Capela, who will be back in the lineup for the first time since Jan. 13 after undergoing thumb surgery. James Harden, Paul and Capela, Houston’s “Big Three,” will be on the court together for the first since Dec. 20. Considering Harden has made no secret that he’s grown weary of the hero-ball act that has helped keep the Rockets afloat while his most talented teammates have been on the mend, Capela’s return couldn’t come at a better time.

Although he shot just 4-for-13 and finished with only eight points in the All-Star Game, Harden’s run of 30-point games remains intact at 31 games, tying Wilt Chamberlain’s second-longest streak in league history. The NBA’s leading scorer (36.6 ppg), Harden has played through shoulder issues and some knee soreness, but has legitimately strapped the Rockets to his back in order to keep them in position for a top-four seed in the Western Conference. As action starts back up, Houston leads the Southwest Division by a game over the Spurs and is just one game back of the Trail Blazers for the No. 4 seed.

The Lakers are one game below .500 for the first time since Nov. 7, on the outside looking in as far as the West playoff race is concerned. L.A. is playing at Staples for the first time since facing off against their co-tenants, the Clippers, back on Jan. 31. The Grammy Awards displaced them for weeks, resulting in a 1-4 stretch that has closed with a demoralizing 117-113 loss in Atlanta on Feb. 12, adding the Southeast Division’s cellar dweller to a list of teams they’ve had no business losing to. If the Lakers ultimately miss the playoffs, you’ll be able to point to setbacks against the Hawks, Knicks, Cavs, Grizzlies and Wizards as to why. The Orlando Magic have swept them.

While the Lakers haven’t made the playoffs since 2013, James has reached the postseason 13 straight years, last missing out back in 2005, his second season as a pro. He says he’s already “activated” playoff-level intensity, declaring himself about 90 percent despite lingering concern that the groin strain that resulted in the longest injury-related absence of his career isn’t fully healed.

“I fall in love with being uncomfortable. This is another uncomfortable thing for me and I love it,” James said on Wednesday. “My level of intensity has to be (high), unfortunately for me because I don’t like to do it at such an early time. I’m a little bit different, but it’s been activated.”

After hosting Houston, the Lakers close February with a home-and-home against the Pelicans sandwiched around a trip to Memphis to face the depleted Grizzlies. All of those games are winnable, so it’s important L.A. hits the ground running considering March’s schedule looks far more daunting.

The Rockets have won all three meetings against the Lakers this season, averaging 129.3 points per game. Harden has averaged 44.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists, so he’ll be looking for another big night to help fuel a sweep that would be only their second over L.A. in franchise history (2015-16). Although Capela is back, Houston isn’t at full strength since trade deadline acquisition Iman Shumpert will miss this week’s action due to knee soreness.

L.A. point guard Lonzo Ball remains out with an ankle issue, but wing Josh Hart (knee) and newly acquired stretch-four Mike Muscala (ankle) will be available. Backup center Tyson Chandler is listed as questionable due to a stiff neck.

Expect James to be surrounded by Brandon Ingram, JaVale McGee, Rondo and another new acquisition, shooter Reggie Bullock, who the Lakers picked up from Detroit in exchange for rookie shooter Svi Mykhailiuk and a second-round pick.

All three meeting between these teams have resulted in games that have surpassed the posted total. The first number was the largest (238), while the most recent meetings have each seen the total close under 230, so tonight’s figure should be the second-highest involving these teams this season. The ‘over’ is 5-2-1 in Rockets’ games since Jan. 29 and is 3-1 in Lakers’ games. L.A. has seen at least 225 points scored in its games in 10 of its past 12, an indication the team’s defense has left much to be desired.

Houston visits Golden State on Saturday night and is in the midst of a stretch where it is playing six of eight away from home, closing with visits to Boston and Toronto. While Mike D’Antoni has his team largely back intact, they’re maybe an adjustment period in place since Paul and Capela will still be getting to know guys like Austin Rivers and Kenneth Faried, who were signed to help fill in while they were out. The Lakers are hoping a little rust can help their cause as they look to avoid their 30th loss of the season. L.A. is 1-5 SU and ATS as a home underdog, beating only Denver on Oct. 25.

Best of the Rest

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 p.m. ET: Sixers center Joel Embiid is dealing with knee soreness that is expected to keep him out for at least a week, so the Heat won’t have to deal with Philadelphia’s All-Star big man, its leading scorer and rebounder. Miami, tied for eighth in the Eastern Conference with Detroit and just a half-game back of Charlotte for the Southeast Division lead, may also have starting point guard Goran Dragic back in the mix as he looks to return from a knee injury that has limited him to seven games since November and has kept him out since Dec. 12. Athletic forward Derrick Jones, Jr. is also expected to return after practicing fully, so the Heat should be at full strength as they attempt to snap a four-game losing streak in Philadelphia. The ‘under’ has hit in six of the last eight 76ers games.

Portland at Brooklyn, 7:35 p.m. ET: Damian Lillard is legitimately questionable with a left ankle sprain, which means the Trail Blazers may be opening back up for business without their lone All-Star. Portland is opening up a seven-game stretch of road games and will have played just three of 16 games at Moda Center by the time March 16 rolls around. If Lillard can’t go, C.J. McCollum will become the primary ball handler and Evan Turner, Seth Curry and Rodney Hood will be in line for more minutes. The Blazers signed center Enes Kanter to backup Jusuf Nurkic and should have him debut tonight. The Nets remain without injured sixth man Spencer Dinwiddie (finger), but are otherwise back at full strength with wings Rodions Kurucs (elbow), Jared Dudley (hamstring) and Treveon Graham (personal) all available for minutes. Emerging standout Caris LeVert and shooter Allen Crabbe are back in the mix. The ‘over’ has connected in nine of 12 involving Portland and in four straight Nets’ games. Portland has won eight of 10 over Brooklyn but the teams haven't played since Nov. 2017.

Boston at Milwaukee, 8:05 p.m. ET: Giannis Antetokounmpo was headed to his first All-Star Game MVP trophy before his team collapsed, but he’s still an MVP frontrunner driving the team with the NBA’s top record. Although he appeared on the injury report with knee soreness, the “Greek Freak” will be out there for this Eastern Conference showdown. Kyrie Irving, who has been in and out of the lineup with his own knee issues, will also play and start, while backup Terry Rozier (illness) will be in the mix as well. The Bucks have won eight of nine and 14 of 16 overall, while the Celtics are 12-3 over their last 15. Gordon Hayward sprained his ankle during a Tuesday workout and is considered “day to day,” while rookie center Robert Williams may be back in the lineup. Nikola Mirotic, acquired from the Pelicans at the trade deadline, is expected to make his team debut after healing from a calf injury. This will be the only meeting of the season between the teams in Milwaukee, so the Celtics will be playing at Fiserv Forum for the first time. The teams split game on Nov. 1 and Dec. 21, with the Bucks winning the most recent meeting 120-107. Both games have gone ‘over.’

Sacramento at Golden State, 10:35 p.m. ET:The Warriors will be extending DeMarcus Cousins’ minutes, so we’re going to get a clearer indication of what to expect from their new-look group over the next few months. Cousins will be facing his former team for the first time, squaring off with ex-teammates Willie Cauley-Stein and Kosta Koufos. The Kings have a winning record, ranking ninth in the Western Conference as they look to make the playoffs for the first time since ’06, having struggled throughout the Cousins’ era. Golden State leads the West again, so this could be a potential preview of a first-round series. The Dubs have won the first three meetings between the teams, although Sacramento has covered each time. The Kings have lost by one point, five points and four points and actually swept last season’s meetings in Oakland, so they’ve played the defending champs tough of late. Former Warrior Harrison Barnes has been handed a major role upon his arrival from Dallas, while Sacramento also picked up guard Alec Burks and veteran defensive wing Corey Brewer, so this should be a fun, wide open affair. Golden State is looking to avoid consecutive losses for the first time in 2019. The ‘under’ is on a 14-2-1 run in Kings games.

**StarDust Bum** · 02-21-2019, 02:14 PM

Hoop Trends - Thursday
February 21, 2019
By Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The 76ers are 14-0 ATS (+8.25 ppg) as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockets are 0-11 ATS (-8.27 ppg) on the road when the line is within three of pick with rest and they are facing a team that is averaging more than 30 points per game from threes.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 13-0 OU (+14.69 ppg) with more than two days of rest after a game in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 0-19 OU (-12.26 ppg) as a road dog with rest off a win as a dog when they are facing a team that is getting less than 25 percent of their rebounds on the offensive end.

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/21

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/21

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