Announcement

**Udog** · 02-18-2019, 09:34 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Seton Hall 81, Creighton 75— Pirates ended game on a 14-2 run.

— Michigan State 62, Ohio State 44- Spartans ended game on a 20-2 run.

— Quinnipiac 107, Siena 100, 3OT— Cameron Young scored 55 for the Bobcats; Jalen Pickett scored 46 for the Saints.

— St John’s 71, Villanova 65— Wildcats led this game 26-9 early on, but then……

— Jordan Spieth was 10-over par on his first 11 holes Sunday. Yikes.

— Free agent 3B Mike Moustakas signed a one-year, $9M deal with Milwaukee.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Conference tournament trends…..

With only two weeks before conference tournaments start, here is some research I did one night while all of you were sleeping…….

13) ACC:
— Six different teams have won the last seven ACC tournaments, with Virginia only team to win twice.
— North Carolina has been in ACC final 6 of last 8 years, but is 1-5 in those finals.
— Last six years, the higher seed is 5-1 in the ACC final.

12) Atlantic 14:
— Lower-seeded team won last five A-14 tourney finals.
— Last time the #1 seed won the A-14 tournament was six years ago.

11) Big 14:
— #1 seed won this conference tournament six of last seven years.

10) Big X:
— Last six years, Kansas was this tournament three times, Iowa State won three times.
— West Virginia lost tournament final the last three years; they won’t get there this year.

9) Big East:
— Villanova won three of last four tournaments, and lost final in the other one.

8) Big Sky:
— Last four years, four different teams won tournament; they were all the #1 seed.

7) Big West:
— Last eight years, eight different teams won this tournament, including one team (Pacific) that isn’t in the league anymore. Riverside/Northridge are only two teams that haven’t won the Big West tournament during that time.

6) CAA:
— Last eight years, seven different teams won this tournament.
— Last five years, tournament was winner was #1 seed or tied for 1st during season
— #1 seed won only once in last six tournaments
— Since 2003, Hofstra is 11-15 in this event, going 0-2 in tournament finals.

5) Horizon:
— Last five years, five different teams won this tournament.
— #1 seed won only one of those five tournaments.

4) MAAC:
— Iona won the last three MAAC tournaments.
— Last time the #1 seed won this tournament: 2010.

3) MAC:
— Buffalo won this tournament three of last four years.

2) MVC:
— #1 seed won this tournament four of last five years.

1) Mountain West:
— Last five years, five different teams won this event, none of them UNLV.
— Last 10 years, Rebels are 10-10 in this tournament; only once in last seven years has UNLV won two games in same tournament.

**Udog** · 02-18-2019, 09:35 AM

Monday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

ESPN’s Big Monday in college basketball kicks things off with a in-state ACC rivalry between No. 4 Virginia and No. 22 Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. The backend of this doubleheader is a Big 12 battle between Kansas State and the West Virginia Mountaineers in Morgantown.

As a bonus matchup on Monday night in the Big Ten, Illinois will be on the road in Madison to face the No. 20 Wisconsin Badgers.

No. 4 Virginia Cavaliers at No. 22 Virginia Tech Hokies (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia -5, Total 122

Betting Matchup

The Cavaliers had their hands full against Notre Dame on Saturday in a tight 60-54 win at home as heavy 16 ½-point favorites. They improved to 10-2 straight-up in ACC play with both losses coming against Duke.

Virginia slipped to 1-4 against the spread in its last five games with the total staying UNDER in four of those contests. With the exception of those two losses to the Blue Devils, the Cavaliers’ defense has not allowed more than 65 points in any of its other 10 conference games.

Virginia Tech came up well short in its first game against its bitter in-state rival on Jan. 15 in a 81-59 road loss to Virginia as a 7 ½-point underdog. It has been an up and down ride ever since with a SU 6-3 record over its last nine games while going just 4-8-1 ATS in 13 ACC matchups.

The total went OVER 130 points in Saturday’s 70-64 win against Pittsburgh as six-point road favorites. It has gone OVER in four of the Hokies’ last six games. They are only allowing an average of 61.1 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- The Cavaliers have gone 8-1 ATS in nine road games this season and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games played on the road.

-- The Hokies are 13-1 SU at home this season with an 8-6 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in eight of those 14 home games.

-- Virginia as a SU 7-3 record against the Hokies in the last 10 meetings, but Virginia Tech has the slight 6-4 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of those 10 games.

No. 18 Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Kansas State -8, Total 132

Betting Matchup

Kansas State is still holding down the top spot in the Big 12 by a half game at 9-3 SU, but it is coming off a 78-64 loss to Iowa State on Saturday as a 2 ½-point home favorite. This was just its second loss in its last 11 games both SU and ATS. The total went OVER 131 points in Saturday’s setback and it has gone OVER in the Wildcats’ last five outings.

They are 19-6 SU overall with a 14-11 record ATS. This includes a 5-8 record ATS on their home court. Senior forward Dean Wade left the game against Iowa State with a foot injury. He is the team’s second-leading scorer (13.6 PPG) and its leading rebounder with 6.6 a game.

West Virginia remains tied for last in the conference standings at 2-10. This includes a 71-69 road loss to Kansas State on Jan. 9 as a four-point underdog. More recently, the Mountaineers were hammered by Kansas 78-53 as heavy 14 ½-point road underdogs.

The total stayed UNDER 144 ½-points in Saturday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. West Virginia is 1-6 both SU and ATS in its last seven games. It has failed to score at least 70 points in seven of its last nine contests.

Betting Trends

-- The Wildcats are 6-3 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in six of those nine games.

-- The Mountaineers have failed to cover in three of their last five games at home with the total going OVER in three of those five contests.

-- West Virginia has won eight of the last nine meetings SU before this year’s road loss to Kansas State. The Mountaineers have covered the closing number in six of its last 10 games against the Wildcats.

Illinois Fighting Illini at No. 20 Wisconsin Badgers (FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Wisconsin -11 ½, Total 135

Betting Matchup

Illinois extended its current SU winning streak to four games with Thursday’s 63-56 road win against Ohio State as an eight-point underdogs. It has been able to cover the closing number in four of its last six games with the total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in four of those contests.

The Fighting Illini are 10-15 SU overall with a 6-8 record in the Big Ten. They have gone 2-6 SU and 5-3 ATS on the road this season.

The Badgers are coming off back-to-back losses (SU and ATS) to Michigan on the road and Michigan State at home to fall to 9-5 SU in conference play. They are 17-8 SU overall with a 14-11 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER 131 ½ points in Tuesday’s 67-59 loss to the Spartans and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of Wisconsin’s last 11 games.

It also stayed UNDER 137 ½ points in the Badgers’ 72-60 road win against Illinois on Jan. 23 as 4 ½-point favorites. With 20 points against Michigan State, senior forward Ethan Happ has now scored at least 18 points in three of his last four starts.

Betting Trends

-- The Fighting Illini have covered in four of their last five games closing as underdogs. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last eight road games.

-- The Badgers are 10-3 SU at home this season and they have covered in three of their last four games in Madison. The total stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in each of their last four home games.

-- Wisconsin has dominated this series over the past 10 meetings at a perfect 10-0 SU while covering in nine of those matchups. The total went OVER in six of the 10 games

**Udog** · 02-18-2019, 09:39 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 18

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VIRGINIA (22 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (20 - 5) - 2/18/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 3-2 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (10 - 15) at WISCONSIN (17 - 8) - 2/18/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (19 - 6) at W VIRGINIA (10 - 15) - 2/18/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 4-2 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (17 - 8) at OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 16) - 2/18/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 164-208 ATS (-64.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO (4 - 20) at E WASHINGTON (9 - 15) - 2/18/2019, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
IDAHO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
IDAHO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
IDAHO is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 3-2 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 18

Virginia won six of last seven games but struggled vs Notre Dame Saturday; they’re 3-1 as a road favorite this year. Virginia made 13-24 on arc, led 44-22 at halftime of a 81-59 home win over Va Tech Jan 15; teams split their season series the last three years. Cavaliers lost two of last three visits here, but won 78-52 here LY. Tech is 5-1 in ACC home games, with only loss to Louisville. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Virginia covered 10 of last 12 games as an ACC road favorite; last five years, Hokies are 17-3 as an ACC home underdogs (0-0 this year).

Wisconsin won 72-60 at Illinois Jan 23, Badgers’ 14th win in a row over Illinois, which lost its last seven visits to Madison, all by 9+ points, five by 14+. Illini won its last four games after a 6-14 start; they’re 1-5 on Big 14 road, losing by 15-8-2-24-11 points, with win at Ohio St. Wisconsin lost its last two games (scoring 52-59 points0 after starting 9-3 in league; they’re 4-3 SU at home in conference. In Underwood era, Illini is 7-8 as a Big 14 road underdog, 4-3 this year; Badgers are 5-7 in last dozen games as a home favorite, 2-4 this year.

Kansas State beat West Virginia 71-69 at home Jan 9, after being down 21 early in second half; K-State was +11 (17-6) in turnovers that nite. Mountaineers won eight of last ten series games; KSU lost its last five visits here, by 10-4-15-19-38 points. Long trip for K-State after home loss to Iowa St Saturday; Wildcats won five of last six on road. WVU lost 11 of last 13 games; they lost four of six Big X home games. Long trip Last four years, Wildcats are 4-1 as a Big X road favorite, 1-0 this year; WVU is 9-11 in last 20 games as a home favorite, 0-2 this year.

TCU outscored Oklahoma State 20-11 over final 5:28 of their 70-68 home win over the Cowboys Feb 6; Horned Frogs won last three series games, by 13-20-2 points, but they lost five of last six visits to Stillwater, winning 79-66 here LY. TCU lost its last two games, is 5-7 in Big X, 1-5 on road, with only win at Iowa St. OSU lost five in rows eight of last nine games; they’re 2-5 in last seven home games, beating Texas, South Carolina. Under Dixon, TCU is 2-1 as a Big X road favorite; Cowboys are 5-7 in last dozen games as a home underdog, 1-4 this year.

Idaho lost 16 of its last 17 games, but the win was 74-71 at home over Eastern Washington Jan 3; Vandals were up 43-23 at the half- they made 10-19 on arc that night. Idaho won five of last seven series games, but lost three of last four visits to Cheney, losing by 3-14-7 points. Vandals lost its last 10 games; they were off Saturday, while EWU was beating Northern Colorado in OT Saturday. Eagles have won their last six home games. Idaho is 10-15 in last 25 games as a road underdog, 1-4 this year; Eagles are 19-11 in last 30 games as a home favorite, 3-1 this year.

NCAAB

Monday, February 18

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Trend Report
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Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Virginia
Virginia is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Virginia is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games at home

Idaho @ Eastern Washington
Idaho
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Idaho's last 5 games when playing Eastern Washington
Idaho is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games at home

Illinois @ Wisconsin
Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin
Illinois is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois

TCU @ Oklahoma State
TCU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of TCU's last 6 games
TCU is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against TCU
Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against TCU

Kansas State @ West Virginia
Kansas State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games
Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
West Virginia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas State

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**Udog** · 02-18-2019, 10:23 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 18

TCU @ Oklahoma State

Game 857-858
February 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
65.676
Oklahoma State
60.371
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 5 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 3
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-3); Over

Kansas State @ West Virginia

Game 855-856
February 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
70.404
West Virginia
56.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 14
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 7 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(-7 1/2); Over

Illinois @ Wisconsin

Game 853-854
February 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
61.871
Wisconsin
76.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 14 1/2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 11
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-11); Under

Idaho @ East Washington

Game 859-860
February 18, 2019 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
35.094
East Washington
51.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 16 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 14
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Washington
(-14); Under

Virginia @ Virginia Tech

Game 851-852
February 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
78.180
Virginia Tech
69.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 9
117
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 5 1/2
122
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-5 1/2); Under

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/18

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/18

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