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**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:40 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Hofstra 99, Charleston 95— Pride is 12-1, has a 2-game lead in CAA.

— Furman 67, NC-Greensboro 57— Spartans fall two games behind Wofford in SoCon.

— Gonzaga 73, LMU 60— Lions played well, played their hearts out, but lost by 13.

— Utah 83, Arizona 76— Parker Van Dyke was 7-10 behind the arc.

— Murray State 73, Austin Peay 71— Governors’ tying hoop was split-second after the buzzer.

— Omaha 85, South Dakota State 84— Mavericks hit a contested baseline jumper at the buzzer for the win.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

13) In the first 7.5 months of legalized sports gambling in New Jersey, a total of $1.63B was wagered; how much did those people also spend on restaurants/shopping while they were out gambling in the Garden State? It is time for New York State to wake up and legalize sports wagering.

12) 76ers are a combined 1-7 against Toronto, Milwaukee and the Celtics, which doesn’t bode well for the Eastern Conference playoffs this spring.

11) Denver Broncos’ Super Bowl odds before the Flacco trade: 60-1
Denver Broncos’ Super Bowl odds after the Flacco trade: 60-1

The guy who is the head of the Westgate SuperBook is a Broncos’ fan, by the way.

10) Saw a video on Twitter the other day of a woman throwing a chair off a 45th story balcony along a busy downtown Toronto street; now that woman is facing charges, She is charged with mischief endangering life, mischief endangering property and common nuisance.

I’m watching this video and thinking “Why would someone do this?” Luckily, no one got hurt; if there had been a car accident and someone died, thats criminally negligent homicide, right?

9) Golfer Matt Kuchar apparently paid his caddy $5,000 during his win at the Mayakoba Classic last fall, where he won $1.3M. Thats a 0.38% tip. Not good.

Going rate for caddies is 10% if the player wins, which obviously would be $130,000.

The caddy is not Kuchar’s normal caddy; he offered the guy an additional $15,000 later on, which the caddy (for some reason) turned down.

Weird story that basically makes Kuchar look like a cheap bastard.

8) Lot of times, I rattle on in this space about things I think should happen, and it is just me typing stuff that has no chance of ever happening, but every once in a while……..

Late last month, the San Diego Padres informed MLB that starting in 2020, they’ll have new uniforms, and those uniforms’ main colors will be brown and gold!!!!!

This is excellent, the Padres returning to their Nate Colbert/Randy Jones roots, when they had very cool uniforms. Can’t wait to see them.

7) Donald Trump played golf with Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods couple weeks ago after not having left Washington since Thanksgiving; you know he had to have been practicing golf somewhere. Least surprising news ever: There is a golf simulator in the White House, where you can play simulated “rounds” on courses all over the world.

The new $50,000 simulator replaced an older one that President Obama used in the White House. Stressful job, the president needs an outlet to release his frustrations, and just to have fun with.

6) San Francisco Giants signed Gerardo Parra to a minor-league deal, which could be a signal that they’re out of the Bryce Harper sweepstakes, seeing how Parra is a lefty-hitting OF, just like Harper.

5) Oregon Ducks’ football team fired DC Jim Leavitt this week; he was making $1.75M after Willie Taggart wanted to bring him to Florida State, but Oregon boosters were mad at Taggart because he used one of their planes to fly to a job interview with FSU, so they overpaid Leavitt to prevent him from going to the Seminoles.

4) Mississippi State DT Jeffery Simmons, projected to be a top 15-pick in the NFL Draft, suffered a knee injury during training that is thought to be a torn ACL. Simmons was already not invited to the NFL Combine; he was seen on video in 2016 striking a woman.

3) Utah’s great point guard John Stockton missed a total of 22 games in his entire 19-year career, so I’m guessing he didn’t need “maintenance days” when the Jazz had games on consecutive nights.

2) Unusual fact that annoys me a little; I pay for the NBA Full Court package, so I can see every NBA game live, but when games are re-broadcast late at night, those games get blacked out on the local cable channels, except for Knicks/Nets and anything on NBA TV. Since I’m paying a decent amount of money, shouldn’t I be able to watch those replays?

I do not have the NHL package, but their late night replays aren’t blacked out, I can watch any of those games I want to- it makes no sense. Too bad I like basketball better than hockey.

1) Last three NFL teams who appeared on HBO’s Hard Knocks went a combined 16-31-1 that season; all three of those coaches have been fired, two during the season where they were on Hard Knocks. Of course, those two coaches were also breaking in rookie QB’s that year.

This year, looks like the final five are: Lions, Redskins, Raiders, Giants, 49ers. We’ll be seeing a lot of one of those teams next summer on HBO, and I’m guessing they’re saving the Raiders for 2020, when they move to Las Vegas.

**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:42 AM

Friday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Buffalo (-2 ½, 156) at Toledo – 7:00 PM EST – ESPNU

Two of the top three teams in the Mid-American Conference hook up on Friday night as both these clubs have eyes on the NCAA tournament. Buffalo (21-3 SU, 13-9-1 ATS) turned heads in last season’s Big Dance by dispatching fourth-seeded Arizona, 89-68 before losing by 20 points to Kentucky in the second round. However, the Bulls are looking to take that next step in the tourney next month, but look to get on track from an ATS standpoint.

The Bulls started MACtion at 5-0, but are 4-2 in the last six games to own a 9-2 conference mark, tying them for the top spot in the Eastern division with Bowling Green. Buffalo has burned bettors lately by putting together a 2-6 ATS mark in the past eight contests, as the Bulls failed to grab a cover as an eight-point road favorite at Akron in Tuesday’s 76-70 victory. CJ Massinburg scored 21 points in the win for Buffalo, as the Bulls have slipped to a 1-4 ATS mark in their last six road affairs.

Toledo (20-4 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) enters Friday’s contest atop the Western division at 8-3, while being the only team on that side of the MAC owning a winning conference record. The Rockets are riding a five-game winning streak, while posting an 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS mark in the last nine contests since getting blown out at Buffalo on January 8. The most recent victory for Toledo came in last Saturday’s 78-71 triumph at Bowling Green to hand the Falcons their second conference loss.

Circling back to Buffalo’s 110-80 rout of Toledo last month, the Bulls opened up a 13-point halftime lead before grounding the Rockets in the second half, 65-48 to easily cash as 9 ½-point favorites. Jeremy Harris posted a career-high 34 points for Buffalo, as the guard has scored 34 points total in the last three games combined. The Rockets own a 4-2 ATS record in the underdog role this season, while receiving points for the first time in 2018-19 at home.

St. Joseph’s at Davidson (-11, 134 ½) – 7:00 PM EST – ESPN2

Three teams have racked up nine wins in Atlantic 10 play, as one of those squads takes the court on Friday. Davidson (18-6 SU, 13-10 ATS) sits atop the league at 9-2, tied with VCU and one-half game ahead of George Mason. The only two A-10 losses suffered by the Wildcats came by one point at St. Joseph’s and a three-point setback at UMass.

St. Joseph’s (11-14 SU, 9-16 ATS) has been a disappointment in conference play at 4-8, but one of those victories took place as a 4 ½-point home underdog against Davidson on January 15 in a 61-60 upset. The Hawks erased a five-point halftime deficit by outscoring Davidson, 35-29 in the second half, capped off by Chris Clover’s go-ahead three-pointer with 1:03 remaining to hand the Wildcats their first conference loss.

The Hawks destroyed Saint Louis last Friday by 30 points as a short home underdog, but St. Joe’s couldn’t capitalize off that upset as it lost, 76-51 to St. Bonaventure on Tuesday at home. Phil Martelli’s team has struggled on the road in conference play by posting an 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS mark with the lone cover coming in an 85-84 setback at Duquesne as 2 ½-point underdogs on January 12.

Davidson owns a 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS ledger as a double-digit favorite this season, while failing to cover as 15-point chalk in a 73-62 home win over George Washington last month. St. Joe’s has been listed as an underdog of more than 10 points only once this season, losing to Big 5 foe and defending national champion Villanova, 70-58 as 11 ½-point ‘dogs on December 8.

Friday Night MAACtion

Following an 0-12 start to the season, Monmouth (10-16 SU, 14-12 ATS) has an opportunity to qualify for the NCAA tournament. How is that possible? The Hawks have caught fire in MAAC play by posting a 9-4 mark to sit in first place of the league as they seek their first ever Big Dance berth. Monmouth seeks its fifth straight win as it travels to Rider (12-13 SU, 6-19 ATS), who is on a free-fall of late. The Broncs jumped out to a 7-1 MAAC record before losing five straight, while failing to cash in nine consecutive games. The latest meltdown came in Tuesday’s 98-88 overtime setback at Quinnipiac as the Broncs squandered a seven-point lead with under 30 seconds remaining in regulation.

Canisius (11-13 SU, 11-13 ATS) sits in a second-place tie in the MAAC with Quinnipiac at 8-4 as the Golden Griffins are fresh off back-to-back road wins at Rider and St. Peter’s. The Golden Griffins return home to host Fairfield (7-18 SU, 9-14-2 ATS), who has failed to bust the 50-point mark in three of the last four games. Canisius won at Fairfield last month as three-point underdogs, 73-68, as the Griffins try to improve on a 2-3 home record in the league. The Stags are in the midst of a nine-game UNDER streak, while Fairfield seeks its second road MAAC win six tries this season.

Just like Monmouth, Iona (9-15 SU, 6-18 ATS) started slowly in non-conference play with a 2-9 record. However, the Gaels have put together a 7-6 mark in the MAAC, while coming off consecutive victories over Niagara and Siena by a combined eight points. Prior to those two wins, Iona lost games by one, two, and four points, so this team is a few bounces away from being atop the MAAC. Iona hosts St. Peter’s (6-17 SU, 9-14 ATS), as the Peacocks have won only once in 13 tries on the highway this season. The Peacocks have dropped five straight games, while being limited to 60 points or less in each of those defeats.

Quinnipiac (13-10 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) has heated up lately by winning five of its last six games, including the dramatic comeback late in regulation to stun reeling Rider on Tuesday, 98-88 in overtime. The Bobcats have covered in each game during this three-game hot streak, all in the underdog role. QU is listed as a favorite for only the second time in the last seven contests in Friday’s home contest with Marist (10-14 SU, 12-11-1 ATS). The Red Foxes are looking to avenge a 92-78 home loss to Quinnipiac last month, while Marist has won each of its last two games against Canisius and Niagara.

Niagara (11-14 SU, 13-12 ATS) is going backwards of late by losing three consecutive games, including a 79-76 defeat at Iona as seven-point underdogs on Sunday. The Purple Eagles host Manhattan (7-17 SU, 12-12 ATS), who have played better since a 2-11 start to the season. Included in their last five wins since January 5 is a 90-80 triumph as 2 ½-point home underdogs against Niagara, the fifth victory in the previous six meetings. The Jaspers have covered four straight games and six of their past eight contests, but own a 1-4 road record in the MAAC.

**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:45 AM

Weekend Watch
YouWager

NCAA Weekend Watch (2/16/19)

Who's Hungry for Sandwich Spots?

While revenge was on the menu last week, only one of the four teams mentioned were able to get it done. Only the Michigan Wolverines – who were the biggest favorites to do so – managed to get revenge over a conference rival for a previous loss last Saturday, with Kentucky, Tennessee, and Duke all earning season sweeps over their respective foes. It's situational spots like those that pop up a lot as February draws closer to March, and this Saturday's slate of games is more about potential letdowns and/or trap games for teams.

Outside of the big Tennessee/Kentucky matchup on Saturday, there aren't too many games pitting quality rivals against one another. Those games come in bunches next week, meaning that there are plenty of good teams in some potential bad sandwich spots this week against lesser foes. I'll be outlining a few of those in a minute here, as these ranked squads know they've got bigger things to deal with on the horizon, and it will be interesting to see how the respond to that type of scenario on Saturday.

How tasty will this trip to Wake Forest be for UNC? After Virginia, and prior to Duke

North Carolina at Wake Forest - 12:00 p.m. ET

On paper, giving North Carolina a road trip to Wake on Saturday should see the Tar Heels become a popular betting choice regardless of what the point spread turns out to be. Wake is just 2-9 SU in conference play and have been priced as home underdogs in every ACC game so far this year. That won't change this weekend, and while Wake is a bad team that's hard to make an argument for, they do have the benefit of hosting UNC in what is essentially a fully loaded sandwich spot.

UNC came up short in their home date with Virginia on Monday night, as they couldn't take advantage of a tough turnaround spot the Cavaliers were in that day. The loss snapped a seven-game winning streak for UNC (5-2 ATS), and after needing OT to dispatch of Miami a few days earlier, you knew UNC was looking ahead to that game with Virginia and they couldn't produce.

This weekend the Tar Heels don't have the benefit of being at home against a bad team, and for as much as Wake has struggled in conference play this year, both wins have come at home. UNC will be expected to win by a large margin on paper, but covering a big number is likely going to be tough if the Tar Heels come into this game with one eye looking back to Virginia and the other one looking forward to Duke.

Granted UNC should win this game straight up even if they bring their “B” or “C” game to the party, but I wouldn't put it past the Demon Deacons cashing the ATS ticket should the number be rather larger. Wake closed as a +20.5 underdog at home vs Duke, and +9.5 underdog at home vs Louisville, and I do expect this number to be much closer to that Duke spread in the end. If that's the case, looking at taking all those points with Wake is probably the better way to go.

Will Duke finally get caught in a bad spot? After huge comeback win vs Louisville, and prior to UNC

NC State vs. Duke - 6:00 p.m. ET

Speaking of Duke and Louisville, the Blue Devils staged an incredible comeback win over the Cardinals on Tuesday night as they continue to find ways to win games amidst this very tough stretch in their own schedule. The Blue Devils return home on Saturday night to host a NC State team that's taken a step back of late with a 4-4 SU record in their last eight games, but the Wolfpack are a talented team in their own right, and if they get going on offense, trading blow for blow with Duke won't be a concern from NC State's perspective.

Like Wake Forest, NC State will likely be catching plenty of points in this unfavorable spot for their opponent, as Duke has to have an eye on their first meeting with UNC on deck too. Considering how remarkable and emotional that comeback was in Louisville, just a few days after beating Virginia in Virginia, the question about Duke's gas tank being near empty has got to be asked.

A home game – where Duke is expected to win “easily” would be the perfect spot for the Blue Devils to relax a bit and recharge those gas tanks in the middle of this brutal stretch – and it makes it hard to want to back the Blue Devils as any significant chalk on Saturday.

Does LSU get caught between big games? After win @ Kentucky, before games vs Florida, and Tennessee

LSU vs. Georgia - 6:00 p.m. ET

The blue bloods in the ACC aren't the only teams in undesirable betting spots on Saturday, as the LSU Tigers have their own road game to be concerned about as well. LSU is coming off that controversial road win @ Kentucky this week, and now heads to Georgia to try and knock off a Bulldogs team that is considerably better than their 1-10 SU conference record would suggest.

This game has a lot of similarities to the UNC/Wake game mentioned earlier, as Georgia is sitting in 2nd last place in the SEC and has become a team the rest of the conference expects to roll over when they see them. Given LSU just beat the #5 team in the country on the road, expectations for LSU have grown significantly since that win on Tuesday. Considering the Tigers have a 10-1 SU record in SEC play and their only loss came on a buzzer beater as well, expectations (and likely this spread) were already quite high.

And while Florida may not strike the same fear in opponents in terms of looking ahead to the Gators as that program has in the past, LSU knows their next three games (all at home) are likely going to be the biggest factor in determining whether they can with the conference crown this season. Georgia isn't going to demand that same type of attention/focus from LSU – especially with a 10-point win over the Bulldogs already in the Tigers pocket, and it's not like LSU hasn't shown vulnerability on the road this year.

Yes, there was the road win in Kentucky, but three of LSU's other five road wins in SEC play all needed OT to be decided. The Tigers also closed as underdogs in three of those five road victories, and even their trip to Texas A&M – a comparable foe to Georgia – saw the Tigers close as just a five-point favorite. Having won that game by 15, and adding road wins @ Mississippi State and Kentucky to their resume since then, there should be a sense of urgency to avoid a letdown here.

**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 15

Northern Kentucky @ Wright State

Game 865-866
February 15, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Kentucky
56.977
Wright State
59.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 3
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 1
140
Dunkel Pick:
Wright State
(-1); Over

Troy @ Georgia Southern

Game 863-864
February 15, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
44.245
Georgia Southern
56.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 12
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 10
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(-10); Over

Marist @ Quinnipiac

Game 875-876
February 15, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
46.514
Quinnipiac
54.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Quinnipiac
by 7 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Quinnipiac
by 3 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Quinnipiac
(-3 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Toledo

Game 877-878
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
67.543
Toledo
63.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4 1/2
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 2 1/2
156
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-2 1/2); Over

Fairfield @ Canisius

Game 873-874
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
41.645
Canisius
47.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 6
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 4 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(-4 1/2); Under

Manhattan @ Niagara

Game 871-872
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Manhattan
40.968
Niagara
48.887
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Niagara
by 8
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Niagara
by 5 1/2
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Niagara
(-5 1/2); Over

St Peter's @ Iona

Game 869-870
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Peter's
42.119
Iona
48.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 6 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 8 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(+8 1/2); Over

Monmouth @ Rider

Game 867-868
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
47.577
Rider
46.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 1
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 8
140
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+8); Over

Brown @ Cornell

Game 861-862
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
53.826
Cornell
53.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brown
by 1
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cornell
by 1
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+1); Under

South Alabama @ Georgia State

Game 859-860
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
49.183
Georgia State
53.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 4 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 8 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+8 1/2); Under

Harvard @ Princeton

Game 857-858
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Harvard
55.246
Princeton
53.530
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 1 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Princeton
by 2
127
Dunkel Pick:
Harvard
(+2); Under

Yale @ Columbia

Game 855-856
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Yale
56.900
Columbia
50.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 6 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 9
145
Dunkel Pick:
Columbia
(+9); Under

St Joseph's @ Davidson

Game 853-854
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Joseph's
48.078
Davidson
61.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Davidson
by 13 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Davidson
by 10 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Davidson
(-10 1/2); Over

Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania

Game 851-852
February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
45.790
Pennsylvania
57.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pennsylvania
by 12
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 8 1/2
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pennsylvania
(-8 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:49 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DARTMOUTH (11 - 11) at PENNSYLVANIA (14 - 8) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 103-138 ATS (-48.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 103-138 ATS (-48.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DARTMOUTH is 3-1 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 2-2 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST JOSEPHS (11 - 14) at DAVIDSON (18 - 6) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAVIDSON is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIDSON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YALE (15 - 4) at COLUMBIA (6 - 14) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
YALE is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
YALE is 94-63 ATS (+24.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 95-63 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
YALE is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 2-1 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-0 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARVARD (11 - 8) at PRINCETON (12 - 7) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
HARVARD is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
PRINCETON is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
HARVARD is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 4-0 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 2-2 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (12 - 13) at GEORGIA ST (17 - 8) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
S ALABAMA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
S ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 4-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 4-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (14 - 8) at CORNELL (12 - 10) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 3-1 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 3-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (11 - 13) at GA SOUTHERN (15 - 10) - 2/15/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
TROY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TROY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 3-3 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 4-2 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N KENTUCKY (20 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (15 - 11) - 2/15/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
N KENTUCKY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-3 against the spread versus N KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
N KENTUCKY is 4-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONMOUTH (10 - 16) at RIDER (12 - 13) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONMOUTH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
RIDER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
RIDER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
RIDER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
RIDER is 86-119 ATS (-44.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 86-119 ATS (-44.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
RIDER is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
RIDER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
RIDER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
RIDER is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
RIDER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-2 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 3-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST PETERS (6 - 17) at IONA (9 - 15) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
IONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
IONA is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in February games since 1997.
IONA is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
IONA is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-3 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 6-0 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MANHATTAN (7 - 17) at NIAGARA (11 - 14) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MANHATTAN is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
NIAGARA is 65-93 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-1 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 4-1 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (7 - 18) at CANISIUS (11 - 13) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARIST (10 - 14) at QUINNIPIAC (13 - 10) - 2/15/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
QUINNIPIAC is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MARIST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (21 - 3) at TOLEDO (20 - 4) - 2/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
TOLEDO is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUFFALO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:50 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 15

Buffalo scored 65 points in 2nd half of 110-80 waxing of Toledo Jan 8; Bulls made 15-30 on arc that night. Buffalo won last three series games, by 10-10-30 points; teams split last six meetings played here. Bulls are 9-2 in MAC, splitting last four road games; they’re shooting 58% inside arc in MAC play. Toledo won its last five games, is 8-3 in MAC, winning last four home games. MAC teams are shooting only 45% inside arc vs Toledo. Bulls are 6-9 vs spread in last 15 MAC road games, 2-4 this year; last five years, Toledo is 18-25 vs spread at home, 3-2 this year.

Dartmouth lost four of first five Ivy games, last four of which were at home; Big Green is 2-6 in true road games, with wins at teams ranked #269/299- they’re 1-7 vs teams ranked in top 200. Penn won four of its last six games; they’re 2-4 in ivy, losing only home game by 9 to Princeton. Dartmouth/Penn split their last six meetings; Big Green lost seven of last eight games in the Palestra- they won 76-74 here two years ago. Dartmouth is 7-8 vs spread in last 15 Ivy road games, 1-0 this year; Quakers are 6-9 in last 15 Ivy home games, 0-1 this year.

Davidson got upset 61-60 at St Joe’s Jan 15, after jumping out to an early 14-4 lead; home side won four of five series games. Hawks lost their two visits here, by 6-29 points. St Joe’s is 4-8 in A-14, 0-5 on road, losing by 26-1-11-11-14 points. Hawks are shooting only 44.8% inside arc in A-14 games. Davidson won six of its last seven games; they’re 9-2 in A-14, winning all five home games, by 4-7-13-11-15 points. St Joe’s is 21-11-1 in its last 33 games as an A-14 road underdog, 1-2-1 this year; since joining A-14, Wildcats are 24-13 as home favorites, 3-2 this year.

Yale is 10-1 since losing at Duke Dec 8; Bulldogs are 5-1 in ivy, 2-1 on road, winning at Brown, Dartmouth, losing at Harvard. Yale is 6-3 overall in true road games. Columbia lost its last four games, is 1-5 in ivy, losing last two home games, to Penn/Princeton. Yale won its last six games with Columbia, winning last five visits here, by 3-4-16-9-10 points. Underdogs covered last three series games. Bulldogs are 19-11-1 vs spread in last 31 Ivy road games, 2-1 this year; under Engles, Columbia is 8-9 vs spread in Ivy home games, 1-2 this year.

Harvard won five of last six games, is 4-2 in Ivy, losing only road game by 18 at Dartmouth. Crimson is 3-6 overall in true road games this season- they’re turning ball over 23.1% of time in Ivy games. Princeton lost its last two games after a 12-5 start; Tigers are 4-2 in Ivy, winning only home game in OT over Penn. Harvard/Princeton split their last six meetings; they also split last six meetings played here. Harvard is 8-5-2 in last 15 Ivy road games, 0-1 this year; Tigers are 10-12 against the spread in last 22 Ivy home games, 1-0 this year.

Georgia Southern made 10-19 on arc in 90-82 win at Troy Jan 17; Eagles won six of last eight series games. Trojans lost last three visits to Statesboro, by 5-1-4 points. Troy lost five of its last six games; they’re 4-8 in Sun Belt, losing last four road game, by 6-5-6-14 points. GSU split its last six games; they’re 7-5 in Sun Belt, 3-2 at home, losing to Louisiana/Tex-Arlington. Troy is 11-6 n its last 17 games as a Sun Belt road underdog, 2-2 this year; GSU is 5-7 against the spread in its last dozen games as a home favorite, 2-3 this year.

Cornell won five of its last seven games, is 4-2 in Ivy League, 2-1 at home, with only loss in OT to Princeton- they’ve made 38.2% of their 3’s in ivy games. Brown lost four of its last six games, is 1-2 in Ivy home games; their 54.7 EFG% defense is worst in Ivy games. Big Red is 2-7 this season vs teams ranked in top 200. Cornell won four of last five games with Brown, which lost three of last four visits to Ithaca, with losses by 8-4-5 points. Brown is 21-14-2 in its last 37 Ivy road games, 1-2 this year; Big Red is 6-4 vs spread in last 10 Ivy home games, 1-2 this year.

Georgia State outscored South Alabama 6-2 over final 1:39 of its 69-66 win in Mobile Jan 17; Panthers survived a 15-27 mess on foul line that night. State is 9-2 in Sun Belt meetings; Jaguars lost all five visits here, by 20-28-15-1-15 points. USA is 3-7 in its last ten games; they’re 1-4 on Sun Belt road, losing by 1-29-4-10 points. GSU is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 14-4 start; they’re 5-1 at home in SB, losing to Texas State. USA is 24-18 in last 42 games as a Sun Belt road underdog, 3-1 this year; State is 22-19 in last 41 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.

Northern Kentucky beat Wright State 68-64 at home Jan 11, in brickfest where teams combined to go 9-37 on arc. Norse is 4-2 vs Wright in Horizon meetings, splitting pair of visits here. NKU is 10-3 in Horizon, losing last two road games, at IUPUI/Ill-Chicago- they’re shooting 38.1% on arc in league games. Raiders won three in row, seven of last eight games; they won their last five home games, after losing Horizon home opener to UIC. Last four years, NKU is 17-16 vs spread on Horizon road, 2-4 this year; Raiders are 5-9-1 in last 15 home games, 3-3 this year.

Monmouth outscored Rider 12-2 over final 3:58 of a 75-71 home win over the Broncs Feb 2; Hawks survived 20 turnovers (-2) in the win. Monmouth won six of last eight series games; they won three of last four visits here. Hawks are 10-16 after starting season 0-12; they’re 3-4 on MAAC road, winning last two road games, at St Peter’s/Fairfield. Rider lost its last five games after starting out 7-1 in MAAC; they’re 4-2 SU at home, but are 0-6 vs spread as a home favorite this season. Hawks are 5-11 vs spread in last 16 MAAC road games, 3-4 this year.

Saint Peter’s lost its last five games, is 3-8 in MAAC, 1-5 on road, with only win at Niagara. Iona won last two games, is 7-6 in MAAC, 5-2 at home, losing to Siena/Quinnipiac by total of three points. Iona won its last eight games with Saint Peter’s, beating Peacocks in last two MAAC tourneys; Peacocks lost their last eight visits to New Rochelle, but last five were by 3-7-6-3-4 points. SPC is 17-9 vs spread in last 26 games as a MAAC road underdog, 3-3 this year; last five years, Iona is 14-25-2 as a MAAC home favorite, 3-3 this year.

Manhattan made 13-22 on arc in 90-80 win over Niagara Jan 5; Purple Eagles led that game by 14 with 14:07 left to play. Jaspers won five of last six series games, but they lost three of last four visits here. Home teams won eight of last nine series games. Manhattan won three of last four games; they’re 1-4 on MAAC road, with all four losses by 13+ points. Niagara lost its last three games, giving up 80.7 ppg. Manhattan is 7-13 in last 20 games as a MAAC road underdog, 2-3 this year; Eagles cover eight of last nine games as a home favorite (3-1 this year).

Canisius shot 58% inside arc, won 73-68 at Fairfield Jan 19; Griffins are 7-3 in last ten series games. Fairfield won two of its last three visits here. Fairfield lost seven of last nine games; they’re 4-9 in MAAC, 1-5 on road, with only win at Marist. Canisius won six of its last eight games; they’re 8-4 in MAAC, but only 2-3 at home- their last four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT. Stags are are 3-8 in last 11 games as a MAAC road underdog, 2-3 this year; under Witherspoon, Canisius is 10-7-1 as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

Quinnipiac made 15-32 on arc in 92-78 win at Marist Jan 25; Bobcats are 8-4 in series games- Red Foxes are 0-5 at Quinnipiac, losing by 5-12-26-1-14 points. Marist won three of last four games, is 5-7 in MAAC, 3-4 at home; they’re making 40.1% of their MAAC 3’s. Quinnipiac won five of its last six games; they’re 8-4 in MAAC, 4-2 at home, losing to Canisius/Niagara. Bobcats are 13-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Marist is 8-4 in last dozen games as a road underdog, 2-1 this year; under Dunleavy, Bobcats are 3-5 as a home favorite, 2-3 this year.

**Udog** · 02-15-2019, 09:53 AM

NCAAB

Friday, February 15

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Trend Report
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Yale @ Columbia
Yale
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbia
Yale is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbia
Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbia's last 6 games when playing Yale
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbia's last 5 games

Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania
Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pennsylvania
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dartmouth's last 5 games on the road
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Dartmouth
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games

Harvard @ Princeton
Harvard
Harvard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Princeton
Harvard is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Princeton
Princeton is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Harvard
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games when playing at home against Harvard

Monmouth @ Rider
Monmouth
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games when playing Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games on the road
Rider
Rider is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
Rider is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Monmouth

Saint Joseph's @ Davidson
Saint Joseph's
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Saint Joseph's's last 16 games
Saint Joseph's is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Davidson
Davidson
Davidson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Davidson is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Brown @ Cornell
Brown
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brown's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brown's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cornell
Cornell
Cornell is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cornell is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Fairfield @ Canisius
Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 5 games when playing Canisius
Canisius
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Canisius's last 5 games when playing Fairfield
Canisius is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Saint Peter's @ Iona
Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iona
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saint Peter's's last 23 games on the road
Iona
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Peter's
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's

Manhattan @ Niagara
Manhattan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Manhattan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Niagara
Manhattan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Niagara
Niagara
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
Niagara is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Manhattan

Buffalo @ Toledo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Buffalo is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

South Alabama @ Georgia State
South Alabama
South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games when playing Georgia State
Georgia State
Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Alabama
Georgia State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home

Marist @ Quinnipiac
Marist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 6 games when playing Quinnipiac
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist's last 5 games on the road
Quinnipiac
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 6 games when playing Marist
Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Northern Kentucky @ Wright State
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wright State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Troy @ Georgia Southern
Troy
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games when playing Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing at home against Troy
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing Troy

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**StarDust Bum** · 02-15-2019, 02:16 PM

Friday's Tip Sheet
February 14, 2019
By Kevin Rogers

Buffalo (-2 ½, 156) at Toledo – 7:00 PM EST – ESPNU

Two of the top three teams in the Mid-American Conference hook up on Friday night as both these clubs have eyes on the NCAA tournament. Buffalo (21-3 SU, 13-9-1 ATS) turned heads in last season’s Big Dance by dispatching fourth-seeded Arizona, 89-68 before losing by 20 points to Kentucky in the second round. However, the Bulls are looking to take that next step in the tourney next month, but look to get on track from an ATS standpoint.

The Bulls started MACtion at 5-0, but are 4-2 in the last six games to own a 9-2 conference mark, tying them for the top spot in the Eastern division with Bowling Green. Buffalo has burned bettors lately by putting together a 2-6 ATS mark in the past eight contests, as the Bulls failed to grab a cover as an eight-point road favorite at Akron in Tuesday’s 76-70 victory. CJ Massinburg scored 21 points in the win for Buffalo, as the Bulls have slipped to a 1-4 ATS mark in their last six road affairs.

Toledo (20-4 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) enters Friday’s contest atop the Western division at 8-3, while being the only team on that side of the MAC owning a winning conference record. The Rockets are riding a five-game winning streak, while posting an 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS mark in the last nine contests since getting blown out at Buffalo on January 8. The most recent victory for Toledo came in last Saturday’s 78-71 triumph at Bowling Green to hand the Falcons their second conference loss.

Circling back to Buffalo’s 110-80 rout of Toledo last month, the Bulls opened up a 13-point halftime lead before grounding the Rockets in the second half, 65-48 to easily cash as 9 ½-point favorites. Jeremy Harris posted a career-high 34 points for Buffalo, as the guard has scored 34 points total in the last three games combined. The Rockets own a 4-2 ATS record in the underdog role this season, while receiving points for the first time in 2018-19 at home.

St. Joseph’s at Davidson (-11, 134 ½) – 7:00 PM EST – ESPN2

Three teams have racked up nine wins in Atlantic 10 play, as one of those squads takes the court on Friday. Davidson (18-6 SU, 13-10 ATS) sits atop the league at 9-2, tied with VCU and one-half game ahead of George Mason. The only two A-10 losses suffered by the Wildcats came by one point at St. Joseph’s and a three-point setback at UMass.

St. Joseph’s (11-14 SU, 9-16 ATS) has been a disappointment in conference play at 4-8, but one of those victories took place as a 4 ½-point home underdog against Davidson on January 15 in a 61-60 upset. The Hawks erased a five-point halftime deficit by outscoring Davidson, 35-29 in the second half, capped off by Chris Clover’s go-ahead three-pointer with 1:03 remaining to hand the Wildcats their first conference loss.

The Hawks destroyed Saint Louis last Friday by 30 points as a short home underdog, but St. Joe’s couldn’t capitalize off that upset as it lost, 76-51 to St. Bonaventure on Tuesday at home. Phil Martelli’s team has struggled on the road in conference play by posting an 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS mark with the lone cover coming in an 85-84 setback at Duquesne as 2 ½-point underdogs on January 12.

Davidson owns a 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS ledger as a double-digit favorite this season, while failing to cover as 15-point chalk in a 73-62 home win over George Washington last month. St. Joe’s has been listed as an underdog of more than 10 points only once this season, losing to Big 5 foe and defending national champion Villanova, 70-58 as 11 ½-point ‘dogs on December 8.

Friday Night MAACtion

Following an 0-12 start to the season, Monmouth (10-16 SU, 14-12 ATS) has an opportunity to qualify for the NCAA tournament. How is that possible? The Hawks have caught fire in MAAC play by posting a 9-4 mark to sit in first place of the league as they seek their first ever Big Dance berth. Monmouth seeks its fifth straight win as it travels to Rider (12-13 SU, 6-19 ATS), who is on a free-fall of late. The Broncs jumped out to a 7-1 MAAC record before losing five straight, while failing to cash in nine consecutive games. The latest meltdown came in Tuesday’s 98-88 overtime setback at Quinnipiac as the Broncs squandered a seven-point lead with under 30 seconds remaining in regulation.

Canisius (11-13 SU, 11-13 ATS) sits in a second-place tie in the MAAC with Quinnipiac at 8-4 as the Golden Griffins are fresh off back-to-back road wins at Rider and St. Peter’s. The Golden Griffins return home to host Fairfield (7-18 SU, 9-14-2 ATS), who has failed to bust the 50-point mark in three of the last four games. Canisius won at Fairfield last month as three-point underdogs, 73-68, as the Griffins try to improve on a 2-3 home record in the league. The Stags are in the midst of a nine-game UNDER streak, while Fairfield seeks its second road MAAC win six tries this season.

Just like Monmouth, Iona (9-15 SU, 6-18 ATS) started slowly in non-conference play with a 2-9 record. However, the Gaels have put together a 7-6 mark in the MAAC, while coming off consecutive victories over Niagara and Siena by a combined eight points. Prior to those two wins, Iona lost games by one, two, and four points, so this team is a few bounces away from being atop the MAAC. Iona hosts St. Peter’s (6-17 SU, 9-14 ATS), as the Peacocks have won only once in 13 tries on the highway this season. The Peacocks have dropped five straight games, while being limited to 60 points or less in each of those defeats.

Quinnipiac (13-10 SU, 14-8-1 ATS) has heated up lately by winning five of its last six games, including the dramatic comeback late in regulation to stun reeling Rider on Tuesday, 98-88 in overtime. The Bobcats have covered in each game during this three-game hot streak, all in the underdog role. QU is listed as a favorite for only the second time in the last seven contests in Friday’s home contest with Marist (10-14 SU, 12-11-1 ATS). The Red Foxes are looking to avenge a 92-78 home loss to Quinnipiac last month, while Marist has won each of its last two games against Canisius and Niagara.

Niagara (11-14 SU, 13-12 ATS) is going backwards of late by losing three consecutive games, including a 79-76 defeat at Iona as seven-point underdogs on Sunday. The Purple Eagles host Manhattan (7-17 SU, 12-12 ATS), who have played better since a 2-11 start to the season. Included in their last five wins since January 5 is a 90-80 triumph as 2 ½-point home underdogs against Niagara, the fifth victory in the previous six meetings. The Jaspers have covered four straight games and six of their past eight contests, but own a 1-4 road record in the MAAC.

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/15

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/15

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