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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, February 7

    Good Luck on day # 38 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Colorado 84, UCLA 73— Is possible both UCLA/Arizona jobs will be open soon.

    — TCU 70, Oklahoma State 68— JD Miller hit a tough runner at the buzzer for the win.

    — LSU 92, Mississippi State 88 OT— Really good game that felt like a March game.

    — Vermont 86, Maine 63— Vermont leads by a game in America East.

    — UNLV 83, Boise State 72— Rebels made 14-26 three-pointers.

    — Villanova 66, Creighton 59 OT— First meeting was 90-78; go figure. This game ended on a hoop that was well after the buzzer, but was allowed- that hoop covered the spread.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud

    13) MLB has suggested a rule requiring pitchers to face a minimum of three batters in each appearance, to lessen the tedious lefty/righty pitching changes that make the end of games drag out endlessly. In one game last year, a team used five relievers in one inning, with each pitcher facing one guy.

    12) Also looks like the DH could be in the NL soon, as soon as in this year or next, which makes the Mets’ acquiring Robinson Cano look better. The players’ union would like the DH to be put into place this season in the NL, probably because DH’s make a lot more money than the average player.

    Last season, pitchers batted .115 with a .144 on-base %age and .149 slugging %age in 4,524 at-bats.

    11) Big trade in the NBA late Tuesday night; Clippers traded Tobias Harris, Boban Marjanovic, Mike Scott to the 76ers for Landry Shamet, Wilson Chandler, Mike Muscala, a ’20 1st-round draft pick, ’21 unprotected 1st round pick and two 2nd round picks.

    Elton Brand is Philly’s GM, and he is being very aggressive in his trading.

    10) Kansas-Kansas State game Tuesday night was a joy to listen to; Jon Sciambi calling the action, with Stan Van Gundy/Chauncey Billups doing analysis. Really good team of guys, no screaming, no BS, they talked about basketball with enthusiasm and it was great.

    9) Tuesday night also was the 20th anniversary of the first time Mike Breen/Walt Frazier worked together on a Knicks’ telecast; they’re an excellent team.

    I was lucky enough to meet Walt Frazier at the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas a few years ago; he was friendly, enjoyed talking when he really had no reason to be nice to me, a stranger. He’s a good guy, a great ambassador for the NBA and the Knicks.

    8) Atlanta Falcons released 43-year old kicker Matt Bryant, who had two years left on his contract; he was 20-21 on FG’s this past season, and had been with the Falcons for the last decade.

    7) Odds to win the AAF, the new football league:
    5-2: Arizona Hotshots
    4-1: Salt Lake Stallions
    5-1: Atlanta, Orlando, San Antonio
    10-1: Birmingham, Memphis, San Diego

    Not sure how you come up with odds for a brand-new league, but they did.

    6) One thing that will be coming up soon that is a little odd; Conference USA has left the last four games of its teams’ conference schedules blank. After the games of Feb 16, the league will then schedule those games, with top teams playing each other, to increase all their power rankings, in hopes of getting an at-large (they ain’t getting one).

    Maybe the C-USA survivor will get a better NCAA seed; this is the first time this approach has been tried, so we’ll see how it works.

    5) Roger Staubach turned 77 this week; typing that made me feel old.

    He is my sleeper answer to the question: “If you had the ball on your 20 with 2:00 left, down 3, who would you want as your QB?” I’m not a Dallas fan, but he was a great player.

    4) Former Oklahoma football coach Bob Stoops re-emerged Wednesday as the coach/GM of the Dallas franchise in the XFL, a new league that will begin play in the spring of 2020.

    3) This is an interesting number: 40% of all men’s basketball players who enter Division I directly out of high school leave their first college by the end of their sophomore year.

    2) Damn, that happened fast; one of Kirk Herbstreit’s sons signed on to play DB at Clemson next season. I remember when Herbstreit would bring his kids on the College GameDay set, and they were all little kids. Time flies.

    1) Next year is the NFL’s 100th season, and it sounds like they’re going to start with a Packers-Bears Thursday night matchup in Week 1, the oldest rivalry in the league.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Thursday, February 7


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (25 - 28) at ORLANDO (22 - 32) - 2/7/2019, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA CLIPPERS (30 - 25) at INDIANA (35 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      INDIANA is 4-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (39 - 16) at ATLANTA (18 - 35) - 2/7/2019, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MEMPHIS (22 - 33) at OKLAHOMA CITY (34 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA LAKERS (27 - 27) at BOSTON (35 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN ANTONIO (32 - 24) at PORTLAND (32 - 21) - 2/7/2019, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PORTLAND is 74-58 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 1078-943 ATS (+40.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 149-115 ATS (+22.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
      SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2019, 02:46 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Thursday, February 7


        Today is the trade deadline so any deals made during the day could affect these games:

        Timberwolves lost four of their last five games, last two by total of 3 points; they’re 4-2 vs spread on road since the coaching change. Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Magic lost eight of their last 11 games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last six games went under. Minnesota won four of last five games with Orlando; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last three visits to central Florida. Four of last five series games went over.

        Clippers split their last six games; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games. Indiana won/covered its last three games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten home games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Pacers won/covered last four games with the Clippers; under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Clippers are 2-3 vs spread in their last five trips to Indiana.

        Raptors won 11 of last 14 games; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last dozen road games. Toronto’s last three games stayed under. Atlanta split its last 12 games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in their last six home games. 10 of their last 12 games went over. Toronto won its last six games with the Hawks (5-1 vs spread); Raptors are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Atlanta. Five of last six series games stayed under.

        Grizzlies split their last six games (5-0-1 vs spread); they’re 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Thunder won eight of its last nine games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. 12 of their last 14 games went over. Oklahoma City won its last seven games with Memphis (5-2 vs spread); over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Grizzlies covered once in their last five visits to Oklahoma.

        Lakers lost six of their last eight games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Boston won five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they’re 10-4 vs spread in last 14 home games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Lakers lost four of their last five games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston. Four of last five series games stayed under.

        San Antonio lost its last two games after a 5-0 run; they’re 3-4-1 vs spread if they played night before, 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Blazers won six of their last eight games, covered five of last seven home games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Spurs are 6-4 in their last ten games with Portland; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Eight of last ten series games went over.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Thursday, February 7


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Los Angeles Clippers
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Clippers's last 19 games
          LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 10 games on the road
          LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
          LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Indiana
          LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          LA Clippers is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          Indiana Pacers
          Indiana is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
          Indiana is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
          Indiana is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Indiana's last 24 games at home
          Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
          Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
          Indiana is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
          Indiana is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

          Minnesota Timberwolves
          Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 17 of Minnesota's last 24 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
          Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Minnesota is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games on the road
          Minnesota is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
          Minnesota is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Orlando
          Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          Minnesota is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          Orlando Magic
          Orlando is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 12 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
          Orlando is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
          Orlando is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
          Orlando is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Minnesota
          Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
          Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
          Orlando is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

          Toronto Raptors
          Toronto is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
          Toronto is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
          Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
          Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          Atlanta Hawks
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
          Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          Atlanta is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
          Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
          Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Toronto
          Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
          Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

          Los Angeles Lakers
          LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
          LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
          LA Lakers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
          LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Boston
          LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
          Boston Celtics
          Boston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
          Boston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
          Boston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games at home
          Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
          Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
          Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

          Memphis Grizzlies
          Memphis is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Memphis is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
          Memphis is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
          Memphis is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
          Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
          Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Memphis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City Thunder
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
          Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Memphis
          Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

          San Antonio Spurs
          San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
          San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games
          San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          San Antonio is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
          San Antonio is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Portland
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Portland
          San Antonio is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Portland
          San Antonio is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Portland
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
          Portland Trail Blazers
          Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
          Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
          Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games at home
          Portland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          Portland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
          Portland is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against San Antonio
          Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio
          Portland is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against San Antonio
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2019, 02:49 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Thursday, February 7



            Minnesota @ Orlando

            Game 573-574
            February 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            117.651
            Orlando
            116.219
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 1 1/2
            216
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Orlando
            by 2
            218
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (+2); Under

            LA Clippers @ Indiana


            Game 575-567
            February 7, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Clippers
            115.779
            Indiana
            119.802
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Indiana
            by 4
            223
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Indiana
            by 6
            217
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Clippers
            (+6); Over

            Toronto @ Atlanta


            Game 57-58
            February 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            124.396
            Atlanta
            112.476
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 12
            241
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            by 9
            231
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (-9); Over

            Memphis @ Oklahoma City


            Game 579-580
            February 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            108.775
            Oklahoma City
            125.648
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 17
            202
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 14
            215
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma City
            (-14); Over

            LA Lakers @ Boston


            Game 581-582
            February 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Lakers
            110.030
            Boston
            124.598
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Lakers
            by 14 1/2
            222
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 7 1/2
            224 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Boston
            (-7 1/2); Under

            San Antonio @ Portland


            Game 583-584
            February 7, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Antonio
            115.213
            Portland
            122.674
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            by 7 1/2
            230
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Portland
            by 5 1/2
            227 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Portland
            (-5 1/2); Over
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2019, 02:50 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Inside the Paint - Thursday
              Chris David

              The NBA trade deadline takes place today at 3:00 p.m. ET and handicapping the card on this day is never easy, especially with 12 teams in action. I’d tread lightly with early wagers, knowing that anything can happen throughout the day. Let’s handicap the card.

              East hosts West

              Minnesota (25-28 SU, 26-27 ATS) at Orlando (22-32 SU, 27-26-1 ATS):
              The Timberwolves blasted the Magic 120-103 on Jan. 4 as four-point home favorites and the ‘over’ (214) connected. Including that win, Minnesota has won four of the last five against the Orlando and the high side has cashed in all of the victories. The T-Wolves have gone both 10-7 SU and 10-7 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season, which includes a 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS record on the road. The ‘over’ has cashed in nine straight games vs. the East for Minnesota.

              This is a tough spot for Orlando, who is coming off a 132-122 loss at Oklahoma City on Tuesday as a nine-point road underdog. After this game, they had back on the road for three more games. The Magic have won two straight at home and against solid opponents (Pacers, Nets) as well but they have haven’t fared well in non-conference games this season (6-17 SU, 9-14 ATS). At home, the club has gone 3-7 both SU and ATS while the ‘over’ is 7-3.

              Orlando opened as a one-point favorite and was quickly pushed to -2. As a home favorite, the Magic are just 6-6 this season, 5-7 ATS and that includes the two recent wins mentioned above versus Indiana and Brooklyn.

              L.A. Clippers (30-25 SU, 29-25-1 ATS) at Indiana (35-19 SU, 26-27-1 ATS):
              Tough game to handicap as the Clippers were involved in a trade on Wednesday morning, which sent Tobias Harris and a couple reserves to Philadelphia. L.A. improved to 2-1 on its current six-game road trip this past Tuesday with a 117-115 win at Charlotte as a three-point road underdog. Including that win, the Clippers have gone 11-8 both SU and ATS versus the East. Make a note that Los Angeles has gone 7-3 both SU and ATS on the road in non-conference games but the absence of Harris changes everything.

              After dropping its first four games without Victor Oladipo, the Pacers have won rebounded with three straight wins. Indiana has gone 10-9 SU and 9-10 ATS this season versus the Western Conference and that includes a 6-4 both SU and ATS mark at home. One of those wins came on Tuesday, a 136-94 blowout decision over the L.A. Lakers.

              This will be the first meeting between the pair this season. Indiana has won and covered four straight games in this series. The Pacers opened as four-point home favorites and now sit at -6 as of late this morning.

              Pending Domination?

              Barring any major trades, these games will likely have the largest spreads on Thursday and we could be looking at easy ‘chalk’ winners if recent head-to-head history holds.

              Toronto (39-16 SU, 24-30-1 ATS) at Atlanta (18-35 SU, 24-29 ATS):
              The Raptors have won six straight against the Hawks and they’ve covered five of those games. The pair met in Canada on Jan. 8 and Atlanta put forth a great effort but still fell to Toronto 104-101 as a 13 ½-point road underdog. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in the last six encounters. The Raptors as 10-point road favorites but the early money moved the line to Atlanta +9. The Hawks are coming off a solid road trip (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) but the first game back at home is never easy and they’ve been better away this season than at home (8-113 SU, 7-14 ATS).

              Memphis (22-33 SU, 24-30-1 ATS) at Oklahoma City (34-19 SU, 30-23 ATS):
              The Thunder have captured seven straight and nine of their last 10 meetings with the Grizzlies. Oklahoma City has gone 7-3 ATS during this span. Total bettors should note that the ‘over’ is on a 9-2 run in this series. Memphis is expected to be short-handed with center Marc Gasol resting and possibly other players involved in trades. The Thunder have gone 5-3 SU and 3-5 ATS when listed as a double-digit home favorite this season.

              TNT Action

              L.A. Lakers (27-27 SU, 23-29-2 ATS) at Boston (35-19 SU, 27-26-1 ATS):
              Both of these teams have been featured in trade speculation for the past week, more so the Lakers and their hopes of acquiring Anthony Davis from the Pelicans. Los Angeles was embarrassed 136-94 at Indiana on Tuesday and is now 1-2 since LeBron James returned to action and they currently sit on the outside of the playoffs.

              While the Lakers aren’t connecting, Boston has quietly won five straight and 10 of its last 11 games. The Celtics have gone 5-5-1 ATS during this run. At TD Garden, Boston has gone 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in its last 20 at home and the offense is averaging 119 points per game during this span, which has helped the ‘over’ go 13-7.

              Boston opened -7 ½ and the number was pushed to -9. The assumption is that the Lakers will likely pull off a major deal and be short-handed for this game.

              The Celtics (10-9 SU, 8-11 ATS) versus the West, 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS at home. While Boston has been pedestrian in non-conference matchups, L.A. has been awful for bettors versus the East, going 8-9 SU and 4-12-1 ATS. Outside of the Staples Center, the Lakers have gone 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS.

              Boston owns a 4-1 record in the last five games of this series, but Los Angeles has gone 3-2 ATS during this span while the ‘under’ is 4-1 during this span.

              This game is set to tip at 8:05 p.m. ET nationally on TNT.

              San Antonio (32-23 SU, 31-23-1 ATS) at Portland (32-21 SU, 29-24 ATS):
              The “Rodeo Road Trip” for the Spurs hasn’t started out well as the team was blasted by the Kings on Monday (127-112) before getting hammered 141-102 at Golden State last night. Even though the Spurs are facing a back-to-back spot on Thursday, they shouldn’t be too fatigued as they rested DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge in last night’s loss. After dropping its first six games of the season on no rest, San Antonio has won its last three games in this situation but two of them took place at home. The ‘over’ has gone 8-1 for the Spurs on no rest this season.

              Portland is coming off a rare 118-108 home loss on Tuesday to Miami, which dropped their record to 22-8 SU and 19-11 ATS at the Moda Center. Prior to that setback, the Trail Blazers had won eight straight (7-1 ATS) at home. Make a note that Portland hasn’t lost two straight at home this season and the early money moved the Blazers from 4 to 5 ½-point favorites for this game.

              Sticking with the home theme, the host has won and covered the last three meetings in this series, which includes both matchups this season and all three were decided by double digits. Portland captured a 121-108 win at the Moda Center on Oct. 20 before San Antonio avenged that loss with a 131-118 victory on Dec. 2.

              Total bettors should note that the ‘over’ is on an 8-2 run in this series and that includes four straight tickets to the high side.

              TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2019, 02:50 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends - Thursday
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

                -- The Lakers are 16-0 ATS (+12.41 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a loss and facing a team that is getting less than 25 percent of their rebounds on the offensive end.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                -- The Hawks are 0-11 ATS (-10.23 ppg) with rest off a win as a road dog when they lost four-plus straight vs their opponent.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (+21.23 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest when they are off a road loss and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Magic are 0-13 OU (-9.69 ppg) with rest off a double-digit loss as a road dog.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-07-2019, 02:51 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  By: Monique Vág



                  Trending towards the Under

                  The Under has been a great play for both the Clippers and Pacers with the Under cashing in 13 of the Clippers last 19 games, and nine of the last 10 on the road. Numbers have been similar for the Pacers with the Under hitting in four of their last five overall and 17 of their last 24 at home.

                  When these two teams meet up, the Under has hit in five of the last six at Bankers Life Fieldhouse with the average score over their last 10 games in the head-to-head 102-95 in favor of Indiana. Look for similar numbers today and back the game total Under 217.


                  Playing well in the head-to-head at home

                  The Magic are 2-point favorites as they host the Timberwolves. Minnesota have lost two straight games, and four of their last five and will be without Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, Robert Covington, and Tyus Jones.

                  Minnesota has struggled when playing Orlando posting a 6-14 record overall, and only winning one of the most recent 10 games on the road. With the Magic historically doing well in the head-to-head, back them as small 2-point home favorites.


                  Needing to take more shots

                  The Lakers travel to Boston to take on a Celtics team who have won nine of their last 10 games and have posted a 22-6 record on their home court this season.

                  Before his hip injury, Kyle Kuzma was shooting the ball exceptionally well. Since then he saw his shot attempts per game decrease and his minutes played as well. It is imperative he shoots the ball with success today, otherwise the Lakers could be on their way to a second straight blowout. Fortunately, this looks like a good bounce back game for Kuzma who logged 28 points in their final meeting last season and shot 10 of 16 overall including five of seven from beyond the arc.


                  Scoring with ease

                  The Raptors travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks as 9-point favorites. Toronto have won five of the last five in the head-to-head, and come in winning two straight. Atlanta have also won two in a row (against far worse opponents) but have not faired well on their home court this season winning only eight times.

                  The Hawks defensively give up the most points in the Association with 118.2, and opponents are shooting 47.6 percent from the floor. For a Raptors team that shoots the ball effectively and ranks as one of the best road teams, they should be able find a lot of success today. Take Over their team total of 120.


                  All-star on a roll

                  The Spurs got decimated last night versus the Warriors, however they were without DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge, and the score was expected as the Warriors were double digit favorites. Today San Antonio heads to Portland as 6-point underdogs.

                  The Spurs play their best when Aldridge is involved, and before sitting out last game for rest, Aldridge had scored 20 or more in six straight games, recording a double-double in four of those. Look for Aldridge to find success again today versus a Blazers team allowing opposing centers to score 21.9 points on 53.8 percent shooting and grab 13.9 rebounds per game. Back Over his points, rebounds, assists total today.

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