Announcement

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 08:50 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Virginia 66, NC State 65 OT— Cavaliers escape Raleigh with a win.

— Michigan 65, Ohio State 49— Buckeyes lost six of their last seven games.

— Alabama 83, Mississippi State 79— Teams combined to shoot 4-34 on arc.

— Wisconsin 62, Nebraska 51— Cornhuskers lost six of their last eight games.

— Clemson 82, Pittsburgh 69— Tigers led by 28 at halftime.

— Texas 73, Kansas 63— Jayhawks split their last eight games, lost last four of last five road games.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) Over the last ten years, of the 40 teams that made the Final Four, 39 of them were in the top 50 in country in defensive efficiency; VCU in 2011 was the exception.

Last three years, all 12 Final Four teams were in the top 30 in defensive efficiency, and 11 of those were in the top 20.

What I’m saying is this: When I fill out my bracket, I’m noting each team’s defensive efficiency next to their name, and will use that to help advance teams on my bracket.

Villanova is #83 in defensive efficiency this year; the last three years, the Wildcats were 5th, 11th, 12th- big difference.

12) Playing a fast tempo hasn’t been a trait of many Finals Four teams; only 8 of the last 40 Final Four teams were in the top 100 that year in tempo.

11) Talent means more than experience. Last four years, only 2 of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 100 in experience.

10) ESPN announced the end of Baseball Tonight, their nightly in-season highlight show.

Not really sure what direction ESPN is heading in here; there is already an NBA Network- they dropped the NHL a few years ago, their daytime programming is terrible. If you’re paying Mike Greenberg and Stephen A Smith serious money to babble on during the day but drop Baseball Tonight, its almost like you want to become a running joke.

9) Les Miles is in a new movie. This could be excellent.

Kansas’ new football coach has a role in a movie about the Challenger shuttle disaster with an unoriginal title: “The Challenger Disaster”. Miles plays one of the NASA chiefs.

My one memory of the Challenger mishap 33 years ago; my parents got a new TV that day, and when they turned it on for the first time, a replay of the Challenger exploding was the first thing we saw. Sad day.

8) Anthony Davis wants off the New Orleans Pelicans, because no NBA stars are content with being really, really rich, unless they can be placed on an already-contending team, too.

If the Pelicans do not trade Davis, he can’t get a max contract, but he’d still be really, really rich, and also the Pelicans would take a huge loss, personnel-wise. The question, what can they get in a trade for Davis?

7) USC hired North Texas OC Graham Harrell as its new offensive coordinator/QB coach; Harrell replaces Kliff Kingsbury, who he also replaced as Texas Tech’s QB back in his playing days. Kingsbury left USC after only 34 days, to become head coach of the Arizona Cardinals.

6) Toronto Blue Jays signed former Philly/Padre SS Freddy Galvis to a $4M, one-year deal with a club option for 2020.

5) At halftime buzzer of their game Saturday, kid on Hofstra made a shot from behind the opposite foul line; they measured the shot Monday, and it was officially 82 feet. Quite a toss.

4) Looks like Redskins’ QB Alex Smith is out for all of 2019 after breaking his leg, so seeing how Smith will be 35 in May and 36 in May 2020, seems like Washington will be looking a for a new QB this spring.

3) Three people I’d like to meet someday:
— Steve Martin, the great comedian
— Bill James, the father of baseball Sabermetrics
— A’s equipment manager Steve Vucinich, who has worked for the A’s for over 50 years.

2) Monday morning in Texas, thousands of people streamed into the Central Texas State Veterans Cemetery in Killeen to pay their final respects to Air Force veteran Joseph Walker, after it was reported that Mr Walker was going to be buried with no family present.

It was posted on Facebook that Mr Walker was going to be buried with no family/friends there, but what wound up happening instead was roughly 5,000 cars coming to thank Mr Walker for his service to our country— he served from 1964-68.

1) Doug Sirmons is a college basketball referee; here is his schedule from Jan 19-28. College basketball refs make a lot of money, and unlike NBA players, they’re obviously not averse to back-to-backs. Plus, they earn a lot of airline/rental car miles.

January 19: Kansas @ West Virginia
January 20: Duquesne @ George Washington
January 21: Marshall @ Western Kentucky
January 22: Texas Tech @ Kansas
January 23: Texas @ TCU
January 24: Tulsa @ Cincinnati
January 26: West Virginia @ Tennessee
January 27: Central Florida @ Memphis
January 28: Duke @ Notre Dame

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 09:03 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 30

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CHICAGO (11 - 40) at MIAMI (24 - 24) - 1/30/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 92-57 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (22 - 27) at NEW YORK (10 - 39) - 1/30/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 515-436 ATS (+35.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 190-144 ATS (+31.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (24 - 25) at BOSTON (31 - 19) - 1/30/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 85-62 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-45 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (20 - 31) at MINNESOTA (24 - 26) - 1/30/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 82-111 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (34 - 15) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 28) - 1/30/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (32 - 17) at WASHINGTON (21 - 29) - 1/30/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 76-60 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 59-76 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (16 - 33) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 25) - 1/30/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (29 - 22) at PORTLAND (31 - 20) - 1/30/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 73-57 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 09:04 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 30

Bulls lost 13 of last 14 games, are 5-4 vs spread in last nine road games, 3-3 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Heat is 5-4 in its last nine games, 3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Miami won six of its last seven games with Chicago; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bulls covered their last three visits to South Beach.

Mavericks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 11-3-2 in their last 16 games. New York lost its last ten games; they’re 2-9 vs spread in last 11 home games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Dallas won seven of last ten games with the Knicks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Five of last six series games stayed under.

Hornets won five of their last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Boston won six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Celtics won eight of last nine games with Charlotte; last three series games went over the total. Hornets are 0-4-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston.

Memphis lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last dozen road games. Last four Memphis road games went over. Minnesota is 5-5 since its coaching change; they covered one of last five home games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Grizzlies won five of last six games with the Timberwolves; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Minnesota. Six of last seven games stayed under.

Nuggets won five of their last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Pelicans lost five of their last seven games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last six Denver-New Orleans games; Nuggets lost last two trips to Bourbon Street, are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits there. Four of last five series games went over.

Indiana lost its first two games since Oladipo got hurt; they covered once in their last six away games. 11 of their last 15 games went over. Washington lost three of last four games; they’re 5-2 vs spread if they played night before. Three of their last four games went over. Pacers won three of last four games with the Wizards; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Washington. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Atlanta split its last eight games; they covered five of last six games, four of last five on road. Seven of their last eight games went over. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they covered last five home games- this is their first home game in 16 days. Under is 10-0-1 in their last 11 games. Home side won eight of last ten Hawks-Kings games; Atlanta covered once in its last four visits to Sacramento. Three of last four series games went over total.

Jazz won nine of its last ten games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Trailblazers won five of their last six games; they covered four of their last five home games. Five of their last six games went over. Utah/Portland split their last eight meetings; Jazz is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to Oregon. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 09:09 AM

NBA

Wednesday, January 30

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Trend Report
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Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Charlotte is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Charlotte is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Boston
Charlotte is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Boston is 11-2-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Heat
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Dallas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing New York
Dallas is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New York
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games at home
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
New York is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Dallas
New York is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Indiana is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana

Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 5-19 ATS in its last 24 games
Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 13 games
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 11 games on the road
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Minnesota's last 21 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games
Denver is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Atlanta Hawks
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Atlanta is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Atlanta is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta's last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Atlanta is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 11 games
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Sacramento's last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Sacramento is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Utah Jazz
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Utah's last 23 games
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Portland
Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Utah is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Utah's last 21 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Utah
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Portland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Portland's last 21 games when playing at home against Utah

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**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 11:12 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, January 30

Chicago @ Miami

Game 553-554
January 30, 2019 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111,583
Miami
122.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-9 1/2); Under

Dallas @ New York

Game 555-556
January 30, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
119.583
New York
113.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 6
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7
215
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+7); Over

Charlotte @ Boston

Game 557-558
January 30, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.724
Boston
130.167
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-7 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Minnesota

Game 559-560
January 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
113.005
Minnesota
117.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+5 1/2); Under

Denver @ New Orleans

Game 261-262
January 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
135.814
New Orleans
114.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 21
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8
227
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-8); Over

Indiana @ Washington

Game 563-564
January 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.893
Washington
115.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+1); Over

Atlanta @ Sacramento

Game 565-566
January 30, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
104.116
Sacramento
112.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 9
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 5 1/2
236
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-5 1/2); Over

Utah @ Portland

Game 567-568
January 30, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.663
Portland
121.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2); Under

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 11:13 AM

Wednesday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Utah at Portland (-1.5, 218.5), 10:35 ET, ESPN

Collectively, the top four teams in the NBA’s toughest division have won 14 consecutive games. The Nuggets and Thunder have separated themselves atop the Northwest, but the Trail Blazers and Jazz aren’t far behind and rank among the Western Conference’s top-eight rather comfortably, ranking fourth and seventh respectively entering Wednesday’s action.

This will be the fourth and final meeting of the season, so the rivals will be wrapping up early and will look to capture what could ultimately be a critical win that decides seeding once all 82 games are played.

Last season, a single game meant the difference between Portland winning the Northwest and finishing third in the conference and Utah failing to secure homecourt advantage as the No. 5 seed. Although the Jazz beat the fourth-seeded Thunder anyway and the Blazers were upset by the Pelicans in a sweep, head-to-head nevertheless played a huge role since Portland captured the final two regular-season encounters, the last of which came in a 102-93 victory in Game 82 on the final night.

The Jazz got revenge with a 120-90 rout in on Dec. 21 in their lone trip into Moda Center thus far and won at home on Christmas night 117-96 a few nights later. The Blazers pulled off a 109-104 upset on in Salt Lake City on Jan. 21 and will now look to avoid losing the season series against Utah for the first time since 2013 by matching Milwaukee for the most home victors in the NBA with 22. Only the Lakers have taken the floor in their arena more than the Blazers, who will be playing the second of a four-game homestand before hitting the road for a critical stretch between Feb. 10-March 16 that will see them play 12 of 15 outside Portland.

Guards Damian Lillard, C.J. McCollum and center Jusuf Nurkic have consistently produced for the Blazers, who are 11-4 since Dec. 30, having won five of the last six. The victory over the Jazz was the only one against a team with a winning record, secured in spite of a 36-point outburst from Utah guard Donovan Mitchell. Lillard finished with team-highs of 26 points, eight boards and eight assists while Nurkic added 22 points, eight rebounds, seven assists and six blocks as Portland rallied from a halftime deficit with a 39-point third quarter that was fueled by their Bosnian big man, who produced 17 points and four blocks in the 12 minutes coming out of the break.

Look no further than Nurkic’s matchup against Jazz center Rudy Gobert as the likely deciding factor tonight. The 7-foot-2 Frenchman held his counterpart to 8.5 points, 10 rebounds and three assists in the December meetings, holding him to 42.1 percent shooting. Nurkic has been much better thus far in 2019, averaging 17.0 points, 11.1 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 2.4 blocks this month. He put together a 24-point, 23-rebound, 7-assist, 5-block, 5-steal game on New Year’s Day in Sacramento but has slowed down over the last few weeks, shooting over 50 percent only once in his last eight games, posting just three double-doubles.

Gobert averaged 14.5 points, 12.5 boards and 4.5 blocks in Utah’s wins over the Blazers but shot just 4-for-10 with four turnovers in the Jan. 21 loss. He should be rested since he comes off his second lowest rebounding output of the season in grabbing just four boards in Sunday’s 125-111 rout in Minnesota, making seven of eight shots. The Jazz shot 71 percent in the second half against the Timberwolves, improving to 9-1 in their last 10 games, which is the NBA’s second-most prosperous run over that stretch, trailing only Golden State, which has won 11 in a row.

Only two of those games have been on the road, but Utah has managed to pick up victories in L.A. and Minneapolis and are now 14-13 in away games.

Mitchell has turned it up this month and is averaging 30.4 points and 6.1 assists over the last 10. He’s scored 28.1 points per game in January, finding a rhythm after a shaky start to his sophomore season out of necessity since the Jazz lost all three of their point guards to injuries and had no choice but to hand him the reins. Although Ricky Rubio has returned from a hamstring injury that cost him weeks, Mitchell has remained aggressive.

Rubio comes off his best game since coming back, finishing with 17 points and six assists against the Wolves to bolster the group. He was limited to only 14 minutes is his return to action after missing the better part of seven contests, so the Jazz will be able to count on him this time around after he was a key factor in the December wins, posting an average 19 points and seven assists on nearly 60 percent shooting despite wrestling with foul trouble.

Mitchell has shot just 37.5 percent in the three games against the Blazers, averaging 19.3 points. He shot 1-for-10 in the 30-point win on Dec. 21 but his 36 points 10 days ago, two off his season-high, came despite a 2-for-8 from beyond the arc. The runner-up in last season’s Rookie of the Year voting got to the line 12 times and should continue to be aggressive tonight as the 41 free throws he’s shot over the past four games is easily his high over any four-game stretch he’s had in ’18-’19.

Lillard, who played his college ball in Utah at Weber State, has averaged 21.7 points in the three games against the Jazz so far and should be well-rested after taking Saturday night off due to knee soreness and a bruised right hand he’s been playing through over the past few weeks. McCollum responded well to being the primary catalyst and put together his first career triple-double, finishing with 28 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. He’s averaged 26.3 points over the last three games as Portland has moved into the NBA’s top 10 in scoring (112.8 ppg).

The Jazz defense ranks third in point per game allowed (105.1) and fourth in defensive rating (104.8). The ‘under’ is 7-4 in Utah’s last 11 contests. The Trail Blazers have seen the ‘over’ prevail in five of their last six. The total opened at 218 and has been bet up to 218.5 at many sportsbooks.

Best of the Rest

Charlotte at Boston, 7:35 p.m. ET: Amid rumors that Kyrie Irving is having second thoughts about re-signing with Boston and may be interested in joining forces with LeBron James to chase championships and movie deals in L.A., the standout point guard is unlikely to suit up due to a hip strain. He had 25 points in a 119-103 win over the Hornets on Dec. 23. The Celtics are wrapping up a five-game homestand and didn’t have Irving available for Monday’s win over Brooklyn, registering a sixth victory in seven games. Terry Rozier should again fill in after finishing with 14 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. Boston tied a franchise record with 16 blocks in the win, led by Al Horford’s six rejections. The Hornets have won five of seven. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in the Celtics’ last five contests and 6-2 in Charlotte’s last eight. These teams have split their regular-season meetings thus far and will square off one last time on March 23.

Denver at New Orleans, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Pelicans come off an impressive upset of the Rockets on Tuesday night, cashing as a +900 underdog behind big games from guard Jrue Holiday and center Jahlil Okafor. We’ll see if reinforcements are in store on the second night of a back-to-back since forward Julius Randle, guard Elfrid Payton and wing E’Twaun Moore are all listed as questionable here. New Orleans beat Denver 125-115 on Nov. 17 behind Anthony Davis’ 40 points but may not see their superstar wear their uniform again since he’s issued a trade demand and is currently sidelined with a finger injury. The Nuggets will be without point guard Jamal Murray, who is nursing an ankle sprain, so Will Barton and Gary Harris will enjoy heightened roles. Denver’s 95-92 comeback win over Memphis on Monday marked the first time in seven games where the Nuggets failed to reach the century mark ending a 7-0 ‘over’ run. Despite all the attrition, the last three Pels’ games have surpassed the posted total.

Indiana at Washington, 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Pacers haven’t seen life without Victor Oladipo go smoothly as they come into D.C. losers of consecutive games for the first time since Dec. 18-19 after a 132-100 blowout home loss at the hands of Golden State on Monday. Indiana is opening a four-game road trip that takes them to Orlando immediately after this one for a game tomorrow night. It hasn’t dropped three in a row all season. Washington comes off a brutal road loss in Cleveland in a game where they trailed by as many as 25 points to a team that entered Tuesday night with the NBA’s worst record. The Wizards trimmed the deficit to three points before fizzling out on the last possessions but Scott Brooks kept his ineffective regulars on the bench for the entire fourth quarter, improving the team’s chances of pulling out a win here. Indy won the most recent meeting between these teams 105-89 on Dec. 23, outrebounding Washington 57-37. Getting worked on the boards has been a season-long issue for the Wizards. Tyreke Evans, who replaced Oladipo in the starting lineup, is questionable with a back issue.

Atlanta at Sacramento, 10:05 p.m. ET: These teams remain 1-2 in pace after residing atop the NBA in that metric for most of the season, so a track meet is expected in this rematch as this is by far the highest total on Wednesday, opening at 233 before being bet up to 236.5 and rising. The Kings won the first meeting in Atlanta 146-115 on Nov. 1 behind D’Aaron Fox’s 31 points, 10 rebounds and 15 assists as he got the better of rookie Trae Young. The Hawks are on the fourth leg of a season-long seven-game road trip and have defeated the Bulls and Clippers already while losing in Portland. Despite how fast the Kings operate, the ‘under’ is 10-0-1 in their games since Jan. 7. Sacramento is looking to avoid slipping under .500 after falling out of the Western Conference’s top eight.

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 01:14 PM

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Pacers are 14-0 ATS (+11.32 ppg) with rest off a loss as a dog when they are facing a team that is taking more than one-third of their shots from beyond the arc.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 0-15 ATS (-9.20 ppg) at home after a game as a road favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Jazz are 13-0 OU (+15.42 ppg) after a game as a road favorite in which they had six-plus double digit scorers and it is before the All-Star break.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Mavericks are 0-15 OU (-11.10 ppg) as a favorite off a home game.

**Udog** · 01-30-2019, 04:15 PM

By: Monique Vág

Can Celtics cover without Kyrie?

The Celtics have dominated the head-to-head with the Hornets, winning eight of the last 10 matchups, and covering the spread in 11 of the last 14 games. Over the last three games in the head-to-head Boston has won by an average score of 121-108, shooting over 54 percent from the field.

Today might be a bit less high scoring with Kyrie Irving doubtful for the contest but look for Boston to still take care of business at home and cover the spread as 7-point favorites.

The city that never scores

The Mavericks travel to New York to take on a Knicks team who have lost 10 straight games. They have been held under 100 points for three consecutive games while shooting only 41.8 percent from the floor over that span.

Offensively the Mavericks average 107.4 points per game away from home, but it has been their defense that has really played well all season allowing only 109.6 points a game. With the Under hitting in five of the last six in the head-to-head, and four of the last six when playing in New York, back the game total Under 215.

Okafor having a resurgence

The Nuggets bring a three-game winning streak to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans who are playing on the tail end of a back-to-back after winning outright in Houston 121-116 as double digit ‘dogs. The Nuggets will once again be without Jamal Murray, and the Pelicans will be without Anthony Davis and Nikola Mirotic, while E'Twaun Moore, Elfrid Payton, and Julius Randle are all questionable.

Pelicans center Jahlil Okafor has been dominating since moving into the starting lineup. He has scored no fewer than 17 points in his five starts in place of Anthony Davis while grabbing at least 10 rebounds in all five games. Look for him to find success inside once again versus a Nuggets team surrendering 23.9 points on 54.4 percent shooting and 13.6 rebounds to opposing centers. Back Over his points, rebounds, assists total.

Young continues to ball for Atlanta

The Hawks travel to Sacramento as 5.5-point road underdogs. Despite the big spread, Atlanta have won seven of the last 10 games outright when playing at Golden 1 Center.

Atlanta’s Trae Young is having a stellar rookie season averaging 16.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game. Since shooting 1 of 12 from the field versus Chicago on January 23, he has averaged 28 points and 8.0 assists over his last two contests. Young should find success today versus a Kings team surrendering 24 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 8.9 assists to opposing point guards. Back Over his points, rebounds, assists total.

Paucity of points when playing in Portland

When the Jazz and Blazers meet up, the Under has been a very profitable play; cashing in 15 of the most recent 21 games in Portland, and five straight overall.

The Jazz have played well defensively surrendering an average of 105.8 points per game on the road, and the Blazers give up an average of 107.4 ppg at home. With both defenses playing well and the Under historically being a profitable play, look for both teams to keep it close and back Under the total of 218.5.

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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/30

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/30

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