Announcement

**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 08:51 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Villanova 80, Seton Hall 52— Wildcats are 7-0 in the Big East.

— Minnesota 92, Iowa 87— Hawkeyes made 10-18 on the arc, still lost.

— Florida State 78, Miami 66— Seminoles made 12-20 three-pointers.

— Oregon 78, Washington State 58— Coogs lost nine of their last ten games.

— Justin Rose won the Farmers Insurance Open by 3 shots over Adam Scott.

— Why is the Oklahoma City Thunder retiring Nick Collison’s jersey?

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Quick story to start this week off:

Long, long time ago, my junior year in high school, we had a good basketball team. Third or fourth game of the year, we play a rival school that is also supposed to be really good, but with 2:00 left in the first half, we led 33-4. It was tremendous. 33. to. 4.

Other team scores last seven points of the half; we’re up 33-11 in a game with no shot clock and no 3-pointers— it is December, 1975. Our coach was NOT happy.

The guy spent the whole halftime screaming about those seven points; if I remember right, the final was 68-44, something like that. An easy win; halftime should’ve been a positive time.

We wound up winning the league in miraculous fashion on the last day of the season, but on that December night, I learned a lot about coaching, about how being too negative can turn kids off pretty quickly. Two of the juniors on that team wouldn’t play the next year, when they would’ve been starters. Finished 8-11 the next season. No bueno.

12) Really good article on ESPN.com about the Cleveland Browns’ front office and how messed up it has been since Jimmy Haslam bought the team. Go read it; long article, but interesting.

Trivia: Haslam and former senator Bob Corker were roommates at U of Tennessee.

11) Sometimes things that help teams win are things that have NOTHING to do with that team.

For instance, the Cleveland Browns drafted Johnny Manziel because thats who Haslam wanted them to draft; the GM wanted Oregon State WR Brandin Cooks.

Cooks play WR for the Rams now, will play in the Super Bowl Sunday, all because the Browns’ owner meddled and demanded they take Manziel.

10) Iowa State has come a long way this season; they’re 15-5, 4-3 in the Big X; last year, Cyclones went 13-18, 4-14 in league- they weren’t favored in any of their Big X games last year. None.

9) Home teams won nine of ten games in the SEC-Big X challenge; Iowa State was only road team to win- they won at Ole Miss.

They extended the SEC-Big X challenge six years, so it must get good TV ratings.

8) Cincinnati 72, Temple 68— Bearcats were down 35-25 at halftime, then by 14 in second half, but rallied to win and move to 7-1 in AAC.

7) Georgetown 89, St John’s 78— Patrick Ewing was a great defensive player, but his Hoya teams play fast, are fun to watch. Average total in Georgetown’s Big East games is 169; now all Ewing has to do is win (3-4) some more of those games.

6) Purdue 73, Michigan State 63— Boilermakers never trailed; they won’t play a better game this season, ending Michigan State’s 22-game Big 14 win streak.

5) No idea who the guy is, but the analyst on the Indiana State-Illinois State game Sunday went on a brief rant near the end of the game, about how “….if we put a man on the moon, how come we can’t grow hair on a bald man’s head?” Briefly stunning, kind of funny and a fair question.

Turns out the guy’s name is Doyle; hope CBS moves him up in the analyst hierarchy.

4) Kirk Cousins makes $28M a year; Tom Brady makes $20.5M; either Robert Kraft is paying Brady off under the table, circumventing the salary cap, or Brady’s agent is the dumbest person in New England. How is Brady not one of the top five highest-paid QB’s?

3) Sunday of President’s Day weekend should be fun; college hoop, Daytona 500 and the NBA All-Star Game. That covers the demographics of just about everyone in America, right?

In case you’re wondering, first spring training baseball game is February 21; the first full day of games is February 23.

2) I watch a ton of sports on TV; basketball, baseball, football. Can’t remember the last time I watched the Pro Bowl, except a few minutes in a bar last year because Jared Goff was playing. Understood that people bet on the game and therefore have an interest, but there is nothing in sports that interests me less than the Pro Bowl, except soccer. Don’t like soccer.

1) Tip of the cap to my mailman, who trudged through snowy lawns all week delivering the mail to our neighborhood. Job can’t be much fun in the winter; cold as hell, windy, lot of snow on the ground, but his work is appreciated.

**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 08:52 AM

Big Monday Tip Sheet
David Schwab

A new week of betting college hoops gets underway this Monday night with a pair of matchups involving two of the top teams in the nation. As part of ESPN’s Big Monday doubleheader, the ACC’s No. 2 Duke Blue Devils will be on the road against Notre Dame.

The other matchup is a Big 12 battle between TCU and the No. 14 Texas Tech Red Raiders. As a bonus game in the Big 12, Baylor will be on the road against Oklahoma to close out Monday night’s betting action.

No. 2 Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (ESPN , 7 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Duke -13, Total 151

Betting Matchup

Saturday’s 66-53 victory against Georgia Tech moved the Blue Devils to 6-1 straight-up in the ACC. However, after failing to cover as heavy 22 ½-point home favorites they slipped to 1-4 against the spread in their last five games. Duke is 17-2 SU with an 11-8 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 14 of its first 19 games. Freshman guard Tre Jones was back in the lineup on Saturday after missing his last two starts with a shoulder injury. Freshman forward RJ Barrett led the team in scoring in that game with 24 points.

Notre Dame started play in the ACC with an 81-66 loss to Virginia Tech as an 11-point road underdog. It dropped to 1-6 SU in the conference with Saturday’s 82-55 beatdown by Virginia as a 12-point underdog at home. The Fighting Irish have failed to cover in six of those games as part of a dismal 2-8 record ATS over their last 10 outings. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last eight contests. Junior forward John Mooney continues to lead the team in scoring with 14.5 points per game. With 15 points against Virginia, he has exceeded that average in each of his last five starts.

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Monday games with the total going OVER in six of their last eight games played on that day.

-- The Fighting Irish have gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games coming off a SU loss.

-- The favorite has covered in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six games between the two.

TCU Horned Frogs at No. 14 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 8 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -5, Total 131

Betting Matchup

TCU beat Florida on Saturday 55-50 as a 3 ½-point home favorite as part of the SEC/Big 12 Challenge. This was on the heels of a tight 65-61 victory at home against Texas as three-point favorites. The Horned Frogs are 3-2 SU in their last five games with a 4-1 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six games. Sophomore forward Kouat Noi led the way in Saturday’s win with 22 points in a game that TCU never trailed.

The Red Raiders faced Arkansas in their matchup against the SEC and squeezed out a 67-64 win as 10-point home favorites. This followed three losses in a row both SU and ATS. Texas Tech is 16-4 SU with a 6-13-1 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in 14 of those 20 games. A pair of sophomore guards led the way on Saturday with Davide Moretti scoring a game-high 21 points along with Jarrett Culver’s 15 points.

Betting Trends

-- The Horned Frogs have gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six road games.

-- The Red Raiders have failed to cover in their last five home games with one contest ending as a PUSH. The total gone OVER in four of those five games.

-- The road team is 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight matchups.

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners (ESPNU, 9 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Oklahoma -6 ½, Total 140

Betting Matchup

The Bears’ current winning streak reached four games both SU and ATS with Saturday’s 73-68 victory at home against Alabama. The total stayed UNDER 143 ½ points in that game after going OVER in their previous six games. Baylor is 4-2 SU (5-1 ATS) in Big 12 play as part of an overall record of 13-6. The combination of sophomore guard Mario Kegler and senior guard Makai Mason accounted for 30 of the Bears’ 73 points in Saturday’s win. Baylor is averaging 72.2 PPG and Mason leads the team with 15.5 PPG.

Oklahoma streaked past Vanderbilt 86-55 in its SEC matchup on Saturday to easily cover as a 9 ½-point home favorite. This followed a shaky 3-4 SU (4-2-1 ATS) start in Big 12 play. The Sooners are 15-5 SU overall with a profitable 15-3-2 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 13 of 20 games. Senior guard Christian James is averaging a team-high 16.8 PPG and he posted a game-high 21 points in Saturday’s romp. He has now scored at least 20 points in three of his last four starts.

Betting Trends

-- The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER in their last five Monday games.

-- The Sooners have an 8-1-1 record ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine home games.

-- Baylor has covered in four of its last five road games against Oklahoma and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings overall.

**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 08:55 AM

Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams

Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.

Maryland (16-5 SU, 10-10-1 ATS) had a surprisingly difficult week. There was certainly no shame losing to Michigan State (18-3 SU, 16-5 ATS) at Breslin Center in East Lansing, although they put up very little resistance in the 69-55 loss as 8 1/2-point underdogs. However, it was a complete shocker to see them take it on the chin against a terrible Illinois (6-14 SU, 8-12 ATS) side in a neutral-site battle at Madison Square Garden in New York City. It's the third year in a row the Big Ten scheduled a random conference game at MSG, and the lack of success as far as attendance likely will make this a thing of the past. Maryland certainly won't be volunteering to take part again after what could be a costly loss.

Iowa (16-5 SU, 10-11 ATS) had a bad week likely the Terps. The Hawkeyes entered their game against Michigan State on Thursday with optimism. They left their home court with an 82-67 loss and doubts. They looked to get back momentum on Sunday afternoon in Minnesota (15-5 SU, 9-11 ATS), but their road woes, especially against the number, continued. The Hawkeyes slipped to 5-12-1 ATS over the past 18 road contests, and that could be their undoing as they jockey down the stretch. It might also get Iowa onto a much lower line in the NCAA Tournament than we anticipated for them even just last week. Minnesota could be visiting the Top 25 soon with 15 wins, but they're still just 4-7 ATS in the past 11 overall and 2-6 ATS at home over the past eight even after the win.

Virginia (18-1 SU, 16-3 ATS) rebounded nicely after their narrow loss and backdoor cover at Duke (17-2 SU, 11-8 ATS) last weekend, blasting both Wake Forest (8-11 SU, 8-11 ATS) and Notre Dame (11-9 SU, 7-13 ATS) by a combined 50 points, and by at least 23 points in each. They'll be facing a difficult gauntlet over the next four games with trips to N.C. State (16-4 SU, 12-8 ATS) and North Carolina (15-4 SU, 11-6-2 ATS) bookending a pair of home games against Miami-Florida (9-10 SU, 6-13 ATS) and Duke on Feb. 9. The Hoos enter the new week on a 10-game cover streak, best in the nation right now.

Buffalo (18-2 SU, 12-6-1 ATS) is now tied for first place in the MAC East Division after a stunning loss to a mediocre Northern Illinois (11-9 SU, 12-6 ATS) this past week. As a result, you can expect the Bulls will be treated rather harshly and they'll freefall down the Top 25 rankings, potentially into the 20's. Iowa and Mississippi (14-5 SU, 15-4 ATS) could be exiting the rankings are a pair of 0-2 SU/ATS weeks. Mississippi State (15-4 SU, 9-10 ATS) will look to add to the woes of the Rebels, trying to return the favor after losing on their home court to Ole Miss on Jan. 12.

Houston (20-1 SU, 14-6-1 ATS) is likely to take a big jump up the rankings this week after two more wins and covers. They suffer from the same thing UCF did in football, as the American Athletic Conference just doesn't seem to move the needle for the voters in The Associated Press or Coaches Poll. The Cougars will likely elevate with plenty of teams in front of them losing, however. And they're the first team in the nation to 20 victories. That has to count for something, doesn't it?

Purdue (14-6 SU, 12-8 ATS) is likely heading back to the Top 25 after winning at skidding Ohio State (13-6 SU, 8-11 ATS) before curb-stomping Michigan State (18-3 SU, 16-5 ATS) by a 73-63 score in West Lafayette. The Boilers have now won and covered five in a row heading into the new week, so watch them. Florida State (15-5 SU, 8-11-1 ATS) could be poised for a return to the Top 25 after a pair of wins, including a 78-66 win at Miami on Sunday. They have covered back-to-back games for the first time since Nov. 19-22. Kansas State (15-5 SU, 10-10 ATS) should also pierce the rankings, as they're tied atop the Big 12 standings with their rivals from across the state. The Wildcats have covered four of the past five, and the 'under' is 10-3 across the past 13 for those who love betting totals.

**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 08:57 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, January 28

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DUKE (17 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (11 - 9) - 1/28/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 4-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (13 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (15 - 5) - 1/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
OKLAHOMA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in January games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (15 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (16 - 4) - 1/28/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 163-203 ATS (-60.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
TCU is 188-235 ATS (-70.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 114-150 ATS (-51.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
TEXAS TECH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 3-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 3-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (9 - 8) at N ARIZONA (5 - 13) - 1/28/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN UTAH is 5-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 08:59 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 28

Duke is 6-1 in the ACC, winning road games by 22-2-15 points; Blue Devils are shooting only 26.7% on arc in ACC games, are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time. Notre Dame is 1-6 in ACC, 1-3 at home, with losses by 10 to Syracuse, 4 to NC State, 27 to Virginia. Duke won its last four games with Notre Dame; they’ve lost two of last three visits to South Bend. Teams split their meetings in last four ACC tourneys. Blue Devils are 7-5 vs spread in last 12 games as an ACC road favorite, 2-1 this year; ND is 3-8 in its last 11 games as a home underdog, 0-3 this season.

Baylor won its last four games after a 9-6 start; Bears are best rebounding team in Big X, but they don’t defend arc well. Oklahoma split its last eight games after an 11-1 start; they’re shooting 29.9% on arc in Big X play. Sooners are 4-5 this season vs top 50 teams. Baylor won three of last four games with Oklahoma, but lost five of their last six visits to Norman. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Bears are 14-7 vs spread in last 21 games as a road dog, 3-0 this year; Oklahoma is 9-6-1 in its last 16 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this season.

TCU is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in Big X games, losing by 9 at Kansas, 2 at Oklahoma, 10 at K-State; Big X teams are shooting 53.3% inside arc vs Horned Frogs. Texas Tech lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-4 vs top 50 teams. Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time in Big X. Tech is 11-2 vs TCU in Big X play, 3-2 in last five meetings; Horned Frogs lost their last six visits to Lubbock, losing last three by 4-6-4 points. Under Dixon, TCU is 6-10-2 as a Big X road underdog; Red Raiders are 10-15 in last 15 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year.

Southern Utah outscored Northern Arizona 8-4 over final 0:47 in an 86-84 home win over the Lumberjacks Jan 12 in Cedar City, SUU’s sixth straight series win. T-birds won their last three visits to Flagstaff, by 10-13-9 points. Thunderbirds won four of their last five games, are 4-4 in Big Sky, 1-2 on road, winning at Weber St. NAU is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 2-9 start; they’re 2-3 in conference home games. SUU is 7-11-2 in its last 20 games as a Big Sky road underdog; NAU is 5-10-1 in its last 16 games as a home favorite, but 2-1 this year.

**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 09:02 AM

NCAAB

Monday, January 28

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Trend Report
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Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona
Southern Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northern Arizona's last 11 games when playing Southern Utah

Duke @ Notre Dame
Duke
Duke is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games when playing Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games

Baylor @ Oklahoma
Baylor
Baylor is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Oklahoma is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home

TCU @ Texas Tech
TCU
TCU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
TCU is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-28-2019, 09:04 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, January 28

Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona

Game 857-858
January 28, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
41.466
Northern Arizona
44.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Arizona
by 3
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Arizona
by 1 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(-1 1/2); Over

Duke @ Notre Dame

Game 851-852
January 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
75.910
Notre Dame
63.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 12
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 14
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(+14); Under

Baylor @ Oklahoma

Game 853-854
January 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
73.040
Oklahoma
70.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 3
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 6
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(+6); Over

TCU @ Texas Tech

Game 855-856
January 28, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
61.830
Texas Tech
70.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 8 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 4 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(-4 1/2); Under

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/28

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/28

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