Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/22

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, January 22

Good Luck on day # 22 of 2019!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Rutgers 76, Nebraska 67— Damaging loss for the Cornhuskers.

— Creighton 91, Georgetown 87— Very fun game to watch; refs weren’t calling flops!!!

— Kansas 80, Iowa State 76— Remind me in March that Iowa State is really good.

— Warriors 130, Lakers 111— Klay Thompson made his first ten 3-pointers.

— Nine of 11 NBA games Monday were decided by 10+ points.

— Has a former QB ever been an NFL defensive coordinator? Would make some sense.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Football players are really tough; Saints’ OT Andrus Peat played the last two weeks with a broken hand that he had operated on during the Saints’ bye week two weeks ago. Imagine a guy having to block Aaron Donald all day with a broken hand? Can’t be much fun.

12) One of the best parts of Super Bowl week is when the Westgate SuperBook puts out its prop bets for the game- last year, it was a 42-page PDF document. You can get into a lot of trouble with a document that is filled with 42 pages of wagering opportunities.

11) There are rumors that former Seahawks’ QB Jon Kitna will become the QB coach for the Cowboys; right now, he is offensive coordinator for the San Diego Fleet of the new AAF, where his boss is former Rams’ coach Mike Martz.

The AAF starts play on February 9, the Saturday after the Super Bowl.

10) Cincinnati Reds got P’s Sonny Gray, Reiver Sanmartin from Bronx in exchange for IF Shed Long and the Reds’ 2019 Competitive Balance Round A draft pick. Gray signed a contract thru the 2022 season; Gray will enjoy not facing the DH, but Cincinnati does have a small ballpark- over last five years, it ranks #11 out of 30 major league fields as a hitters’ ballpark.

9) This is a good time to remind everyone that for whatever reason, Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft once met Vladimir Putin; during the meeting, as the story goes, Kraft takes off his Super Bowl ring and shows it to Putin, who stuck the ring in his pocket and walked away.

That ring is still in Russia; Kraft appealed to the Obama administration, but was told to let it go. Why would Kraft be meeting Putin in the first place?

8) NFL announced their international games for next season:

Mexico City: Chiefs-Chargers
England: Panthers-Buccaneers, Bears-Raiders
Rams-Bengals, Texans-Jaguars

7) Danny the Glover checked in to let us know that this is the first time the same two cities have been opponents in the World Series/Super Bowl in same season since 1969, when Mets-Orioles met in the World Series, and Jets-Colts played in the Super Bowl.

6) How bad do you have to be in order to be a home underdog to the Chicago Bulls? Bulls came into Monday’s game on a 9-game losing streak, but beat Cleveland 104-88 as a 2-point road favorite. It was the first time the Bulls were favored anywhere since November 21.

5) NBA math; Houston Rockets are trading Carmelo Anthony (actually, his contract) and cash to Chicago but he’ll never play for the Bulls. Chicago will release him and he’ll be a free agent, if/when he clears waivers.

4) I’ll say this about NFL officiating: Seems like there are lot fewer penalties called in playoff games than during the regular season- they should call fewer penalties all the time.

3) Watching the Australian Open tennis tournament, they have a camera in the net at Rod Laver Arena, which gives them some cool replays. Kind of like the camera in the pylon by the goal line at football games, whoever decided that was a good idea deserves a raise.

2) From Mike Teevan: Tom Brady was drafted by the Montreal Expos in the 18th round of the 1995 baseball draft; Jared Goff’s dad Jerry was a major league catcher for six years; he played 55 games for the Expos, in 1990, 92.

1) Adam Long is a 31-year old golf journeyman who was making only his 6th PGA Tour start when he won the Desert Classic this past weekend, beating Phil Mickelson, Adam Hadwin by a stroke.

Getting your first PGA Tour win is a life-changing event; Long won $1,062,000 and now has a two-year exemption on the Tour. Huge day in his career.

[Udog]

Hot & Not Report
YouWager

Week of January 21st

Well, last week's piece may have brought the kibosh to the advantage home teams have had in the Conference Championship of the NFL playoffs, and also killed the bad run that teams of 40-point performances were on.

Both road teams moved on to the Super Bowl in a wild, wacky, and controversial Conference Championship Sunday, and New England managed to wiggle away from the bad results teams had after scoring 40+. It gives us a very interesting Super Bowl in which the storyline narratives will be aplenty over the next 14 days (and quite possibly nauseating), so I've got no problem taking some time to step away from the sport and to take a look at a couple of “blue bloods” from the college basketball landscape.

Who's Hot

'Unders' in ACC play involving North Carolina – 4-1 to the 'under' in ACC action; 1-7 O/U run overall

North Carolina is a program that's always going to play fast and look to score in the 80's every time out there under Roy Williams, and that's exactly what we saw from them to start the year. The Tar Heels opened up the season with an 'under' result at Wofford, but followed that up with seven straight 'overs' cashing and went 8-for-9 in terms of 'overs' up until basically the Christmas break. It was there that an 'under' hit in their showdown with Kentucky, and ever since then, this team has been an 'under' machine.

That 'under' vs Kentucky sparked a seven-game span of 'under' tickets cashing for UNC, a run that included their first three conference games of the season. An 'over' finally got there in their road win against Miami over the weekend, but that still only got there by three points, and needed UNC to shoot 55% from the floor (45% from distance), and give up 49% shooting to Miami.

It appears as though this strong 'under' run for the Tar Heels has come about as a combination of teams understanding how to defend UNC better with more film on them, and numbers still being a touch too high. Granted, a lot of those early season 'overs' cashed when UNC totals closed in the high 150's, a range they've consistently fallen in lately as well, but familiarity breeds contempt. And these ACC coaches are out there looking to try and slow the pace down from the get-go against UNC.

Roy Williams understands that this is what the opposition is looking to do and has turned around and demanded better defense from his own guys, and for the most part they've responded. During that run of seven consecutive 'overs' early in the year, the Tar Heels were allowing an average of 75.28 points per game – largely against weaker competition than they'll see in conference play – and during their recent run of seven straight 'unders' that points per game allowed number dropped to 70.14.

There is still room for significant improvement as seemingly every upper echelon team they've faced (Michigan, Gonzaga, Kentucky, NC State) has scored 80 or more against them, and with a game tonight against a sweet stroking team like Virginia Tech, the Tar Heels defense, and them being a solid 'under' bet will be tested.

Who's Not

'Unders' in ACC play involving Duke – 3-1-1 O/U in ACC action

For all the national hype Duke got from the outset this year, their exorbitant amount of offensive talent was accounted for, and over-accounted for in the betting markets.

Duke entered the new calendar year, and conference play at the same time, with a 2-9-1 O/U record overall, as this team would either win in such convincing fashion that the offense would shut down in the final 10 minutes, or the totals were inflated so high that the numbers were hard to go 'over' regardless.

Bettors probably also underestimated just how good Tre Jones was defensively, as he's been what makes the Duke defense so effective at times. Throw in the idea that Duke is still a team loaded with freshman, and that shooting struggles with efficiency would pop up from time to time, Duke 'under' results for the first two months of the year tended to bring a windfall of gains to the books.

But we've seen those results flip since 2019 and ACC action arrived, as Duke's 3-1-1 O/U record has really come without much of a sweat. The lone 'under' landed there by just four points, and Wake Forest didn't exactly help by shooting just 33% on their own floor that day. But 'over' benefits – many of whom likely got off that train for Duke games after so many 'unders' the first two months by this team – have had a easy go of it so far in 2019 Duke games.

The Blue Devils were just the second team to score 65 or more against Virginia this year, and now thanks to numbers being consistently lower than they were to begin the year – Duke's totals closed at an average of 162 for the 2018 calendar year, and are averaging 149.5 in 2019 – backing 'unders' in Blue Devils games just haven't been the way to go. Everyone expected that Duke/Virginia game to be one that stayed low as that number opened at 140 before closing at 136, but it still failed to deliver on that result.

Looking ahead at Duke's schedule for the next few weeks, you'll see that we will likely get a few Duke blowouts in there – they play Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, Notre Dame, St Johns, and Boston College before a rematch with Virginia – and maybe that's what brings back those 'under' results for the Blue Devils.

Blowouts mean Coach K will sit on the ball in the 2nd half, and now that these 'overs' have been cashing, we may see Duke totals start to creep higher again either with the opening or via market moves. That could be a good sign for those bettors that will be lowing to go 'low' again in Duke games, but keep an eye on the Tre Jones injury status as well. Without his pressure on the ball, Duke's defense can be sieve-like at times, and them knowing how good they can be offensively, going with the mindset of just scoring at will to run away and hide.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 22


Auburn @ South Carolina

Game 601-602
January 22, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
70.082
South Carolina
57.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 12 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 7
155
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-7); Under

Central Michigan @ Akron

Game 613-614
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
55.152
Akron
65.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 10
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 6 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-6 1/2); Over

Villanova @ Butler

Game 607-608
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Villanova
65.647
Butler
64.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 1 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 1 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(+1 1/2); Over

Miami-OH @ Ball State

Game 605-606
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-OH
52.826
Ball State
59.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 7
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 9
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(+9); Under

Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan

Game 611-612
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
54.760
Eastern Michigan
47.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 7 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+2); Over

Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech

Game 621-622
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
57.526
Georgia Tech
57.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
Even
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 3
133
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+3); Over

Texas Tech @ Kansas State

Game 619-620
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
75.353
Kansas State
65.758
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 9 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 1 1/2
119 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+1 1/2); Over

Toledo @ Kent State

Game 615-616
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
60.369
Kent State
53.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 7
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 2 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-2 1/2); Under

Mississippi State @ Kentucky

Game 603-604
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
73.660
Kentucky
70.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 3 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(+6 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Michigan

Game 623-624
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
59.662
Michigan
75.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 16
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 13
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-13); Under

St Peter's @ Niagara

Game 645-646
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Peter's
46.189
Niagara
41.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Peter's
by 4 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Niagara
by 3 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
St Peter's
(+3 1/2); Under

Western Michigan @ Ohio

Game 609-610
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
57.254
Ohio
53.531
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 3 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 6 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+6 1/2); Over

Clemson @ Florida State

Game 617-618
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
66.530
Florida State
77.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 11
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 5 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(-5 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Northern Illinois

Game 625-626
January 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
61.684
Northern Illinois
61.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
Even
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 8 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+8 1/2); Under

Wichita State @ South Florida

Game 627-628
January 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wichita State
60.285
South Florida
63.796
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 3 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 2
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(-2); Over

Texas A&M @ Florida

Game 629-630
January 22, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
63.385
Florida
63.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
Even
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 11
130
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(+11); Over

Boise State @ Air Force

Game 639-640
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
60.360
Air Force
53.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 7
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 3 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-3 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Northwestern

Game 635-636
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
71.159
Northwestern
61.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 10
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 1
133
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+1); Under

Duke @ Pittsburgh

Game 633-634
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
82.650
Pittsburgh
64.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 18
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 12
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(-12); Under

Wake Forest @ Virginia

Game 631-632
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
63.342
Virginia
79.459
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 16
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 24
131
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+24); Over

Ole Miss @ Alabama

Game 637-638
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ole Miss
70.816
Alabama
64.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ole Miss
by 6
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 1
152
Dunkel Pick:
Ole Miss
(+1); Under

New Mexico @ UNLV

Game 641-642
January 22, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
48.143
UNLV
50.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UNLV
by 2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UNLV
by 5 1/2
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+5 1/2); Under

San Diego St @ Fresno State

Game 643-644
January 22, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
51.010
Fresno State
63.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 12
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 7 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(-7 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 22

Auburn is 4-3 in its last seven games after a 9-1 start; Tigers split their first four SEC games, losing tough home game to Kentucky Saturday. Auburn is 1-2 in true road games, with only win at Texas A&M. South Carolina is 4-1 in SEC, but lost by 27 at LSU Saturday; Auburn lost three of last four games with South Carolina, losing last two visits to Columbia, by 29-9 points. Under Pearl, Auburn is 6-3 as road favorites, 1-1 this year; Gamecocks are 3-5 in their last eight games as a home underdog, 1-0 this year. SEC road favorites are 7-3 so far this season.

Mississippi State is 14-3 vs schedule #36; they’re 2-1 in true road games, with loss in OT at South Carolina. Bulldogs are #9 in country in minutes continuity. Kentucky won its last four games, winning home games by 11-9 points. Wildcats won their last 11 games with MSU, winning last five meetings here, by 6-30-22-6-13 points. Under Howland, Miss State is 12-13-1 as an SEC road underdog; Kentucky is 17-12 in its last 29 games as a home favorite, but 0-2 this year. SEC home favorites of 7 or fewer points are 4-9 vs spread this season.

Villanova won its last six games; they’re 5-0 in Big East, with wins at Providence, Creighton. Wildcats scored 83.7 ppg in last three games. Butler split first six Big East games, winning two of three at home; they won their last two games. Villanova is 8-3 vs Butler in Big East games, but they lost last two games in Hinkle, by 8-10 points. Butler is 20-15 as a Big East home favorite, 2-1 this year; over last six years, Wildcats are 0-2 as a Big East road dog. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Big East home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 2-5 vs spread.

Florida State lost its last three games after a 13-2 start; they’re 1-4 in ACC, shooting 24.8% on arc in those games. Clemson is 1-3 in ACC play, losing by 17 at Duke, by 8 at Syracuse in its two road games- they scored 54.7 ppg in their three ACC losses- poor shooting team. FSU won four of last five games with Clemson, winning last three meetings here, by 11-48-2 points. Tigers are 3-10 in last 13 games as a road underdog, 0-2 this year; FSU is 12-5-1 in last 18 games as a home favorite, 0-1 this year. ACC single digit home favorites are 8-3 vs spread.

Texas Tech led by 15 at half, held off Kansas State 63-57 at home in first meeting Jan 5; Red Raiders won five of last six series games, but LY’s win in Manhattan was their first in last nine visits to the Little Apple. Wildcats won their last four games, allowing 60.5 ppg- they were held to 47-57 points in their two Big X losses. Tech lost its last two games after a 15-1 start, scoring 64-62 points. K-State is 10-8-1 in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year; under Beard, Tech is 5-7 as a road underdog. Big X home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 2-8 vs spread.

Notre Dame is off to a 1-4 start in ACC, wth only win by 3 at home over BC; Irish are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 3-15-6 points. Georgia Tech lost three of its last four games, losing last two home games, to Va Tech/Louisville. Home side won nine of ten ND-Tech ACC games; Irish are 1-4 vs Tech in Atlanta, losing last three visits here by 1-2-7 points. Last three years, Irish are 12-10 in last 22 ACC road games, 1-1 this year; Tech is 14-7 vs spread in its last 21 ACC home games, 2-1 this year. ACC road teams are 5-1 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less.

Wichita State (-29) crushed South Florida 95-57 in their first AAC meeting LY. Shockers lost five of last six games, are 1-4 in AAC, losing road games at Memphis/Houston, by 11-9 points. USF lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-1 at home in AAC tilts, with only loss by 9 to Houston. Bulls are turning ball over 24.2% of time in conference games. Over last six years, Shockers are 2-1 as a conference road underdog. Wichita is last seven years, USF is 3-12 as an AAC home favorite, 1-0 this year. AAC home favorites of less than five points are 3-1 vs spread.

Longtime Duke aide Capel is Pitt’s new coach. Duke is 15-2 after beating Virginia Saturday; their last two wins were both by a hoop- they’re 2-0 in true road games, winning by 22-2. Pitt starts out 2-3 in ACC, with losses by 25-6-11 points; Panthers are shooting only 43.8% inside arc, 31.7% outside arc in ACC games. Blue Devils are 4-1 vs Pitt in ACC play, winning by 15 in only visit here. Last seven yeas, Duke is 17-24 as an ACC road favorite; Panthers are 2-1 as a home underdog this season. ACC double digit favorites are 5-9 vs spread, 2-0 on road.

Indiana won four of its last five games with Northwestern, with favorites covering four of those. Hoosiers lost their last two visits to Evanston by 7-13 points. Hoosiers lost their last four games after a 12-2 start; they’re 1-5 in true road games, with only win by hoop at Penn St. Wildcats are 2-5 in Big 14, with wins by 2 over Penn St, 8 over Rutgers. Big 14 teams are shooting 55.8% inside arc against Northwestern. Under Miller, Indiana is 5-7-1 vs spread on Big 14 road, 2-2 this year; Wildcats are 5-8 vs spread in last 13 home games, 1-2 this season.

Ole Miss won 11 of its last 12 games; they’re 3-1 in true road games, with SEC road wins by 10 at Vandy, 4 at Miss State. Alabama lost three of its last four games; their last two losses were by total of four points. Ole Miss won four of last six games with Alabama, but Rebels lost four of last five visits to Tuscaloosa. Ole Miss is 11-8-1 in its last 20 games as an SEC road underdog; under Johnson, Crimson Tide is 7-12-1 as a home favorite, 0-1 this year. SEC road teams are 8-2 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or fewer points.

Air Force hammered San Diego St/UNLV in its last two home games; Falcons lost six of last nine games overall, with last three losses by 17-23-15 points. Boise State is 3-2 in MW, 2-0 on road, winning at Wyoming, San Jose St, two worst teams in league. Boise won seven of last eight games with Air Force, winning last two visits here, by 28-6 points. Boise covered seven of last ten games as a road favorite (2-0 this year). Falcons covered seven of last nine games as a home underdog, 2-1 this year. Mountain West road favorites of 5 or fewer points are 4-2 vs spread.

UNLV won 80-68 in the Pit January 8, ending a 3-game skid against the Lobos; New Mexico beat Rebels by 3-4 points in last two series games in Las Vegas. Lobos lost three of last four games, giving up 91-97 points in losing last two road tilts. Rebels are 4-1 in MW, 3-0 at home, with wins by 2-12-38 points. Lobos are 6-8 in last 14 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; under Menzies, UNLV is 2-8 as a home favorite, 1-2 this year. Mountain West home favorites are 9-7 vs spread, 2-2 if spread was 5 or fewer points. UNLV has shot ball way better in MW games.

Fresno State won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 4-1 in MW, with only loss to Nevada. San Diego State split its last six games, with losses to Brown/Air Force; Aztecs scored 64-48 in MW losses, 84-97 in its wins. Fresno won five of last seven games with San Diego State; underdogs covered eight of last ten series games. Aztecs lost three of their last four visits to Fresno. San Diego State is 3-6 in last nine games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Fresno is 14-9 in its last 23 games as a home favorite, 0-1 this year. Mountain West single digit home favorites are 3-3 vs spread.

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, January 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Auburn @ South Carolina
Auburn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
Auburn is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
South Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Auburn

Central Michigan @ Akron
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Michigan's last 7 games when playing Akron
Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Akron
Akron is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
Akron is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Toledo @ Kent State
Toledo
Toledo is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Toledo is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Kent State
Kent State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Kent State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toledo

Western Michigan @ Ohio
Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Western Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ohio
Ohio
Ohio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Ohio is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Mississippi State @ Kentucky
Mississippi State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Texas Tech @ Kansas State
Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
Texas Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State
Kansas State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Kansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

Minnesota @ Michigan
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Michigan
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech
Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing Notre Dame

Miami-Ohio @ Ball State
Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Miami-Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Ball State
Ball State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami-Ohio

Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan
Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Saint Peter's @ Niagara
Saint Peter's
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Saint Peter's's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's's last 5 games when playing Niagara
Niagara
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing Saint Peter's

Villanova @ Butler
Villanova
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Villanova's last 6 games when playing Butler
Butler
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 5 games
Butler is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Clemson @ Florida State
Clemson
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 7 games when playing Florida State
Florida State
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clemson

Buffalo @ Northern Illinois
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Northern Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Wichita State @ South Florida
Wichita State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wichita State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wichita State's last 10 games on the road
South Florida
South Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 7 games at home

Texas A&M @ Florida
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas A&M's last 13 games
Florida
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Mississippi @ Alabama
Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Mississippi is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Alabama's last 10 games at home
Alabama is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Mississippi

Indiana @ Northwestern
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern
Northwestern is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Indiana

Duke @ Pittsburgh
Duke
Duke is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Wake Forest @ Virginia
Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Wake Forest's last 12 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Wake Forest is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Boise State @ Air Force
Boise State
Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Air Force
Boise State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Boise State
Air Force is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Mexico @ UNLV
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Mexico's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Mexico's last 9 games when playing UNLV
UNLV
The total has gone OVER in 8 of UNLV's last 9 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV's last 7 games

San Diego @ Fresno State
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games
Fresno State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

San Diego State @ Fresno State
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego State's last 13 games on the road
Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fresno State's last 7 games
Fresno State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 22

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AUBURN (13 - 4) at S CAROLINA (9 - 8) - 1/22/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 3-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MISSISSIPPI ST (14 - 3) at KENTUCKY (14 - 3) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIAMI OHIO (9 - 9) at BALL ST (11 - 7) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 113-148 ATS (-49.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BALL ST is 109-146 ATS (-51.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BALL ST is 109-146 ATS (-51.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BALL ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VILLANOVA (14 - 4) at BUTLER (12 - 7) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 231-188 ATS (+24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 3-2 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 3-2 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W MICHIGAN (6 - 12) at OHIO U (9 - 8) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OHIO U is 151-115 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 151-115 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 104-69 ATS (+28.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BOWLING GREEN (13 - 5) at E MICHIGAN (8 - 10) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in January games since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 123-161 ATS (-54.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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C MICHIGAN (14 - 4) at AKRON (10 - 8) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
AKRON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 2-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TOLEDO (15 - 3) at KENT ST (14 - 4) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
KENT ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CLEMSON (11 - 6) at FLORIDA ST (13 - 5) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 78-112 ATS (-45.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CLEMSON is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS TECH (15 - 3) at KANSAS ST (14 - 4) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 138-183 ATS (-63.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 95-129 ATS (-46.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 95-129 ATS (-46.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 83-122 ATS (-51.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 95-67 ATS (+21.3 Units) in January games since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 4-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NOTRE DAME (11 - 7) at GEORGIA TECH (10 - 8) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 4-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-2 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MINNESOTA (14 - 4) at MICHIGAN (17 - 1) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-128 ATS (-46.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 94-128 ATS (-46.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 57-30 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BUFFALO (17 - 1) at N ILLINOIS (10 - 8) - 1/22/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WICHITA ST (8 - 9) at S FLORIDA (12 - 6) - 1/22/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
S FLORIDA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WICHITA ST is 107-68 ATS (+32.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 48-75 ATS (-34.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TEXAS A&M (7 - 9) at FLORIDA (10 - 7) - 1/22/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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WAKE FOREST (8 - 9) at VIRGINIA (16 - 1) - 1/22/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 122-164 ATS (-58.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DUKE (15 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 6) - 1/22/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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INDIANA (12 - 6) at NORTHWESTERN (11 - 7) - 1/22/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 116-154 ATS (-53.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OLE MISS (14 - 3) at ALABAMA (11 - 6) - 1/22/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
OLE MISS is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
OLE MISS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OLE MISS is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in January games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
OLE MISS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BOISE ST (8 - 10) at AIR FORCE (7 - 11) - 1/22/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 105-71 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOISE ST is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 2-2 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 4-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW MEXICO (9 - 9) at UNLV (10 - 7) - 1/22/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
UNLV is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 200-160 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 118-82 ATS (+27.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
UNLV is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 3-2 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN DIEGO ST (10 - 7) at FRESNO ST (13 - 4) - 1/22/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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ST PETERS (5 - 12) at NIAGARA (9 - 10) - 1/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 129-98 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 129-98 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NIAGARA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
NIAGARA is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
NIAGARA is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 2-2 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 2-2 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

Tuesday's SEC Tips
Brian Edwards

**Mississippi State at Kentucky**

-- As of early this morning, most betting shops had Kentucky (14-3 straight up, 8-9 against the spread) listed as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 144.5. The Bulldogs were +230 on the money line (risk $100 to win $230).

-- John Calipari’s club is undefeated in 10 home games with a 4-6 spread record. Kentucky is in a three-way tie for third place in the SEC, joining South Carolina and Ole Miss with 4-1 records in league play. Tennessee is atop the national rankings and the SEC standings with its 5-0 conference ledger, while LSU is 4-0 in SEC action.

-- Since losing its SEC opener by a 77-75 count at Alabama, UK has responded with four consecutive victories and back-to-back spread covers. The Wildcats have won vs. Texas A&M (85-74), vs. Vanderbilt (56-47), at UGA (69-49) and at Auburn (82-80). They won Saturday at Auburn as 4.5-point road underdogs. Keldon Johnson and Tyler Herro led the way past the Tigers with 20 points apiece, as Herro drained 3-of-6 launches from downtown and all five of his free-throw attempts. Reid Travis added 17 points and seven rebounds, while P.J. Washington finished with 13 points and seven boards.

-- UK is No. 8 in the NCAA’s new NET Rankings and No. 13 at KenPom.com. The ‘Cats are 3-3 against K-Pom Top-100 opponents, losing to Duke and Seton Hall on neutral courts in non-conference action. Calipari’s squad has road wins at Louisville and at Auburn, in addition to a neutral-court triumph over UNC.

-- Johnson leads UK in scoring with a 15.0 points-per-game average. Herro (13.5 PPG), Travis (13.0 PPG) and Washington (11.8 PPG) are also averaging in double figures. Freshman guard Ashton Hagans dropped a career-high 23 points on Georgia last week and is pacing the Wildcats in assists (3.6 APG) and steals (2.2 SPG). Washington lead the ‘Cats in rebounding, pulling down 7.9 boards per game.

-- Mississippi State (14-3 SU, 8-9 ATS) is 2-1 both SU and ATS in three road assignments.

-- Ben Howland’s team is No. 21 at K-Pom, going 6-2 versus Top-100 foes. MSU, No. 36 in Net Rankings, has quality neutral-court victories over Clemson and Saint Mary’s, in addition to home scalps over Florida, Wofford and Cincinnati. The Bulldogs also have wins at Vanderbilt and at Dayton. They lost in overtime at South Carolina, at home vs. Ole Miss and on a neutral floor against Arizona State.

-- MSU is led by senior guard Quinndary Weatherspoon, who averages 16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Weatherspoon is hitting 48.0 percent of his field-goal attempts and 83.1 percent of his free throws.

-- Lamar Peters (13.3 PPG, 5.8 APG) has buried 41.5 percent of his 3-balls and has a 99/51 assist-to-turnover ratio. Aric Holman (12.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG) leads the Bulldogs in rebounding and blocked shots (38), while Nick Weatherspoon, Quinndary’s younger brother, is averaging 10.3 points and 1.1 steals per game.

-- Since losing its first two SEC games, Mississippi State has won back-to-back games vs. Florida (71-68) and at Vanderbilt. Q-Weatherspoon was the catalyst with 17 points, eight rebounds and four assists without a turnover. Tyson Carter and Aric Holman added 10 points apiece and Holman had nine rebounds. The Bulldogs thumped the Commodores 71-55 as three-point road favorites.

-- This is MSU’s first game as an underdog this season.

-- The ‘under’ is 9-8 overall for the ‘Cats, 6-4 in their home contests.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-1 in MSU’s past five games to improve to 9-8 overall. The ‘under’ is 2-1 in the Bulldogs three road outing.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**Ole Miss at Alabama**

-- Alabama (11-6 SU, 7-9 ATS) had a golden opportunity to bolster its resume enormously Saturday when it had Tennessee, the once-beaten team tabbed as the nation’s best by most national polls yesterday, on the ropes and in big-time trouble Saturday in Knoxville at Thompson-Boling Arena. However, an unfathomably atrocious call by the refs at crunch time, in addition to deplorable FT shooting by Avery Johnson’s team robbed it of being able to pull a tremendous upset. ‘Bama led 63-60 with 5:20 left despite missing nine of its first 10 FTAs in the second half. The Tide finished 8-of-18 from the charity stripe, including 4-of-13 in the final 20 minutes of action. Nevertheless, when UT’s Grant Williams was called for a charge adeptly taken by Donta Hall with the Volunteers ahead 69-68 with 11.9 ticks remaining, Johnson’s bunch had one final shot. John Petty, who scored a game-high 30 points on 6-of-10 shooting from downtown, including five straight makes at one point, took a pass on the wing with about five ticks remaining. He took two dribbles to his left and was inexplicably whistled for a travelling call with 3.2 seconds remaining. I immediately went back and hit rewind and watched Petty’s catch and move to his left off the bounce. There was ZERO indication – not even any sort of feet shuffling or a switch of the pivot foot or ANYTHING out of the ordinary to suggest Petty walked – yet the game-deciding call was made anyway.

-- With 2.5 seconds remaining, UT’s Lamonte’ Turned added two FTs and the Tide’s Kira Lewis missed a 55-foot heave at the buzzer to allow the Vols to win 71-68 as 13-point favorites. Rick Barnes’s club led 44-32 at intermission, only to see the Tide go on a 15-0 run sparked by Petty’s hot hand from long distance. Hall would add 16 points and 12 rebounds, while the freshman Lewis had 12 points on 3-of-6 marksmanship from 3-point range. The Tide outrebounded UT 36-33 but couldn’t overcome its abysmal FT shooting. Dazon Ingram had four rebounds and five assists compared to just one turnover, but he made only 1-of-4 FTs and scored just three points.

-- Alabama fell to 2-3 in SEC play where it sits next to Florida in an eighth-place tie. It wasn’t all bad news for the Tide last week, however, as it did go into Missouri on Wednesday and capture a 70-60 victory as a 1.5-point road favorite. In only 18 minutes of playing time from off the bench, Avery Johnson Jr. was the catalyst with a team-high 14 points. Hall added 12 points, 11 rebounds and a pair of blocked shots in a solid overall defensive effort from ‘Bama, which held to 42.1 percent shooting from the field. The Tide had a 33-28 rebounding advantage.

-- Johnson’s team is No. 56 at K-Pom and No. 50 in the NET Rankings. Alabama has a 7-4 record against K-Pom’s Top 100, including scalps of UK, Missouri, Penn State, Liberty, Arizona, Murray State and Ball State. The Tide has lost to Northeastern on a neutral floor, at home to Georgia State (after leading by 21 at halftime) and Texas A&M (on a buzzer-beating trey off the backboard), in addition to road defeats at UT, at LSU and at UCF. Although the win over UT would’ve bolstered its resume, there’s still plenty of time and quality opponents left on ‘Bama’s slate for it to play its way into the Tournament field.

-- Alabama has won six of eight home games, but it has limped to a 2-5 spread record in Tuscaloosa.

-- As of early this morning, most books had Alabama listed as a one-point home favorite over the Rebels, who are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road this year. The total was 152.

-- Ole Miss (14-3 SU, 15-2 ATS) is one of the nation’s biggest surprises under new head coach Kermit Davis, who has his team ranked No. 30 at K-Pom and No. 24 in the NCAA’s new NET rankings. The Rebels are a projected No. 7 seed in the NCAA Tournament, according to Joe Lunardi’s latest ‘Bracketology’ report at ESPN.com (more on all SEC teams from Lunardi below in Bonus Nuggets….). The Rebels are 5-3 against K-Pom’s Top 100 and that doesn’t even include an 81-71 win at Vanderbilt. They have quality home wins over Auburn, Arkansas and San Diego, in addition to a neutral-court triumph over Baylor and a road win at MSU.

-- Here’s the Kermit Davis Factor: Ole Miss is the best ATS team in the nation at 15-2, while his old team, Middle Tennessee, is 4-13 ATS to rank No. 347 out of 353 teams that play lined games. (And that’s with the Blue Raiders covering in back-to-back games and three of their past four!).

-- Ole Miss failed to win outright in last week’s 83-69 loss to red-hot LSU as a 3.5-point home ‘chalk.’ However, Davis’s bunch responded by destroying Arkansas 84-67 Saturday as a six-point home favorite. The Rebels roared out to a 46-35 halftime advantage, only to see the Razorbacks cut the deficit to six less than four minutes into the second half. The Hogs would get no closer, though, as Ole Miss pushed the lead back to double digits and led by as many as 18 in coasting to the easy spread cover. Breein Tyree contributed a game-high 22 points along with four rebounds, three steals, two assists and one blocked shot. Terence Davis finished with 18 points, nine rebounds, seven assists and five steals, while Bruce Stevens had 14 points and seven boards.

-- Tyree, a junior guard, is averaging a team-best 17.5 PPG while shooting 49.7 from the field, 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 83.1 percent from the FT line. Davis is averaging 16.2 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 1.5 steals and 0.9 blocked shots per game. The senior slasher has drained 49.7 percent of his FGAs and 42.2 percent of his treys.

-- If the line holds and leaves the Rebels as underdogs between now and tip, we’ll note that they’ve produced a 5-1 spread record with three outright wins in six such spots as ‘dogs.

-- Ole Miss is ranked No. 18 in the country in FG percentage (49.2%) and 29th in FT shooting accuracy (75.5%). The Rebels are averaging 79.4 PPG to rank 53rd nationally and they’re burying 37.1 percent of their launches from long distance (No. 62 nationally).

-- The ‘over’ is 12-4 overall for the Crimson Tide, but the ‘under’ has been a winner in each of its past two games. The ‘over’ has cashed at a 6-1 clip for ‘Bama in its home outings at Coleman Coliseum.

-- The ‘under’ is on a 6-1 run for the Rebels to improve to 10-7 overall. However, their road assignments have resulted on the ‘over’ going 3-1.

-- This rivalry has seen the ‘over’ go 11-5-1 in the past 17 head-to-head meetings. Ole Miss is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 encounters.

-- Ole Miss has won outright in six of the past nine meetings, winning 78-66 as a 2.5-point home favorite on Jan. 23 of last season. Davis had 15 points and nine rebounds for the Rebels, while Hall had 14 points and seven boards for the Tide. Ingram finished with 10 points, eight boards and five assists in the losing effort.

-- ESPNU will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- In Joe Lunardi’s latest NCAA Tournament projections released Tuesday morning, the SEC has seven teams in the Tournament field. UT is the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region which would face the 8/9 winner of Nebraska-FSU if it advances. Kentucky is the East Region’s No. 2 seed vs. Bucknell with a potential second-round date vs. N.C. State in Jacksonville. LSU and Auburn are both five seeds who would face Hofstra and Saint Louis, respectively. Ole Miss and Mississippi State are No. 7 seeds with potential dates against Syracuse and St. John’s in the opening round. The Gators are slated to face Arizona State in the First Four in Dayton, with either 12-seed getting Purdue in the Round of 32. UF is 2-0 against Purdue in the Tournament with Round of 32 wins in the 1987 and 2007 NCAA Tournaments at the Carrier Dome in Syracuse and in New Orleans, respectively.

-- Florida junior forward Keith Stone tore his ACL in Saturday’s win at Georgia and will miss the rest of the season. As of early this morning, The Gators were 11 or 11.5-point home favorites for tonight’s SEC showdown vs. Texas A&M. Stone (6.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG) was struggling this year, but he did score eight points in nine minutes of action in the first half Saturday at UGA before going down with the injury.

-- Auburn (13-4 SU, 8-7 ATS) has struggled to a 1-2 record both SU and ATS in three true road contests. Bruce Pearl’s team in bounce-back mode tonight at South Carolina after dropping a heartbreaker at home to UK on Saturday. As of early this morning, the Gamecocks were eight-point home underdogs and the total was 155. Frank Martin’s team had its five-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s 89-67 loss at LSU as a nine-point road underdog. The ‘over’ is 11-4 for the Gamecocks, 6-2 in their home outings. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network .

-- Rutgers won outright as an 8.5-point home underdog and hooked up its money-line supporters with a +350 payout in last night’s 76-69 win over Nebraska. The Scarlet Knights outscored the Cornhuskers 43-31 in the second half. Gamblers who backed Nebraska -4.5 for first-half bets were extremely fortunate winners as James Palmer Jr. hit a pull-up jumper from about 35 feet out at the buzzer to send his team into intermission with a 38-33 advantage.

-- After falling behind early at home vs. Virginia Tech last night, North Carolina roared back late in the first half and rolled to a 103-82 victory as a four-point home ‘chalk.’ The 185 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 152.5-point total. UNC freshman Colby White dropped 27 points, seven rebounds, six assists, four steals and one blocked shot on the Hokies, draining 5-of-11 launches from 3-point territory. Nassir Little contributed 23 points, six boards and three assists.

-- Worst ATS teams in the country: Wyoming (3-14), UT-Martin (2-13), Kennesaw State (4-14), Eastern Washington (3-13), Delaware State (4-13), Iona (4-13), MTSU (4-13), Portland State (2-11-1) and Ohio (4-12).

-- BEST ATS teams in the nation: Ole Miss (15-2), Virginia (14-3), Hofstra (15-4), Michigan State (15-4), Drake (13-3-1), Oklahoma (13-3-2), Sam Houston State (12-3), Jackson State (13-4), Pitt (13-4-1), Stony Brook (13-4-1), Detroit Mercy (14-5) and Vermont (12-4-2).

-- Saint Mary’s has covered the number in four straight games to improve to 14-6 ATS overall and 10-2 in its home games. The Gaels play at BYU on Thursday night.

-- Florida State is mired in a 3-10-1 ATS slump in its past 14 games. The Seminoles have lost three games in a row to fall to an abysmal 1-4 in ACC action. They’ll try to bounce back tonight as six-point home favorites vs. Clemson. The total is 140 points. Leonard Hamilton’s club is 8-1 SU but just 3-6 ATS at home, while the Tigers are 1-2 both SU and ATS in three road assignments. Clemson snapped a three-game losing streak both SU and ATS with last Wednesday’s 72-60 win over Georgia Tech as a nine-point home favorite. This is a 7:00 p.m. Eastern tip on ESPNU.

[Udog]

Tuesday's Top Action
Tom Wilkinson

The Duke Blue Devils will try and avoid having a letdown on Tuesday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Panthers in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Blue Devils are coming off a big win on Saturday, as they defeated Virginia.

Duke is in a six-way tie for the top spot in the ACC with a 4-1 record, while the Panthers are 2-3 in the conference. Pittsburgh has been very good at home this season going 10-2 and they already have a win against a Top 20 team this season. Let’s look at Duke vs. Pittsburgh and college basketball picks.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Date and Time: Tuesday, January 22, 2019, 9:00 p.m. ET
Location: Petersen Events Center, Pittsburgh, PA
College Basketball Odds: Duke -13.5, O/U 156
Duke vs. Pittsburgh TV Coverage: ESPN

Duke is coming off their biggest win of the season, as they defeated Virginia 72-70 on Saturday. It will be interesting to see how the Blue Devils respond after such an emotional win. Duke has only played two true road games this season and they are 1-1 ATS. They covered at Wake Forest but didn’t cover at Florida State. The Blue Devils are averaging 89.2 points per game which is 3rd best in the country. They are giving up about 67 per contest.

The Panthers have been better than expected this season, as they come into this game at 12-6 overall. They have been a really good team to bet on this season, as they are 13-4-1 ATS. They have been cashing at home, covering 9 of their 12 home games with five going over and seven going under. They are averaging 76 points per game and giving up about 67 per contest.

Key Matchups

If the Panthers are to keep this game close they have to keep RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson under control. The Blue Devils are without Tre Jones who is their key facilitator, but Duke is good enough to win without him. The key for Pittsburgh is to make sure that both Barrett and Williamson don’t beat them. They may just have to let Barrett shoot and try and double Williamson. Barrett scores a lot of points, but he is just 31% from 3-point range. Pitt may just have to live with Barrett taking outside shots.

It should be noted that in two of the three games in which Barrett had his most shot attempts, Duke lost. What Pittsburgh can’t do is let Williamson dominate the game. He is shooting 66% from the field. The Panthers may simply have to play a zone defense to try and keep Williamson under control.

Key Stats

The Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. The Blue Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the ACC. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. the ACC.

The Over is 4-1-1 in the Blue Devils last 6 vs. the ACC. The Over is 21-10-1 in the Blue Devils last 32 road games.

The Under is 24-8 in the Panthers last 32 home games. The Under is 41-18 in the Panthers last 59 vs. the ACC. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in this series.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Top Wager
January 22, 2019
By Bookmaker

by Kyle Markus

NCAA Basketball Preview
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats

The Kentucky Wildcats have some competition in the SEC this season, so a conference championship won’t be a walk in the park like in past years. They have started off well in conference but have a tough matchup this week against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Both teams are ranked in the top-25, but the Wildcats are higher in the polls and have the home court advantage, which should make them the comfortable favorite. Mississippi State has not lost any game by more than five points this season and will aim to at least keep this one close, which could benefit it on the spread in college basketball gambling.

This NCAA basketball game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Kentucky Wildcats will be held at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 22th, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN.

We'll have NCAA basketball odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2019 NCAA basketball season.

Odds Analysis

Mississippi State has a record of 14-3 on the season. The Bulldogs have split their conference games, losing to South Carolina and Ole Miss before bouncing back with wins over Florida and Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs are in the top-25 in the nation but can’t afford a loss in this one if they want to stay in the mix in the SEC.

Kentucky has a mark of 14-3 on the year, as well, but with a superior conference record at 4-1. The Wildcats lost a close game to Alabama early in SEC play but enter this one on a four-game winning streak. Kentucky is always tough at home and has a good chance to keep pace with the teams above it in the conference standings.

Player To Watch

Quinndary Weatherspoon -- There aren’t a bunch of senior college basketball players anymore because many stars move on to the NBA as underclassmen. However, Weatherspoon has remained at Mississippi State for every season of his eligibility and is hoping to kickstart an upset in this one.

He is having a solid season, leading the team in scoring at 16.6 points per game while adding 5.8 rebounds. Weatherspoon has averaged in double figures in all four of his college seasons and has been in plenty of big games. He will look to be a calming influence on the court during this big-time matchup in a hostile environment.

Scheduling Situation

Kentucky’s schedule is really ramping up, and the way it handles this stretch could tell a lot about this team. The Wildcats are in the midst of facing off against three consecutive ranked teams. They knocked off Auburn by a bucket last time out and will follow this one up with a matchup against the Kansas Jayhawks.

Kentucky also has two games down the road against No. 1 Tennessee, so we will know soon whether the Wildcats have what it takes to capture the SEC.

Free NCAA Basketball ATS Picks

This is not an easy game for the Wildcats, who are facing a foe which has experience and talent. Kentucky is at home and has the better players, so it should win the game, but look to see where the spread comes in for this one. The Wildcats are a good team but it remains to be seen if they can truly be great.

Mississippi State should be able to show some of Kentucky’s vulnerability at times and do enough to cover the spread in NCAA basketball betting lines. The Wildcats and Bulldogs should play in an entertaining game and the “over” is a legitimate choice on the scoring total.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Kentucky Wildcats 79, Mississippi State Bulldogs 75