Announcement

**Udog** · 01-22-2019, 09:28 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Rutgers 76, Nebraska 67— Damaging loss for the Cornhuskers.

— Creighton 91, Georgetown 87— Very fun game to watch; refs weren’t calling flops!!!

— Kansas 80, Iowa State 76— Remind me in March that Iowa State is really good.

— Warriors 130, Lakers 111— Klay Thompson made his first ten 3-pointers.

— Nine of 11 NBA games Monday were decided by 10+ points.

— Has a former QB ever been an NFL defensive coordinator? Would make some sense.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Football players are really tough; Saints’ OT Andrus Peat played the last two weeks with a broken hand that he had operated on during the Saints’ bye week two weeks ago. Imagine a guy having to block Aaron Donald all day with a broken hand? Can’t be much fun.

12) One of the best parts of Super Bowl week is when the Westgate SuperBook puts out its prop bets for the game- last year, it was a 42-page PDF document. You can get into a lot of trouble with a document that is filled with 42 pages of wagering opportunities.

11) There are rumors that former Seahawks’ QB Jon Kitna will become the QB coach for the Cowboys; right now, he is offensive coordinator for the San Diego Fleet of the new AAF, where his boss is former Rams’ coach Mike Martz.

The AAF starts play on February 9, the Saturday after the Super Bowl.

10) Cincinnati Reds got P’s Sonny Gray, Reiver Sanmartin from Bronx in exchange for IF Shed Long and the Reds’ 2019 Competitive Balance Round A draft pick. Gray signed a contract thru the 2022 season; Gray will enjoy not facing the DH, but Cincinnati does have a small ballpark- over last five years, it ranks #11 out of 30 major league fields as a hitters’ ballpark.

9) This is a good time to remind everyone that for whatever reason, Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft once met Vladimir Putin; during the meeting, as the story goes, Kraft takes off his Super Bowl ring and shows it to Putin, who stuck the ring in his pocket and walked away.

That ring is still in Russia; Kraft appealed to the Obama administration, but was told to let it go. Why would Kraft be meeting Putin in the first place?

8) NFL announced their international games for next season:

Mexico City: Chiefs-Chargers
England: Panthers-Buccaneers, Bears-Raiders
Rams-Bengals, Texans-Jaguars

7) Danny the Glover checked in to let us know that this is the first time the same two cities have been opponents in the World Series/Super Bowl in same season since 1969, when Mets-Orioles met in the World Series, and Jets-Colts played in the Super Bowl.

6) How bad do you have to be in order to be a home underdog to the Chicago Bulls? Bulls came into Monday’s game on a 9-game losing streak, but beat Cleveland 104-88 as a 2-point road favorite. It was the first time the Bulls were favored anywhere since November 21.

5) NBA math; Houston Rockets are trading Carmelo Anthony (actually, his contract) and cash to Chicago but he’ll never play for the Bulls. Chicago will release him and he’ll be a free agent, if/when he clears waivers.

4) I’ll say this about NFL officiating: Seems like there are lot fewer penalties called in playoff games than during the regular season- they should call fewer penalties all the time.

3) Watching the Australian Open tennis tournament, they have a camera in the net at Rod Laver Arena, which gives them some cool replays. Kind of like the camera in the pylon by the goal line at football games, whoever decided that was a good idea deserves a raise.

2) From Mike Teevan: Tom Brady was drafted by the Montreal Expos in the 18th round of the 1995 baseball draft; Jared Goff’s dad Jerry was a major league catcher for six years; he played 55 games for the Expos, in 1990, 92.

1) Adam Long is a 31-year old golf journeyman who was making only his 6th PGA Tour start when he won the Desert Classic this past weekend, beating Phil Mickelson, Adam Hadwin by a stroke.

Getting your first PGA Tour win is a life-changing event; Long won $1,062,000 and now has a two-year exemption on the Tour. Huge day in his career.

**Udog** · 01-22-2019, 09:48 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 22

Sacramento @ Toronto

Game 529-530
January 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
117.727
Toronto
121.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 10 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+10 1/2); Under

Portland @ Oklahoma City

Game 531-532
January 22, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.995
Oklahoma City
124.777
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5
228
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-5); Under

LA Clippers @ Dallas

Game 533-534
January 22, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
108.495
Dallas
116.772
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4); Under

Minnesota @ Phoenix

Game 535-536
January 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
119.564
Phoenix
109.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 10
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-6); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 22

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SACRAMENTO (24 - 23) at TORONTO (35 - 13) - 1/22/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 73-53 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
TORONTO is 200-253 ATS (-78.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (29 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 18) - 1/22/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 71-56 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-61 ATS (-23.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (25 - 21) at DALLAS (20 - 26) - 1/22/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (22 - 24) at PHOENIX (11 - 37) - 1/22/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 22

Kings are 5-3 in their last eight games, 2-7 vs spread if they played night before. Last eight Sacramento games went under. Raptors won seven of last eight games, are 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Nine of their last 11 games went over. Toronto won/covered its last three games with Sacramento; last seven series games stayed under the total. Kings are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Canada.

Trailblazers won seven of last nine games, are 4-3 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Thunder are 3-2 in their last five games, 3-2-1 vs spread if they played night before. Six of their last seven games went over. Portland won eight of its last ten games with Oklahoma City; four of last five series games stayed under. Trailblazers covered three of their last four visits to Oklahoma.

Clippers lost five of their last six games; they covered four of their last five road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games, are 3-4 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Home side won last seven Clipper-Dallas games; four of last six series games went over the total. LA covered once in its last four visits to Dallas.

Timberwolves are 3-3 since changing coaches (over 5-1); they covered once in last four road games. Phoenix lost its last four games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games. Three of their last four games went over. Minnesota won seven of its last ten games with the Suns, beating Phoenix by hoop at home Sunday; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Wolves are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the desert.

NBA

Tuesday, January 22

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Trend Report
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Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Sacramento's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Sacramento is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
Toronto is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Toronto is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Portland's last 25 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Portland's last 23 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
Oklahoma City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 23 games when playing at home against Portland

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
LA Clippers is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games
Dallas is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Dallas is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Dallas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 17 games
Minnesota is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Minnesota is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Phoenix is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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**Udog** · 01-22-2019, 12:54 PM

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Blazers at Thunder – 8:05 PM EST

The Northwest division has proven to be the toughest from top to bottom in the league this season. The two teams sitting tied for second place behind Denver meet tonight in Oklahoma City as both play without rest. The Thunder (28-18 SU, 25-21 ATS) return home after pounding the hapless Knicks on Monday afternoon at Madison Square Garden, 127-109 as nine-point favorites. OKC shot over 60% from the floor in the first half, while Paul George paced the Thunder with 31 points to continue a career season in which he is averaging 26.8 points per game.

The Blazers (29-19 SU, 26-22 ATS) face another tough road task inside the Northwest tonight after rallying past the Jazz on Monday, 109-104. Portland erased a seven-point halftime deficit by outscoring Utah, 39-28 in the third quarter, while beating the Jazz for the first time in three matchups this season. Damian Lillard burned the Jazz for 26 points, while Portland limited Utah to 40% shooting from the floor to pick up their third consecutive victory.

Both teams own winning records playing the second of a back-to-back this season as the Blazers are 4-3 SU/ATS, while the Thunder have compiled a 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS mark in this situation. Portland swept the four-game season series from Oklahoma City in 2017-18, but the Thunder captured the first meeting this season at the Moda Center, 111-109 as a one-point underdog earlier this month. George and Russell Westbrook combined to score 68 points to end an eight-game skid in Portland dating back to October 2014.

Oklahoma City begins a three-game homestand, which includes visits from New Orleans on Thursday and Milwaukee on Sunday. The Thunder are riding a 6-1 OVER run the last seven games overall, while hitting the OVER in six of the past seven home contests. Portland has cashed in nine of the previous 12 games, which includes a 4-1 ATS record in the last five road affairs.

Crown Concerns

The Kings (24-23 SU, 27-20 ATS) continue a six-game homestand tonight after getting routed by the Nets on Monday, 123-94. Sacramento was held to nine points in the fourth quarter, while hitting the UNDER for the eighth consecutive game. The Kings have scored less than 100 points twice on this road trip, as Sacramento has lost six of the past seven games away from Golden 1 Center dating back to mid-December.

Sacramento heads north of the border to Toronto trying to improve on a 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS record with no rest. The Raptors (35-13 SU, 21-27 ATS) moved to 20-4 at Scotiabank Arena following Saturday’s 119-90 blowout of the Grizzlies as 10 ½-point favorites. Toronto ended a three-game ATS slide by putting together a monstrous third quarter effort as the Raptors outscored the Grizzlies, 45-14 to take a 38-point lead. Danny Green drilled eight three-pointers for Toronto, who played the second straight game without leading scorer Kawhi Leonard, who is expected to return to the lineup tonight.

The Kings beat the Raptors four consecutive times from November 2015 through November 2016, but Toronto has won each of the past three matchups. When these teams hooked up in Sacramento back in November, the Raptors held off the Kings, 114-105 to barely cash as 8 ½-point favorites. The Raptors outrebounded the Kings, 53-31 in the win, while Leonard and Serge Ibaka each posted double-doubles in the victory.

Texas Two-Step?

The Clippers (25-21 SU, 25-21 ATS) suffered through a miserable homestand by going 0-4, which included back-to-back blowout losses to the Jazz and Warriors. Los Angeles snapped a five-game skid in Sunday’s 103-95 triumph at San Antonio as 9 ½-point underdogs, while limiting a team to less than 100 points in a road win for the first time since early November at Orlando. The Clippers beat the Spurs for the first time in three meetings, as L.A. hit the UNDER for the eighth time in the past 10 games.

Los Angeles remains in the Lone Star State tonight for a meeting in Dallas with the struggling Mavericks (20-26 SU, 27-19 ATS). Dallas dropped to a miserable 4-20 on the highway following a pair of losses at Indiana and Milwaukee, but the Mavs managed a cover as 11-point underdogs in Monday’s 116-106 setback to the Bucks. Playing without rest has not been a situation to support Rick Carlisle’s squad, as the Mavericks have compiled an 0-7 SU and 3-4 ATS mark on the second of a back-to-back this season.

The Mavs are significantly better at home than on road, as Dallas owns a solid 16-6 mark at American Airlines Center. However, Dallas has lost three of the past four at home, including recent close defeats to San Antonio and Golden State. The home team has captured the first two meetings this season, while both contests finished OVER the total. The Clippers are seeking their first victory in Dallas since November 2016 as the home squad has won each of the past seven meetings.

Let’s Do It Again

The Timberwolves and Suns are hooking up for the second time in three days as the teams shift out to Phoenix tonight. In Sunday’s contest at the Target Center, Minnesota (22-24 SU, 23-23 ATS) rallied for a 116-114 triumph, but the Wolves failed to cash as 12-point favorites. Derrick Rose came off the bench to pace the Wolves with 31 points, while Karl-Anthony Towns scored 30 points and pulled down 12 rebounds as Minnesota was aided by hitting 32 free throws.

Phoenix (11-37 SU, 22-26 ATS) is back at home after going winless on its four-game road swing, as the Suns are 8-2 ATS in the past 10 away contests. The Suns had dropped six consecutive home games from December 28 through January 6, but Phoenix is fresh off back-to-back home underdog wins over Sacramento and Denver.

These teams are meeting for the third time this season as the Suns took care of the Wolves in the first matchup in the Valley in mid-December, 107-99 as 7 ½-point underdogs. This is the 13th time this season that two teams are playing a home-and-home set, as our industry friends at VSIN note that clubs losing the first matchup are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in the second affair.

**Udog** · 01-22-2019, 12:54 PM

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Kings are 11-0 ATS (+10.18 ppg) with no rest off a double-digit road loss in which they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Raptors are 0-9 ATS (-7.56 ppg) as a favorite with more than one day of rest when they are off a double-digit win and they won at least three straight vs their opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Raptors are 10-0 OU (+18.85 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a win when they had six-plus double digit scorers in each of their last two games.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-9 OU (-16.17 ppg) off a game as a dog that had at least eight lead changes.

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/22

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/22

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