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**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 08:09 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks for Week 15 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Indianapolis Colts -3 (999) W

2) Tennessee Titans +2.5 (911) W

3) Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (877) L

4) New England Patriots -2.5 (865) L

5) Green Bay Packers +6 (743) L

6) Cleveland Browns +3 (701) W

Season record: 46-41-3

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Colts 23, Cowboys 0— Indy won for 7th time in its last eight games; Dallas had their five-game win streak snapped. Cowboys are 2-5 on road this season; they had ball twice in red zone, turned it over both times, and had a 47-yard FG blocked on their first drive of the game.

Colts are tied with Ravens/Titans for #6 seed in AFC with two weeks left; they ran ball for 178 yards in this game. Andrew Luck has to be Comeback Player of the Year, yes?

Vikings 41, Dolphins 17— Minnesota went right down field first three times they had ball, scoring on TD drives of 76-60-70 yards, then Cousins threw a pick-6 on 4th drive and things got a little dicey, but Vikings pulled away late.

Vikings had nine sacks; Miami had 12 first downs and only 37 net passing yards. Yardage in this game was 418-193. Minnesota is 5-2 as a home favorite this year, 22-7 under Zimmer. Miami is 7-14 as road underdogs under Gase- they lost their last six road games.

Bengals 30, Raiders 16— 1:00 games were lackluster Sunday; 14 of the 18 teams stayed under their team total for the game. Bengals out rushed Oakland 171-68; two of their three TD drives were less than 50 yards (45-21 yards)- they scored 30 points but gained only 294 yards.

Bengals snapped a 5-game losing streak with this win; they won their home finale the last seven years. Oakland heads home for what is likely their last-ever game in Oakland next Sunday. Cincy QB Driskel gets his first NFL win as a starting QB. Over is 5-2 in Bengals’ last seven games.

Ravens 20, Buccaneers 12— Lamar Jackson is now 4-1 as a starting QB; Ravens ran ball for 242 yards, running 27 more plays (74-47) than Tampa Bay on a rainy day in Maryland. Tampa Bay went for two after its first TD and failed, then never scored another TD all day.

Buccaneers lost their last six road games; they’re 2-4-1 as road underdogs. Ravens are 5-2 SU at home- they’re tied with Colts/Titans for last playoff spot in AFC.

Bills 14, Lions 13— Buffalo is 3-2 in its last five games; they scored winning TD with 10:26 left and now they’re now- their win total for season is 6.5, so they’d have to win in Foxboro next week to have a shot at going over and that ain’t happening. Buffalo actually ran out of running backs in this game; all their active RB’s got hurt.

Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they scored 15.5 ppg the last four games. How is a team that pays its QB $28M a year this bad on offense? They have same offensive coaches they had last year; was Golden Tate that important a player for them? Seven of Lions’ last eight games stayed under the total.

Bears 24, Packers 17— Just third win in last 17 series games for Chicago, as Bears clinch the NFC North for first time since 2010, going 7-1 at home for first time since ’05. Chicago is 10-0 this year when they allow less than 24 points. Chicago had a 10-yard edge in field position.

Packers lost six of their last eight games- they’re 0-7 on road, 1-3-1 as road underdogs. Interesting to see with Packers eliminated, if Aaron Rodgers plays the last two games.

Titans 17, Giants 0— Tennessee ran ball for 215 yards on a rainy, dismal day in Swamp Stadium. Titans have now won three games in row; this was only second loss in last six games for Giants.

This was the Titans’ first shutout since a Christmas Day win over Dallas in 2000. Tennessee is tied for last playoff spot; those two 1-point losses back in October have to sting now. Titns are 8-6; this was only 4th time the season they led at halftime.

Redskins 16, Jaguars 13— Josh Johnson’s last NFL start was December 4, 2011, a 38-19 loss for Tampa Bay against the Panthers. Seven years later, he gets his first win (1-5) as an NFL starter, and the Redskins are still alive in the playoff race.- they’re half-game behind Minnesota for the #6 seed. Washington is 7-0 when they allow 17 or fewer points, 0-7 when they allow more.

Jacksonville had 20 net passing yards in this game, averaging 0.9 yards per attempt. Jaguars lost nine of their last ten games; they’ve scored one TD on their last 30 drives, and stayed under their team total in eight of last ten games. They should draft Kyler Murray.

Falcons 40, Cardinals 7— Atlanta took out its frustrations on the Cardinals as they snapped a 5-game losing skid; Falcons ran ball for 215 yards, outgained Arizona 435-253 and were +3 in turnovers. Atlanta also scored a defensive TD in breaking its 5-game losing streak.

Redbirds are 5-11 in last 16 games as road underdogs, 3-4 this year; they’ve lost by 10-33 points in their two games on artificial turf this season.

**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 08:21 AM

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Blazers at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

The 15-6 start for Los Angeles (17-12 SU, 16-13 ATS) seems like a distant memory as the Clippers own a 2-6 record in December. One of those victories came in overtime at Phoenix, while edging New Orleans on the road two weeks ago. The two home setbacks this month have been ugly, losing by 23 points to Miami and 24 points to Toronto. In spite of those two blowouts, the Clippers own a solid 9-3 record at Staples Center.

The Clippers snapped an 0-5 ATS skid with a narrow cover at Oklahoma City on Saturday in a 110-104 loss as 6 ½-point underdogs. Granted, L.A. needed to outscore OKC by 11 points in the fourth quarter to cash tickets, but the Clippers have allowed at least 110 points in eight of the past nine games. The Clips were able to get 50 points from Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari, but L.A. is still missing bench spark Lou Williams, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury.

The Blazers (16-13 SU, 14-15 ATS) snapped a two-game skid by slowing down the red-hot Raptors on Saturday, 128-122 as 1 ½-point home underdogs. Eight Portland players finished in double-figures, led by Damian Lillard’s 24 points, while the Blazers dropped 70 points on Toronto in the second half. In the win, Portland ended a five-game UNDER streak as the OVER of 216 easily hit.

These two Western Conference squads have split a pair of matchups this season, both at the Moda Center. Portland pulled away from L.A. on November 8 to cash as five-point favorites, 116-105, while staying UNDER the total of 225 ½. The Clippers picked up revenge in the second matchup on November25 as four-point underdogs in a 104-100 triumph, as L.A. overcame a 13-point halftime deficit by outscoring Portland, 38-16 in the third quarter to blow the game open.

Double Rocket Revenge

In last season’s second round of the playoffs, Houston make quick work of Utah by winning, 4-1 to advance to the Western Conference Finals. Things have turned in Utah’s favor this season, as the Jazz (14-16 SU, 14-16 ATS) cruised past the Rockets (14-14 SU, 12-16 ATS) in a pair of routs in the first two matchups. In the most recent meeting in Salt Lake City earlier this month, the Jazz grounded the Rockets, 118-91 thanks to a 38-11 third quarter burst, in spite of only six points from Donovan Mitchell.

However, Utah has struggled since that rout of Houston by dropping three of the past four games. The most recent defeat came in Mexico City to Orlando on Saturday in a 96-89 setback as 6 ½-point favorites. Utah shot only 31% from the floor, while the Jazz finished UNDER the total for the fourth time in five games.

Houston is going in the opposite direction through this roller-coaster ride in the first two months of the season. The Rockets are on the uptick of late by winning three straight games, capped off by Saturday’s 105-97 triumph at Memphis, led by James Harden’s second consecutive triple-double with 32 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists. Mike D’Antoni’s squad owns a 7-1 record the last eight games at Toyota Center since starting 0-4 at home, which included an 11-point setback to Utah on October 24.

Spiked Out

The Spurs (15-15 SU, 14-15-1 ATS) were in control over the Bulls on Saturday by jumping out to a 19-point halftime lead. San Antonio was primed for its fifth consecutive win on its current homestand, but disaster struck in the second half as the Bulls outscored the Spurs, 55-31 to pick up the 98-93 upset as 9 ½-point underdogs. Now, San Antonio needs to regroup against Philadelphia, as the 76ers (20-11 SU, 14-17 ATS) wrap up a quick two-game road trip.

Philadelphia will be playing with no rest after pounding Cleveland in a revenge spot on Sunday, 128-105. Jimmy Butler returned to the 76ers’ lineup after missing the last two games with a groin injury as the forward put up 19 points, while Ben Simmons registered a triple-double by scoring 22 points, pulling down 11 rebounds, and dishing out 14 assists. The Sixers have struggled on the second of a back-to-back set this season by going 1-4 SU/ATS, while hitting the OVER four times in this situation.

Grizz Frizz

Following a strong start to the season, the Grizzlies (16-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) have lost four of five games to slip out of first place in the Southwest. The last two defeats for Memphis came at FedEx Forum to Houston and Miami after beginning the campaign with a 12-1 home record. The Grizzlies will have their hands full as they begin a four-game western road swing, which starts at Golden State on Monday, followed by stops in Portland, Sacramento, and Los Angeles to face the Lakers.

The Warriors (20-10 SU, 13-17 ATS) overcame a late 10-point deficit on Friday to stun the Kings, 130-125, led by Stephen Curry’s 35 points and 33 points from Kevin Durant. Golden State went from dropping six in a row away from Oracle Arena to winning four consecutive road games to vault back into the top spot of the Pacific. The Warriors pulled away from the Grizzlies in the first matchup this season in Oakland, 117-101 to cash as 14-point favorites.

Detroit Duel

The Pistons (14-13 SU, 14-13 ATS) put a halt to a six-game losing streak in an impressive 113-104 victory over the Celtics on Saturday as short home underdogs. Detroit avenged a pair of losses to Boston as Blake Griffin scored 27 points, while Andre Drummond pulled down 20 rebounds to give the Pistons its first home win since December 1 against Golden State.

Detroit welcomes in Milwaukee as the Bucks (19-9 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) finish off a three-game road trip within the division. The Bucks were tripped up at Indiana to begin the swing, but rebounded by beating Cleveland on Friday, 114-102 as 9 ½-point favorites. Giannis Antetokounmpo torched the Cavaliers for 44 points on 14-of-19 shooting, while knocking down 16 free throws. Milwaukee pounded Detroit in its first meeting at Fiserv Forum earlier this month, 115-92 as 7 ½-point favorites, while hitting the UNDER in the first of a current six-game UNDER streak.

**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 08:23 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 17

Milwaukee won four of its last six games; they’re 5-7 vs spread on road this year. Bucks’ last six games stayed under the total. Pistons lost five of their last six games; they’re 6-3-1 vs spread in last ten home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Home side won last seven Milwaukee-Detroit games; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 4-0-1 in last five series games.

Suns won their last ten games after a 10-game skid; they’re 0-5 vs spread in their last five road games. Nine of last 11 games stayed under. New York lost six of its last seven games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Knicks won four of last six games with Phoenix; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Suns are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan.

Sacramento won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Minnesota is home after an 0-4 road trip; they covered four of their last five home games. Under is 16-4-1 in Wolves’ last 21 games. Kings/Wolves split their last ten games; Sacramento covered three of last four. Kings are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Minnesota. Seven of last nine series games went over.

Chicago lost 10 of its last 12 games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 5-1 in Bulls’ games since the coaching change. Oklahoma City is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 8-2-1 vs spread in their last 11 home games. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Bulls/Thunder split their last ten games; Chicago is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to OKC. Five of last seven series games stayed under the total.

Utah lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Rockets won/covered its last three games; they covered their last three home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Jazz won last two games with Houston, after losing seven of previous eight meetings; they’re 3-0 vs spread in last three visits here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

Philly won seven of its last ten games; they’re 5-9 vs spread on road this year. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Spurs won/covered four of its last five games, all at home; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games as a HF. San Antonio’s last four games stayed under the total. 76ers won last two games with San Antonio, after losing previous eight; Sixers covered their last three visits to the Alamo. Seven of last ten series games stayed under.

Memphis lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Golden State won five of its last six games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Warriors won five of last six games with Memphis; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Grizzlies are 2-4 vs spread in their last six visits to Oakland.

Portland is 4-8 in its last dozen games; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last 10 road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Clippers lost five of their last six games (0-5-1 vs spread); they’re 8-3-1 vs spread at home. Four of their last six games stayed umder. Clippers lost four of last five games with Portland; five of last six series games stayed under. Trailblazers covered three of last four series games played here.

**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 08:28 AM

NBA

Monday, December 17

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Phoenix is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Sacramento's last 15 games
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Minnesota's last 21 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Utah Jazz
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Utah is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
Utah is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Chicago is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
San Antonio is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Portland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Portland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 10 games when playing at home against Portland

Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 18 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 18 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis

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**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 08:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 17

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 529-530
December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.667
Detroit
112.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 13 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 531-532
December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.733
New York
113.607
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 3
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-1 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Minnesota

Game 533-534
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
117.515
Minnesota
122.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+8); Over

Chicago @ Oklahoma City

Game 535-536
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
106.755
Oklahoma City
122.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 16
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 13
213
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-13); Under

Utah @ Houston

Game 537-538
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.473
Houston
124.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
Even
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+5); Under

Philadelphia @ San Antonio

Game 539-540
December 17, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
119.403
San Antonio
118.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+1); Over

Memphis @ Golden State

Game 541-542
December 17, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.473
Golden State
134.727
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
211
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11); Under

Portland @ LA Clippers

Game 543-544
December 17, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
112.482
LA Clippers
116.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2); Under

**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 09:06 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 17

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MILWAUKEE (19 - 9) at DETROIT (14 - 13) - 12/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 139-179 ATS (-57.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (6 - 24) at NEW YORK (9 - 22) - 12/17/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 48-62 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (16 - 13) at MINNESOTA (13 - 16) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 23) at OKLAHOMA CITY (18 - 10) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (14 - 16) at HOUSTON (14 - 14) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (15 - 15) - 12/17/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1062-933 ATS (+35.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 842-719 ATS (+51.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 350-291 ATS (+29.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 116-88 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 67-48 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (16 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (20 - 10) - 12/17/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-72 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (16 - 13) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 12) - 12/17/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-17-2018, 10:24 AM

Games to Watch - Week 10

While some leagues slow down as we head into holiday season, the NBA kicks into high gear, including having a handful of games on Christmas Day. We are, though, getting a little ahead of ourselves here, as there is a full week of NBA action to cram in before we get right into the heart of the Christmas schedule.

We might finally be starting to see some cracks in the Toronto Raptors armor in the Eastern Conference, as the chasing pack closed some ground last week. Things remain tight in the West, though, with Denver continuing to maintain their surprise lead at the top.

There are a lot of very good games on tap this coming week, but we have narrowed it down to three that we really like, so let’s take a closer look at our hand-picked games.

Monday - Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors

It is more than a little odd to be 30 games into the season and not see the Golden State Warriors sitting atop the Western Conference. There is no reason for any sort of alarm, though, as they are just a half game out of the top spot. They will get the new week started with a home tilt against the Memphis Grizzlies, who are currently in the #6 spot and just 4 games out of first place. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season, with the Warriors taking the first game by a comfortable score of 117-101. That win represented the 3rd straight time that Golden State had beaten Memphis, a run that extends into last season. The Grizzlies have lost back to back games and could be in trouble against a Golden State team that is 12-3 at home this season.

Tuesday - Los Angeles Lakers at Brooklyn Nets

Prior to the start of the season, there were many people who doubted that LeBron James would able to seriously elevate the LA Lakers this season. The general consensus was that a couple of more pieces were required before the Lakers would be battling for the West. Fast forward 30 games and you find the LA Lakers in the #4 spot, just 2 ½ games back of the pace being set by the Denver Nuggets. It’s a great accomplishment to be sure, but there is still a lot of work to be done. The Lakers will head to NYC on Tuesday night to face the Brooklyn Nets as they look to get the week off to a winning start. The Lakers are a game below .500 on the road, but you have to like their chances against a Nets team that is just 6-10 in their own building.

Wednesday - Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics

The Celtics ended last week with a loss that kept them down in the #5 spot in the Eastern Conference, but that defeat aside, there are still signs that Boston are snapping out of their early season swoon. They are now winners of 8 of their last 10 games and they have been particularly tough to beat at home, going 9-3 in the Garden to this point in the season. Next up is a home tilt against the truly awful Phoenix Suns, a team that has just 6 wins on the season and only 1 win away from home. It’s tough to see this being anything other than a blowout win for the Boston Celtics.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/17

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/17

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