Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2018, 08:43 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Five NFL teams who started season 0-3 and still made playoffs:

— 1992 Chargers started out 0-4 and got to the Super Bowl.

— 1981 Jets lost the Wild Card game at home to Buffalo.

— 1995 Lions lost Wild Card game 58-37 to Philadelphia.

— 1998 Bills (with Doug Flutie at QB) lost Wild Card game 24-17 to Miami.

— 1982 Buccaneers made playoffs in strike-shortened season.

— 2018 Texans started season 0-3, look like a good bet to make playoffs.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Planning way too far ahead: NFL announced that the 2020 NFL Draft will be held in Las Vegas, and I’ve already penciled that week in for a visit to the desert- thats going to be fun.

I’ve always wanted to go to the draft so that will get checked off the list next year; plus, the A’s AAA team plays in Vegas suburb Summerlin now so that could be a very busy week.

12) Speaking of Las Vegas, the Raiders are moving there in 2020, but it looks like they don’t have a home for 2019, with the city of Oakland suing the team.

My pick for where the NFL goes is San Antonio’s domed stadium, there is no NFL tenant there now- thats where the Saints played their home games when the Superdome was damaged after Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

11) Odd baseball stat: Over last two years, Texas Rangers’ DH Joey Gallo has hit 81 home runs but only 70 singles. That doesn’t seem possible, but it is true.

10) Kawhi Leonard is a great basketball player, but the Toronto Raptors are 7-1 in games he’s missed this season; they just beat Clippers/Warriors without him on back/back nights.

9) This is Finals Week for most colleges, so hardly any college basketball this week, so credit to MLB Network for saving the TV week at the Winter Meetings, even though there wasn’t a lot of action as far as free agent signings or trades- lot of good conversation, though.

8) Word of the Day: Quisling- a traitor who collaborates with an enemy force.

Learned this word from watching Billions on Showtime, which is a great series that is well worth your time. When they used the word on Billions, had to go online and look it up, had never heard it before. Neither did one of the characters on the show.

7) This from Chris Fallica: Last 20 times an SEC team has been a 6+ point underdog in a bowl, (this goes back to 1999), the SEC team is 16-4 vs spread with 11 SU wins. Kentucky, Florida are both getting more than six points in their bowl games this month.

6) ESPN’s Jeff Van Gundy is one of us, a sports junkie- the guy is ESPN’s #1 NBA analyst but he went to two high school basketball games last week, and was complaining that high school hoop games (in most states) don’t have shot clocks (they do here in NY).

There was a Duke-North Carolina basketball game in the late 70’s that was 7-0 Duke at halftime; this was just before ESPN started and six years before the shot clock came to college ball, but I was in college back then and basketball without the shot clock was a game that coaches could strangle and they often did. Much better game now, way better.

5) Chargers 29, Chiefs 28— Wow, Chargers scored with 0:04 left to make it 28-27, then went for 2 and the win and ran a play that was totally wide open for the score. Bolts led this game only :04, but it was the right :04.

Teams are tied at 11-3, but Chargers have one more divisional loss, so Chiefs’ game in Seattle next week becomes a huge game in the AFC West.

4) Charlie Morton gets $30M for two years from the Tampa Bay Rays that makes Morton the highest-paid Ray (or Devil Ray) ever, at $15M a year.

3) There was a 3-way trade in baseball:
Indians get: Carlos Santana and Jake Bauers.
Mariners get: Edwin Encarnacion and a competitive balance draft pick.
Rays get: Yandy Diaz and a player to be named later

2) Not only is Carson Wentz highly doubtful for Sunday night against the Rams, he could easily be done for the season. Wentz has a broken vertebrae in his back.

1) Best wishes to Seattle Mariners’ GM Jerry Dipoto, who was hospitalized this week with blood clots near his lung. Get well soon, sir.

**Udog** · 12-14-2018, 08:49 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 14

Illinois-Chicago @ DePaul

Game 801-802
December 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois-Chicago
59.126
DePaul
56.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 2 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
DePaul
by 9 1/2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois-Chicago
(+9 1/2); Over

Florida Atlantic @ Arkansas St

Game 803-804
December 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
45.822
Arkansas St
52.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 6 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 1 1/2
151
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-1 1/2); Over

Green Bay @ Creighton

Game 805-806
December 14, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
55.392
Creighton
70.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Creighton
by 15
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Creighton
by 18 1/2
169
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+18 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IL-CHICAGO (4 - 6) at DEPAUL (6 - 2) - 12/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in December games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DEPAUL is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DEPAUL is 1-1 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DEPAUL is 1-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (7 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 6) - 12/14/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (6 - 4) at CREIGHTON (6 - 3) - 12/14/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 129-98 ATS (+21.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 14

Ill-Chicago lost three of its last four games with DePaul, losing by 1-27-10 points; UIC lost three of its last four games overall- they’re 4-6 vs schedule #50. Flames are experience team #191 that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 17-9-12 points. UIC is 0-5 in true road games, with one loss by less than 10 points. DePaul is 6-2, but vs schedule #347; Blue Demons are experience team #65 that is making only 29.7% of its 3’s. DePaul has played three top 60 teams (1-2) and five teams ranked #274 or lower (50)— #174 UIC falls right in middle of all that.

Arkansas State won 64-63 at Florida Atlantic LY, outscoring Owls 4-0 over last 0:45. This year, FAU is 5-2 vs schedule #322; Owls split a couple of true road games, that were decided by total of three points- they were down 20 in game they won. FAU is experience team #238 that is turning ball over 22.4% of time; they’re 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with only loss by point at Bethune-Cookman. Arkansas State is 2-6 vs schedule #143; they’re experience team #62 that is 1-2 vs teams outside top 200 and is shooting only 43.9% inside the arc.

Creighton lost its last two games after a 6-1 start; all three of their losses are to top 25 teams. Bluejays are experience team #301 that is playing pace #85- they’ve made 45.2% of their 3’s (#3 in country) this season. Creighton is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with three wins by 12 or fewer points. Green Bay is 4-4 vs schedule #104; they’re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Iowa, Oregon, both by 11 points- they beat Belmont at home. Phoenix ix experience team #111 that plays tempo #9- teams are shooting 31.7% (#101) on arc against them.

NCAAB

Friday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Howard @ George Washington
Howard
No trends to report
George Washington
George Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Howard
The total has gone OVER in 12 of George Washington's last 17 games at home

Brewton-Parker @ Georgia Southern
Brewton-Parker
No trends to report
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brewton-Parker
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brewton-Parker

UIC @ DePaul
UIC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UIC's last 6 games when playing DePaul
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UIC's last 5 games on the road
DePaul
DePaul is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
DePaul is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UIC

Florida Atlantic @ Arkansas State
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games

Arlington Baptist @ Houston Baptist
Arlington Baptist
No trends to report
Houston Baptist
No trends to report

Mayville State @ North Dakota
Mayville State
No trends to report
North Dakota
North Dakota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
North Dakota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mayville State

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Creighton
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin-Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Creighton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Creighton's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Creighton's last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Comment

Comment