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Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

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  • Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 13

    Good Luck on day #347 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Looking at teams who allowed highest %age of 20+-yard plays on 1st down:

    — Patriots have allowed 56 plays plays of 20+ yards; 37 on 1st down (66.1%)

    — Chargers 32 of 52 plays (61.5%)

    — Jets 42 of 71 plays (59.2%)

    — Buccaneers 37 of 65 plays (56.9%)

    — Steelers 30 of 55 plays (54.5%)

    — Eagles 34 of 64 plays (53.1%)

    — Lowest %age: Dallas 11 of 40 plays (27.5%)


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) If you were a college football player, which bowl would you NOT want to play in? There are a ton of bowls, 39 if I counted right. We’ll talk about this later on this month, but no way would I want to go somewhere cold, like Boise or the Bronx or Detroit. Bowl games should be warm; at least the game in Detroit is indoors.

    Anyway, did you know players get swag bags at bowl games? Here are three of some of the best swag collections EVERY player gets at these games………

    12) New Mexico Bowl North Texas vs. Utah State
    — Oakley Jupiter Squared sunglasses
    — Oakley 5 Speed backpack
    — Bluetooth speaker
    — water bottle
    — beanie
    — Montgomery pen
    — Pacific Headwear trucker’s cap

    11) Valero Alamo Bowl Iowa State vs. Washington State
    — $425 Amazon gift card— Every kid gets $425, a good deal for the scrubs
    — Fossil watch
    — mini helmet
    — team panoramic photo

    10) AutoZone Liberty Bowl Missouri vs. Oklahoma State ¦
    — Shopping trip to Memphis’ Bass Pro Shops
    — Bose SoundLink micro Bluetooth speaker;
    — Bulova watch
    — Nike athletic shoes
    — sport sandals
    — backpack and sunglasses
    — football

    9) Minnesota QB coach Kevin Stefanski will take over as the new offensive coordinator of the Minnesota Vikings, after John DeFilippo was fired Tuesday. Here’s an idea; let your QB call his own damn plays— he makes $28M a year, I’m guessing he could do it.

    8) We mentioned the other day how Mike MacIntyre got fired as the head coach at Colorado and is now the DC at Ole Miss. Turns out that MacIntyre will now be making over $1M more per year than he was at Colorado, and he’s not even the head coach.

    7) I have the NBA Full Court package on DirecTV; I enjoy watching good basketball, but I read the stuff about the Chicago Bulls revolting against their new coach and not wanting to practice the day after a 56-point loss and it makes me want to cancel my subscription.

    Not sure what the solution is, but the league has a problem on its hands.

    6) The sport that loses the most in transition from in person to on TV is hockey. If you’ve never gone to a college or pro hockey game, you should— it is great fun. Watch the officials; they’re such great skaters.

    5) I think Bob Uecker should’ve gotten an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Indians’ radio announcer Harry Doyle in the fine baseball movie Major League.

    4) As recently as 1999, Vice-President Mike Pence was a radio talkshow host in Indiana. The guy’s head has to be spinning; his every move now is fodder for late-night comedians.

    You have any idea how hard it is to just sit there with no emotion or no motion like he did in the Oval Office Tuesday? Someone on the Interweb compared him to the dead guy in Weekend at Bernie’s, and it didn’t seem like that big a stretch to agree with him.

    3) Tampa Bay Rays’ plans for a new ballpark in Ybor City officially died this week when owner Stu Sternberg had a press conference at the Winter Meetings. Sounds like the Rays might be locked into the Trop now, until 2027- they could easily wind up in Montreal eventually.

    2) The Heisman Trophy that Tim Brown won in 1987 sold for $435,763 at a public auction recently. Lot of money for a trophy.

    1) Pretty cool that the Blue Jays will be paying Troy Tulowitzki $18.4M a year for the next two years, while he probably plays 2B for the A’s, who will be paying him the big league minimum. Now if he can only stay healthy…….

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Thursday, December 13


      Morehead State @ Samford

      Game 601-602
      December 13, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Morehead State
      53.285
      Samford
      54.392
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Samford
      by 1
      149
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Samford
      by 9
      151 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Morehead State
      (+9); Under

      East Washington @ San Francisco


      Game 603-604
      December 13, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      East Washington
      52.660
      San Francisco
      66.045
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Francisco
      by 13 1/2
      142
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Francisco
      by 18 1/2
      139 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      East Washington
      (+18 1/2); Over





      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Thursday, December 13


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MOREHEAD ST (3 - 6) at SAMFORD (8 - 2) - 12/13/2018, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAMFORD is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
      SAMFORD is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
      SAMFORD is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      SAMFORD is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      SAMFORD is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      E WASHINGTON (1 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 1) - 12/13/2018, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E WASHINGTON is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in December games since 1997.
      E WASHINGTON is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
      E WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
      E WASHINGTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 96-132 ATS (-49.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 94-131 ATS (-50.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, December 13


      Morehead State is 1-6 vs D-I teams, with two non-D-I wins; Eagles are experience team #145 team (#13 in MC) that has played schedule #55- they’re eFG% is #318 on offense, #319 on defense, no bueno. Morehead starts two seniors and a junior; they were down 20 at the half in their last game, at Marshall. Samford is 8-2 vs schedule #343; Bulldogs are #232 experience team that is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with all five wins by 13+ points. Samford’s two losses are both against top 100 teams, Ohio State/Belmont.

      USF beat Eastern Washington 81-71 LY, after losing to the Eagles the three years before that. EWU is 1-6 vs schedule #31; Eagles are experience team #244 that subs a lot (bench minutes #43); their three top 100 losses are by 32-34-24 points. EW made 37.9% of their 3’s LY; they’re making 28.6% this year (#311), only 43.7% of their 2’s (#321), 60.9% of FT’s (#334) so they can’t shoot. San Francisco is 8-1 vs schedule #258, with only loss to Buffalo in Ireland. Dons are #72 experience team that is shooting 60.3% inside arc; they’re 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with wins by 34-32-19 points.

      Odd note: Morehead State’s one D-I win and Eastern Washington’s only win are both against UMKC, which is 2-7 but won its last two games.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2018, 12:07 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Thursday, December 13


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        Trend Report
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        Huntingdon College @ North Alabama
        Huntingdon College
        No trends to report
        North Alabama
        No trends to report

        St. Edward's @ Rice
        St. Edward's
        No trends to report
        Rice
        Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Edward's
        Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Edward's

        Kennesaw State @ Gardner-Webb
        Kennesaw State
        No trends to report
        Gardner-Webb
        No trends to report

        Northwestern Ohio @ Wright State
        Northwestern Ohio
        No trends to report
        Wright State
        Wright State is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
        Wright State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

        Averett @ Longwood
        Averett
        No trends to report
        Longwood
        No trends to report

        North Florida @ Florida International
        North Florida
        No trends to report
        Florida International
        Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        Maryland-Eastern Shore @ Duquesne
        Maryland-Eastern Shore
        No trends to report
        Duquesne
        Duquesne is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duquesne's last 13 games at home

        Central Penn College @ Campbell
        Central Penn College
        No trends to report
        Campbell
        No trends to report

        Boston University @ Dartmouth
        Boston University
        No trends to report
        Dartmouth
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dartmouth's last 5 games
        Dartmouth is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

        Wisconsin-Milwaukee @ UMKC
        Wisconsin-Milwaukee
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 8 games
        UMKC
        UMKC is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
        UMKC is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

        Morehead State @ Samford
        Morehead State
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Morehead State's last 6 games when playing Samford
        Morehead State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Samford
        Samford is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 6 games when playing Morehead State

        North Carolina Central @ McNeese State
        North Carolina Central
        No trends to report
        McNeese State
        No trends to report

        Savannah State @ Wisconsin
        Savannah State
        No trends to report
        Wisconsin
        Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games at home

        New Orleans @ Tulsa
        New Orleans
        No trends to report
        Tulsa
        Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        Tulsa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

        Millsaps @ Jackson State
        Millsaps
        No trends to report
        Jackson State
        No trends to report

        Eastern Washington @ San Francisco
        Eastern Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games
        Eastern Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        San Francisco
        San Francisco is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
        San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

        Mississippi Valley State @ Santa Clara
        Mississippi Valley State
        No trends to report
        Santa Clara
        Santa Clara is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        Santa Clara is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

        Lamar @ Cal State-Bakersfield
        Lamar
        No trends to report
        Cal State-Bakersfield
        Cal State-Bakersfield is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        Cal State-Bakersfield is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

        Westcliff @ Sacramento State
        Westcliff
        No trends to report
        Sacramento State
        Sacramento State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Sacramento State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2018, 12:08 PM.

        Comment

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