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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 13

    Good Luck on day #347 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Looking at teams who allowed highest %age of 20+-yard plays on 1st down:

    — Patriots have allowed 56 plays plays of 20+ yards; 37 on 1st down (66.1%)

    — Chargers 32 of 52 plays (61.5%)

    — Jets 42 of 71 plays (59.2%)

    — Buccaneers 37 of 65 plays (56.9%)

    — Steelers 30 of 55 plays (54.5%)

    — Eagles 34 of 64 plays (53.1%)

    — Lowest %age: Dallas 11 of 40 plays (27.5%)


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) If you were a college football player, which bowl would you NOT want to play in? There are a ton of bowls, 39 if I counted right. We’ll talk about this later on this month, but no way would I want to go somewhere cold, like Boise or the Bronx or Detroit. Bowl games should be warm; at least the game in Detroit is indoors.

    Anyway, did you know players get swag bags at bowl games? Here are three of some of the best swag collections EVERY player gets at these games………

    12) New Mexico Bowl North Texas vs. Utah State
    — Oakley Jupiter Squared sunglasses
    — Oakley 5 Speed backpack
    — Bluetooth speaker
    — water bottle
    — beanie
    — Montgomery pen
    — Pacific Headwear trucker’s cap

    11) Valero Alamo Bowl Iowa State vs. Washington State
    — $425 Amazon gift card— Every kid gets $425, a good deal for the scrubs
    — Fossil watch
    — mini helmet
    — team panoramic photo

    10) AutoZone Liberty Bowl Missouri vs. Oklahoma State ¦
    — Shopping trip to Memphis’ Bass Pro Shops
    — Bose SoundLink micro Bluetooth speaker;
    — Bulova watch
    — Nike athletic shoes
    — sport sandals
    — backpack and sunglasses
    — football

    9) Minnesota QB coach Kevin Stefanski will take over as the new offensive coordinator of the Minnesota Vikings, after John DeFilippo was fired Tuesday. Here’s an idea; let your QB call his own damn plays— he makes $28M a year, I’m guessing he could do it.

    8) We mentioned the other day how Mike MacIntyre got fired as the head coach at Colorado and is now the DC at Ole Miss. Turns out that MacIntyre will now be making over $1M more per year than he was at Colorado, and he’s not even the head coach.

    7) I have the NBA Full Court package on DirecTV; I enjoy watching good basketball, but I read the stuff about the Chicago Bulls revolting against their new coach and not wanting to practice the day after a 56-point loss and it makes me want to cancel my subscription.

    Not sure what the solution is, but the league has a problem on its hands.

    6) The sport that loses the most in transition from in person to on TV is hockey. If you’ve never gone to a college or pro hockey game, you should— it is great fun. Watch the officials; they’re such great skaters.

    5) I think Bob Uecker should’ve gotten an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Indians’ radio announcer Harry Doyle in the fine baseball movie Major League.

    4) As recently as 1999, Vice-President Mike Pence was a radio talkshow host in Indiana. The guy’s head has to be spinning; his every move now is fodder for late-night comedians.

    You have any idea how hard it is to just sit there with no emotion or no motion like he did in the Oval Office Tuesday? Someone on the Interweb compared him to the dead guy in Weekend at Bernie’s, and it didn’t seem like that big a stretch to agree with him.

    3) Tampa Bay Rays’ plans for a new ballpark in Ybor City officially died this week when owner Stu Sternberg had a press conference at the Winter Meetings. Sounds like the Rays might be locked into the Trop now, until 2027- they could easily wind up in Montreal eventually.

    2) The Heisman Trophy that Tim Brown won in 1987 sold for $435,763 at a public auction recently. Lot of money for a trophy.

    1) Pretty cool that the Blue Jays will be paying Troy Tulowitzki $18.4M a year for the next two years, while he probably plays 2B for the A’s, who will be paying him the big league minimum. Now if he can only stay healthy…….

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Thursday, December 13



      LA Lakers @ Houston

      Game 559-560
      December 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Lakers
      114.870
      Houston
      121.806
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 7
      220
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 5 1/2
      223
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      (-5 1/2); Under

      LA Clippers @ San Antonio


      Game 561-562
      December 13, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Clippers
      115.769
      San Antonio
      123.446
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 7 1/2
      226
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 2 1/2
      221
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-2 1/2); Over

      Chicago @ Orlando


      Game 563-564
      December 13, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      110.292
      Orlando
      121.722
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Orlando
      by 11 1/2
      212
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Orlando
      by 5
      207 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Orlando
      (-5); Over

      Dallas @ Phoenix


      Game 565-566
      December 13, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Dallas
      123.596
      Phoenix
      103.162
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Dallas
      by 20 1/2
      213
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Dallas
      by 7
      211
      Dunkel Pick:
      Dallas
      (-7); Over





      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Thursday, December 13


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA LAKERS (17 - 10) at HOUSTON (12 - 14) - 12/13/2018, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 111-145 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
      HOUSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA CLIPPERS (17 - 10) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 14) - 12/13/2018, 8:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA CLIPPERS are 227-281 ATS (-82.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 1061-932 ATS (+35.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 841-718 ATS (+51.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      SAN ANTONIO is 217-165 ATS (+35.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 301-246 ATS (+30.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
      LA CLIPPERS are 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHICAGO (6 - 22) vs. ORLANDO (12 - 15) - 12/13/2018, 9:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 120-157 ATS (-52.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DALLAS (15 - 11) at PHOENIX (4 - 24) - 12/13/2018, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DALLAS is 508-430 ATS (+35.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
      DALLAS is 83-53 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
      DALLAS is 188-142 ATS (+31.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
      PHOENIX is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
      PHOENIX is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
      PHOENIX is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
      PHOENIX is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
      PHOENIX is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 7-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, December 13


      Lakers won six of their last seven games; they’re 3-5 as AU. 16 of their last 20 games stayed under the total. Rockets lost seven of their last ten games, are 4-7 as HF. Houston’s last four games stayed under the total. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Houston but covered three of last four; LA is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits here. Eight of last ten series games went over.

      Clippers lost four of their last six games; they’re 3-6 as AU this season. Six of their last nine road games went over. San Antonio won/covered its last three games; they’re 7-4 as HF this season. 12 of their last 16 games went over the total. Home side won last four Clipper-Spur games; LA is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to the Alamo. Last four series games went over.

      Chicago lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Magic lost its last three games; they’re 1-3 as HF this season. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Bulls won their last five games with Orlando; they covered three of last four visits to the Magic Kingdom. Last ten series games stayed under total.

      Mavericks won 12 of their last 15 games; they’re 1-2 as AF this season. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Phoenix lost its last ten games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Seven of last nine series games stayed under. Suns won their last six games with Dallas; under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Mavericks are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to the desert.




      NBA

      Thursday, December 13


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Los Angeles Lakers
      LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 12 games
      LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
      LA Lakers is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Houston
      LA Lakers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing Houston
      LA Lakers is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Houston
      LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
      Houston Rockets
      Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
      Houston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
      Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
      Houston is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing LA Lakers
      Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
      Houston is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
      Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

      Los Angeles Clippers
      LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      LA Clippers is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
      LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 16 games
      LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games on the road
      LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
      LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
      LA Clippers is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
      The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Clippers's last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
      San Antonio Spurs
      San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games
      San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
      San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
      San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
      San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
      The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

      Chicago Bulls
      Chicago is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
      Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
      Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
      Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
      Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Orlando
      Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Orlando
      Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Orlando
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
      Orlando Magic
      Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
      Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
      Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 15 games at home
      Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
      Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago
      Orlando is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
      Orlando is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Chicago
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

      Dallas Mavericks
      Dallas is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
      Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
      Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Dallas is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
      Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
      Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
      Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
      Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
      Phoenix Suns
      Phoenix is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
      Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
      Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games at home
      Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
      Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
      Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
      Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2018, 01:13 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Inside the Paint - Thursday
        Chris David

        Game of the Night (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

        L.A. Lakers (17-10 SU, 11-15-1 ATS) at Houston (12-14 SU, 10-16 ATS)


        Despite a rough start to the season, oddsmakers are still respecting the Houston Rockets in this primetime matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers. BookMaker.eu sent out the Rockets -5 ½ with a total of 221 ½. VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia provided his quick thoughts on the Western Conference matchup.

        “While Houston faces an uphill climb after falling to the back of the pack in the loaded Western Conference, L.A. takes its act on the road for a four-game set that will open against James Harden, Chris Paul and their gang of underachievers. The Lakers have managed to overcome losing talented young wing Brandon Ingram and haven’t had Rajon Rondo back in the mix for weeks, but that hasn’t stopped them from winning six of seven since Nov. 29,” said Mejia.

        “James has flawlessly played closer while ensuring that young co-stars Kyle Kuzma and Lonzo Ball stay in rhythm throughout. Making sure both get going on the road will be his primary objective early on, but what we’re about to see what killer instinct LeBron has brought to Lakers, especially since a win over the slumping Rockets would increase the gap between the teams to six games if they’re able to get their road swing off to a strong start. Stops in Charlotte, Washington and Brooklyn will follow after that, so L.A. can go on a run that may see it in first place ahead of the Warriors when the teams meet for the first time on Christmas Day. The Lakers are just 6-6 on the road and have won only once away from Staples Center since Nov. 23, so the first quarter of this contest should be telling.”

        As Mejia mentioned, the Golden State matchup is less than two weeks away and I’m curious to see how many points the Lakers will catch in that game. The reason for my interest is because L.A. has only been an underdogs six times this season and it’s gone 3-3 both SU and ATS, four of the instances (2-2) coming on the road. This is the most points that they’ve received this season and the spread hasn’t matter in any of the first six outcomes so perhaps a money-line (+188) on the Lakers may intrigue you more if you're leaning to L.A.

        Houston just snapped a three-game losing skid on Tuesday with a 111-104 win over Portland as a 6 ½-point home favorite but a 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS record at the Toyota Center is still shaky, especially for a team that went 34-7 at home in last year’s regular season.

        This year’s squad has plenty of new pieces and Mejia noted how the team is still trying to find the chemistry that helped them dominate their way to the No. 1 seed in the West last year.

        He added, “Houston head coach Mike D’Antoni made a switch to his lineup, placing top sixth man Eric Gordon in his first five to ensure another shooter is out there taking advantage when Harden or Paul is double-teamed. That tweak didn’t yield early results since the Rockets trailed the Blazers 19-10 when Paul was replaced by James Ennis midway through the opening quarter in Tuesday’s eventual 111-104 Rockets win, but we should see him stay in the lineup anyway since Ennis is out at least a week after straining his hamstring. Gerald Green and rookie Danuel House are expected to get more minutes off the bench as a result.”

        In the first meeting between the pair on Oct. 20 from the Staples Center, the Rockets captured a 124-115 road win over the Lakers as 3 ½-point favorites. The game was marred with a late scuffle between Chris Paul, Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram. No drama should be expected tonight, on the court at least, since Rondo and Ingram are both nursing injuries. Including that victory, Houston has won eight of the last 10 against the Lakers while going 6-4 ATS. Total bettors should note that the ‘over’ is on an 8-2 run in this series.

        Along with the big matchup tonight from Houston, we have three other games on Thursday and below is my quick handicap.

        L.A. Clippers (17-10 SU, 11-15-1 ATS) at San Antonio (14-14 SU, 14-13-1 ATS)

        These teams met just under a month ago in Los Angeles and the Clippers captured a 116-111 win but the Spurs managed to cash as six-point road underdogs. Since that loss, San Antonio has gone 7-7 while Los Angeles has posted an 8-5 record but it limps into this game with losses in three of its last four.

        San Antonio opened as a short favorite (-2) for the rematch and I thought the number should be a little bit higher knowing the Spurs have been much stronger at home (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS). Plus, the Clippers are starting to show some flaws and they just lost the best bench player in the NBA in Lou Williams (hamstring) for at least a couple weeks. The Spurs have also shown more fight defensively at home (106.6 PPG) compared to their awful road numbers (118.1 PPG) and the Clippers (115.3 PPG) have shown less fight on the road as well.

        Last season, the Spurs won and covered both games at the AT&T Center against the Clippers with the margins coming by 18 and 13 points. Since getting run by Houston (136-105) on Nov. 30, San Antonio has won and covered all four of its home games in December and every win was by double digits.

        Chicago (6-22 SU, 13-15 ATS) vs. Orlando (12-15 SU, 15-12 ATS) - (Mexico City, Mexico)

        The NBA Global Games will head to Mexico for this matchup and remain in the country for another game on Saturday when the Magic host the Jazz. Orlando opened as a four-point favorite and the early action moved the number up to 4 ½ at most books. It’s a tough game to bet due to the venue and even though the Magic are the more talented and deeper team, they’re not in great form (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) recently.

        However, Chicago is a mess and they’re coming off back-to-back blowout losses at home by 56 and 19 points. They actually played well for the first 24 minutes in Monday’s loss to Sacramento (108-99) but they couldn’t buy a bucket in the second-half as they were outscored 63-33. The Bulls are ranked last in scoring offense (101.8 PPG) and maybe a change of scenery will change things up. It’s been reported that the Bulls are the second most popular team in Mexico behind the Lakers, largely due to many of the fans falling in love with the team during the Michael Jordan championship era.

        This will be the first meeting between the pair this season but the recent encounters have leaned heavily to Orlando, who is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight games against the Bulls.The total on this game opened 207 ½ and jumped to 209 ½ quickly. The high altitude could play a factor and looking back at the past six games played in Mexico, we’ve seen an average combined scored of 207.3 PPG.

        Dallas (15-11 SU, 17-9 ATS) at Phoenix (4-24 SU, 9-19 ATS)

        Even though the Mavericks have been the best team for bettors this season, most of their damage has come at home (13-2 SU, 12-3 ATS) although they got squeezed late on Wednesday in a 114-107 win over Atlanta as a 10-point favorite. On the road, the Mavericks have been awful (2-9 SU, 5-6 ATS) and a lot of the covers have come in the role of an underdog. As a road favorite, Dallas is 1-2 and one of the losses came on opening night at Phoenix (121-100).

        A lot has changed for the Suns since then and they’re still not expected to have Devin Booker (hamstring) available. Phoenix (+9 ½) did show some fight on Monday in a 123-119 overtime loss at home to the Clippers but that setback dropped them to 3-11 SU and 6-8 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season. Including the loss to L.A. and Tuesday’s 111-86 defeat to the Spurs on no rest, the Suns have dropped 10 straight games (1-9 ATS) headed into this matchup and the only cover during this skid came in the aforementioned contest to the Clippers.

        If you’re looking for another angle to pass the game altogether or fade Dallas, you can point to its 0-3 record (1-2 ATS) when playing on no rest this season. Make a note that the Mavs defense has allowed 120.6 PPG in those games, which has led to a perfect 3-0 ‘over’ mark.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2018, 01:14 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          According to reports, Dirk Nowitzki (ankle) plans to make his season debut in Thursday's road game @ the Suns.
          Pointspread: Mavericks -7
          Total: 211.5
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2018, 01:15 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Hoop Trends - Thursday
            Vince Akins

            ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

            -- The Bulls are 10-0 ATS (+6.70 ppg) as a dog with more than one day of rest when they won three straight vs their opponent.

            ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

            -- The Magic are 0-13 ATS (-10.77 ppg) as a home favorite when they lost three straight vs their opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

            OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

            -- The Rockets are 11-0 OU (17.59 ppg) off a win in which they attempted at least 10 fewer three pointers than their season-to-date average.

            OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

            -- The Magic are 0-16 OU (-11.16 ppg) at home with rest off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

            Comment


            • #7
              By: Monique Vág



              Everyone wants to play the Suns

              Phoenix has lost 10 straight and have been held under 100 points six times during that stretch. Today the Suns host a Mavericks team who have gone 13-2 at home, but have struggled on the road with a 2-9 record.

              Opponents are scoring 114.1 points per game, on 48.6 percent shooting from the field, versus the Suns this year. Dallas is coming off a game where they put up 114 points and enter Phoenix today as 6.5-point favorites. Take Over the Mavs team total today of 108.


              Home-court advantage in Houston

              The Rockets finally managed to snap a three-game losing streak with a 111-103 win versus the Trail Blazers. Today the Rockets take on the Lakers who have won six of their most recent seven games. In the head-to-head, Houston has won eight of the last 10 games with the average score 124-109.

              Although both teams seem to be trending in opposite directions, this is a very winnable game at home for the Rockets. Expect them to build off their win last night and take them as 5.5-point favorites today.


              Not so sweet without Lou

              The Clippers have failed to reach 100 points in three of their last four games, and take on the Spurs who have held their two most recent opponents under 100.

              With the Spurs posting a 18-7 SU record versus the Clippers over their most recent 25 home games, the Spurs should be able to make it three straight.
              Look for the Clippers to struggle once again without reigning sixth man of the year Lou Williams, and back the Spurs as 2-point home faves.


              Change of fortunes in Mexico

              Today's Magic and Bulls contest will be held at Mexico City Arena in Mexico, and both teams are hoping the change of scenery will get them back into the win column.

              The Bulls have only managed to win one of their most recent 10 games, with the Magic struggling as well having lost three straight.

              The Bulls have allowed an average of 117.7 points over the most recent three games and opponents are shooting 48.4 percent through that stretch. Although neither team is lighting up the scoreboard, Orlando should be able to take advantage of a porous defense today and go Over their team total of 106.5.


              Expect a big game from a big man

              The Bulls have been one of the worst teams at defending opposing centers allowing 25.3 points on 52.7 percent shooting and 17.5 rebounds per game. This is a favorable matchup for Magic center Nikola Vucevic who is averaging 20.6 points and 11.5 rebounds. He has grabbed at least 10 boards in five straight games. Take Over his points, rebounds, assists total today.

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