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Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, December 11

    Good Luck on day #345 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Highest payrolls in the NBA:

    6) Portland Trailblazers $131,747,436

    5) Houston Rockets $134,843,975

    4) Toronto Raptors $141,265,305

    3) Golden State Warriors $145,699,527

    2) Oklahoma City Thunder $146,463,850

    1) Miami Heat $158,203,135


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Saturday night the Chicago Bulls lost by 56 points to Boston- they lost at home, 133-76, which is obviously not good and it came a couple games after a coaching change.

    But this is worse; on Sunday, the Bulls refused to practice, because new coach Jim Boylen held a couple of two-hour practices earlier in the week. During the season with lot of games, NBA teams don’t have 2-hour practices very often.

    Chicago is 6-21, last in the Eastern Conference; their team payroll is $103,926,708, which is 2nd-lowest in the NBA. Their team sucks, but guys get mad when the coach shows them up by subbing out five guys at a time- they revolt at practicing. How do you get better?

    I’m getting old…..lol

    12) Baseball’s winter meetings are this week in Las Vegas, good chance to think ahead to next spring and also to feel warmer. Thinking about baseball takes some of the chill out of the air.

    11) ESPN’s Sunday night baseball games will move up an hour next year, starting at 7:00 instead of 8, which means there will be overlap with the 4:00 games on DirecTV, which is fine.

    10) Tampa Bay Rays went 44-34 LY when they used an “opener” to pitch the first inning of a game; they’ve said they will use that tactic again in 2019.

    9) Oakland Raiders fired GM Reggie McKenzie Monday; when you’re paying the coach $100M over ten years, you have to give him control of the franchise, so they told McKenzie to take a hike. Dallas/Chicago are two of the hottest teams in the NFL, thanks in large part to players they got from Oakland, which stockpiled draft picks as it prepares to move to Las Vegas in 2020.

    8) 32-year old backup QB Josh Johnson, on his sixth NFL team, led two TD drives Sunday against the Giants; he said he used the Madden NFL video game in order to learn some of the names on the Redskins’ roster- he played Sunday despite only being on the team for five days.

    Johnson was picked in the AAF draft last week; not sure now if he’ll play in the new spring league, if he finished the season with Redskins, which he figures to do.

    Mark Sanchez said last week that the first time he talked to LT Trent Williams was in the huddle on the field in the Redskins’ loss at Philadelphia LW. Hard to win that way.

    7) Tennessee 76, Gonzaga 73— Impressive win on a neutral floor for Rick Barnes’ Volunteers; they made 12-29 on the arc, with Schofield going 6-10.

    6) I wonder how Michael O’Keefe’s acting career would’ve turned out if he hadn’t played golf against Judge Smails in Caddyshack.

    5) Iowa State football coach Matt Campbell agreed to a contract extension through 2024 and has gotten $1M in additional salary for his assistant coaches, good news for Cyclone fans.

    4) Kansas State is expected to hire North Dakota State’s Chris Kleiman its football coaching job; he is expected to accept the job but he is also expected to coach North Dakota State as far as they go in I-AA Playoffs. Kleiman is 67-6 at NDSU and has won three national titles.

    3) Oakland A’s new AAA affiliate will be called the Las Vegas Aviators, a logo that I predict will take off in popularity.

    2) Harold Baines is in the Baseball Hall of Fame? I’m not buying that, but it guarantees that Edgar Martinez is getting in down the road, which is a good thing.

    1) I don’t get why the Heisman Trophy TV show is an hour long; a complete waste of 45 minutes. Introduce the four finalists and tell us who won; dragging it out to an hour must make money or they wouldn’t do it, but I never watch it- just let me know who won.

    Best thing about the college football playoff is that it has taken a lot of the focus away from this individual award. I remember Joe Tessitore talking about the Heisman during a game on Labor Day weekend a few years ago, thats how ridiculous it had gotten.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, December 11



      Villanova @ Pennsylvania

      Game 601-602
      December 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Villanova
      71.885
      Pennsylvania
      62.188
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Villanova
      by 9 1/2
      133
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Villanova
      by 7
      140
      Dunkel Pick:
      Villanova
      (-7); Under

      Georgia Southern @ UCF


      Game 603-604
      December 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Georgia Southern
      51.126
      UCF
      69.867
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      UCF
      by 19
      156
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      UCF
      by 11 1/2
      145 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      UCF
      (-11 1/2); Over

      Colorado @ New Mexico


      Game 605-606
      December 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Colorado
      63.833
      New Mexico
      54.499
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Colorado
      by 9 1/2
      170
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Colorado
      by 5
      166 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Colorado
      (-5); Over

      Denver @ Wyoming


      Game 607-608
      December 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      50.052
      Wyoming
      49.300
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Denver
      by 1
      154
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Wyoming
      by 7 1/2
      150
      Dunkel Pick:
      Denver
      (+7 1/2); Over





      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, December 11


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      VILLANOVA (8 - 2) at PENNSYLVANIA (8 - 2) - 12/11/2018, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VILLANOVA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 117-81 ATS (+27.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
      VILLANOVA is 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      VILLANOVA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PENNSYLVANIA is 101-136 ATS (-48.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      PENNSYLVANIA is 101-136 ATS (-48.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VILLANOVA is 2-0 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
      VILLANOVA is 2-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      GA SOUTHERN (6 - 2) at UCF (7 - 2) - 12/11/2018, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UCF is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
      UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COLORADO (7 - 1) at NEW MEXICO (4 - 3) - 12/11/2018, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      COLORADO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
      COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DENVER (3 - 7) at WYOMING (3 - 6) - 12/11/2018, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
      DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
      DENVER is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
      DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      WYOMING is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, December 11


      Villanova won its last 15 games with Penn, winning last three by 20-25-28 points; Wildcats are 8-2 this season vs schedule #138- they won their last six games. Villanova won its last three games, all vs Philly-area rivals, by 7-10-12 points. Villanova is experience team #189 that plays tempo #344- their bunch doesn’t play much (#253). Quakers won their last four games; they’re 8-2 vs schedule #237. Penn is experience team #65 that is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with both losses by 16 points, to K-State, Oregon State. Big East favorites are 9-11 away from home.

      Georgia Southern is 5-2 vs schedule #149; they’re experience team #86 that is playing tempo #8. Eagles lost by 30 at Arizona in their only top 100 game so far; they’re a smallish team that has made only 26.7% of its 3’s so far- they don’t take many of those. Eagles are making 60.8% of its 2-point shots, #12 in country. Central Florida is 7-2 vs schedule #161; Knights are experience team #29 that plays a slow (#332) pace- teams are shooting only 40.1% inside arc against them, thanks to 7-6 C Tacko Fall.

      Colorado survived 23 turnovers (-16) and pulled away from New Mexico 73-57 LY; Buffs made 9-15 on arc, held Lobos to 0.74 ppp. Colorado is 7-1 this season vs schedule #313, with only loss by 6 at #86 San Diego. Buffaloes are experience team #287 (#110 in MC) that is playing tempo #42- their eFG% is #23. New Mexico lost its last two games, by 35-25 points; Lobos are 4-3 vs schedule #144- they’re experience team #231 that is making 38.8% of its 3’s, but whose eFG% on defense is #314. New Mexico is playing fast (#11) so far this season.

      Wyoming won three of last four games with Denver, losing 88-78 to the Pioneers LY, despite a +16 (21-5) turnover ratio. Denver shot 60% inside arc, was +20 on boards in game where both sides took 30+ foul shots. Denver is 2-7 this year vs schedule #241; Pioneers are experience team #210 whose bench plays a lot (bench minutes #6)- they turn ball over 20.3% of time. Wyoming is 3-6 vs schedule #211; Cowboys are getting 24.9% of their points on foul line, #11 in country- they don’t sub much (bench minutes #317).




      NCAAB

      Tuesday, December 11


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Millsaps @ Southern Mississippi
      Millsaps
      No trends to report
      Southern Mississippi
      Southern Mississippi is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
      Southern Mississippi is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

      South Carolina State @ Liberty
      South Carolina State
      No trends to report
      Liberty
      No trends to report

      Albany @ Yale
      Albany
      No trends to report
      Yale
      Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Yale is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

      Charleston Southern @ Furman
      Charleston Southern
      No trends to report
      Furman
      Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      Towson @ UMBC
      Towson
      Towson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UMBC
      Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UMBC
      UMBC
      No trends to report

      Loyola-Maryland @ Maryland
      Loyola-Maryland
      No trends to report
      Maryland
      Maryland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
      Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

      UMass-Lowell @ St. Francis-Brooklyn
      UMass-Lowell
      No trends to report
      St. Francis-Brooklyn
      No trends to report

      Villanova @ Pennsylvania
      Villanova
      Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Pennsylvania
      Pennsylvania is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games when playing at home against Villanova

      Georgia Southern @ Central Florida
      Georgia Southern
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
      Georgia Southern is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
      Central Florida
      Central Florida is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
      Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

      Mississippi Valley State @ Louisiana Tech
      Mississippi Valley State
      No trends to report
      Louisiana Tech
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
      Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

      Miles College @ Arkansas-Little Rock
      Miles College
      No trends to report
      Arkansas-Little Rock
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas-Little Rock's last 5 games
      Arkansas-Little Rock is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home

      Savannah State @ South Dakota State
      Savannah State
      No trends to report
      South Dakota State
      South Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      South Dakota State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

      Prairie View A&M @ Louisiana-Lafayette
      Prairie View A&M
      No trends to report
      Louisiana-Lafayette
      Louisiana-Lafayette is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
      Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

      NJIT @ Fordham
      NJIT
      No trends to report
      Fordham
      Fordham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Fordham is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

      Wisconsin-Stout @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
      Wisconsin-Stout
      No trends to report
      Wisconsin-Green Bay
      Wisconsin-Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 7 games

      Grambling State @ Louisiana-Monroe
      Grambling State
      No trends to report
      Louisiana-Monroe
      Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games

      Fisk @ Jackson State
      Fisk
      No trends to report
      Jackson State
      No trends to report

      Johnson & Wales-Colorado @ Northern Colorado
      Johnson & Wales-Colorado
      No trends to report
      Northern Colorado
      Northern Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Johnson & Wales-Colorado
      Northern Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Johnson & Wales-Color

      North Florida @ Minnesota
      North Florida
      No trends to report
      Minnesota
      Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

      Colorado @ New Mexico
      Colorado
      Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      New Mexico
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico's last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games at home

      Denver @ Wyoming
      Denver
      Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wyoming
      Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Wyoming
      Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
      Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

      Holy Names @ Sacramento State
      Holy Names
      No trends to report
      Sacramento State
      Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Sacramento State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-11-2018, 12:52 PM.

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