Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2018, 09:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks for Week 14 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Indianapolis Colts +5 (988)- W

2) Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (797)- L

3) Los Angeles Rams -3 (791)- L

4) Buffalo Bills -3 (761)- L

5) New Jersey Giants -3.5 (711)- W

6) Chicago Bears +3 (694)- W

Season record: 43-38-3

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..

Chiefs 27, Ravens 24 OT— Chiefs converted a 4th-and-9 with 1:20 left that would’ve ended game, then they tied game with 0:53 left, and won it with a FG on first down of OT, followed by a defensive stop. This was a playoff-quality game. Lamar Jackson got hurt at the end of OT; not sure how severe the injury is, but Robert Griffin III played the last two plays of the game.

Ravens ran ball for 198 yards, but were outgained 441-321.

There are four teams at 7-6 in AFC, which is second Wild Card spot, so last three weeks are going to be fun. Denver’s (6-7) loss in San Francisco could be a crippler for them.

Dolphins 34, Patriots 33— One of wildest endings ever; Miami had ball on its own 31-yard line with 0:02 left, down 33-28. They complete a pass over middle about 20 yards down field, toss two fairly short laterals, and they score the game-winning TD. New England’s defense doesn’t have lot of real fast guys. Really a shocking ending.

Patriots have now lost five of their last six visits to Miami; home team won 11 of last 12 series games. New England is 3-4 on road this year; Miami is 6-1 at home. Dolphins are 8-3-1 vs spread in last dozen games as home underdogs. Dolphins’ playoff hopes are still alive.

Saints 28, Buccaneers 14— Tampa Bay’s special teams totally screwed this game up; they missed two pretty easy FG’s (46, 40 yards) when they were ahead, had a punt blocked in 3rd quarter when they led 14-3 and New Orleans looked dead.

Saints’ first six drives: 28 plays, 108 yards, 3 points
Saints’ last four drives (after blocked punt): 33 plays, 175 yards, 25 points

First time these teams played, when Bucs won 48-40 in Week 1, there were 15 plays of 20+ yards; there were only four such plays in this game.

Last five years, Saints are 15-8 vs spread coming off a loss; they’re 17-6 vs spread in last 23 road games, 6-1 this year.

Colts 24, Texans 21— Andrew Luck is Comeback Player of the Year; Indy won six of last seven games after a 1-5 start. Ravens’ loss, coupled with this result and Miami’s win, totally jumble race for second Wild Card in AFC.

Houston could’ve claimed #2 spot in AFC with win here; their 9-game win streak ends. Texans ran for only 89 yards in this game.

Browns 26, Panthers 20— Carolina was inside 10-yard line in last minute, but Newton threw two incomplete passes and Cleveland held on to improve to 5-7-1, while Panthers lost their 5th game in row- they’re 1-6 on road this season.

Carolina had 12-yard edge in field position, was +1 in turnovers, but lost. Scoring 20 points (two TDs, two FGs) on five red zone drives isn’t good enough. Cleveland is 5-7-1; how do you not consider Gregg Williams for the permanent head coaching position?

Packers 34, Falcons 20— Green Bay started this game by losing two replay challenges in first 1:23, which just never happens, but then they whacked Atlanta, scoring five of the first six times they had the ball, and also adding a defensive TD.

Falcons lost their lost their last five games, scoring 17 ppg; they’re 0-7 this season scoring 20 or less points, 4-2 scoring more- they’re 1-5 on road. If you own the Falcons, do you stay the course with this coach and this QB? They’ve got injuries, but they also look like a team that has quit.

Jets 27, Bills 23— 49ers, Raiders both won; had the Jets lost this game, they would’ve had inside track to #1 pick in the draft.

With 1:22 left and Bills up 23-20, Jets had 4th-and goal inside 1-yard line; they went for it and ran ball in for a TD. TV guys had been babbling about how Jets HAD TO GO for it— why? Where does it say that you have to?

Jets had a 20-yard edge in field position in this game; they were outgained 368-248, but snapped a 6-game losing streak. Allen was just 18-37 passing- he did run for 101 yards.

If they re-did the 2018 draft today, Mayfield/Barkley would probably still be top two picks, but what about Darnold/Allen/Rosen? How do they stack up now?

Giants 40, Redskins 16— Pet peeve of mine; NFL is a multi-billon dollar business, yet they cheap out when it comes to QB’s. Every NFL team should have three QB’s active every week, even if the #3 QB is a separate part of the roster. Why? So you don’t get situations like the Redskins have, with two QB’s on roster, neither of whom has been with the team for two weeks yet. It kills the quality of the product; you cannot compete without a QB who knows the plays.

Giants’ rookie RB Barkley only ran ball 14 times, but for 170 yards; he is definitely on a pitch count- his backup ran ball 14 times, too. Giants won four of last five games, but three of the four wins were vs backup QB’s. This was a horrendous day for the Redskins.

Which the score 40-16 and Washington driving with about 4:30 left, Redskins’ WR Doctson got a taunting penalty after he made a 20-yard catch; penalty took ball from 2-yard to the 17, then Washington threw an INT on next play. Grow the bleep up, shut up and play!!! Winning teams aren’t stupid. Losing teams do stuff like this all the time.

**Udog** · 12-10-2018, 09:46 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 10

Long Beach St @ Pacific

Game 877-878
December 10, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
46.323
Pacific
58.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pacific
by 12
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pacific
by 6
153
Dunkel Pick:
Pacific
(-6); Under

Morehead State @ Marshall

Game 879-880
December 10, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
47.484
Marshall
51.073
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 3 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 14
167 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead State
(+14); Over

Hofstra @ Manhattan

Game 881-882
December 10, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hofstra
51.709
Manhattan
50.563
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hofstra
by 1
118
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hofstra
by 8
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Manhattan
(+8); Under

Sacred Heart @ Dartmouth

Game 1195-1196
December 10, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacred Heart
40.126
Dartmouth
52.171
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth
by 12
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth
by 6
156
Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
(-6); Over

NCAAB

Monday, December 10

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Trend Report
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Sacred Heart @ Dartmouth
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Dartmouth
Dartmouth is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dartmouth is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

Morehead State @ Marshall
Morehead State
Morehead State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Morehead State's last 9 games on the road
Marshall
Marshall is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Marshall is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Morehead State

Hofstra @ Manhattan
Hofstra
Hofstra is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hofstra's last 5 games on the road
Manhattan
Manhattan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hofstra
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Manhattan's last 9 games

Maine-Machias @ Maine
Maine-Machias
No trends to report
Maine
No trends to report

Champion Baptist @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Champion Baptist
No trends to report
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
No trends to report

Cal State-Fullerton @ Saint Mary's-California
Cal State-Fullerton
Cal State-Fullerton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cal State-Fullerton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games

Long Beach State @ Pacific
Long Beach State
Long Beach State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pacific
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Long Beach State's last 11 games on the road
Pacific
Pacific is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pacific is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Long Beach State

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**Udog** · 12-10-2018, 10:04 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 10

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CS-FULLERTON (3 - 6) at ST MARYS-CA (6 - 4) - 12/10/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in December games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CS-FULLERTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LONG BEACH ST (3 - 8) at PACIFIC (7 - 4) - 12/10/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MOREHEAD ST (3 - 5) at MARSHALL (5 - 4) - 12/10/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-1 straight up against MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOFSTRA (7 - 3) at MANHATTAN (2 - 6) - 12/10/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 2-0 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 2-0 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/10

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