Announcement

**Udog** · 12-02-2018, 09:40 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Top 6 picks for Week 13 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Colts -4 (1,029)

2) Steelers -3.5 (961)

3) Falcons -1 (911)

4) Giants +5.5 (826)

5) Patriots -5 (776)

6) Seahawks -9.5 (731)

Season record: 37-32-3

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

3) Oklahoma 39, Texas 27— Guy who makes the subs in my neighborhood deli had the Sooners -9.5, so it was a good day for him.

Serious question: Has a college quarterback who is as good as Kyler Murray ever given up football to do something else? Hard to imagine this kid walking away from the gridiron.

12) Alabama 35, Georgia 28— Going to be a very long 16-17 hours for the Georgia coaches, between the end of this game and seeing what four teams make the Final Four playoffs. If the Dawgs miss out on the playoff, then it’ll be a long winter for those coaches.

The hideous fake punt with 3:11 left wasn’t good; hope whoever called it has job security.

Jalen Hurts came off the bench and saved the day for the Crimson Tide; this is a kid with a 26-2 record as a starter who got benched LY but didn’t transfer, and didn’t whine- he just stayed the course and was ready when his name was called again. Good for him.

11) UAB 27, Middle Tennessee State 25— How has UAB coach Bill Clark not been scooped up by a big-money program? His Blazers went 8-5 LY, are 10-3 this year- they didn’t even field a team in 2015-16, when school tried to shut the program down for financial reasons.

What Clark has done at UAB is remarkable and certainly under-reported by national media.

10) One of several hundred reasons why I’m not married anymore: If you buy the Mrs a Jaguar SUV, she’ll smile and be happy. Who knew? Never tried that one.

For the record, a quick check shows that a Jaguar SUV goes for around $47,000.

Merry bleepin’ Christmas. Oy.

9) In six of their last eight games, on their opponents’ first drive of the second half. Cleveland Browns have forced six turnovers. Solid halftime adjustments being made by Gregg Williams.

8) NFL used to have two facemark penalties, a 5-yard and a 15-yard penalty, depending on the severity of the foul; wish they’d go back to that. Just touching a ball carrier’s facemark shouldn’t be a 15-yard penalty.

7) Recent hot streaks by the Bears/Cowboys are hurting the Raiders, who own those teams’ first round draft picks next April. Oakland helped make those two teams contenders this season by giving them skilled players. Time will tell how the Raiders will utilize the draft to improve their team before they move to Las Vegas in 2020.

6) Upsets of the Day:
— Siena (+8.5) 67-64 over Harvard
— Yale (+7.5) 77-73 over Miami
— Green Bay (+6.5) 100-92 over Belmont
— New Mexico (+6.5) 85-75 over Bradley
— Idaho (+5.5) 67-54 over North Dakota
— Weber State (+4) 113-103 over BYU
— George Mason (+4) 87-84 over Wm&Mary
— Ohio U (+4) 101-84 over Marshall

5) I like to see as many college basketball teams as I can before Christmas, so when conference play starts you get a sense of what teams are/have, but sometimes, you just have to turn the channel. I was watching the Baylor-Wichita State game as I type this and Wichita is winning 20-4. Got to turn the channel, because right now, I don’t think Baylor could beat the Washington Generals.

Now my brain knows that they’re young/talented and will improve, but my heart will have a hard time forgetting how awful they’re playing tonight, so time to watch another game.

4) There was a college baseball game in 1947 where Vin Scully played CF for Fordham, and George Bush played 1B for Yale.

3) Saints 13, Cowboys 10— If you think handicapping is easy, try this score on for size; New Orleans had been averaging 37 points a game, but Dallas’ defense played its hearts out and Cowboys won their fourth game in a row.

2) Some other things about that game:
— New Orleans didn’t score in first half for first time in 73 games (4.5 years)
— Saints gained only 59 yards in first half, their worst showing since 2002.
— In the third quarter alone, Cowboys had six penalties on defense/special teams.

1) Before Thursday’s game, Drew Brees was 53-0 in NFL games when his team allowed 14 or fewer points; the 13-10 loss in Dallas was his first such loss.

**Udog** · 12-02-2018, 09:44 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, December 2

Arizona @ Connecticut

Game 713-714
December 2, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
67.599
Connecticut
60.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 6 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-1 1/2); Under

Delaware @ Columbia

Game 715-716
December 2, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware
45.422
Columbia
47.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbia
by 2 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbia
Pick
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbia
Under

Cal Riverside @ Valparaiso

Game 717-718
December 2, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Riverside
43.708
Valparaiso
55.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Valparaiso
by 12
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 15
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Riverside
(+15); Over

UCF @ Missouri

Game 719-720
December 2, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCF
65.454
Missouri
59.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 5 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 1 1/2
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-1 1/2); Over

Illinois @ Nebraska

Game 721-722
December 2, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
60.165
Nebraska
74.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 14 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 12
146
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(-12); Under

Minnesota @ Ohio State

Game 723-724
December 2, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
66.368
Ohio State
63.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 7
140
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7); Under

Santa Barbara @ Washington

Game 725-726
December 2, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
51.106
Washington
68.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 17
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Santa Barbara
by 13
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-13); Under

Loyola Marymount @ UCLA

Game 727-728
December 2, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Loyola Marymount
56.777
UCLA
64.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 8
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 10 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola Marymount
(+10 1/2); Over

Oral Roberts @ SMU

Game 729-730
December 2, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oral Roberts
40.205
SMU
61.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 21 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 17 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-17 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-02-2018, 09:47 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 2

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ARIZONA (5 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (6 - 1) - 12/2/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE (6 - 2) at COLUMBIA (1 - 4) - 12/2/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBIA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 6) at VALPARAISO (4 - 3) - 12/2/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-RIVERSIDE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (6 - 1) at MISSOURI (3 - 3) - 12/2/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at NEBRASKA (6 - 1) - 12/2/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 3-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (6 - 1) at OHIO ST (6 - 1) - 12/2/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UC-SANTA BARBARA (6 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 12/2/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (8 - 0) at UCLA (5 - 2) - 12/2/2018, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORAL ROBERTS (3 - 6) at SMU (5 - 3) - 12/2/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 100-135 ATS (-48.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 100-135 ATS (-48.5 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997.
SMU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-02-2018, 09:48 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 2

Arizona pulled away late to beat UConn 73-58 at home LY; they led by a point with 6:50 left. Long trip east for Wildcats, who were in Hawai’i 10 days ago- they’re experience team #220 (#320 in MC) who start two sophs and a freshman. Arizona is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Iowa St by 5 on Maui. UConn is 6-1 vs schedule #333, with only loss 91-72 to Iowa in NYC. Huskies are experience team #120 that is forcing turnovers 21% of time. UConn has played only two teams in top 200, beating Syracuse 83-76 night before they lost to Iowa.

Delaware is 4-2 vs D-I teams with two other wins; Blue Hens are experience team #168 (#263 in MC) that is turning ball over 20.6% of time (#242), while playing tempo #327- they start two frosh and a soph. Delaware has made 39.8% of its 3’s; they won by 17 at Cornell of Ivy League Nov 15. Columbia is 0-4 vs D-I teams (schedule #308) with a non-D-I win in last game. Lions are experience team #189; this is their first game against a top 200 team. Columbia’s defensive eFG% is #333 in country; they start two sophs and a freshman.

Valparaiso was 4-32 on arc, never led in awful 73-60 loss at Cal-Riverside LY; Valpo is 3-3 (vs schedule #127) this season after winning at UNLV Wednesday. Crusaders are #156 experience team that forces turnovers 21.2% of time- they start three juniors, one senior. Riverside lost to D-I newbie Cal Baptist in last game; Highlanders are 1-6 vs schedule #164- they’re experience team #325 that is 0-4 vs top 200 teams, with losses by 13-21-20-12 points. MVC teams are 7-6 vs spread in home games this year; Big West teams are 13-11 vs spread in true road games.

Missouri beat Central Florida 62-59 in Orlando LY; UCF won its last five games overall since an 80-79 loss to FAU when Knights blew a 26-6 lead. UCF is experience team #33; all six of its wins are vs top 150 teams- FAU is ranked #237. Knights have played schedule #133; their defensive eFG% is #17- they beat SEC’s Alabama at home in last game. Missouri lost its last two games, to K-State/Temple; Tigers are experience team #273 that is 3-3 vs schedule #78- they’re turning ball over 21.7% of time, while starting two sophs and a freshman.

Illinois/Nebraska split their last eight meetings; Illini lost four of their last six visits to Lincoln. Underdogs covered last four series games. Illinois is 2-5 vs schedule #20; they’re experience team #308 that allowed 76+ points in all five losses, 60-67 in their wins- four of their losses are to top 60 teams. Illini forced turnovers 24.9% of time, but their defensive eFG% is still #309. Nebraska is 6-1 vs schedule #205; Huskers have beaten Clemson/Seton Hall; their defensive eFG% is #1 in country right now. Nebraska is forcing turnovers 23% of the time.

Ohio State won 12 of last 14 games with Minnesota; Gophers lost their last seven visits here, with four wins by 15+ points. Buckeyes are 6-1 this year vs schedule #205, with top 100 wins over Cincy (64-56), Creighton (69-60)- their loss was 72-62 at home to Syracuse in last game Wednesday. Minnesota played three starters 35:00+ in 83-76 home win over Oklahoma St Friday nite; Gophers are 6-1 vs schedule #73, losing 68-56 at BC in their only true road game. Minnesota is experience team #178 that starts two freshmen, two seniors.

Cal-Santa Barbara is 6-1 vs schedule #317; Gauchos are experience team #251 (#343 in MC) that hasn’t played a team in top 200 yet, so this is big step up in class. UCSB is starting a freshman and two sophs. Washington is 5-2 vs schedule #69; Huskies are #50 experience team that is #1 in country in MC. Washington won two of three games in Vancouver tourney LW; they’re 3-2 vs top 150 teams, with best win 71-67 over #70 Texas A&M. Big West teams covered 8 of their first 11 games vs Pac-12 teams this season. Big West road underdogs are 12-9 vs spread.

Loyola Marymount is 6-0 vs schedule #326; their best win was over Georgetown in Jamaica tourney. Lions are #139 experience team that forces turnovers 24.6% of time- they won by 11 at UNLV in only true road game. LMU hasn’t had winning season since 2012, so this game is a good test. UCLA is 5-2 vs schedule #245; Bruins’ two losses were to top 10 teams (Michigan St, UNC) on a neutral floor in NYC. UCLA is experience team #351 that is playing #41 tempo- they start two frosh, two sophs. LMU starts two seniors- they’re playing pace #343.

Oral Roberts is 1-6 vs D-I teams with two non-D-I wins; Golden Eagles are experience team #217 that is turning ball over 23% of time, making only 29.5% of its 3’s. ORU lost its two top 100 games by 17 at TCU, 20 at BYU. SMU won its last three games after a 2-3 start; Mustangs are experience team #186 that is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time- they’re 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 11-33-14-32 points. Summit League road underdogs are 7-11 vs spread this season; AAC home favorites are 9-10.

**Udog** · 12-02-2018, 09:53 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, December 2

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Tennessee
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Arizona @ Connecticut
Arizona
Arizona is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 18 games
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Colgate @ Florida Gulf Coast
Colgate
No trends to report
Florida Gulf Coast
No trends to report

Delaware @ Columbia
Delaware
Delaware is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Delaware is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Columbia
Columbia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

UC Riverside @ Valparaiso
UC Riverside
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Riverside's last 6 games on the road
UC Riverside is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Valparaiso
Valparaiso is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

Sacred Heart @ Lafayette
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Lafayette
No trends to report

Rust @ Southern Mississippi
Rust
No trends to report
Southern Mississippi
Southern Mississippi is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Southern Mississippi is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home

Central Florida @ Missouri
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 10 games

Oral Roberts @ Southern Methodist
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games at home

Maryland-Eastern Shore @ East Carolina
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report
East Carolina
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
East Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Illinois @ Nebraska
Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games on the road
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Ohio State
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

UC-Santa Barbara @ Washington
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
UC-Santa Barbara is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Loyola Marymount @ UCLA
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Loyola Marymount's last 7 games on the road
UCLA
UCLA is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games

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Announcement

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/2

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/2

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