Announcement

**Udog** · 11-30-2018, 09:48 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NFL records against spread on road, since Dec 13, 2015:

— New Orleans Saints 17-6-1

— Kansas City Chiefs 16-7-2

— Los Angeles Chargers 15-7-2

— Washington Redskins 14-9

— New England Patriots 14-9-2

— New York Giants 14-10

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here……

13) Cowboys 13, Saints 10— You think handicapping is bleeping easy? Try this score on for size; Dallas didn’t score in the second half, but pulled a very big upset, their 4th win in a row.

Dallas had six defensive/special teams penalties, in the third quarter alone. Their defense played their hearts out, just a great game. New Orleans was averaging 37 points a game, and then this happened.

As 13-10 games go, this one was fascinating.

12) Some other stuff about this game:
— Saints had 59 total yards in first half, their least since 2002.
— Saints didn’t score in first half for first time in their last 72 games.
— For the game, Saints ran only 49 plays for 176 yards.
— New Orleans had scored 30+ points in eight of its last nine games. Go figure.

11) NFL used to have two different facemark penalties, 5-yard and 15-yard penalties for degree of the foul. Wish they would go back to that; someone just touching the facemask shouldn’t merit a 15-yard penalty.

10) An enterprising human wagered $36,000 on the Toronto Raptors Thursday, to beat Golden State— if the Raptors won, the guy banked $9,000.

Today is November 30; if you told me back on September 30 that someone would wager $36K on the Warriors to lose a basketball game, I’d tell that person to get a psych evaluation, but in the world of sports, things change quickly.

Toronto won in OT; to paraphrase a Latin proverb, “Fortune favors the bold”

9) Things you learn when you watch too much TV:

One of several hundred reasons why I’m no longer married: If you buy the Mrs a Jaguar SUV for Christmas, she’ll smile and be happy. Who knew? Never tried that one.

8) Mets hired Chili Davis as their new hitting coach; this will be the third different job in three years for Davis, his 4th in last six years. Mets have had three batting coaches the last three years, and five in last six years.

Davis had really good success in Oakland when Yoenis Cespedes was there, so……..

7) Boston Red Sox doled out 66 full World Series, worth $416,837.72 each, to players, coaches staff from this past season. Players vote on who gets full/partial/no playoff shares.

The minimum salary in the major leagues is $545,000, so for rookies and also coaches, this is significant money.

6) Texas Tech hired Utah State coach Matt Wells to run its football program; Wells went 44-34 at Utah State (his alma mater) including a 10-2 record so far this year. He is bringing both his coordinators with him from Utah State.

5) There are 353 Division I college basketball teams; 33 of those teams are being coached this season by a person who has never coached a Division I team before.

According to college hoop expert Ken Pomeroy, rookie coaches went 331-478 LY, 412-602 the year before, are 77-127 so far this year, with 27 of those wins vs non-D-I teams. You didn’t get hired as a rookie coach because the last coach did well.

4) I complained about ESPN’s Jay Bilas during the Maui Classic, but he sounds like Vin Scully compared to Dan Dakich, one of the most annoying people to ever speak into a microphone.

Dakich played/coached at Indiana, was a mediocre head coach at Bowling Green for 10 years, and now comes across like a freakin’ know-it-all on TV a few days a week. Maybe he’s a terrific guy off camera, but no voice makes me reach for the mute button faster than Dakich’s.

3) Chargers’ offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt will interview for the coaching job at his alma mater Georgia Tech, after Paul Johnson retired earlier this week.

2) Clippers 133, Kings 121— Sacramento had 68 points at halftime……and was behind. This was a fun game to watch. Clippers are an actual team, with no one big star- they’ve won 11 of their last 13 games.

1) One of my favorite players to watch in the NBA is Montrezl Harrell, who in his 4th season in the NBA, is averaging 15.9 ppg for the first-place Clippers.

Why do I like watching him play? Because he works really hard; he scored 5.7 ppg as a freshman at Louisville, improved to where scored 15.7 ppg as a junior. You see guys progress to become an outstanding player, and you know the work thats gone into it behind the scenes.

**Udog** · 11-30-2018, 09:54 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, November 30

Michigan State @ Rutgers

Game 723-724
November 30, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
69.304
Rutgers
68.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rutgers
Even
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 8 1/2
138
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+8 1/2); Under

Mississippi State @ Dayton

Game 725-726
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
62.702
Dayton
63.495
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 1
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 4
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(+4); Over

Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina

Game 727-728
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
46.354
South Carolina
62.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 16
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 12 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-12 1/2); Over

Appalachian St @ East Carolina

Game 729-730
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
52.014
East Carolina
46.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 6
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 1 1/2
152
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(-1 1/2); Over

Duquesne @ Pittsburgh

Game 731-732
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duquesne
54.317
Pittsburgh
55.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duquesne
(+5 1/2); Over

Central Michigan @ TCU

Game 733-734
November 30, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
56.065
TCU
63.605
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 7 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 14
151
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+14); Under

Wisconsin @ Iowa

Game 735-736
November 30, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
71.263
Iowa
64.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 7
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 1 1/2
143
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-7); Under

Oklahoma State @ Minnesota

Game 737-738
November 30, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
61.278
Minnesota
65.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-2); Over

San Francisco @ Stephen F Austin

Game 741-742
November 30, 2018 @ 8:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
65.013
Stephen F Austin
54.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 11
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6 1/2
137
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-6 1/2); Under

Dartmouth @ Albany

Game 743-744
November 30, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
00.000
Albany
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dartmouth

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dartmouth

Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
( );

Marist @ LIU-Brooklyn

Game 745-746
November 30, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
00.000
LIU-Brooklyn
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marist

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist

Dunkel Pick:
Marist
( );

**Udog** · 11-30-2018, 09:54 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, November 30

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MICHIGAN ST (5 - 2) at RUTGERS (5 - 1) - 11/30/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 1) at DAYTON (4 - 2) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
DAYTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAYTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (4 - 3) at S CAROLINA (3 - 3) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 4) at E CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUQUESNE (4 - 1) vs. PITTSBURGH (6 - 1) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (6 - 1) at TCU (4 - 1) - 11/30/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 111-153 ATS (-57.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 111-153 ATS (-57.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
TCU is 180-232 ATS (-75.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (6 - 1) at IOWA (6 - 0) - 11/30/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 157-119 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (5 - 1) - 11/30/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in November games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) against Big 12 conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-MILWAUKEE (2 - 4) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 0) - 11/30/2018, 5:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BUFFALO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 166-129 ATS (+24.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 0) vs. SF AUSTIN ST (4 - 1) - 11/30/2018, 8:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 94-132 ATS (-51.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 92-131 ATS (-52.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SF AUSTIN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-30-2018, 09:55 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 30

Michigan State is 7-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play, winning their three visits here, by 20-31-10 points. Spartans lost in OT at Louisville Tuesday; they’re 5-2 vs schedule #53, with four of seven games vs top 60 teams- their best wins are over UCLA by 20, Texas by 10. MSU is experience team #94 that is making 42.4% of its 3’s. Rutgers is 5-1 vs schedule #246; Scarlet Knightx are #311 experience team that won as an 11-point road underdog at Miami Wednesday. Rutgers is forcing turnovers 23.5% of time, but also turning it over themselves 22.3% of time.

Mississippi State held off Dayton 61-59 LY, after being up 15 at the half; Dayton was just 9-16 on foul line in turnover fest (Dayton 26, MSU 24) that State led by 21 early in 2nd half. Bulldogs are 5-1 vs schedule #298; they’re forcing turnovers 21.3% of time but making just 29.8% on arc- they’re #15 in country in MC, which is good. Dayton lost its last two games in Atlantis after a 4-0 start; Flyers are experience team #262 that starts two sophs, two seniors- they were held to 59-54 points in their two losses, shooting combined 11-38 on arc.

South Carolina snuck past Coastal Carolina 80-78 LY, after trailing by 5 with 7:23 left; USC outscored Chanticleers 22-10 on foul line. Coastal is 2-3 vs schedule #239; they’re experience team #259 that lost both its top 200 games, by 5 at Tulane, 6 at Northern Kentucky. South Carolina is 3-3 vs schedule #312 after losing last game by 20 at home to Wofford; Gamecocks are #199 experience team that is playing pace #33 and subbing a lot (#53 in bench minutes), but USC is 0-3 vs teams in top 200, 3-0 vs teams outside top 200. Coastal is ranked #196.

Appalachian State is 0-4 vs D-I teams (schedule #5), with two non-D-I wins; ASU is experience team #136 (#20 in MC)that has turned ball over 22.8% of time while playing pace #68- they’ve made 40.6% of their 3’s, even with an 0-4 record. East Carolina is 4-4 vs schedule #347, losing last two games by 3-9 points; Pirates are shooting just 26.9% on arc. ECU is experience team #332 that subs a lot (minutes #28); they’re 0-2 vs teams in top 200, losing by point at home to JMU, by 25 at Georgia Tech.

Pitt beat Duquesne 16 of last 17 years, losing two years ago; LY Pitt won by 12 in Dambrot’s first year as Dukes’ coach. Duquesne is 4-1 vs schedule #24 this year; Dukes lost by 11 at Notre Dame in there only top 100 game. Duquesne is experience team #343 whose bench is playing minutes #48- they’re forcing turnovers 23% of time. Pitt is experience team #299 that is 6-1 vs schedule #341- they lost last game 69-68 at Iowa Tuesday- Panthers are starting three freshmen and two juniors. Duquesne is starting a freshman and three sophs.

Central Michigan is 4-1 vs schedule #344; they’re experience team #43 that isn’t subbing much (bench minutes #325). Chippewas lost by hoop to Weber State in their only top 200 game, on a neutral court in the Bahamas. CMU is forcing turnovers 24.7% of the time. TCU is 4-1 vs #281 schedule; they beat MAC’s Eastern Michigan 87-69 in their last game Monday. Horned Frogs are starting two freshmen, two seniors- they’re shooting 58.8% inside arc. Last four years, Big X teams are 3-3 vs spread when playing a MAC opponent.

Iowa beat Wisconsin last two years, by 2-18 points; Badgers won three of their last four visits to Iowa City. Wisconsin is 6-1 vs schedule #45; their only loss was by 7 to Virginia in finals of the Atlantis tourney. Badgers are experience team #202 (#24 in MC) who start three sophs and three seniors. Iowa is experience team #244 that is also #30 in minutes continuity- they’re playing pace #59 and are #2 team in country at getting to foul line. Iowa starts three juniors, no seniors- they held off Pitt 69-68 in last game, holding Panthers to 22 second half points.

Minnesota is 5-1 vs schedule #99, with only loss 68-56 at Boston College in last game Monday. Gophers are experience team #181 whose eFG% is #226- they aren’t shooting ball well, but they do have pair of top 100 wins on a neutral court, over Texas A&M/Washington. Oklahoma State is 4-2 vs schedule #95; Cowboys are experience team #308 that is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time, but also turning ball over themselves 22.1% of time. OSU won two of three games down at Disney World last weekend, beating #49 LSU Sunday for their best win this season.

**Udog** · 11-30-2018, 10:01 AM

NCAAB

Friday, November 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wisconsin-Milwaukee @ Buffalo
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 5 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

San Francisco @ Stephen F. Austin
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Stephen F. Austin
No trends to report

Ohio Chillicothe @ Morehead State
Ohio Chillicothe
No trends to report
Morehead State
Morehead State is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
Morehead State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

Marist @ LIU-Brooklyn
Marist
No trends to report
LIU-Brooklyn
No trends to report

Dartmouth @ Albany
Dartmouth
No trends to report
Albany
No trends to report

Michigan State @ Rutgers
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Michigan State

Mississippi State @ Dayton
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games
Dayton
Dayton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dayton's last 5 games at home

UMBC @ Northern Kentucky
UMBC
No trends to report
Northern Kentucky
No trends to report

Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina
Coastal Carolina
No trends to report
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games
South Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Delaware @ Maryland-Eastern Shore
Delaware
Delaware is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Delaware is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report

Radford @ Texas
Radford
No trends to report
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Niagara @ St. Francis-Pennsylvania
Niagara
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games on the road
St. Francis-Pennsylvania
No trends to report

Duquesne @ Pittsburgh
Duquesne
Duquesne is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duquesne's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Duquesne

Wagner @ American
Wagner
No trends to report
American
No trends to report

Appalachian State @ East Carolina
Appalachian State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Appalachian State's last 11 games on the road
Appalachian State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of East Carolina's last 8 games at home

Vermont @ Towson
Vermont
No trends to report
Towson
Towson is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Towson is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vermont

Central Michigan @ TCU
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 8 games on the road
Central Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
TCU
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Wisconsin @ Iowa
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Colgate @ South Florida
Colgate
No trends to report
South Florida
South Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
South Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Oklahoma State @ Minnesota
Oklahoma State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games

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Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/30

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/30

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