Announcement

**Udog** · 11-18-2018, 10:10 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 11 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Chiefs +3.5 (1,332)

2) Vikings +2.5 (1,283)

3) Panthers -4 (920)

4) Texans -3 (890)

5) Colts -2 (841)

6) Eagles +8.5 (823)

Season record: 32-25-3

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday

13) Ohio State 52, Maryland 51 OT— This was the strangest of games……..
— Maryland’s QB tore his knee up last week, is out for the year; they gained 535 yards in a game where their backup QB played the whole game.
— Terps had TD runs of 81-75 yards, just in the first quarter- they ran the ball for 339 freakin’ yards, which we’ll get back to later.
— Urban Meyer looks stressed out on sidelines, like he could keel over for good at any minute.
— Buckeyes have allowed 31+ points in three of their last four games.
— Maryland scores in OT to make score 52-51; did we mention they ran the ball for 339 yards? They go for 2 points and the win, but they throw a pass with their backup QB. No bueno.
— 47 of their first 61 plays were runs, but they threw a pass with the game on the line.

I was thoroughly entertained by this game, but the end just ticked me off. Do what you do best!!!! Run the damn ball. Maryland wins this game, and the interim coach might become the full-time coach. Now? Good luck interviewing for jobs this winter.

12) Oklahoma State 45, West Virginia 41— Not everyone who plays college football is going to the NFL; senior QB Tyler Cornelius threw a total of 24 passes in his first three years at OSU, but he is the starter this year and this was a big day for him on Senior Day, going 30-46 for 338 yards and three TD’s as they upset West Virginia.

Here are the distances between West Virginia and their Big X rivals:
— Iowa State 872 miles; Kansas 902, Kansas State 983
— Oklahoma State 1,086, Oklahoma 1,137, TCU 1,238
— Baylor, 1,299, Texas 1,401, Texas Tech 1,467

Why the bleep is West Virginia in this league and not the Big 14 or the ACC?

11) UCLA 34, USC 27— Joshua Kelley ran ball 40 times for 289 yards, the most yards for any UCLA RB since 2004; Bruins are 3-8, USC is 5-6. Last time both of these schools finished with losing records was 1958, before I was born. Trojans have to upset Notre Dame next week to get to 6-6 and be bowl eligible— ain’t gonna happen.

Where does USC look for a new coach? Would they dare consider Lane Kiffin again? How about John Harbaugh or Mike Leach?

USC has had three former football players (Garrett, Haden, Swann) as AD’s; how about hiring an experienced administrator and running things the right way?

10) Nebraska 9, Michigan State 6
— Neither team scored a TD, or completed half their passes.
— Total yardage was 289-248 MSU
— Spartans converted 9-20 on 3rd down, but only scored three points?
— Nebraska won four of its last five games after an 0-6 start.
— This is first time Nebraska had won a game without scoring a TD since a 3-0 victory over Kansas State in 1937.

9) Utah 30, Colorado 7— When I was in Las Vegas last month, my only college football bet was Colorado over Arizona State; the Buffs won/covered, but they haven’t won since, turning a 5-0 start into a 5-6 debacle. Colorado blew a 31-3 lead in an awful home loss to Oregon State late last month, and they haven’t recovered from that.

In their last five games, Buffaloes were outscored 101-20 in the 2nd half.

8) Wisconsin 47, Purdue 44 OT— Boilermakers led 27:13 with 7:00 left in game, but they let game slip away and lost to the Badgers for 7th time in a row. Wisconsin had 13 penalties for 171 yards, but ran the ball for 385 yards.

Purdue is 5-6, with four losses by 4 or fewer points; they need a win at Indiana next week to go to a bowl game.

7) Upsets of the Week:
— Ball State (+9.5) 42, Western Michigan 41 OT
— Bowling Green (+7) 21, Akron 6
— Kansas State (+6.5) 21, Texas Tech 6
— Miami OH (+6.5) 13, Northern Illinois 7
— Oklahoma State (+5) 45, West Virginia 41

6) Utah State 29, Colorado State 24— Aggies were a 27-point road favorite, but host Rams scored with 1:36 left to take a 24-23 lead. Utah State then drove 71 yards on six plays for the GW TD, scoring on a 33-yard pass with 0:43 left to play.

Colorado State appeared to score a TD on a Hail Mary on the last play of the game, but the kid who caught the ball had stepped out of bounds running down the field, so he was ineligible to touch the ball first, so that nullified the TD, luckily for 10-1 Utah State.

5) Temple 27, South Florida 17— USF led this game 17-0 at halftime; Owls’ last two scores came on a punt return with 10:35 left and then a defensive score with 1:37 left.

4) Florida State 22, Boston College 21— Seminoles hit on a 74-yard pass with 1:49 left to snap a 3-game skid and stay bowl eligible; they play the Florida Gators next week. FSU needs to win that game to get to 6-6.

In itself, going to a bowl isn’t that big a deal, especially a minor bowl, but the practices teams have before those bowls are important— it helps coaches develop their younger players who might be starters next year. Also, it appeases the boosters, at least a little bit.

The 3-4 hours the bowl is on TV also helps for recruiting; it is free advertising for the program.

3) Furman 76, Villanova 68 OT— Paladins were a 16-point underdog; looks like the defending national champs might be in for a tough year. Wildcats took 44 3-pointers, only 27 2-point shots against a Southern League team, which doesn’t bode well for Big East play.

Villanova is the first defending national champ since 1996 to start the next season 2-2 or worse.

It is November 18 and Furman has already beaten two of last year’s Final Four teams; they won at the buzzer at Loyola, Chi earlier this month.

2) Clemson 35, Duke 6— These teams are in same league, but since 2009, Clemson has had 52 players drafted by NFL teams; Duke has had four. David Cutcliffe is doing an excellent job of keeping the Blue Devils going to bowl games with lesser talent.

1) Vanderbilt 36, Ole Miss 29 OT— This was a fun game to watch; a sketchy replay reversal nullified the Rebels’ tying TD in OT. Vandy plays Tennessee next week; the winner will be bowl eligible.

**Udog** · 11-18-2018, 10:26 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 18

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MEMPHIS (9 - 5) at MINNESOTA (7 - 9) - 11/18/2018, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 5) at WASHINGTON (5 - 10) - 11/18/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-58 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 410-481 ATS (-119.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 116-160 ATS (-60.0 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (8 - 7) at MIAMI (6 - 9) - 11/18/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
MIAMI is 128-168 ATS (-56.8 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 133-184 ATS (-69.4 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 12) at ORLANDO (8 - 8) - 11/18/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 231-179 ATS (+34.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
ORLANDO is 77-99 ATS (-31.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (12 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (7 - 7) - 11/18/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1054-926 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 838-716 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 342-281 ATS (+32.9 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 298-245 ATS (+28.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-7 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 18

Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 3-4 on road, 3-2 as AU. Three of their last four games went over. Timberwolves won/covered their last three games; they’re 6-1 at home, 3-1 as HF. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. Grizzlies won four of last five games with Minnesota; they’re 2-3 vs spread in their last five trips to the Twin Cities. Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

Portland lost its last three games after a 10-3 start; they’re 3-3 on road, 1-1 as AF. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Washington won three of its last four games after a 2-9 start; they’re 3-4 at home, 0-1 as HU. Over is 4-3 in their home games. Wizards won four of last five games with Portland; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Blazers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits here.

Los Angeles won four of its last five games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Lakers are 3-4 on road, 1-3 as AU. Heat lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-5 at home, 3-4 as HF. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Lakers/Miami split their last six games; LA is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Miami. Three of last four series games went over the total.

New York lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-7 on road, 4-4 as AU. Three of their last four games went over. Orlando won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-5 at home, 0-2 as HF. Under is 7-3 in their hone games this season. Knicks lost four of last five games with Orlando; NY covered three of its last four visits to the Magic Kingdom. Four of last five series games stayed under.

Curry/Green are both expected out here. Golden State lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-4 on road, 0-1 as AU. Over is 6-2 in their road games. San Antonio lost five of its last six games; they’re 5-2 at home, 3-3 as HF. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Warriors won eight of their last ten games with the Spurs; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to the Alamo. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.

NBA

Sunday, November 18

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Trend Report
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Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Memphis is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 15 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis
Minnesota is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Memphis

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games
Portland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Portland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Washington
Portland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Portland's last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Washington is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Portland
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing at home against Portland

New York Knicks
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
New York is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Orlando
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Orlando's last 17 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New York
Orlando is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against New York
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 16 games when playing Miami
LA Lakers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
LA Lakers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games
Miami is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games when playing LA Lakers
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Golden State is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games at home
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Golden State
San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

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**Udog** · 11-18-2018, 11:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 18

Memphis @ Minnesota

Game 701-702
November 18, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
116.110
Minnesota
124.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 9
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-3 1/2); Under

Portland @ Washington

Game 703-704
November 18, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
121.769
Washington
114.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
224
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1); Under

LA Lakers @ Miami

Game 705-706
November 18, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.510
Miami
115.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 3 1/2
237
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
228
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+1 1/2); Over

New York @ Orlando

Game 707-708
November 18, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.002
Orlando
113.251
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
Even
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 4 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+4 1/2); Over

Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 709-710
November 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
114.854
San Antonio
119.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-1 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-18-2018, 01:09 PM

Hoop Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Spurs are 10-0 ATS (12.55 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Warriors are 0-13 ATS (-9.46 ppg) off a road game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Heat are 9-0 OU (+15.38 ppg) as a favorite facing an opponent averaging at least 4.3 blocks per game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Knicks are 0-12 OU (-11.29 ppg) with rest after a loss in which they led after each of the first three quarters and it is before the All-Star break.

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/18

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/18

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