Announcement

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 09:20 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Boise State is 8-4-1 vs spread in its last 13 road games.

— Missouri covered only one of its last six road games.

— Oregon State covered one of its last nine Pac-12 games.

— Boston College is 16-3 vs spread in its last 19 regular season games.

— UL-Lafayette covered six of its last seven games.

— Fresno State is 18-4-2 ATS since Tedford became coach.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Annual tradition here in not-so-beautiful upstate New York. When it snows outside, and it is snowing now, I get on the Interweb and price condos in Las Vegas, where snow is merely a rumor.

Snow is the only bad part of living here; nothing is quite as much fun as getting up on a step-ladder to sweep the snow off my satellite dish.

12) Last year at this time the Miami Marlins sold off their whole outfield; Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich. Wonder what the odds were that of those three guys, Christian Yelich would be the MVP this season? He had a great year, leading Milwaukee to a playoff berth.

11) San Diego Union-Tribune writer John Maffei is the only one out of 30 voters who didn’t vote for Jacob deGrom for the NL Cy Young Award. Mr Maffei values W-L record as a stat, so deGrom’s 10-9 record for a dismal Mets team didn’t impress him much.

10) UConn 83, Syracuse 76— Huskies made 12-21 behind arc; Syracuse was playing without G Howard; things aren’t as easy when you play away from home.

9) DePaul 72, Penn State 70 OT— Nittany Lions jumped out to 11-0 lead, trailed 36-31 at half, then forced OT, where they missed wide open, game-tying jumper at end of OT. DePaul is 3-0 for first time in ten years.

8) Ohio State 69, Creighton 60— Second quality road win for the young Buckeyes, who won at Cincinnati last week.

7) Seahawks 27, Packers 24— Seattle outrushed Green Bay 173-48; Packers converted only 3-11 third down plays. 46-yard FG Crosby missed when Packers led 7-0 turned out to be painful.

6) Houston Rockets and Carmelo Anthony parted ways after 10 games; who thought this pairing was going to be a good idea? Anthony didn’t want to come off the bench, but when you get older and your skills decline, what did he think was going to happen?

5) Lakers’ G Rajon Rondo broke his hand, is out 3-5 weeks.

4) Former LSU football coach Les Miles took a one-time lump sum payment of $1.5M from the school, reduced from the $6.5M he was scheduled to get over the next five years, but that tells me that Miles is going to be a head coach somewhere else next season. If he took the $6.5M, he would’ve had to stay out of coaching until 2023.

3) Someone on Twitter posted a list of their ten favorite airports, and it started a firestorm of responses; since I only fly to one place, and it is usually a non-stop flight, my list is short:

1) Las Vegas
2) Albany
3) Baltimore (sometimes my flights stop there; they have a Chick-fil-A)

2) Cal Bears postponed their basketball game with Detroit Mercy Thursday night because of poor air quality in the area due to the wild fires. San Francisco also postponed Friday night’s home basketball game with Arizona State.

1) Jim Boeheim has been the basketball coach at Syracuse for 43 years; he played for the Orange, was an assistant coach there before being head coach. Boeheim’s son Buddy is a player for Syracuse now; how the hell do they spell the kid’s last name wrong on his orange jersey?

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 09:44 AM

published Nov. 15....

Top NBA Over Referees (min. 5 games, based on Over %):

1. Leroy Richardson 8-1
2. Mark Lindsay 10-2
3. Aaron Smith 8-2
t4. Mike Callahan 8-3
t4. Dedric Taylor 8-3
t6. 5 tied at 7-3 (S. Twardoski, M. Ervin, P. Fraher, T. Brown, M. Smith)

Top NBA Under Referees (min. 5 games, based on Under %):

1. Scott Wall 6-1
2. Kevin Scott 9-2
3. Gediminas Petraitis 11-3
t4. Rodney Mott 9-3
t4. Justin Van Duyne 6-2
t4. JB DeRosa 6-2
t4. Brett Nansel 6-2
8. Kane Fitzgerald 8-3

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 09:47 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, November 16

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BROOKLYN (6 - 9) at WASHINGTON (5 - 9) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-57 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 410-480 ATS (-118.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 116-159 ATS (-58.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 153-205 ATS (-72.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (6 - 8) at INDIANA (8 - 6) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 223-168 ATS (+38.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-81 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (12 - 3) at BOSTON (8 - 6) - 11/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 9) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 8-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (8 - 6) at MEMPHIS (8 - 5) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 7) - 11/16/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (4 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 4) - 11/16/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 408-479 ATS (-118.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 09:48 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 16

Nets lost their last three games; they’re 1-3 in last four games as a AU. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Washington won its last three games after a 2-9 start; Wizards won/covered their last three home games. Three of their last four games went over. Wizards won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Nets are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits here.

Heat lost six of their last nine games; they’re 3-3 SU on road, 2-1 as AU. Seven of their last eight games went over total. Indiana lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-3 as HF. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Pacers won three of last four games with Miami; last five series games went over. Heat covered two of their last three visits to Indiana.

Utah won three of last four games, but lost by 50 in Dallas Wednesday; they’re 5-3 on road, 2-1 as AU. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Philly split their last six games; they’re 7-0 at home, 4-3 as HF. Three of their last four games went over the total. 76ers beat Utah LY after losing previous eight series games; under is 8-1 in last nine series tilts. Jazz are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Philly.

Toronto lost its last two games after a 12-1 start; they’re 5-1 on road, 2-0 as AU. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Celtics lost four of their last six games; they’re 4-1 at home, 3-2 as HF. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last eight Toronto-Boston games; Raptors are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Beantown. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Portland won seven of its last nine games; they’re 3-2 on road, 1-0 as AF. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total. Timberwolves won its last two games after a 5-game skid; Minnesota is 6-1 at home, 2-1 as HU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Home side won last eight Portland-Minnesota games; Trailblazers covered three of last four visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Kings lost three of last five games after a 6-3 start; they’re 4-3 on road, 4-3 as AU. Sacramento’s last four games stayed under the total. Memphis won three of its last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, 4-0 as HF. Four of their last six games stayed under. Kings/Grizzlies split their last eight meetings; Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in their last five trips to Tennessee. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

New York lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-6 on road, 3-4 as AU. over is 4-4 in their road games. Pelicans won three of their last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, 3-3 as HF. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Knicks lost four of last five games with New Orleans; NY is 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total.

Bulls lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-5 on road, 4-3 as AU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Milwaukee is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 7-0 start; Bucks are 6-1 at home, 4-2 as HF. Seven of their last eight games went over. Road team won last five Chicago-Milwaukee games; Bulls covered four of their last five visits to Milwaukee. Five of last six series games went over total.

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 09:50 AM

NBA

Friday, November 16

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Trend Report
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Miami Heat
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Brooklyn is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Brooklyn is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Brooklyn is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing Washington
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 16 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Utah Jazz
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Utah
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Portland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Portland is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
Sacramento is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Sacramento is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Memphis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

New York Knicks
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
New York is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New York is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New York is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New York is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

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**StarDust Bum** · 11-16-2018, 12:30 PM

Friday's Tip Sheet
November 16, 2018
By Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Raptors at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST

Both these Eastern Conference powers have seen their struggles of late as they meet for the second time this season on Friday night. Toronto (12-3 SU, 8-7 ATS) still leads the Atlantic division through one month, but the Raptors have lost more games in the last four days than they had in the first three weeks of the season.

The Raptors were blown out on Monday by New Orleans in a 16-point home defeat, but tried to turn things around against the Pistons on Wednesday. Toronto jumped out to a commanding 19-point third quarter advantage, but Detroit rallied back and stunned the Raptors with a buzzer-beater in a 106-104 upset as 9 ½-point underdogs. Kawhi Leonard led Toronto with 26 points, but also committed a costly turnover on the possession prior to Detroit’s game-winner.

The Celtics (8-6 SU. 5-9 ATS) picked up their first cover in six opportunities after posting an 0-5 ATS mark on their recent road swing. Boston rallied from an early deficit to blow out Chicago on Wednesday, 111-82 as 12 ½-point home favorites, highlighted by a 32-11 second quarter run. All five Celtics’ starters finished in double-figures, led by Jaylen Brown’s 18 points, while Boston limited Chicago to 39% shooting from the field.

In the first matchup this season in Toronto on October 19, the Raptors knocked off the Celtics, 113-101 as three-point favorites. Boston led by seven after one quarter, but the Raptors outscored the Celtics in each of the final three quarters as Leonard posted a 31-point, 10-rebound effort in the win. The home team has won each of the past eight meetings between these division foes, including three consecutive victories by Boston at TD Garden.

Sounds of Silence

If any team was happy that Wednesday was over, it was the Jazz. Utah (7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS) entered Dallas seeking its third victory over the Mavericks this season and left the American Airlines Center on the wrong side of a 50-point defeat. The Mavs wiped out the Jazz, 118-68, as Utah was limited to 22 second half points. Utah continues a five-game road trip in Philadelphia tonight, while traveling to Boston tomorrow for a difficult back-to-back set.

The 76ers (9-7 SU, 6-10 ATS) squandered a 16-point fourth quarter lead in Wednesday’s meltdown loss at Orlando. The Magic ran off 21 consecutive points to stun the Sixers in the debut of Jimmy Butler, who scored 14 points as Philadelphia dropped to 2-7 on the road. The 76ers head back home where they own a perfect 7-0 record at Wells Fargo Center, but Philadelphia owns a 4-3 ATS mark in those games.

Utah captured eight consecutive meetings with Philadelphia from 2014 through 2016, but the 76ers grabbed both matchups last season, including a 21-point blowout at Wells Fargo Center.

Right on Target

The Timberwolves (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS) are glad to be off the road for a while, where they are winless in eight tries. Minnesota has posted a solid 6-1 mark at the Target Center this season, coming off back-to-back wins over Brooklyn and New Orleans. In Wednesday’s victory over the Pelicans, Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins combined for 48 points, while Jeff Teague dished out 14 assists as Minnesota picked up its third outright win as a home underdog this season.

Minnesota welcomes in Portland, as the Blazers (10-4 SU, 10-4 ATS) are looking to avoid consecutive losses for the first this season. Portland built an early double-digit lead at Los Angeles on Wednesday, but the Blazers couldn’t slow down LeBron James and the Lakers in a 126-117 setback to end a four-game winning streak. In the first matchup with Minnesota this season, the Blazers rolled the short-handed Wolves (playing without Butler, Teague, and Derrick Rose), 111-81 at the Moda Center for third straight win over Minnesota since January.

Special Delivery

Guess who owns the top record in the Southwest division 13 games into the season? It’s not the Rockets and it’s not the Spurs. Instead, it’s the Grizzlies (8-5 SU, 8-5 ATS), who own a 5-1 record at FedEx Forum, while coming off their most impressive win of the young season by stunning the Bucks as 9 ½-point road underdogs, 116-113 on Wednesday. Memphis handed Milwaukee its first home loss of the season, while Marc Gasol drilled six three-pointers and scored 29 points in the win.

The Kings (8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS) embark on a quick two-game road trip that continues to Houston on Saturday. Sacramento is seeking its second victory over Memphis this season after rallying past the Grizzlies at Golden 1 Center last month, 97-92. The Kings are coming off four straight UNDERS on their homestand, capped off by a 104-99 triumph over San Antonio. Sacramento has been a tremendous OVER team away from home this season by hitting the OVER in six of seven away contests.

Buck Bounce-Back?

Milwaukee (10-4 SU, 8-5-1 ATS) opened a new arena this season and started with a bang by winning its first six games at Fiserv Forum. The first defeat came in Wednesday’s three-point setback to the Grizzlies as the Bucks had won each of their first six home games by double-digits. Giannis Antetokounmpo paced the Bucks with 31 points, but Milwaukee allowed 68 second half points (also scored 68 points), while sailing OVER the total for the seventh time in eight games.

The Bucks are heavy favorites against the Bulls (4-11 SU, 8-7 ATS), who have failed to cover in three straight games following a 5-0 ATS run. Chicago has struggled to hang as a double-digit underdog this season by posting an 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS record, coming off a blowout loss at Boston on Wednesday. Last season, the Bulls shocked the Bucks in two visits to Milwaukee, while the road team has won each of the past seven matchups.

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 03:33 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, November 16

Brooklyn @ Washington

Game 701-702
November 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
109.713
Washington
121.386
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
223
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7); Over

Miami @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
110.770
Indiana
121.285
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 10 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-5); Over

Utah @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
November 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
112.695
Philadelphia
118.151
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
217
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-2 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 707-708
November 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.665
Boston
122.832
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1 1/2); Over

Portland @ Minnesota

Game 709-710
November 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
125.210
Minnesota
116.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1); Under

Sacramento @ Memphis

Game 711-712
November 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
111.614
Memphis
125.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 14
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 6 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-6 1/2); Under

New York @ New Orleans

Game 713-714
November 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
107.030
New Orleans
120.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 13
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 10
227
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-10); Under

Chicago @ Milwaukee

Game 715-716
November 16, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
109.224
Milwaukee
127.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 18
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 14
224
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-14); Over

**Udog** · 11-16-2018, 03:41 PM

Dinged-up Dinos

The Raptors hope to snap their two-game losing skid as they travel to Boston to take on the Celtics as 2-point road underdogs Friday. The Celtics have lost four of their last six games but have won four of their first five home stands in Boston this season.

In their two most recent losses, Toronto struggled to hit from beyond the arc. In games against the Pelicans and Pistons, Toronto missed nine of its first 10 shots attempted from deep and in Wednesday night’s game versus the Pistons, they only managed to connect on four shots out of 20 from 3-point range.

With Serge Ibaka and Danny Green listed as probable for today’s matchup, and Norman Powell out, the Raptors might have to rely on Jonas Valanciunas, who’s impact is immediately felt off the bench. Look for him to play more minutes than usual if Ibaka isn’t healthy or efficient, and take Over his 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists total.

Nets needing scoring

The Brooklyn Nets bring a three-game losing streak to DC to take on the Wizards at Capital One Arena. Despite the horrible start for Washington, it has won four of its last six and is aiming for a fourth straight victory, pegged as a 6.5-point favorite Friday.

The Nets have a long list of injuries with Rondae Hollis-Jefferson questionable along with center Jarrett Allen. They will be without Treveon Graham and Caris LeVert, who are out indefinitely.

The Nets will need scoring to come from somewhere if they want to upset the Wizards. Luckily, Washington is allowing opponents to score 116.9 points per game – 29th in the NBA.

Brooklyn reserve guard Spencer Dinwiddie has seen a steady number of minutes this year, averaging 27.3 played per game. He’s been efficient from the floor, scoring 14.2 points per game on 47.5 percent shooting and contributing 2.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists an outing.

The Wizards have allowed for opposing point guards to average 25.5 points per game, contribute 6.1 rebounds, 8.8 assists and hit 3.2 3-point shots per contest on the season. Look for Dinwiddie to continue his offensive efficiency and take Over the 22.2 points, rebounds, and assists Friday.

Sour notes

The Utah Jazz and Philadelphia 76ers both try to get right off of two disappointing losses - none worse than Utah’s 118-68 loss to the Mavericks on Wednesday night, which was the worst loss for the team since moving to Salt Lake City. The Jazz only managed 22 second-half points and shot 31 percent from the field with just 17 points coming from beyond the arc.

The 76ers dropped Jimmy Butler’s debut in 111-106 collapse to the Orlando Magic, who outscored Philadelphia 35-19 in the fourth quarter. The Sixers will be happy to return home where they have won all seven home games this season. Books currently have Philly giving three points to their non-conference opponent.

Defense should be an emphasis for the Jazz after allowing the Mavs to shoot over 58 percent from the field. These teams have leaned on defense in past meetings with the Under hitting in eight of Utah’s last nine games playing Philadelphia. The lack of perimeter shooting might play into this totals trend, with the Sixers shooting only 34.5 percent from 3-point land and the Jazz making just 33.8 percent of their looks from distance. Take a good look at the Under 217 points.

Lock down positional defense

The 10-4 Trail Blazers are off to a great start, winning 10 of their first 14 games. However, Portland is coming off a disappointing 126-117 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday night. They take on the 6-9 Minnesota Timberwolves, who have lost seven of their past 11 games, but have won two straight after an upsetting the Pelicans 107-100 at home Wednesday night.

The Trail Blazers have had a lot of success versus Minnesota, going 18-7 SU over their last 25 meetings. They have posted a 14-7 record over their last 21 road games when playing Minnesota.

Portland is very efficient at limiting opposing point guards. They rank Top 5 in the Association is shutting down PGs, allowing them to shoot only 38.7 percent from the floor and contribute only 17.5 points per game. Timberwolves veteran guard Jeff Teague has been efficient in his two games back after sitting out six, but he’s mostly contributed through assists. Take Under 15.5 points from Teague tonight.

Rondo out 4-5 weeks

We touched on how important Stephen Curry is to the Warriors earlier this week, and sure enough Golden State lost again, 107-86 to Houston Thursday night. The Lakers might be another team that sees a decrease in offensive production as they will be without point guard Rajon Rondo for at least four weeks.

Rajon Rondo underwent successful surgery on his broken right hand, suffering in Wednesday’s win over Portland. Although his role has mostly been as a reserve, Rondo is averaging 9.3 points, 6.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds off the bench. This will likely open up minutes for Lonzo Ball and help get Josh Hart involved in the offense. These two players in particular might be worth a closer look moving forward until Rondo’s return. Los Angeles opens a three-game Eastern Conference road swing at Orlando Saturday and is 3-3 ATS as a visitor this season.

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Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/16

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/16

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