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**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 08:55 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six interesting games on this week’s college football schedule:

— Stanford (-2) @ California

— Arizona State @ Oregon (-4.5)

— West Virginia (-5.5) @ Oklahoma State

— Boston College (-2) @ Florida State

— Iowa State @ Texas (-3)

— USC (-3.5) @ UCLA

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) According to people who know such things, Rams-Chiefs’ total of 63.5 Monday night in Mexico City will be the highest total in NFL history.

Of the 14 NFL games that have had totals of 58+, 11 games went over, 3 stayed under- the favorite won 13 of the 14 games SU.

Previous highest total was 62 (Rams-49ers in 2000).

12) Before this year’s schedule was made, Rams-Chiefs both requested to play in Denver this past week, to get ready for the high altitude in Mexico City; the NFL obviously turned both teams down. Rams are practicing at the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs this week, so they’ll be cold but maybe it’ll help on Monday night.

Rams by the way, appear to be playing a preseason game next summer in Hawai’i.

11) Brook Lopez is a 7-foot center for the Milwaukee Bucks; in his last two games, Lopez is 14-25 outside the arc- he made six treys in the third quarter alone Sunday in Denver.

This is all very strange; in his first eight years in the NBA, Lopez was a combined 3-31 behind the arc, which made sense, the guy is a 7-foot center. But then he worked on his shooting.

In the last three years, here are Lopez’ 3-point numbers, in his 9th-11th years in the NBA:
2016-17: 134-387, 34.6%
2017-18: 112-325, 34.5%
2018-19: 39-93, 41.9%

10) Sounds the Baltimore Ravens will ask coach John Harbaugh to take a hike after this season; curious to see what direction they’ll go in from here. Would Harbaugh be a good fit at USC, or is former Cal coach Jeff Tedford (Aaron Rodgers’ college coach) the front runner there?

Would the Jets dump Todd Bowles and hire Harbaugh if he was available?

9) Louisville fired football coach Bobby Petrino Sunday morning; this is the Cardinals’ first losing season since 2009, but it has been a dreadful season. Louisville lost its last seven games, is 2-8- they’re 1-8 vs spread, so they’ve been non-competitive. Petrino will get $14M to go away; the rich boosters that pay the tab for this stuff must be very impatient people.

News of the firing came during Petrino’s TV show Sunday morning and ran on a crawl on the bottom of the screen, which seems a little bit cold-hearted.

Then again, if Rick Pitino wins his legal claim with Louisville they could owe him $44M, which means the school would owe $56M to coaches…..who don’t work there anymore.

8) First true road game for Duke’s basketball team is on the 8th……..of January. They play five games on neutral courts before then, but zero true road games.

7) New Jersey Giants cut OL Patrick Omameh, who signed a three-year, $15M contract in the offseason; pretty big blunder, but maybe they think signing Jamon Brown off the scrap heap makes up for it, at least partially.

6) Jimmer Fredette scored 75 points in a Chinese League game Sunday; his team lost 137-136. He was 7-10 on the arc, 17-24 inside the arc. wonder how many points his guy scored?

5) Some good news: 48.5% of eligible voters showed up and voted last week, the highest midterm turnout in any election since 1966.

4) Paul Pierce said on TV the other day that Duke could beat the Cleveland Cavaliers, which is an interesting debate. I would disagree with him on that, but the fact that it is even a debate is sad for Cleveland basketball fans.

3) Florida voted down greyhound racing earlier this month; I went to the dog races couple of times in Florida, never understood why anyone would wager on them. Fun to watch, it was a decent afternoon out, but horse races are a lot more fun.

2) Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford turns 31 in February; he is a good player, but this is his 10th year in the NFL and his career playoff record is 0-3. His regular season record is 63-71. He makes $27M a year.

My question is this; if you’re trying to make the Lions better, do you trade Stafford for draft picks and try to strengthen the rest of the team? Stafford could still bring a pretty good haul in a deal- look around, good QB’s aren’t exactly everywhere, or does Detroit commit to Stafford for the rest of his career and hope that suddenly everyone around him starts playing better?

1) West Virginia’s basketball team has a freshman guard from Wisconsin named Jordan McCabe; when the kid was 12 years old, his dribbling skills were so advanced that he appeared with the Harlem Globetrotters one night, and also did his dribbling thing on the Ellen TV show.

Not a lot of people can say they worked for Ellen DeGeneres and Bob Huggins.

**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 08:56 AM

Games to Watch - Week 5

It’s still very early in the NBA season, but it already looks as though we are going to get a rather entertaining battle in the Western Conference. The Golden State Warriors are at the top, as we all expected, but there is not a huge gap between them and the other seven teams in the playoff spots right now.

Things are a little more lopsided in the East, with the Raptors looking the team to beat in the early going. Things may change up this week, as we once again have a very busy schedule on tap.

Let’s look ahead at some of the better games on the NBA calendar this week.

Tuesday - Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets

What exactly is going on with the Houston Rockets this season? This was the team that won the Western Conference last season and who were expected to challenge for it again this year. As of now, they are 2 games below .500 and sitting below the playoff line. They have been better on the road, though, going 4-3 thus far. The Nuggets are up in the #3 spot with a 9-4 record, but they are starting this week on a 3-game losing skid. They have also lost their last 7 meetings with Houston, so we may just see the Rockets get this week started with a win.

Wednesday - Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers

While we may still be very early in the season, a weird scheduling quirk has seen these two teams hook up twice already, splitting those earlier games. It was the Lakers who won the last meeting, bringing an end to a 16-game losing streak at the hands of the Trail Blazers in the process. This will be the first meeting between these two in LA this season, which may just give a slight edge to the Lakers. That said, Portland have a decent 3-1 road record to start the season and are also on a 4-game winning streak. I am on Portland to get the win here.

Thursday - Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets

It’s a little surprising not to see these two teams battling it out for the top spot in the Western Conference right now, but with the Rockets entering the week a couple of games below .500, it looks as though we might not see that battle at all this season. The Warriors are once again off to a great start, going 11-2 through their first 13 games, which includes a 4-1 record on the road. The Rockets have been pretty awful at home, going just 1-4 through their first 5 games there. This looks like a win for the Warriors.

**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 09:00 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 13

Cleveland is 1-11 this season, 1-5 at home, 0-3 as HU. Cavaliers’ last five games stayed under the total. Charlotte won three of its last four games; they’re 3-4 on road, 1-1 as AF. Four of their last five games stayed under. Hornets beat Cleveland by 32 ten days ago, ending 9-game series skid; Hornets are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Last three series games stayed under total.

Houston won four of its last six games after a 1-5 start; they’re 4-3 on road, 1-0 as AU. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Denver lost its last three games after a 9-1 start; they’re 5-2 at home, 4-3 as HF. Three of their last four games went over. Rockets won their last seven games with Denver (5-2 vs spread); they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here (over 3-2).

Steph Curry is out here. Atlanta lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 1-6 on road, 3-4 as AU. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Golden State lost to the Clippers Monday; they lost two of last three games after a 10-1 start, are 6-2 as HF. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Warriors won their last seven games with Atlanta (4-3 vs spread); Hawks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland. Three of last four series games stayed under.

NBA

Tuesday, November 13

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Trend Report
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Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Houston Rockets
Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games at home
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Golden State is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 11:13 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 13

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CHARLOTTE (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (1 - 11) - 11/13/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (5 - 7) at DENVER (9 - 4) - 11/13/2018, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 10) at GOLDEN STATE (11 - 3) - 11/13/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 11:59 AM

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Rockets at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST

It’s been a tough encore season for Houston (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS), who owned the top record in the NBA last season at 65-17. The Rockets started 1-5, but rebounded with three consecutive victories at Brooklyn, Chicago, and Indiana. Houston couldn’t quite reach the .500 mark as the sputtering offense was limited to 80 points at Oklahoma City and 89 points at San Antonio in a pair of low-scoring losses.

The Rockets’ offense got back on track at home on Sunday in a 115-103 triumph over the Pacers to grab the season sweep of Indiana. Houston finally picked up its first cover at Toyota Center in five tries this season, highlighted by a 44-point second quarter. James Harden posted his best offensive performance of the season with 40 points, including hitting eight three-pointers. Last season’s MVP bounced back from a horrific shooting effort in Saturday’s loss at San Antonio in which Harden converted only 1-of-13 attempts from downtown.

The Nuggets (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS) stormed out to a red-hot 9-1 start, but have stumbled of late by dropping three consecutive games. After losing in the final seconds at Memphis last Wednesday, Denver was stunned at home by Brooklyn, followed by a seven-point defeat at Pepsi Center to Milwaukee. Paul Millsap paced the Nuggets with 25 points and Denver drilled 18 three-pointers on Sunday night, but allowed the Bucks to shoot 57% from the floor as the Nuggets hit back-to-back OVERS for the first time this season.

This series has been owned by the Rockets recently as Houston has won seven consecutive matchups, including a three-game sweep last season. In the lone meeting at Pepsi Center, Houston jumped out to a 13-point lead after one quarter and held off Denver, 119-114 to cash as 4 ½-point road favorites. Harden led the way with 41 points, while Chris Paul chipped in 23 points for the Rockets, who have won in each of the past three visits to Denver.

Quick Turnaround

The Warriors (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS) lost for the second time in three games following a 10-1 start as Golden State plays with no rest against Atlanta. The defending champions rallied from a nine-point deficit to force overtime last night against the Clippers, but L.A. picked up the 121-116 triumph as 3 ½-point underdogs. Kevin Durant paced the Warriors with a triple-double (33 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists), while Klay Thompson scored 31 points as he attempted 31 field goals.

Stephen Curry sat out for the second straight game with a groin injury, as the two-time MVP will not suit up tonight. Golden State has actually fared better as a heavy favorite this season by owning an 8-2 ATS mark when laying at least seven points (0-4 ATS as a six-point favorite or less). The Warriors head back on the highway for three games starting Thursday in Texas, as Golden State hooks up with Houston in a Western Conference Finals rematch.

The Hawks (3-10 SU, 5-8 ATS) continue a four-game road swing after dropping a one-point decision to the Lakers on Sunday night. Atlanta grabbed the cover as 11-point underdogs, but the Hawks lost for the eighth time in nine games. Rookie Trae Young registered his fifth double-double of the season by scoring 20 points and dishing out 12 assists against Los Angeles, as Atlanta cashed in its second straight opportunity as a double-digit ‘dog.

Golden State has won seven consecutive meetings with Atlanta since March 2015, as the Hawks have covered in two of their past three meetings at Oracle Arena. The Warriors have stepped up with no rest this season by blasting the Suns by 20 points and crushing the Bulls by 25 points last month.

End of the Road

The Hornets (7-6 SU, 9-4 ATS) wrap up their three-game road trip as Charlotte tries to pick up back-to-back wins for the third time this season. After falling short in overtime at Philadelphia on Friday, 133-132, the Hornets rebounded by knocking off the Pistons on Sunday, 113-103. Charlotte pulled away in the second half thanks to Kemba Walker’s 24 points, while veteran guard Tony Parker put up 24 points off the bench for the Hornets’ second consecutive cover.

Charlotte is flipped to a road favorite tonight at Cleveland as the Cavaliers (1-11 SU, 6-6 ATS) are seeking their first victory of November. The Cavs rallied from an early 14-point deficit against the Bulls on Saturday, but lost a 99-98 decision at the United Center as 4 ½-point underdogs. The backcourt duo of Collin Sexton and Rodney Hood each scored 20 points, while Cleveland outrebounded Chicago, 53-38 in the loss.

The Cavaliers are riding a five-game UNDER streak, while scoring 98 points or fewer four times in this stretch. Cleveland’s worst loss of the season came at Charlotte on November 3 in a 126-94 setback as 9 ½-point underdogs. The Hornets scorched the Cavs for 57% shooting from the floor, as seven Charlotte players finished in double-figures. Cleveland owns an 0-3 SU/ATS mark as a home underdog this season, while Charlotte lost in its last road favorite opportunity at Chicago on October 24.

**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 12:26 PM

Carmelo Anthony will miss tonight's game @ Nuggets with an "illness".

Houston is 1-1 SU and ATS without him this season. O/U is also 1-1.
Tonight's Pointspread: DEN -4.5
Tonight's Total: 214.5

**Udog** · 11-13-2018, 02:02 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 13

Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 501-502
November 13, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.724
Cleveland
109.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 12
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 8
217
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-8); Under

Houston @ Denver

Game 503-504
November 13, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.868
Denver
122.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
214
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Over

Atlanta @ Golden State

Game 505-506
November 13, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
108.641
Golden State
127.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12 1/2
229
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-12 1/2); Over

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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/13

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/13

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