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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 12

    Good Luck on day #316 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 10 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Eagles -6.5 (1,401)- L

    2) Falcons -4 (1,244)- L

    3) Seahawks +9.5 (1,078)- W

    4) Patriots -6.5 (935)- L

    5) Chargers -9.5 (919)- W

    6) Bengals +5.5 (795)- L

    Season record: 32-25-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Cowboys 27, Eagles 20— Home side has now lost nine of last 11 series games; Dallas won five of last six visits here. With seven weeks left in the season, Redskins have a 2-game lead in the NFC East. Cowboys are 4-0 when they score 20+ points, 0-5 when they don’t; they ran ball for 171 yards in first game with their new OL coach. Eagles are 0-4 as home favorites this year.

    Rams 36, Seahawks 31— About 20 Rams players/coaches had to evacuate their homes this week because of the wild fires; the team didn’t practice on Friday, but did enough here to move to 9-1. Seattle ran the ball for 273 yards; they’re only NFL team that runs the ball more than they throw it. Costly win for the Rams; looks like WR Cooper Kupp tore his ACL.

    I wasn’t going to mention this if the Rams lost, but since they won, hopefully the NFL will grade referee John Hussey very poorly for this game- he gave Seattle their third TD by throwing a flag on Rams’ DE Fowler when Fowler complained about being held after a 3rd-and-11 pass that fell incomplete. Fowler was walking away but the referee wouldn’t walk away and threw a flag that amounted to a turnover in Rams’ territory at a key point in the second half.

    Titans 34, Patriots 10— When your division rivals are three of the worst organizations in the NFL, you can afford to lay an egg now and then. Tennessee DC Dean Pees spent six years with New England— his defense was brilliant, holding Patriots to one TD and only 284 yards. New England ran ball for only 40 yards, was just 3-15 on third down.

    Right now, looks like the Patriots might be battling Pittsburgh for the #2 seed in the AFC and a first-round bye in the playoffs. Tennessee is a game behind Houston in the AFC South.

    Browns 28, Falcons 16— Rookie QB Mayfield completed his first 13 passes, finished 17 of 20 for 216 yards, as Cleveland played their best game in a long time, ending Atlanta winning streak at three. Rookie RB Chubb ran 92 yards for a Cleveland TD; Browns ran ball for 211 yards, had three TD drives of 80+ yards.

    Bills 41, Jets 10— Matt Barkley started his first NFL game in two years, got his 2nd career win (2-5) as a starter, as Buffalo crushed the Jets, outgaining them 163-1 in the first quarter. Jets now have two TD’s on their last 35 drives.

    Friends of mine who are Jets fans were clamoring for Todd Bowles to be fired during the Jets’ bye week (this week). Buffalo outgained them here 451-199, playing with a QB they signed off the street a few weeks ago.

    Saints 51, Bengals 14— New Orleans won its last eight games and they scored 40 points in the game they lost; this was a total ass-kicking, as New Orleans ran for 244 yards, threw for 265 more and led 35-7 at halftime.

    Bengals/Titans are tied for the second Wild Card spot in the AFC, but this was a discouraging game, a total no-show; Cincinnati has lost three of its last four games- good teams don’t lose this badly at home. New Orleans covered its last seven games.

    Redskins 16, Buccaneers 3— A very unusual boxscore:
    — Tampa Bay outgained the Redskins 501-286
    — Fitzpatrick threw for 406 yards, but Tampa Bay scored 3 points.
    — Bucs had ball in red zone on five different drives; they turned ball over twice, missed two FG’s and kicked a FG.
    — Tampa Bay was -4 (0-4) in turnovers, usually a recipe for disaster.
    — Washington has allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of its wins; they’re 0-3 allowing more than 20 points, but have a 2-game lead in the NFC East.

    When Dirk Koetter is applying for his next coaching job this winter, he’ll have to explain how his offense gained 501 yards but scored only three points. In their last seven games, Buccaneers are an incredibly bad minus-21 in turnovers- thats only seven games!!!

    Steelers 52, Panthers 21— Home teams are 8-2 on Thursday night games; think it is a big advantage to be at home with the short week.

    Steelers won/covered their last five games; they scored on a 75-yard pass with their first play of the game, after Carolina had taken a 7-0 lead. Panthers are two games behind New Orleans in the NFC South, but they play the Saints twice in the last seven weeks. Carolina +11 in TO’s in their wins, -5 in losses- they were -2 in this game.

    Packers 31, Dolphins 12— Miami was in red zone three times, kicked two FG’s; they didn’t score an offensive TD for second week in a row (20 drives). Dolphins lost their last four road games, by 31-10-19-19 points- they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs. Green Bay was in red zone four times, scored four TD’s. Packers are now 19-12-2 in their last 32 games as HF.

    Colts 29, Jaguars 26— Indy scored 37-42-29 points in winning last three games, after a 1-5 start; Colts didn’t score in second half here, holding on for dear life after leading 29-13 a minute before halftime. Vinatieri missed a 52-yard FG that would’ve covered the spread with 2:53 left. Over is 5-1 in the Colts’ last six games.

    Jacksonville’s offense showed some life, but they’ve lost five games in a row, and were outscored 97-23 in the first half of those games.

    Bears 34, Lions 22— Chicago threw for 348 yards, was +3 (3-0) in turnovers; they’re 4-1 at home this year, 4-0 as HF. Bears averaged 11.2 yards per pass attempt- their defense sacked Stafford six times. Chicago kicker Parkey missed two FG’s, two PAT’s; last guy to do that (Cleveland’s K in Week 2) got cut after that game.

    Lions fired their special teams coach Monday, so they’ve got issues in their building; Detroit ran ball for only 76-66-34 yards in their last three games; they allowed 16 sacks in their last two games- maybe the OL coach should’ve been canned instead of the special teams guy.

    Chiefs 28, Cardinals 16— Since 2000, Chiefs were 23rd NFL team to be favored by 17+ points; those teams went 8-13-2 vs spread (they all won SU). KC was +2 in turnovers, won field position by 12 yards; Arizona holding them to 26 points seemed like a win for Arizona.

    Chargers 20, Raiders 6— Chargers won their last six games; they’re 5-0 outside LA, holding Oakland without a TD here. Raiders had ball on 2-yard line on their first drive after faking a punt for a first down, but they went for it on 4th down and got stuffed.

    Under Lynn, LA is 4-1-1 as road favorites, 3-0 this year- they held last five opponents under 20 points. Raiders lost last four games; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs.

    When you get to the red zone three times and score only three points, that not good.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Monday, November 12


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      ORLANDO (6 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 9) - 11/12/2018, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ORLANDO is 75-99 ATS (-33.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 41-57 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 409-480 ATS (-119.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 115-159 ATS (-59.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 186-231 ATS (-68.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 134-171 ATS (-54.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      PHILADELPHIA (8 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 7) - 11/12/2018, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 107-80 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      MIAMI is 127-166 ATS (-55.6 Units) in November games since 1996.
      MIAMI is 133-183 ATS (-68.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 8-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      PHILADELPHIA is 8-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      NEW ORLEANS (6 - 6) at TORONTO (12 - 1) - 11/12/2018, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
      TORONTO is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      TORONTO is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      NEW ORLEANS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      DALLAS (4 - 8) at CHICAGO (4 - 9) - 11/12/2018, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DALLAS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 416-339 ATS (+43.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      DALLAS is 506-427 ATS (+36.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
      DALLAS is 170-133 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
      CHICAGO is 132-177 ATS (-62.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      UTAH (6 - 6) at MEMPHIS (7 - 4) - 11/12/2018, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MEMPHIS is 7-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
      MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      PHOENIX (2 - 10) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 5) - 11/12/2018, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 176-134 ATS (+28.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      BROOKLYN (6 - 7) at MINNESOTA (4 - 9) - 11/12/2018, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
      BROOKLYN is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
      BROOKLYN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      SAN ANTONIO (7 - 4) at SACRAMENTO (7 - 6) - 11/12/2018, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 1053-924 ATS (+36.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 838-714 ATS (+52.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 341-279 ATS (+34.1 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      GOLDEN STATE (11 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (7 - 5) - 11/12/2018, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA CLIPPERS are 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 116-83 ATS (+24.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      GOLDEN STATE is 7-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:15 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, November 12


        Orlando won four of its last five games; they’re 3-2 on road, 4-1 vs spread. Sx of their last eight games stayed under. Wizards are off to a 3-9 start; they’re 1-3 at home, 1-3 vs spread. Over is 3-1 in their home games. Home side won five of last six Orlando-Washington games; Magic won last two and covered five of last seven- they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

        Will Butler make his 76er debut here? Philly won six of its last nine gams; Sixers are 1-6 on road, 1-4 as AU. Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Heat lost five of their last seven games; they’re 3-4 at home, 3-3 as HF. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. 76ers won four of last five games with Miami; Sixers are 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

        Pelicans won last two games after a 6-game skid; they’re 1-5 on road, 2-4 as AU. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Raptors won their last six games; they’re 7-0 at home, 5-2 as HF. Over is 8-4-1 in their games this year. Toronto won its last six games with New Orleans; over is 4-1 in last five series games. Pelicans are 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits to Canada.

        Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 0-6 on road, 3-1 as AU. Five of their last seven games went over. Chicago lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-5 at home, 5-2 vs spread. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Dallas won five of its last seven games with the Bulls; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Mavericks covered three of last four games with Chicago.

        Utah won its last two games, is 6-6 this year; Jazz is 4-2 on road, 1-2 on road. Seven of their last eight games went over. Grizzlies won seven of last ten games; they’re 5-0 at home, 4-0 as HF. Three of their last four games stayed under. Road team won seven of last nine Utah-Memphis games; Jazz is 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Memphis. Under is 5-3 n last eight series games.

        Suns lost 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 0-5 on road, 1-4 as AU. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. OKC won seven of its last eight games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-3 as HF. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Thunder won its last three games with Phoenix; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Suns are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to OKC.

        Brooklyn won three of its last four games; they’re 3-5 on road, 4-3 as AU. Six of their last nine games went over. Minnesota has Saric/Covington for first time; they lost their last five games, are 4-1 at home, 2-1 as HF. Wolves’ last five games stayed under the total. Home side won last five Brooklyn-Minnesota games; Nets are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here, with three of last four going over total.

        San Antonio won five of its last seven games; they’re 2-2 on road, 1-0 as AF. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-3 at home, 4-1-1 as HU. Kings’ last three games stayed under the total. Spurs won their last ten games with Sacramento, covering four of last five; they’re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.

        Warriors won nine of their last ten games; they’re 4-1 on road, 2-3 as AF. Three of their last four games stayed under. Clippers won three of their last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, 2-1 as HU. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Golden State won nine of its last ten games with the Clippers; they covered last four series games played here. Last seven series games went over the total.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:16 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Monday, November 12


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
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          Orlando Magic
          Orlando is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
          Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games
          Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Orlando is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 15 games on the road
          Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
          Orlando is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Washington
          Orlando is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
          Orlando is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
          Washington Wizards
          Washington is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
          Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games
          Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
          Washington is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Orlando
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Orlando
          Washington is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Orlando
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando


          New Orleans Pelicans
          New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
          New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
          New Orleans is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
          New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
          New Orleans is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Toronto
          New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Toronto
          New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          Toronto Raptors
          Toronto is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games
          Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games at home
          Toronto is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing New Orleans
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
          Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
          Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans


          Philadelphia 76ers
          Philadelphia is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
          Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          Philadelphia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
          Philadelphia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games on the road
          Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
          Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Miami
          Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
          Philadelphia is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Miami
          Miami Heat
          Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
          Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
          Miami is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
          Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
          Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
          Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
          Miami is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
          Miami is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


          Dallas Mavericks
          Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
          Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
          Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
          Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
          Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games when playing Chicago
          Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          Chicago Bulls
          Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Chicago is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
          Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
          Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
          Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Dallas
          Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
          Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas


          Brooklyn Nets
          Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          Brooklyn is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
          Brooklyn is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games on the road
          Brooklyn is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Minnesota
          Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
          Brooklyn is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Brooklyn is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Minnesota Timberwolves
          Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
          Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
          Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 16 of Minnesota's last 21 games at home
          Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
          Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
          Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
          Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


          Utah Jazz
          Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games
          Utah is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games on the road
          Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Utah's last 22 games when playing Memphis
          Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
          Memphis Grizzlies
          Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
          Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
          Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
          Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Memphis's last 22 games when playing Utah
          Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


          Phoenix Suns
          Phoenix is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
          Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Phoenix is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 18 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City Thunder
          Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
          Oklahoma City is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 18 games when playing Phoenix
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix


          San Antonio Spurs
          San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
          San Antonio is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
          San Antonio is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 12 games on the road
          San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
          San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
          San Antonio is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
          San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
          Sacramento Kings
          Sacramento is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
          Sacramento is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
          Sacramento is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
          Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
          Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
          Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio


          Golden State Warriors
          Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games
          Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
          Golden State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
          Golden State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
          Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          Los Angeles Clippers
          LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 18 games at home
          LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
          LA Clippers is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Golden State
          LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
          LA Clippers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 17 games when playing at home against Golden State


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:17 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Monday's Essentials
            Tony Mejia


            Game of the Night - Golden State at L.A. Clippers (-8, 204.5), NBATV, 10:35 ET

            The Warriors open their busiest week of the season, playing five games between now and Sunday night. Stephen Curry, nursing an adductor strain, won’t play until Thursday’s game in Houston at the earliest and may miss the week entirely. Golden State will remain in Texas for a Saturday-Sunday back-to-back in Dallas and San Antonio, giving Curry an opportunity to return in one of those if he’s ready.

            If you were to take a poll of the Brooklyn Nets, they would likely tell you he can afford to take the whole week off.

            Cook burned them for 27 points on 11-for-16 shooting in Saturday’s 116-100 Warriors’ win that Curry watched from the bench. Draymond Green was sidelined too, dealing with a toe sprain that he can afford to take his time with. Jonas Jerebko replaced him in the starting lineup Saturday night, but head coach Steve Kerr also has Jordan Bell and Kevon Looney available in that spot.

            Most important, he’s got Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson raising their level because they’re getting the looks that they typically have to share with their All-Star teammates, so expect them to be highly engaged in the short term. It’s one thing to have to be the lynchpin over the course of 82 games, but for a four-to-five game stretch, being able to find a more sustained in-game rhythm offers a great change of pace for Durant and Thompson. The duo combined to shoot 20-for-35 against Brooklyn, which had come into Oakland on a three-game winning streak and looks much improved. They hit exactly half of their six 3-pointers and sat out most of the fourth since Cook bested them both in filling Curry’s role, finishing 11-for-16 and hitting 3-for-5 from 3-point range in scoring a season-high 27 points despite not being utilized much this season.

            Count on him being a big part of the Warriors’ week, which begins against the team currently running second in the Pacific, the L.A. Clippers. Doc Rivers has done a nice job with his new-look group in the early going, working in center Boban Marjanovic and impressive rookie Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Forward Tobias Harris and wing Danilo Gallinari have been consistent go-to scorers, but L.A. relies heavily on its depth to wear teams down due to the presence of reigning top Sixth Man Lou Williams and physical power forward Montrezl Harrell on the second unit.

            Those two made the difference in the Clippers’ most impressive win of the season, a 128-126 OT upset of a Bucks team that crushed Golden State 134-111 on Thursday night in the game where Curry suffered his groin injury. Milwaukee rebounded from the loss at Staples by taking down the team that currently has the third-best record in the West, the Nuggets, defeating them in Denver on Sunday night.

            Harrell led the way with 26 points and nine boards, dominating with his tenacity. Williams, who said afterward that he played terribly, won it with an impossible-looking floater just before the final buzzer to end up with 12 points and 10 assists. The Clippers may not be among the teams you think of when listing off Golden State’s biggest challengers out West – they’re second in their own city – but this group they’ve assembled doesn’t back down easily. This contest should be just as difficult as their endeavor into the NBA’s “Texas Triangle,” which has presented a major obstacle for decades given the sustained strength of the Spurs, Mavericks and Rockets all these years.

            The Warriors-Clippers rivalry no longer has the same feel with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin now elsewhere, so we’ll see what effect that has on their first meeting of the 2018-19 season. This used to be a game Golden State had circled on its schedule, which is why it has won 13 of 14 in the series since the start of 2015. Without Curry and potentially Green in the mix, the Dubs should still be favored, but the number shouldn’t be more than a couple of points. The ‘under’ has prevailed in three the last four games for both teams.

            The card
            Orlando at Washington, 7:05 p.m. ET:
            The Magic just beat the Wizards on Friday night, but have since lost Aaron Gordon to an ankle sprain sufferered in practice that could keep him out here. Orlando's top forward was held out last night's 115-89 win in New York that was over after a 30-10 first-quarter posted by the visitors. Nikola Vucevic and Evan Fournier led the way, but it was a collective effort that stifled the Knicks throughout. Rookie Mo Bamba has begun to find some consistency and is fortifying a second unit that has the potential to really become a factor.

            The Wizards trailed by as many as 25 points in Orlando despite strong play from Kelly Oubre and Jeff Green off the bench but bounced back with a win in Miami on Saturday and saw Austin Rivers contribute 18 points off the bench. It's imperative that the Wizards get their top eight to find some consistency, but Otto Porter, Jr. continues to underachieve and the talk of moving John Wall to shake things up and pull the plug on this current group has intensified.

            Philadelphia at Miami, 7:35 p.m. ET:
            Jimmy Butler has been acquired by the 76ers in a move we'll dissect more over the coming days in terms of long-term impact and short-term betting advantages, but he's out of the equation tonight. The 76ers will have to play shorthanded once again after doing so on Saturday night when they squandered a late lead in Memphis. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons led the way while guards J.J. Redick, T.J. McConnell and Landry Shamet enjoyed heightened roles setting the table, so look for that to again be the case tonight. Notice you didn't read Markelle Fultz's name. He got less than 25 minutes of playing time despite the opportunity to carve out more. Furkan Korkmaz and Jonah Bolden were dusted off to absorb some of the loss with starting forwards Robert Covington and Dario Saric dealt, but it appears Philly will go small until Butler is set to join the lineup.

            The Heat are cautiously optimistic that the Hassan Whiteside who showed up last week will continue to dominate without sabotaging himself via bad shots or stupid fouls, but there's no question the team has an edge when he taps into his vast potential. Dwyane Wade has been away from the team after becoming a father again, while Goran Dragic has been in and out of the mix with a sore knee but looks healthy enough to be counted on here. Josh Richardson has taken advantage of the absence of Dragic and Wade to take more of an ownership role in the offense that will hopefully carry forward.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:19 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Dunkel

              Monday, November 12



              Orlando @ Washington

              Game 703-704
              November 12, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Orlando
              116.460
              Washington
              111.209
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Orlando
              by 5 1/2
              224
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Washington
              by 7 1/2
              220 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Orlando
              (+7 1/2); Over

              Philadelphia @ Miami


              Game 703-704
              November 12, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Philadelphia
              117.608
              Miami
              113.475
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Philadelphia
              by 4
              224
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Miami
              by 2
              220 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Philadelphia
              (+2); Over

              New Orleans @ Toronto


              Game 705-706
              November 12, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              New Orleans
              118.536
              Toronto
              124.590
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Toronto
              by 6
              235
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Toronto
              by 9 1/2
              231
              Dunkel Pick:
              New Orleans
              (+9 1/2); Over

              Dallas @ Chicago


              Game 707-708
              November 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Dallas
              115.530
              Chicago
              111.372
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Dallas
              by 4
              218
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Chicago
              by 1 1/2
              213
              Dunkel Pick:
              Dallas
              (+1 1/2); Over

              Utah @ Memphis


              Game 709-710
              November 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Utah
              125.275
              Memphis
              114.196
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Utah
              by 11
              196
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Utah
              by 2
              205 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Utah
              (-2); Under

              Phoenix @ Oklahoma City


              Game 711-712
              November 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Phoenix
              106.796
              Oklahoma City
              119.909
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Oklahoma City
              by 13
              214
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Oklahoma City
              by 8 1/2
              211
              Dunkel Pick:
              Oklahoma City
              (-8 1/2); Over

              Brooklyn @ Minnesota


              Game 713-714
              November 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Brooklyn
              119.502
              Minnesota
              112.971
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Brooklyn
              by 6 1/2
              225
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Minnesota
              by 3
              222
              Dunkel Pick:
              Brooklyn
              (+3); Over

              San Antonio @ Sacramento


              Game 715-716
              November 12, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              San Antonio
              116.489
              Sacramento
              115.864
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              San Antonio
              by 1
              206
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              San Antonio
              by 3
              216 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Sacramento
              (+3); Under

              Golden State @ LA Clippers


              Game 717-718
              November 12, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Golden State
              128.503
              LA Clippers
              122.359
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Golden State
              by 6
              236
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Golden State
              by 2 1/2
              232
              Dunkel Pick:
              Golden State
              (-2 1/2); Over
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-12-2018, 01:20 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends - Monday
                Vince Akins


                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

                -- The Nets are 13-0 ATS (+16.19 ppg) on the road with rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

                -- The Warriors are 0-12 ATS (-9.29 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Kings are 14-0 OU (+15.07 ppg) with rest off a loss as a home dog in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their field goals.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

                -- The Pelicans are 0-12 OU (-20.21 ppg) on the road off a double-digit win when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

                Comment


                • #9
                  By: Monique Vág


                  Adjusting to new lineups

                  The Philadelphia 76ers, winners of six of their last nine games travel to Miami to take on the Heat who have lost five of their last seven. Philadelphia at 8-6 have really struggled to get things going away from home posting a 7-0 record on their own court, but 1-6 away on the road.

                  The 76ers will be short handed until Jimmy Butler is ready to play, and the trade is official (likely Wednesday night), as the 76ers traded two starters in Dario Saric and Robert Covington away. The Heat will also be without two key role players in Dwyane Wade and James Johnson. With both teams not at their best, the Under 220.5 looks like an intriguing play.


                  Stepping up for the Pels

                  The 6-6 New Orleans Pelicans travel to Toronto to take on the 12-1 Raptors. The Pelicans are averaging 117.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.8 percent shooting. They are led by two 20+ point scorers in Anthony Davis averaging 24.6 points, and 12.1 rebounds, and Nikola Mirotic’s 20.6 points and 11.7 rebounds per contest.

                  The Raptors, winners of six straight, enter today averaging 117.9 points per contest on 49.3 percent shooting. Defensively, they are allowing 108.1 points per game on 43.5 percent shooting. They are led by Kawhi Leonard’s 24.4 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.

                  With Nikola Mirotic on the injury report for the Pelicans, listed as probable for tonight’s contest with an ankle injury, look into someone else to potentially step up for the Pels in terms of scoring. While the Raptors defensively have been really good, the weak spot for their team is defending opposing shooting guards allowing an average of 25 points per game, 3.7 made three-point shots, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.6 assists. Shooting guard E’Twaun Moore is coming off a 17 point shooting performance versus Phoenix. His field goal percent is way up this year from 45.8 percent to 53.8. Take his points total Over 10.5.


                  Closely contested matchup

                  The Chicago Bulls host the Dallas Mavericks at United Center. The Mavs have won two straight contests and enter today scoring 110.8 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting and defensively they are surrendering 113.7 points per game. Chicago enter tonight managing to score 106.5 points per contest on 45.4 percent shooting. They surrender 113.1 points per game.

                  Head-to-head, Dallas is 4-1 SU over their last five games in Chicago, but 0-5 SU over their last five road games. The Under has hit in 11 of 16 meetings between these two, with the Under hitting in seven of the last eight.

                  The injury reports for both teams are fully loaded with Chicago having Bobby Portis, Lauri Markkanen, Kris Dunn all out for another 4-6 weeks at least. The Mavericks will be without Dirk Nowitzki again, and have Wesley Matthews and Luka Doncic questionable for the contest.

                  In what projects to be a close game, look into Dennis Smith Jr.’s points, rebounds and assists total as last year he had some great shooting nights versus the Bulls. In their first matchup he shot 6 of 12 from the field, 2 of 4 from beyond the arc and contributed 2 rebounds and 7 assists for 15 points. In their second meeting, he shot 9 of 17 from the floor, 2 of 3 from beyond the arc for 25 points. Take Over on his points, rebounds, and assists.


                  Trends not in the King’s favor

                  The 7-4 San Antonio Spurs travel to Sacramento to take on the 7-6 Kings. San Antonio has scored 109.5 points per game on 44.9 percent shooting. They are surrendering 107.9 points per game and led by DeMar DeRozan’s 25.2 points per contest. For Sacramento, they enter averaging 115.3 points per game on 48 percent shooting and surrender 116.8 points per game. They are led by Buddy Hield’s 19.1 points per game.

                  The Spurs have always been a dominant home team, but on the road, they have really struggled this year posting a 2-2 record. They should be feeling confident today as they travel to Sacramento to take on a Kings’ team who they have historically dominated winning 14 straight times, including seven in a row in Sacramento at Golden 1 Center. They have held the Kings to 105 points or fewer in all 14 games of their winning streak. There is no reason to think the trend won’t continue and the Spurs make it 15 straight. Take the Spurs as 2.5-point favorites.


                  Sweet Lou

                  No surprise the highest total of the night of 228 is what we find in the late night matchup where the Golden State Warriors travel to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers. The Warriors have won eight of their last nine contests averaging 121.9 points on 51.9 percent shooting. They are allowing 110.8 points per game and are led by Stephen Curry’s 29.5 points per game. Unfortunately they will be without Curry who is out with a groin strain. They might also be without Draymond Green who is listed as day-to-day.

                  The Los Angeles Clippers enter today averaging 116.3 points per game on 47.3 percent shooting. They are surrendering 111.7 points per contest. They will be without Avery Bradley and Luc Mbah a Moute. Despite all the injuries on the Golden State Warriors, the Clippers still find themselves as 3.5-point underdogs at home.

                  The Clippers’ Lou Williams has always loved moments like these and has thrived versus Golden State. Last year in their meeting at Golden State, Lou Williams shot 16 of 27 from the floor, including 8 of 16 from beyond the arc. He added to the monster stat line with two rebounds and seven assists. This was his only 50-point game of the season. You know he’s going to be feeling well playing versus an injury depleted Warriors team, and confidence should be high. Take Over his points, rebounds, and assists total of 27.5.

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