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**Udog** · 11-11-2018, 10:19 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 10 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Eagles -6.5 (1,401)
2) Falcons -4 (1,244)
3) Seahawks +9.5 (1,078)
4) Patriots -6.5 (935)
5) Chargers -9.5 (919)
6) Bengals +5.5 (795)
Season record: 30-21-3 (11-1 last two weeks)

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Oklahoma 48, Oklahoma State 47— State scored with 1:07 left but went for two points and the lead, maybe because their kicker missed the PAT on their previous TD.

We’ve talked about this couple times already, but I’m not a fan of going for two points and the win, yet every ex-player on TV applauds when a coach does it. There is a time to be conservative, to keep your team on national TV playing an exciting game (recruiting, anyone?!?!?!)

OSU had 39 first downs, gained 640 yards but lost. Entertaining game.

12) Texas 41, Texas Tech 34— Longhorns led 34-17 with 7:00 left, but Tech rallied to tie the game with 1:45 left. Texas then drove the field and threw the GW TD pass with 0:21 left.

11) Northwestern 14, Iowa 10— Wildcats are 0-3 in non-conference games, losing to Duke, Akron and Notre Dame, but they’re 6-1 in conference and clinched a spot in the Big 14 title game with this win. Four of their six conference wins are by four or fewer points; this will be their first-ever appearance in the Big 14 championship game.

Iowa threw 41 passes, ran ball only 22 times, converted 3-13 third down plays; they’ve lost three games in a row after a 6-1 start.

10) Pitt 52, Virginia Tech 22— Panthers won their third game in a row; they had TD plays of 73-78-97 yards, and averaged 13.9 YARDS PER PLAY in this game. Virginia Tech lost its last three games, allowing 44 ppg, and is now 4-5.

9) Old Dominion 34, North Texas 31— Mean Green led 28-0 with 3:00 left before halftime, but let this game get away on the road, slip to 7-3.

8) Florida 35, South Carolina 31— Gamecocks led 31-14 with 16:00 to play, but Florida went on TD drives of 75-89-66 yards to pull out the win and improve to 7-3.

Georgia 27, Auburn 10— Auburn coach Gus Malzahn is in the first year of a 7-year, $49M contract; his Tigers are 6-4 and haven’t played Alabama yet, so they’re going to be 7-5 heading into their bowl game, which won’t be a great bowl (their other game is vs Liberty).

Not going to be a great winter on the plains for coach Gus.

7) Upsets of the Week:
— UNLV (+22.5) 27, San Diego State 24
— Wake Forest (+19.5) 27, NC State 23
— Old Dominion (+14.5) 34, North Texas 31
— Minnesota (+12) 41, Purdue 10
— Northwestern (+11) 14, Iowa 10
— Bowling Green (+7) 24, Central Michigan 13

6) Indiana 34, Maryland 32— Terrapins ran ball for 59 times for 353 yards, outgained Indiana by 168 yards but lost- thats what four turnovers (-3) will do to you.

Ohio State 26, Michigan State 6— Buckeyes’ punter Drue Chrisman pinned Spartans inside their own 6-yard line five times in the second half; he was interviewed on TV after the game. MSU completed less than half its passes for third time in last five games.

5) UAB 26, Southern Miss 23 OT— UAB didn’t have a football team in 2015-16, but people fought to bring the team back and now in their second year back, the Blazers are 9-1 and are a hell of a story. Good for them.

4) Arizona State 31, UCLA 28— Herm Edwards’ Sun Devils are 6-4, become bowl-eligible.

3) Washington State 31, Colorado 7— Coogs ran 94 plays, injury-riddled Colorado ran 54; Buffaloes lost their last five games after a 5-0 start. Wazzu is 9-1 and rolling, in a story that is really interesting, in both happy and tragic ways.

This time last year, Wazzu’s QB was Luke Falk, who is on the Miami Dolphins now. The young man who was penciled in to be his replacement this year (he threw 129 passes off the bench) took his own life after last season, in an unspeakable tragedy.

Gardner Minshew was going to transfer from East Carolina to Alabama, with hopes of being a grad assistant coach in 2019; he knew he would sit the bench in Tuscaloosa this year. But when Washington State needed a QB, Minshew went to Pullman instead and is now having the time of his life. Life is weird sometimes.

2) San Diego 56, Davidson 52— This I-AA game had some interesting stats:
— Davidson ran the ball 73 times for 789 yards, gained 852 TY.
— San Diego was 24-36 passing for 556 yards; they gained 625 TY.
— Toreros averaged 15.4 yards per pass attempt.
— Davidson had three TD runs of 80+ yards, in the first quarter alone.
— Davidson led 31-7 early in the second quarter.
— San Diego threw the game-winning 20-yard TD pass with 1:43 left.

1) Eastern Michigan 27, Akron 7— EMU has a gray football field, much like Boise State has a blue field; when I watch clips of EMU home games on my laptop, it looks like the game is in black-and-white, except for the players. Weird.

Akron had six first downs, four turnovers, only 90 total yards. Eastern is bowl eligible

**Udog** · 11-11-2018, 10:23 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, November 11

Appalachian St @ Alabama

Game 513-514
November 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
53.253
Alabama
64.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 11 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 14
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+14); Over

Hofstra @ Marshall

Game 515-516
November 11, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hofstra
58.515
Marshall
58.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hofstra
Even
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 7 1/2
167 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hofstra
(+7 1/2); Under

George Washington @ Virginia

Game 517-518
November 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
George Washington
44.969
Virginia
76.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 31
121
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 25 1/2
126
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-25 1/2); Under

Florida Atlantic @ UCF

Game 519-520
November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
40.471
UCF
66.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 26 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 22
140
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-22); Over

Green Bay @ Iowa

Game 521-522
November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
48.438
Iowa
62.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 14 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 19 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+19 1/2); Over

Drexel @ Rutgers

Game 523-524
November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drexel
51.565
Rutgers
61.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rutgers
by 10
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rutgers
by 13
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Drexel
(+13); Under

Southern Miss @ SMU

Game 525-526
November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
49.907
SMU
56.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 7
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 11 1/2
138
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+11 1/2); Under

Florida State @ Tulane

Game 527-528
November 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
69.545
Tulane
58.106
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 11 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 14
151
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+14); Over

Cal Poly @ Arizona

Game 529-530
November 11, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Poly
39.314
Arizona
66.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 27 1/2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 22
141
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-22); Over

Vanderbilt @ USC

Game 531-532
November 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
61.506
USC
66.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 5
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 2 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-2 1/2); Over

North Texas @ Hawaii

Game 533-534
November 11, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
59.872
Hawaii
52.880
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
by 7
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 1
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(-1); N/A

E Tenn State @ Creighton

Game 535-536
November 11, 2018 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
52.480
Creighton
69.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Creighton
by 17 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Creighton
by 12
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Creighton
(-12); Under

Santa Barbara @ North Dakota St

Game 537-538
November 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
51.292
North Dakota St
55.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 4 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 1
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-1); Over

IPFW @ Ohio State

Game 539-540
November 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
IPFW
51.818
Ohio State
71.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 19 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 17
149
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-17); Under

Oral Roberts @ TCU

Game 541-542
November 11, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oral Roberts
45.344
TCU
68.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 23
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 20 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-20 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-11-2018, 10:24 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 11

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APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997.
ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOFSTRA (1 - 0) at MARSHALL (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGE WASHINGTON (0 - 2) at VIRGINIA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in November games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 0) at UCF (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
UCF is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (1 - 1) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DREXEL (0 - 1) at RUTGERS (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) at SMU (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (1 - 0) at TULANE (0 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAL POLY-SLO (1 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (1 - 0) at USC (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N TEXAS (3 - 0) at HAWAII (2 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E TENN ST (1 - 1) at CREIGHTON (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
E TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
E TENN ST is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-SANTA BARBARA (1 - 0) at N DAKOTA ST (0 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N DAKOTA ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 71-45 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORAL ROBERTS (1 - 1) at TCU (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
TCU is 110-150 ATS (-55.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 110-150 ATS (-55.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-11-2018, 10:24 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 11

Alabama beat Southern by 20 in its opener, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Crimson Tide has three starters back from a 20-16 that lost in 2nd round of NCAA’s. Appalachian State has four starters back from a 15-18 team that broke even (9-9) in Sun Belt LY; they start two juniors, two seniors, are picked to finish in middle of Sun Belt. ASU beat up on a stiff team in their opener. Last 3 years, SEC teams are 17-9 vs spread when playing Sun Belt teams.

Marshall won its opener 105-77 at Eastern Kentucky in a 91-possession track meet; doubtful Hofstra is going to let this game get this fast. Hofstra won its opener 59-41 vs Mt St Mary’s, in a 73-possession game; Pride start two juniors, three seniors- they had only 8 turnovers. Marshall has four starters back from a 25-11 team that won a game in NCAA’s LY; they’re expected to be near the top of C-USA. Hofstra has four starters back from a 19-12 team that ranked #136 nationally in tempo. Last 3+ years, CAA teams are 16-12 vs spread vs C-USA teams.

Central Florida has three starters back from a 19-13 team that went 9-9 in AAC; Knights beat Rider by 14 in their opener, going 25-45 on foul line, 5-22 on arc. UCF starts two juniors, two seniors. Florida Atlantic lost four starters from a 12-19 team; the coach got fired, so this is a total rebuild for the Owls.. FAU started two frosh, two seniors in its opener, an easy win over a stiff; they were only 9-33 on the arc. New coach May was a Florida/La Tech assistant, so he knows C-USA. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams.

Green Bay split its first two games, losing 78-74 at home to Indiana State Friday- they were 7-31 on arc vs ISU. Green Bay likes to play fast; they start four juniors, one senior; nine guys played 17:00+ vs ISU. Phoenix has three new starters but played lot of frosh off bench LW so that should pay off this year. Iowa has 90.3% of its scoring back from LY’s 14-19 team that went 4-14 in Big 14; Hawkeyes were 28-38 on foul line in their 77-63 win over UMKC in their opener. Iowa plays only one senior (he’s a sub); they start three juniors.

Rutgers beat Drexel 87-56 in last meeting two years ago; Scarlet Knights won opener this year 90-55 over FDU, making 12-20 on arc. Rutgers starts two sophs, two juniors; they’ve got there starters back from a 15-19 team that went 3-15 in Big 14- they’re picked near bottom again this year. Drexel lost its opener by 4 at Eastern Michigan; Dragons were 13-34 on arc, 8-23 inside arc vs EMU’s 2-3 zone. Drexel starts two juniors, two seniors; they lost three starters from a 13-20 team that went 6-12 in CAA. Big 14 teams are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight games vs CAA foes.

Southern Mississippi has four starters back from 16-18 team that went 7-11 in C-USA; Eagles started three seniors, one junior in an opening 111-66 win over a stiff, ad that was with USM making only 10-34 on the arc. SMU was 9-36 on arc in its 69-58 win vs Northwestern State in its opener; Mustangs start two sophs, two seniors. SMU lost three starters from a 17-16 team that faded down stretch LY; they’re picked to finish in middle of AAC pack this year. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams.

Florida State pounded Florida 81-60 in its opener Tuesday; FSU starts three seniors, a junior- they’re a preseason top 20 team that has three starters back from a 23-12 team that broke even (9-9) in ACC LY- they’re picked to finish near top of the ACC. Seminoles beat Tulane 72-53 in LY’s meeting, forcing 19 (+6) Green Wave turnovers. Tulane has three starters back from LY in Year 3 of Mike Dunleavy era, but Melvin Frazier’s jump to the pros hurts this Green Wave team. Last three years, ACC teams are 12-8 vs spread when playing an AAC team.

USC beat Vanderbilt 93-89 in OT in Nashville LY; they were down 10 with 9:37 left, but USC was +10 (16-6) in turnovers and made 12-26 on arc. Trojans won their opener by 21 over Robert Morris, but were down 4 with 12:17 left- they played only one senior, are picked in top-third of Pac-12. Vanderbilt has three starters back from 12-20 team that went 6-12 in SEC; they beat Winthrop by 13 in their opener, a fast, 79-possession game. Commodores are picked to finish in middle of SEC pack. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing SEC teams.

North Texas is already 3-0, beating two stiffs, and then beating Portland 78-73 last nite, when only three UNT guys played more than 27:00. Mean Green starts a freshman, two sophs even though they’ve got all five guys back from LY’s 20-18 team that went 8-10 in C-USA. UNT has four pretty good guards but are thin up front. Hawai’i has three starters back from a 17-13 team that went 8-8 in Big West. Rainbows beat that Portland team by 18 Friday, then beat up on a stiff last night. Hawai’i start two juniors, two seniors- they’re picked in middle of Big West.

East Tennessee State lost its opener 74-68 at Georgia State; they led by 4 with 7:04 left. Bucs then beat up on a stiff Friday; ETSU starts three sophs, two juniors- they were only 4-23 on arc vs Georgia State- they’re picked to finish near top of SoCon. Creighton beat Western Illinois by 11 in its opener; they were only up a hoop at half. Bluejays were 11-23 on arc; they start two sophs, two juniors but were only 9-20 on foul line. Bluejays lost three starters from a 21-12 team that went 10-8 in Big East- they’re picked to finish near bottom of Big East.

Cal-Santa Barbara won its opener at Wyoming, now ventures to North Dakota State; interesting road trip. Gauchos started a frosh, two sophs in Laramie- they were -9 (18-9) in turnovers, but shot 61% inside arc. UCSB made 12-22 on arc in LY’s 85-66 home win over the Bison; Gauchos are picked in middle of Big West pack. ND State lost its opener 73-56 at New Mexico State; they started three juniors, didn’t play any seniors. Bison has eight players back from LY but lost its leading scorer. Last 3+ years, Big West teams are 8-10 vs spread when playing Summit teams.

Ohio State got quality 64-56 win at Cincinnati in its opener; Buckeyes start two sophs, one frosh- they were up 16 and then held on late. OSU lost three starters back from a 25-9 team that won an NCAA tourney game; they’re picked to finish in middle of Big 14 pack. Fort Wayne lost its opener 96-71 at UCLA; Mastodons were 9-37- they start two juniors, two seniors. FW beat up on a D-III game Friday; they’re picked to finish near top of the Summit League. Last 3+ years, Summit League teams are 14-7-1 vs spread when playing Big 14 teams.

TCU won its opener 66-61 over a pretty good Bakersfield team; they trailed by 11 early in 2nd half. Horned Frogs have three starters back from a 21-12 team that made the NCAAs LY; they start two frosh, two seniors, which is odd. Oral Roberts lost its opener 84-50 at Missouri State; Eagles starts three juniors, one senior- they’ve got two starters back from 11-21 team that went 5-9 in Summit League. ORU was 5-28 on arc at Missouri State, then beat up on a stiff team couple days later. Last 3+ years, Big X teams are 11-6 vs spread when playing Summit teams.

**Udog** · 11-11-2018, 10:26 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, November 11

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Trend Report
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St. Francis-Brooklyn @ Boston College
St. Francis-Brooklyn

No trends to report

Boston College

Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Francis-Brooklyn
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Francis-Brooklyn

Army @ Duke
Army

No trends to report

Duke

Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Army

Colgate @ Cornell
Colgate

No trends to report

Cornell

Cornell is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Cornell is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Goucher College @ VMI
Goucher College

No trends to report

VMI

No trends to report

Emerson College @ Boston University
Emerson College

No trends to report

Boston University

No trends to report

East Tennessee State @ Creighton
East Tennessee State

No trends to report

Creighton

Creighton is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Creighton's last 5 games

George Washington @ Virginia
George Washington

The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 5 games
George Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Virginia

Virginia is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Virginia is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Brown @ NJIT
Brown

Brown is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

NJIT

No trends to report

Goshen @ Eastern Michigan
Goshen

No trends to report

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

UC-Santa Barbara @ North Dakota State
UC-Santa Barbara

UC-Santa Barbara is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
UC-Santa Barbara is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

North Dakota State

North Dakota State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
North Dakota State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Hofstra @ Marshall
Hofstra

Hofstra is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Hofstra is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Marshall

Marshall is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Drexel @ Rutgers
Drexel

Drexel is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Drexel is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

Rutgers

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern Mississippi @ Southern Methodist
Southern Mississippi

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist
Southern Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Southern Mississippi

Florida Atlantic @ Central Florida
Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida
Florida Atlantic is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Central Florida

Central Florida

Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Iowa
Wisconsin-Green Bay

Wisconsin-Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games on the road

Iowa

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games

Southeastern Louisiana @ Nebraska
Southeastern Louisiana

No trends to report

Nebraska

Nebraska is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Stetson @ Missouri State
Stetson

No trends to report

Missouri State

Missouri State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri State's last 7 games at home

IPFW @ Ohio State
IPFW

The total has gone OVER in 10 of IPFW's last 14 games on the road
IPFW is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

Ohio State

Ohio State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Ohio State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

Lamar @ East Carolina
Lamar

No trends to report

East Carolina

East Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of East Carolina's last 19 games

Central Penn College @ Howard
Central Penn College

No trends to report

Howard

No trends to report

Middle Georgia @ Savannah State
Middle Georgia

No trends to report

Savannah State

No trends to report

Wesley @ Towson
Wesley

No trends to report

Towson

Towson is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Towson's last 7 games

UMKC @ Connecticut
UMKC

UMKC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
UMKC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Connecticut

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home

Oral Roberts @ TCU
Oral Roberts

No trends to report

TCU

TCU is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games

Sam Houston State @ Louisiana Tech
Sam Houston State

No trends to report

Louisiana Tech

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games at home

Hartford @ Mississippi State
Hartford

No trends to report

Mississippi State

Mississippi State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Mississippi State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cal Poly @ Arizona
Cal Poly

Cal Poly is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Cal Poly is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Arizona

Arizona is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

Dartmouth @ Loyola-Maryland
Dartmouth

Dartmouth is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Dartmouth is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games

Loyola-Maryland

No trends to report

Huntingdon College @ South Alabama
Huntingdon College

No trends to report

South Alabama

South Alabama is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
South Alabama is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Wabash @ Northern Kentucky
Wabash

No trends to report

Northern Kentucky

No trends to report

Florida Gulf Coast @ Michigan State
Florida Gulf Coast

No trends to report

Michigan State

Michigan State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Michigan State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

LaGrange @ Alabama State
LaGrange

No trends to report

Alabama State

No trends to report

Appalachian State @ Alabama
Appalachian State

Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Appalachian State's last 9 games on the road

Alabama

Alabama is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Alabama's last 12 games at home

Florida State @ Tulane
Florida State

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Tulane

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games at home
Tulane is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

Nicholls State @ Washington State
Nicholls State

No trends to report

Washington State

Washington State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 6 games at home

Utah Valley @ Saint Mary's-California
Utah Valley

Utah Valley is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Utah Valley is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Saint Mary's-California

Saint Mary's-California is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Saint Mary's-California is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

Presentation College @ Montana State
Presentation College

No trends to report

Montana State

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montana State's last 8 games

Vanderbilt @ USC
Vanderbilt

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games on the road

USC

USC is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of USC's last 18 games

Bryant @ Seattle
Bryant

No trends to report

Seattle

Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

North Texas @ Hawaii
North Texas

North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Texas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

Hawaii

Hawaii is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Hawaii is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

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Announcement

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/11

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/11

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