Announcement

**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 09:17 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Nevada casinos’ net profit in September:

$32.7M— crap tables

$40.0M— roulette

$56.3M— sports betting

$70.4M— baccarat

$92.0M— blackjack

$281.7M— penny slots

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Hard to believe that Sunday night’s Packer-Patriot game will be only second time that Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady have faced each other in a regular season game. Green Bay won the first meeting, 26-21 at home four years ago.

12) Giants’ backup QB Kyle Lauletta was arrested in New Jersey Tuesday morning for a third-degree offense of eluding police as well as obstructing justice and resisting arrest. Lauletta has a history of dangerous driving, according to the Weehawken PD in New Jersey.

The kid hasn’t taken an NFL snap, but drives a Jaguar and apparently not very well; he wasn’t at practice Tuesday, so doubtful he replaces Eli Manning anytime soon.

11) Ben Roethlisberger is playing thru a broken LEFT index finger; non-throwing hand makes it whole lot better, but I’m sure that taking snaps from center still hurts like hell.

10) NFL trades at the deadline Tuesday:

— Broncos traded WR DeMaryus Thomas to the Texans, who they play Sunday.
— Rams acquired pass rusher Dante Fowler from Jacksonville.
— Eagles acquired WR Golden Tate from Detroit.
— Packers traded RB Ty Montgomery to Houston.

9) Buffalo Bills’ QB Derek Anderson (concussion) is out Sunday, meaning that Nathan Peterman gets another start. Line opened at 8.5, is up to 9.5 as I type this (10 at the Wynn), By kickoff on Sunday, line could get to 11 or 12— not lot of support for Peterman out there.

Matt Barkley was signed to be Buffalo’s backup QB; Terrelle Pryor was also signed; he could be a wildcat QB, seeing how he once played QB for the Raiders, before moving to WR. Going to be a long couple months for Bills coaches/fans.

8) Denver QB Case Keenum was with the Texans in 2014; apparently that year coach Bill O’Brien told Keenum that he “would never be more than a 3rd string NFL QB.”

Now that Keenum is making $18M a year playing for the Broncos, wonder what he’ll say to O’Brien Sunday when the Texans visit Denver?

7) A college football player at Maryland passed away during off-season workouts; the coach was suspended, but Tuesday DJ Durkin got his job back, and not everyone is happy about it.

When Durkin addressed the players for the first time, several players walked out, including some starters. Saturday’s home game with Michigan State should be interesting.

6) Marlins’ catcher JT Realmuto has let it be known that he wants to be traded, and will not sign a long-term deal with Miami. He is by far their best player, should bring back a pretty good haul. Good catchers are hard to find.

5) Chicago White Sox turned down P James Shields’ 2019 option, paid him $2M to go away; same thing for Milwaukee with Mike Moustakas, Joakim Soria ($1M each).

4) This isn’t a criticism or a complaint, just a statement of fact: 41.9% of runs scored this in postseason scored on home runs; during the season, 40.3% of runs scored via taters.

3) I don’t think Stephen Curry is getting enough credit for how much he has helped basketball, as a whole; kids see how great a shooter he is and they work more on their games, and now shooting has become so much better. Skilled basketball players are way more fun to watch.

Curry isn’t a dunker; he isn’t huge (6-3, 190), but he is incredibly skilled because he works his butt off on those skills, and that has caught on all over the country. Good for him.

2) Klay Thompson was 14-24 from the arc Monday night in Golden State’s 149-124 win over the Bulls, who are not good. 14 treys is one game is an all-time NBA record. Coming into the game, Thompson was 5-36 from the arc for the season.

Golden State led the Bulls 92-50 at halftime…..at HALFTIME!!!!!

How about competing? Chicago has an awful team…..embarrassing.

1) On NBA.TV, Isiah Thomas was killing the Bulls at halftime; Chicago’s own PR people put out a tweet mocking the team’s first half. No bueno.

**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 09:21 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 31

Detroit just lost couple of games to Boston after a 4-0 start; they’re 1-1 on road, with two games decided by total of five points (1-0 as AU, over 2-0). Brooklyn lost its last three games by 2-6-19 points; they’re 1-1 at home (0-1 as HF). Under is 4-3 in their games. Nets lost five of last six games with Detroit; under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Pistons are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Brooklyn.

Denver is off to a 5-1 start (under 4-1-1), splitting pair of road games (1-1 as AF). Chicago was down 92-50 at halftime of last game; they’re 2-5 this year, 2-1 vs spread as home underdogs. Over is 4-3 in their games. Nuggets won their last five games with Chicago (4-1 vs spread); they covered their last four visits to the Windy City. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.

Indiana is 4-3 this year, splitting four road games (1-0 as AF); three of their last four games stayed under. Knicks lost five of their last six games; they’re 2-2 SU at home, 1-1 as home dogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Home side won seven of last eight Indiana-New York games; Pacers are 0-4 vs spread in their last four visits to Manhattan (under 3-1).

Utah won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-0 on road (1-1 as AF), 0-2 at home; four of their six games went over. Timberwolves are 3-1 at home (0-1 as HU), 0-3 on road; over is 5-2 in their games this month. Utah won six of last nine games with Minnesota; road team won five of last eight meetings. Jazz covered four of their last five visits here. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Warriors won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 2-1 as HF this year, winning home games by 8-20-22 points- their last four games went over. Pelicans lost last two games after a 4-0 start; they’re 2-0 as AU. Five of their six games went over. Golden State won eight of last ten games with New Orleans (6-4 vs spread); Pelicans covered three of their last four visits to Oakland. Last three series games stayed under.

San Antonio won three of last four games; they’re 1-1 on road (over 2-0), with average total of 257. Phoenix lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 1-1 as HU. Suns’ last three games went over the total. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Phoenix (7-3 vs spread); they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Dallas lost its last four games; they’re 0-4 on road, with underdogs covering all four games. Over is 4-3 in their games this year. Lakers are off to a 2-5 start; they’re 1-2 at home, 0-1 as HF. Over is 5-1-1 in their games. Lakers won three of last four games with Dallas; home side won five of last six series games. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 09:26 AM

NBA

Wednesday, October 31

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Trend Report
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Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Detroit's last 19 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Brooklyn is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Brooklyn is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Brooklyn's last 19 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Utah Jazz
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 20 games at home
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 15 games when playing New York
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games at home
New York is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing Indiana
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Lakers
Dallas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
Dallas is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Lakers is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Lakers's last 21 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Dallas
LA Lakers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games
New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 15 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 15 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
San Antonio is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 15 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Phoenix is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Phoenix is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 09:40 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 31

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DETROIT (4 - 2) at BROOKLYN (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (5 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 130-177 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (4 - 3) at NEW YORK (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 4) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 2) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 1) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 113-82 ATS (+22.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 56-40 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 8-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (4 - 2) at PHOENIX (1 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 175-132 ATS (+29.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1050-922 ATS (+35.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 836-713 ATS (+51.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 338-277 ATS (+33.3 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 424-342 ATS (+47.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 5) at LA LAKERS (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 414-338 ATS (+42.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 505-426 ATS (+36.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 163-207 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 09:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 31

Detroit @ Brooklyn

Game 701-702
October 31, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
110.959
Brooklyn
119.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 9
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Chicago

Game 703-704
October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
123.707
Chicago
109.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 14
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 7 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-7 1/2); Under

Indiana @ New York

Game 705-706
October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
124.035
New York
111.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 13
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-5 1/2); Under

Utah @ Minnesota

Game 707-708
October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.646
Minnesota
115.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-2 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Golden State

Game 709-710
October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
00.000
Golden State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans

Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
( );

San Antonio @ Phoenix

Game 711-712
October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
00.000
Phoenix
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio

Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
( );

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 713-714
October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
111.283
LA Lakers
116.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 5
239
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
234
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+7); Over

**Udog** · 10-31-2018, 11:50 AM

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Pelicans at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST

Eight games into the season, Golden State (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) continues to look like the team that has won three of the past four NBA championships. During this current five-game winning streak, the Warriors have won four of those contest by 20 points or more, while dropping 149 points on the Bulls in Monday’s blowout at the United Center.

Klay Thompson broke the NBA record for most three-pointers made in a game with 14, while putting up 52 points in the win. Perhaps more impressive than Thompson’s shooting barrage was Golden State putting up 92 points in the first half, while picking up a cover as a double-digit favorite for the fourth straight time.

The Pelicans (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) jumped out to an impressive 4-0 start, but are coming off back-to-back losses to the Jazz and Nuggets. It’s no coincidence that those defeats were suffered with star Anthony Davis sidelined due to an elbow injury, as his status is in question for tonight’s contest at Oracle Arena. Davis is averaging 27.3 points per game and 13.3 rebounds per game, but replacing the former Kentucky standout is a difficult task. In Monday’s loss at Denver, the Pelicans managed a cover as 9 ½-point underdogs, while fellow UK Wildcat Julius Randle posted a team-high 24 points.

The Warriors knocked out the Pelicans in five games of the opening round of the playoffs last season, but New Orleans managed a pair of covers at Oracle Arena as double-digit underdogs. New Orleans won at Golden State in its final regular season matchup this past April, 126-120 as six-point ‘dogs, as Davis led the Pelicans with 34 points and 12 rebounds.

Same Record, Different Expectations

Both the Lakers and Mavericks own identical 2-5 records. If we turned the clock back one year ago, this wouldn’t be a surprise for these two Western Conference foes. However, Los Angeles has stumbled out of the gate in LeBron James’ first season in Purple and Gold, as the Lakers return home following consecutive road losses at San Antonio and Minnesota. In Monday’s defeat to the Wolves, James scored 29 points, but Minnesota knocked down 14 three-pointers.

The Mavericks are winless away from American Airlines Center this season at 0-4, but picked up a cover as seven-point ‘dogs in Monday’s overtime defeat at San Antonio. Dallas is riding a three-game OVER streak, but have lost four straight since picking up back-to-back home wins over Minnesota and Chicago. Rookie Luka Doncic has been impressive for Dallas through seven games by averaging 20.4 ppg, while scoring a season-high 31 points against the Spurs.

This will be by far the weakest opponent the Lakers have faced at Staples Center this season, as L.A. has already lost to Houston and San Antonio, while handing Denver its only loss. The Lakers captured three of four matchups from the Mavs last season, including a pair of wins at Staples by double-digits.

Bull Crap

That’s exactly what Chicago (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) looked like on Monday night in a 149-124 rout at the hands of Golden State. It would have been worse if the Warriors didn’t call off the dogs after scoring 125 points through three quarters, as Chicago suffered its first ATS loss at the United Center this season. The Bulls welcome in another tough Western opponent tonight as Denver makes its lone trip to the Windy City this season.

The Nuggets (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) have played a home-heavy schedule so far by posting a 4-0 mark at the Pepsi Center, but failed to cash as nine-point favorites in Monday’s 116-111 victory over the Pelicans. The backcourt duo of Gary Harris and Jamal Murray scored 23 points apiece, while the Nuggets moved to 3-1 to the UNDER at home this season. In fact, this is the first game played east of Denver this season for the Nuggets, whose first two road games were against the L.A. teams. The Nuggets have won five straight meetings with the Bulls, including two straight blowouts at the United Center.

Perfect Sound

The Jazz (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) have yet to win a game at home this season, but are riding a 4-0 record away from Salt Lake City. Utah tries to finish off its four-game road trip without a blemish as the Jazz face the Wolves at Target Center. The first three wins were impressive as Utah knocked off Houston, New Orleans, and Dallas, while shooting 52% from the floor in Sunday’s nine-point victory over the Mavericks.

Minnesota (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) has not won back-to-back games yet this season, coming off Monday’s 124-120 triumph over the Lakers as a short ‘dog. Jimmy Butler is still on the trade block for Minnesota, but the forward scored 32 points, while knocking down 6-of-7 three-point attempts. These two Northwest division foes split four meetings last season, as each team won one matchup at home and one on the road.

Slowing Down

The Pistons (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) rolled out to a fast 4-0 start with only one win against a quality team, edging the 76ers in overtime. Detroit fell back to Earth following back-to-back losses to Boston, but the Pistons hung around in Tuesday’s 108-105 setback at TD Garden as 8 ½-point underdogs. Blake Griffin rebounded from a seven-point performance last Saturday against the Celtics to score 24 points last night and pull down 15 boards.

Detroit heads to Brooklyn with no rest to square off with a Nets’ (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS) squad that is riding a three-game skid since routing Cleveland last Wednesday. Brooklyn is sitting in the favorite role for the second time this season as the Nets look to avenge an opening night loss at Detroit, 103-100 as six-point underdogs. The Nets haven’t had much luck against the Pistons at home, dropping a pair of contests last season at Barclays Center by 34 and 12 points.

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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

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